Charts· RB / WR / TE regression watch

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), qualified RB/WR/TE

105 players, ranked by PPR over expected per game through Week 9 of 2026. Top: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+6.2), Tee Higgins (+5.1) and Christian Watson (+5.0). Bottom: Michael Wilson (-5.6), DK Metcalf (-4.5) and Emeka Egbuka (-2.5).

Expected = every carry and target priced by field position and depth

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105players ranked

1–9weeks of 2026

RB/WR/TEeach at his position’s minimum

+6.2#1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Bars run from the middle: right of it is above zero, left is below. Tap a bar for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

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105 players · 5337 characters

RB / WR / TE REGRESSION WATCH

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), qualified RB/WR/TE

1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) +6.2 (19.6 exp, 25.7 act)
2. Tee Higgins (CIN) +5.1 (14.9 exp, 20.0 act)
3. Christian Watson (GB) +5.0 (14.9 exp, 19.9 act)
4. Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) +3.6 (16.3 exp, 20.0 act)
5. Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) +3.6 (12.3 exp, 15.9 act)
6. Brock Bowers (LV) +3.4 (18.0 exp, 21.4 act)
7. Kenneth Walker III (KC) +3.4 (21.2 exp, 24.6 act)
8. Jaylen Warren (PIT) +3.3 (14.6 exp, 17.9 act)
9. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) +3.1 (23.4 exp, 26.5 act)
10. Zay Flowers (BAL) +2.9 (13.1 exp, 15.9 act)
11. Luther Burden III (CHI) +2.7 (12.9 exp, 15.6 act)
12. George Kittle (SF) +2.7 (11.9 exp, 14.5 act)
13. Dalton Kincaid (BUF) +2.7 (8.0 exp, 10.6 act)
14. Travis Kelce (KC) +2.5 (9.9 exp, 12.4 act)
15. James Cook (BUF) +2.4 (16.6 exp, 19.1 act)
16. Puka Nacua (LAR) +2.4 (22.7 exp, 25.1 act)
17. Bijan Robinson (ATL) +2.3 (17.5 exp, 19.8 act)
18. Bucky Irving (TB) +2.3 (15.8 exp, 18.1 act)
19. Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) +2.2 (9.6 exp, 11.8 act)
20. Blake Corum (LAR) +2.2 (8.3 exp, 10.5 act)
21. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) +2.1 (16.2 exp, 18.3 act)
22. Darren Waller (CAR) +2.1 (7.5 exp, 9.6 act)
23. Jameson Williams (DET) +2.1 (11.1 exp, 13.2 act)
24. Hunter Henry (NE) +2.0 (6.9 exp, 8.9 act)
25. DeMario Douglas (NE) +2.0 (8.9 exp, 10.9 act)
26. Christian McCaffrey (SF) +1.9 (19.2 exp, 21.1 act)
27. Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1.6 (8.2 exp, 9.9 act)
28. Davante Adams (LAR) +1.6 (15.4 exp, 17.0 act)
29. Juwan Johnson (NO) +1.6 (8.6 exp, 10.1 act)
30. Darnell Washington (PIT) +1.6 (6.2 exp, 7.8 act)
31. Brenton Strange (JAX) +1.5 (7.5 exp, 8.9 act)
32. Dallas Goedert (PHI) +1.5 (9.1 exp, 10.6 act)
33. Isaiah Likely (NYG) +1.5 (14.4 exp, 15.8 act)
34. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +1.4 (11.4 exp, 12.8 act)
35. T.J. Hockenson (MIN) +1.3 (9.4 exp, 10.7 act)
36. Michael Mayer (LV) +1.3 (8.1 exp, 9.3 act)
37. Jake Ferguson (DAL) +1.2 (5.9 exp, 7.1 act)
38. Tommy Tremble (CAR) +1.1 (6.0 exp, 7.1 act)
39. Tre Tucker (LV) +1.0 (11.1 exp, 12.1 act)
40. Parker Washington (JAX) +1.0 (12.7 exp, 13.7 act)
41. Kyle Pitts (ATL) +0.9 (7.0 exp, 7.9 act)
42. Kyren Williams (LAR) +0.9 (17.2 exp, 18.1 act)
43. Stefon Diggs (WAS) +0.8 (12.1 exp, 12.9 act)
44. CeeDee Lamb (DAL) +0.8 (21.6 exp, 22.4 act)
45. Drake London (ATL) +0.8 (12.5 exp, 13.3 act)
46. Sam LaPorta (DET) +0.7 (10.9 exp, 11.6 act)
47. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) +0.6 (19.1 exp, 19.7 act)
48. Jalen Coker (CAR) +0.6 (11.9 exp, 12.6 act)
49. Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) +0.6 (5.7 exp, 6.3 act)
50. Justin Jefferson (MIN) +0.5 (12.8 exp, 13.3 act)
51. Garrett Wilson (NYJ) +0.4 (13.8 exp, 14.2 act)
52. Braelon Allen (NYJ) +0.4 (11.5 exp, 11.9 act)
53. Jonathan Taylor (IND) +0.1 (17.8 exp, 18.0 act)
54. Greg Dulcich (MIA) +0.1 (7.2 exp, 7.3 act)
55. Trey McBride (ARI) +0.1 (18.0 exp, 18.1 act)
56. Tucker Kraft (GB) +0.0 (10.0 exp, 10.0 act)
57. Ryan Flournoy (DAL) +0.0 (9.3 exp, 9.3 act)
58. Derrick Henry (BAL) -0.1 (15.9 exp, 15.8 act)
59. Tyler Higbee (LAR) -0.1 (7.9 exp, 7.8 act)
60. KC Concepcion (CLE) -0.1 (10.2 exp, 10.0 act)
61. Tyler Allgeier (ARI) -0.1 (10.2 exp, 10.1 act)
62. Cam Skattebo (NYG) -0.2 (12.2 exp, 12.1 act)
63. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) -0.2 (16.0 exp, 15.8 act)
64. Tyler Warren (IND) -0.3 (12.3 exp, 12.0 act)
65. D'Andre Swift (CHI) -0.4 (17.9 exp, 17.5 act)
66. Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) -0.4 (10.3 exp, 9.9 act)
67. Javonte Williams (DAL) -0.4 (18.2 exp, 17.7 act)
68. Chig Okonkwo (WAS) -0.4 (8.3 exp, 7.8 act)
69. Dalton Schultz (HOU) -0.5 (9.4 exp, 8.9 act)
70. Devaughn Vele (NO) -0.5 (11.6 exp, 11.2 act)
71. Chris Olave (NO) -0.5 (18.2 exp, 17.7 act)
72. Tony Pollard (TEN) -0.5 (15.1 exp, 14.6 act)
73. George Pickens (DAL) -0.7 (13.7 exp, 13.0 act)
74. Malik Nabers (NYG) -0.8 (17.0 exp, 16.2 act)
75. Rome Odunze (CHI) -0.8 (10.9 exp, 10.1 act)
76. Evan Engram (DEN) -0.8 (5.3 exp, 4.4 act)
77. Aaron Jones (MIN) -0.9 (11.5 exp, 10.6 act)
78. Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) -0.9 (6.2 exp, 5.3 act)
79. Omarion Hampton (LAC) -0.9 (10.0 exp, 9.0 act)
80. Matthew Golden (GB) -0.9 (18.9 exp, 18.0 act)
81. Denzel Boston (CLE) -1.0 (12.2 exp, 11.2 act)
82. Carnell Tate (TEN) -1.0 (12.7 exp, 11.6 act)
83. Malik Washington (MIA) -1.1 (10.8 exp, 9.7 act)
84. AJ Barner (SEA) -1.2 (8.1 exp, 7.0 act)
85. Makai Lemon (PHI) -1.2 (9.4 exp, 8.2 act)
86. Jaylen Waddle (DEN) -1.2 (9.9 exp, 8.7 act)
87. Ollie Gordon II (MIA) -1.3 (12.7 exp, 11.4 act)
88. Mark Andrews (BAL) -1.3 (8.1 exp, 6.7 act)
89. Colston Loveland (CHI) -1.5 (10.9 exp, 9.5 act)
90. Emanuel Wilson (SEA) -1.5 (12.5 exp, 11.0 act)
91. Xavier Worthy (KC) -1.6 (9.9 exp, 8.3 act)
92. Keenan Allen (SF) -1.7 (11.9 exp, 10.1 act)
93. Woody Marks (HOU) -1.9 (10.8 exp, 8.9 act)
94. Ashton Jeanty (LV) -2.1 (17.6 exp, 15.5 act)
95. J.K. Dobbins (DEN) -2.1 (9.0 exp, 6.9 act)
96. Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) -2.1 (10.4 exp, 8.3 act)
97. Jeremiyah Love (ARI) -2.2 (11.1 exp, 8.9 act)
98. Quinshon Judkins (CLE) -2.3 (13.8 exp, 11.5 act)
99. Courtland Sutton (DEN) -2.3 (9.4 exp, 7.1 act)
100. Chase Brown (CIN) -2.3 (15.5 exp, 13.2 act)
101. Josh Downs (KC) -2.4 (10.7 exp, 8.3 act)
102. Cade Otton (TB) -2.4 (7.9 exp, 5.5 act)
103. Emeka Egbuka (TB) -2.5 (13.7 exp, 11.1 act)
104. DK Metcalf (PIT) -4.5 (14.2 exp, 9.7 act)
105. Michael Wilson (ARI) -5.6 (19.0 exp, 13.4 act)

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Every player on the chart

The whole ranking, 105 players: the chart shows the top and the bottom of it.

#	Player	Team	PPR over expected per game
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba19.6 exp, 25.7 act	SEA	+6.2
2	Tee Higgins14.9 exp, 20.0 act	CIN	+5.1
3	Christian Watson14.9 exp, 19.9 act	GB	+5.0
4	Ja'Marr Chase16.3 exp, 20.0 act	CIN	+3.6
5	Bhayshul Tuten12.3 exp, 15.9 act	JAX	+3.6
6	Brock Bowers18.0 exp, 21.4 act	LV	+3.4
7	Kenneth Walker III21.2 exp, 24.6 act	KC	+3.4
8	Jaylen Warren14.6 exp, 17.9 act	PIT	+3.3
9	Jahmyr Gibbs23.4 exp, 26.5 act	DET	+3.1
10	Zay Flowers13.1 exp, 15.9 act	BAL	+2.9
11	Luther Burden III12.9 exp, 15.6 act	CHI	+2.7
12	George Kittle11.9 exp, 14.5 act	SF	+2.7
13	Dalton Kincaid8.0 exp, 10.6 act	BUF	+2.7
14	Travis Kelce9.9 exp, 12.4 act	KC	+2.5
15	James Cook16.6 exp, 19.1 act	BUF	+2.4
16	Puka Nacua22.7 exp, 25.1 act	LAR	+2.4
17	Bijan Robinson17.5 exp, 19.8 act	ATL	+2.3
18	Bucky Irving15.8 exp, 18.1 act	TB	+2.3
19	Harold Fannin Jr.9.6 exp, 11.8 act	CLE	+2.2
20	Blake Corum8.3 exp, 10.5 act	LAR	+2.2
21	Chuba Hubbard16.2 exp, 18.3 act	CAR	+2.1
22	Darren Waller7.5 exp, 9.6 act	CAR	+2.1
23	Jameson Williams11.1 exp, 13.2 act	DET	+2.1
24	Hunter Henry6.9 exp, 8.9 act	NE	+2.0
25	DeMario Douglas8.9 exp, 10.9 act	NE	+2.0
26	Christian McCaffrey19.2 exp, 21.1 act	SF	+1.9
27	Pat Freiermuth8.2 exp, 9.9 act	PIT	+1.6
28	Davante Adams15.4 exp, 17.0 act	LAR	+1.6
29	Juwan Johnson8.6 exp, 10.1 act	NO	+1.6
30	Darnell Washington6.2 exp, 7.8 act	PIT	+1.6
31	Brenton Strange7.5 exp, 8.9 act	JAX	+1.5
32	Dallas Goedert9.1 exp, 10.6 act	PHI	+1.5
33	Isaiah Likely14.4 exp, 15.8 act	NYG	+1.5
34	Rhamondre Stevenson11.4 exp, 12.8 act	NE	+1.4
35	T.J. Hockenson9.4 exp, 10.7 act	MIN	+1.3
36	Michael Mayer8.1 exp, 9.3 act	LV	+1.3
37	Jake Ferguson5.9 exp, 7.1 act	DAL	+1.2
38	Tommy Tremble6.0 exp, 7.1 act	CAR	+1.1
39	Tre Tucker11.1 exp, 12.1 act	LV	+1.0
40	Parker Washington12.7 exp, 13.7 act	JAX	+1.0
41	Kyle Pitts7.0 exp, 7.9 act	ATL	+0.9
42	Kyren Williams17.2 exp, 18.1 act	LAR	+0.9
43	Stefon Diggs12.1 exp, 12.9 act	WAS	+0.8
44	CeeDee Lamb21.6 exp, 22.4 act	DAL	+0.8
45	Drake London12.5 exp, 13.3 act	ATL	+0.8
46	Sam LaPorta10.9 exp, 11.6 act	DET	+0.7
47	Amon-Ra St. Brown19.1 exp, 19.7 act	DET	+0.6
48	Jalen Coker11.9 exp, 12.6 act	CAR	+0.6
49	Kenyon Sadiq5.7 exp, 6.3 act	NYJ	+0.6
50	Justin Jefferson12.8 exp, 13.3 act	MIN	+0.5
51	Garrett Wilson13.8 exp, 14.2 act	NYJ	+0.4
52	Braelon Allen11.5 exp, 11.9 act	NYJ	+0.4
53	Jonathan Taylor17.8 exp, 18.0 act	IND	+0.1
54	Greg Dulcich7.2 exp, 7.3 act	MIA	+0.1
55	Trey McBride18.0 exp, 18.1 act	ARI	+0.1
56	Tucker Kraft10.0 exp, 10.0 act	GB	+0.0
57	Ryan Flournoy9.3 exp, 9.3 act	DAL	+0.0
58	Derrick Henry15.9 exp, 15.8 act	BAL	-0.1
59	Tyler Higbee7.9 exp, 7.8 act	LAR	-0.1
60	KC Concepcion10.2 exp, 10.0 act	CLE	-0.1
61	Tyler Allgeier10.2 exp, 10.1 act	ARI	-0.1
62	Cam Skattebo12.2 exp, 12.1 act	NYG	-0.2
63	Tetairoa McMillan16.0 exp, 15.8 act	CAR	-0.2
64	Tyler Warren12.3 exp, 12.0 act	IND	-0.3
65	D'Andre Swift17.9 exp, 17.5 act	CHI	-0.4
66	Wan'Dale Robinson10.3 exp, 9.9 act	TEN	-0.4
67	Javonte Williams18.2 exp, 17.7 act	DAL	-0.4
68	Chig Okonkwo8.3 exp, 7.8 act	WAS	-0.4
69	Dalton Schultz9.4 exp, 8.9 act	HOU	-0.5
70	Devaughn Vele11.6 exp, 11.2 act	NO	-0.5
71	Chris Olave18.2 exp, 17.7 act	NO	-0.5
72	Tony Pollard15.1 exp, 14.6 act	TEN	-0.5
73	George Pickens13.7 exp, 13.0 act	DAL	-0.7
74	Malik Nabers17.0 exp, 16.2 act	NYG	-0.8
75	Rome Odunze10.9 exp, 10.1 act	CHI	-0.8
76	Evan Engram5.3 exp, 4.4 act	DEN	-0.8
77	Aaron Jones11.5 exp, 10.6 act	MIN	-0.9
78	Oronde Gadsden II6.2 exp, 5.3 act	LAC	-0.9
79	Omarion Hampton10.0 exp, 9.0 act	LAC	-0.9
80	Matthew Golden18.9 exp, 18.0 act	GB	-0.9
81	Denzel Boston12.2 exp, 11.2 act	CLE	-1.0
82	Carnell Tate12.7 exp, 11.6 act	TEN	-1.0
83	Malik Washington10.8 exp, 9.7 act	MIA	-1.1
84	AJ Barner8.1 exp, 7.0 act	SEA	-1.2
85	Makai Lemon9.4 exp, 8.2 act	PHI	-1.2
86	Jaylen Waddle9.9 exp, 8.7 act	DEN	-1.2
87	Ollie Gordon II12.7 exp, 11.4 act	MIA	-1.3
88	Mark Andrews8.1 exp, 6.7 act	BAL	-1.3
89	Colston Loveland10.9 exp, 9.5 act	CHI	-1.5
90	Emanuel Wilson12.5 exp, 11.0 act	SEA	-1.5
91	Xavier Worthy9.9 exp, 8.3 act	KC	-1.6
92	Keenan Allen11.9 exp, 10.1 act	SF	-1.7
93	Woody Marks10.8 exp, 8.9 act	HOU	-1.9
94	Ashton Jeanty17.6 exp, 15.5 act	LV	-2.1
95	J.K. Dobbins9.0 exp, 6.9 act	DEN	-2.1
96	Xavier Hutchinson10.4 exp, 8.3 act	HOU	-2.1
97	Jeremiyah Love11.1 exp, 8.9 act	ARI	-2.2
98	Quinshon Judkins13.8 exp, 11.5 act	CLE	-2.3
99	Courtland Sutton9.4 exp, 7.1 act	DEN	-2.3
100	Chase Brown15.5 exp, 13.2 act	CIN	-2.3
101	Josh Downs10.7 exp, 8.3 act	KC	-2.4
102	Cade Otton7.9 exp, 5.5 act	TB	-2.4
103	Emeka Egbuka13.7 exp, 11.1 act	TB	-2.5
104	DK Metcalf14.2 exp, 9.7 act	PIT	-4.5
105	Michael Wilson19.0 exp, 13.4 act	ARI	-5.6

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.