Charts· RB regression watch

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 72 carries

30 RBs with 72+ carries, ranked by PPR over expected per game through Week 9 of 2026. Top: Bhayshul Tuten (+3.6), Kenneth Walker III (+3.4) and Jaylen Warren (+3.3). Bottom: Chase Brown (-2.3), Quinshon Judkins (-2.3) and Jeremiyah Love (-2.2).

Expected = every carry and target priced by field position and depth

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30RBs ranked

1–9weeks of 2026

72min. carries

+3.6#1 Bhayshul Tuten

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30 RBs · 1631 characters

RB REGRESSION WATCH

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 72 carries

1. Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) +3.6 (12.3 exp, 15.9 act)
2. Kenneth Walker III (KC) +3.4 (21.2 exp, 24.6 act)
3. Jaylen Warren (PIT) +3.3 (14.6 exp, 17.9 act)
4. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) +3.1 (23.4 exp, 26.5 act)
5. James Cook (BUF) +2.4 (16.6 exp, 19.1 act)
6. Bijan Robinson (ATL) +2.3 (17.5 exp, 19.8 act)
7. Bucky Irving (TB) +2.3 (15.8 exp, 18.1 act)
8. Blake Corum (LAR) +2.2 (8.3 exp, 10.5 act)
9. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) +2.1 (16.2 exp, 18.3 act)
10. Christian McCaffrey (SF) +1.9 (19.2 exp, 21.1 act)
11. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +1.4 (11.4 exp, 12.8 act)
12. Kyren Williams (LAR) +0.9 (17.2 exp, 18.1 act)
13. Braelon Allen (NYJ) +0.4 (11.5 exp, 11.9 act)
14. Jonathan Taylor (IND) +0.1 (17.8 exp, 18.0 act)
15. Derrick Henry (BAL) -0.1 (15.9 exp, 15.8 act)
16. Tyler Allgeier (ARI) -0.1 (10.2 exp, 10.1 act)
17. Cam Skattebo (NYG) -0.2 (12.2 exp, 12.1 act)
18. D'Andre Swift (CHI) -0.4 (17.9 exp, 17.5 act)
19. Javonte Williams (DAL) -0.4 (18.2 exp, 17.7 act)
20. Tony Pollard (TEN) -0.5 (15.1 exp, 14.6 act)
21. Aaron Jones (MIN) -0.9 (11.5 exp, 10.6 act)
22. Omarion Hampton (LAC) -0.9 (10.0 exp, 9.0 act)
23. Ollie Gordon II (MIA) -1.3 (12.7 exp, 11.4 act)
24. Emanuel Wilson (SEA) -1.5 (12.5 exp, 11.0 act)
25. Woody Marks (HOU) -1.9 (10.8 exp, 8.9 act)
26. Ashton Jeanty (LV) -2.1 (17.6 exp, 15.5 act)
27. J.K. Dobbins (DEN) -2.1 (9.0 exp, 6.9 act)
28. Jeremiyah Love (ARI) -2.2 (11.1 exp, 8.9 act)
29. Quinshon Judkins (CLE) -2.3 (13.8 exp, 11.5 act)
30. Chase Brown (CIN) -2.3 (15.5 exp, 13.2 act)

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The whole ranking, 30 players: the chart shows the top and the bottom of it.

#	Player	Team	PPR over expected per game
1	Bhayshul Tuten12.3 exp, 15.9 act	JAX	+3.6
2	Kenneth Walker III21.2 exp, 24.6 act	KC	+3.4
3	Jaylen Warren14.6 exp, 17.9 act	PIT	+3.3
4	Jahmyr Gibbs23.4 exp, 26.5 act	DET	+3.1
5	James Cook16.6 exp, 19.1 act	BUF	+2.4
6	Bijan Robinson17.5 exp, 19.8 act	ATL	+2.3
7	Bucky Irving15.8 exp, 18.1 act	TB	+2.3
8	Blake Corum8.3 exp, 10.5 act	LAR	+2.2
9	Chuba Hubbard16.2 exp, 18.3 act	CAR	+2.1
10	Christian McCaffrey19.2 exp, 21.1 act	SF	+1.9
11	Rhamondre Stevenson11.4 exp, 12.8 act	NE	+1.4
12	Kyren Williams17.2 exp, 18.1 act	LAR	+0.9
13	Braelon Allen11.5 exp, 11.9 act	NYJ	+0.4
14	Jonathan Taylor17.8 exp, 18.0 act	IND	+0.1
15	Derrick Henry15.9 exp, 15.8 act	BAL	-0.1
16	Tyler Allgeier10.2 exp, 10.1 act	ARI	-0.1
17	Cam Skattebo12.2 exp, 12.1 act	NYG	-0.2
18	D'Andre Swift17.9 exp, 17.5 act	CHI	-0.4
19	Javonte Williams18.2 exp, 17.7 act	DAL	-0.4
20	Tony Pollard15.1 exp, 14.6 act	TEN	-0.5
21	Aaron Jones11.5 exp, 10.6 act	MIN	-0.9
22	Omarion Hampton10.0 exp, 9.0 act	LAC	-0.9
23	Ollie Gordon II12.7 exp, 11.4 act	MIA	-1.3
24	Emanuel Wilson12.5 exp, 11.0 act	SEA	-1.5
25	Woody Marks10.8 exp, 8.9 act	HOU	-1.9
26	Ashton Jeanty17.6 exp, 15.5 act	LV	-2.1
27	J.K. Dobbins9.0 exp, 6.9 act	DEN	-2.1
28	Jeremiyah Love11.1 exp, 8.9 act	ARI	-2.2
29	Quinshon Judkins13.8 exp, 11.5 act	CLE	-2.3
30	Chase Brown15.5 exp, 13.2 act	CIN	-2.3

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.