Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
TE/Los Angeles Chargers

Oronde Gadsden II

Age 23.3 · 2nd season · 6'5", 243 lb · Syracuse · 2025 R5 #165
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Slides down
Slides down 1 to TE34 · 11.6% target share (29th) · model TE21 · market TE30
The books rank him TE30, close enough to his TE33 on the 10/12 list, so he holds; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
TE21
Market
TE30
2026 production
TE35

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at TE; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE28
TE34 now
TE43
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE25
TE31 now
TE40
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE23
TE30 now
TE39

Where his stats say he could finish from here: TE25 to TE40. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#270Sep 21#238Sep 26#266Sep 28#266Sep 30#266Oct 5#270Oct 12#269Sep 21#219Sep 26#263Sep 28#263Sep 30#260Oct 5#269Oct 12#266Sep 21#192Sep 26#254Sep 28#254Sep 30#243Oct 5#260Oct 12

2026 so far5 games

Points a game
3.9
TE42 of 102
Target share
11.6%
30th of 48 TEs
Targets a game
3.2
9 catches, 86 yds
Expected PPR a game
5.5
−0.7 a game vs usage
Role: low-volume tight end
  • target share up from 8.1% to 17.3% (last 2 games vs the three before)
  • snap share up from 40% to 57% (last 2 games vs the three before)
  • 3.76 yards of separation (NGS) (9th of 40 TEs)
  • -0.48 EPA a target (46th of 48 TEs)
  • 46% of snaps (38th of 48 TEs)

Ranked among 48 qualified TEs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
6.9
PPR/g
8.5
Games left
10.6

80% range 3.4–10.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college production +0.6, trade value now +0.3, 2025 PPG +0.3, game script (spreads) +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LAC
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5LAC implied17.1Rest7 days (KC 14)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
2.5pts
TE41
Bench
2.5tgt1.6rec15yds0.04TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LAC team total of 17. Rank is among every TE we project this week.

Kansas City Chiefs defense vs TEs
#31of 32 in fantasy points allowed to TEs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
22.6
targets
11.5
rec yds
82
TD
1.0

Allowed to TEs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Brock Bowers (W4, 20.6 PPR, 6/11 86 yds); Michael Mayer (W4, 16.2 PPR, 8/10 82 yds); Tyler Warren (W2, 14.4 PPR, 6/7 21 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #9 against the pass, #14 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where KC gives up receiving fantasy points to TEs
#16
KC's average rank in the zones where II gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
2.3#32
1.2#30
6%2.1#31
Middle 10–19
13%2.1#31
6%1.1#20
6%0.7#15
Short 0–9
31%1.4#10
6%4.8#32
25%1.1#4
Behind line
1.0#30
0.0#1
6%0.7#27
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points KC allows a game to TEs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Oronde Gadsden II's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against KC beforelast 1

GameLinePts
2025 W15@ KC · W 16-134-61 on 5 tgt8.1
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
5.4
TE28
Actual
0.0
Difference
−5.4

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 3.9
051015.229.830.048.850.0051014.228.830.046.350.0051013.227.830.043.850.0

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against TEs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at TE that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W558%31%5%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1, W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share31.0%56.7%+25.7
Target share7.6%13.2%+5.6
Air-yard share4.7%19.5%+14.8
Targets a game2.04.0+2.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

LAC target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Oronde Gadsden II
11.0%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
21%
3 red-zone targets
First-read share
11%
of targets as the QB’s first read
Air yards a game
28
aDOT 8.8
Snap share
46.4%
Play-action targets
19%
of his targets
Targets with motion
63%
of his targets
Screen targets
6%
of his targets
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
3.9
36
39
40
Target share2+ games
10.9%
44
Air-yard share2+ games
13.5%
75
WOPR2+ games
0.26
53
First-read target share15+ targets
10.8%
17
Red-zone target share2+ games
21.4%
76
Yards per target15+ targets
5.4
8
EPA per target15+ targets
-0.48
2
Separation (yds)15+ targets
3.76
80
YAC over expected15+ targets
−0.63
8
Catchable-target rate15+ targets
62.5%
5
Drop ratelower is better
8.0%
15
Average depth of targetcontext
8.8
89
Expected points a game2+ games
5.5
47

Percentile against the TEs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
5.5
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
4.8
Over expected
−0.7
points a game
TDs vs. expected
1/ 0.7
+0.34

1 TDs on 0.66 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Leaderboardstop 10 among TEs, 2026

5thAverage depth of target7thBroken tackles (rushing + receiving)7thAverage separation at the catch point (Next Gen)
06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets169-86-15.47.1-0.480.25
Red zone19% of targets32-15-15.04.61.270.61
Inside the 106% of targets11-10-110.03.12.030.68
Third down50% of targets82-17-02.16.6-1.010.21
Score within 763% of targets105-61-16.17.0-0.630.22
Trailing by 8+38% of targets64-25-04.26.7-0.230.20
Two-minute drill13% of targets22-15-07.56.4-0.840.23
Vs. the blitz25% of targets42-11-02.86.8-1.100.20
No blitz75% of targets127-75-16.37.2-0.280.27
Play action19% of targets32-36-112.07.3-0.110.25
With motion63% of targets105-53-05.37.4-0.980.29
Screens6% of targets11-5-05.05.8-0.140.03

Small grey number = every TE in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 10 of his 16 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 2 of 3 contested caught.

Against coverage2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man257.864%+0.40
Zone4710.677%+0.20
Cover 3239.478%−0.04
Cover 1198.863%+0.46

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, LAC, 2025–2026

Ladd McConkeyWR · 2025–2026
With
6.8
Without
1.7
With: 18 g, 4.6 tgt a game, 14.5% share · Without: 2 g (25·W18, 26·W5), 1.5 tgt a game, 5.1% share
Quentin JohnstonWR · 2025–2026
With
6.0
Without
7.2
With: 15 g, 4.3 tgt a game, 13.3% share · Without: 5 g (25·W6, 25·W8, 25·W15, 25·W18, 26·W5), 4.2 tgt a game, 14.2% share

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

07

Team

LAC
Points a game
16.8
30th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
15th of 32
EPA per play
-0.207
32nd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−16.8%
31st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.8
27th of 32
Motion rate
59%
3rd of 32
Play-action rate
12%
13th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
19th of 32

Los Angeles Chargers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs ARI14-2628.059%−11.9Herbert27 att
W2vs LV14-2625.048%−20.1Herbert27 att
W3vs BUF16-2421.856%−6.9Herbert34 att
W4vs SEA23-3017.853%−21.7Herbert31 att
W5vs DEN17-2319.545%−22.6Herbert24 att

Depth chartTE, Oct 14

TE2
Oronde Gadsden
TE3
Hayden Rucci

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs TEs

W6
@KC
#31
W7
BYE
W8
@LA
#1
W9
HOU
#6
W10
@BAL
#14
W11
NYJ
#5
W12
NE
#11
W13
@TB
#22
W14
@LV
#27
W15
SF
#4
W16
@MIA
#29
W17
KC
#31
W18
@DEN
#21
Next 4
#13
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#21
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to TEs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jim Harbaugh. QB: Justin Herbert (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Oronde Gadsden II is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’258.8’264.8
’257.1’263.9
’255.5’263.0

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026LAC59-86-116 tgt, 11.0% share3.9TE425.5−3.5
2025LAC1549-664-369 tgt, 14.1% share, routes 70%7.1TE238.2+6.7

Under points a game: his rank at TE in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

202515 RZ tgt (19%), 6 end-zone, 3 rec TD vs 3.2 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Middle half of games
3.6–11.8
PPR, 15 games 2023–25

1 of his last 15 games reached 20 PPR; 9 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2025

2025 game log 15 games · LAC · 8.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W3vs DEN · D165-46 on 7 tgt26%7.1
W4@ NYG · D222-16 on 3 tgt48%2.6
W5vs WAS · D261-14 on 1 tgt54%1.9
W6@ MIA · D257-68 on 8 tgt73%8.3
W7vs IND · D187-164-1 on 9 tgt79%25.9
W8vs MIN · D125-77-1 on 5 tgt77%16.2
W9@ TEN · D95-68 on 5 tgt80%9.3
W10vs PIT · D303-13 on 6 tgt52%2.8
W11@ JAX · D312-41 on 5 tgt88%5.1
W13vs LV · D41-27 on 2 tgt70%3.2
W14vs PHI · D41-7 on 4 tgt62%1.2
W15@ KC · D64-61 on 5 tgt52%8.1
W16@ DAL · D161-7 on 1 tgt59%1.2
W17vs HOU · D113-32-1 on 6 tgt73%10.7
W18@ DEN · D202-23 on 2 tgt46%3.3
10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202510Knee

1 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: Knee. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
questionable
doubtful
IR (Hamstring)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
3,847
#123 overall · TE18 · tier 13
Superflex
3,166
#128 overall · TE19
30 days
−116
90 days −1,005
Peak
4,852
Jun 30, 2026 · 21% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
3.5K4K4.5K5KJul ’263,8474,852

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
2,512
4,146
7,884

Teal dot = today (3,847). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. TEs about 23 valued near #123 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 45 players' worth).

Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players

Keeps an alpha role for 3 years
33%
Falls off a cliff next year
7%
Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

140.1 overall, TE17. Sleeper 107.7 · Yahoo 126.2 · CBS 156.8 · Underdog 162.1 · ESPN 169.8

12

Profile

Draft
R5 #165
2025 · 9th TE · LAC
Age
23.3
22 at the draft
Size
6'5"
243 lb
College
Syracuse

Athletic profilepercentile vs TEs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'5"
66
Weight
243 lb
17
Vertical
34"
54
Broad jump
114"
28

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2024Syracuse1268-848-519.5%18.4
2023Syracuse27-67-18.9%10.7
2022Syracuse1154-891-634.8%33.2
2021Syracuse22-24-04.3%2.2

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

GWTTKB takes

watch · medium conviction · Aug 2026

A real bull case (strong per-game stretches as a rookie, an explosive contested-catch skill set, an offense expected to be much improved) sits directly against a real bear case (the team gave meaningful guaranteed money to a competing TE who profiles as a better scheme fit for the specific run-heavy, play-action offense they're building) — genuinely a coin-flip profile with real variance both ways, not a clean read either direction.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.