Team/HC Todd Bowles

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1-4 · 20.0 points for, 22.4 against a game · bye Week 10

W6 vs PIT · Sun 1:00 PMImplied 18.5

Offense27thEPA per play · 20.0 pts/g Defense8thEPA allowed Week 618.5implied points

Ask the Coach Team charts Team lines

Week 6

Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

Raymond James Stadium

PIT

LinePIT -2.5Total39.5TB18.5PIT21Rest10 days (PIT 7)Forecast81°F, wind 21 mph

Matchup by position

	PIT D vs TB	TB D vs PIT
QBs	#2	#9
RBs	#22	#5
WRs	#6	#14
TEs	#16	#22
Pass (EPA)	#18	#11
Run (EPA)	#19	#2

Each defense's rank in fantasy points allowed to that position (EPA for pass and run), entering Week 6. 1 = stingiest, 32 = softest: green is the softer matchup.

Our Week 6 projectionsTB players

Jalon Daniels QB

QB20

14.6

Bucky Irving RB

RB14

13.2

Emeka Egbuka WR

WR28

9.5

Cade Otton TE

TE18

7.1

Chris Godwin Jr. WR

WR48

6.4

Ted Hurst III WR

WR75

3.7

Tez Johnson WR

WR85

2.9

Sean Tucker RB

RB61

1.9

Kameron Johnson WR

WR127

0.1

Our projections and position ranks this week, the same numbers as the weekly rankings.

Offense

Through W5

Points/game

20.0

25th of 32

EPA/play

-0.088

27th of 32

Success rate

40.9%

23rd of 32

Explosive rate

8.0%

24th of 32

Third-down rate

41.4%

14th of 32

Red-zone trips/g

3.2

17th of 32

Red-zone TD rate

50.0%

26th of 32

Turnovers/game

1.8

25th of 32

Sacks allowed/g

3.4

30th of 32

Plays/game

60.2

20th of 32 (1 = most)

Play stylerank 1 = most

Sec/play neutral

32.6

23rd of 32 (1 = fastest)

Pass rate vs exp

−9.7%

26th most of 32

Neutral pass %

56.9%

21st most of 32

Pass % trailing

67.3%

15th most of 32

Pass % leading

45.8%

13th most of 32

Motion rate

72.7%

4th most of 32

Play-action rate

25.4%

11th most of 32

Screen rate

5.9%

8th most of 32

RPO rate

4.9%

13th most of 32

2026 through Week 5. Rank among the 32 offenses (1 = best unless noted). Tap a tile for the full name.

Quarterback

Baker Mayfield11.7pts/g

3 g · 615 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT · 96 att

−0.30 EPA/dropback · CPOE +0.1 · 11-65 rushing, 1 TD

Jalon Daniels8.1pts/g

3 g · 337 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT · 55 att

+0.02 EPA/dropback · CPOE −0.8 · 16-87 rushing

Who gets the ball

Target treeshare of team targets

Emeka Egbuka WR22.9%33 tgt

Cade Otton TE18.6%27 tgt

Chris Godwin Jr. WR14.9%21 tgt

Ted Hurst III WR13.1%16 tgt

Bucky Irving RB12.3%18 tgt

Kenny Gainwell RB10.8%16 tgt

Tez Johnson WR6.7%10 tgt

WRTERB

Emeka EgbukaCade OttonChris Godwin Jr.Ted Hurst III

Backfieldshare of team carries

Bucky Irving RB56.6%77 car

Jalon Daniels QB17.6%16 car

Baker Mayfield QB16.7%11 car

Kenny Gainwell RB12.5%17 car

Sean Tucker RB11.4%8 car

Bucky Irving: 33% of carries inside the 5 · Sean Tucker: 67% of carries inside the 5

Bucky IrvingKenny GainwellSean Tucker

Game log

@ DAL

Pass 41% PROE −13.7 63 plays implied 20.0

Daniels 189 yds, 1 TD Irving 21-165 Johnson 1-64 Otton 25 yds

24-16

vs GB

Pass 49% PROE −16.3 61 plays implied 17.8

Daniels 148 yds, 1 TD Irving 16-61 Godwin 6-31 Otton 37 yds

14-17

vs MIN

Pass 67% PROE −6.6 64 plays implied 20.5

Mayfield 217 yds, 1 TD Irving 15-46 Egbuka 5-62 Otton 56 yds

16-23

vs CLE

Pass 60% PROE −6.1 62 plays implied 25.0

Mayfield 182 yds, 1 TD Irving 17-89 Johnson 1-49 Otton 38 yds

19-23

@ CIN

Pass 63% PROE −5.8 51 plays implied 23.5

Mayfield 216 yds, 0 TD Irving 8-45 Egbuka 5-63 Otton 26 yds

27-33

Newest first. Pass rate with pass rate over expected (PROE), plays and the implied team total before the game. Leaders: passing, top rusher, top WR and TE by targets.

Defense

Fantasy points allowedPPR, by position and week

	Avg	W1	W2	W3	W4	W5
QB	14.0#8	14.2	19.7	10.4	13.1	12.6
RB	17.0#5	26.8	12.2	14.5	16.6	14.7
WR	30.7#14	19.1	30.7	32.3	20.2	51.1
TE	15.7#22	25.1	19.1	3.1	24.3	6.8

Rank = the 32 defenses on PPR points allowed to that position a game (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Colors compare each week to every defense that week.

Where they give it upby depth and side

#13

24.0 receiving fantasy points a game allowed to WRs overall (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).

Left

Middle

Right

Deep 20+

2.8#23

2.1#21

0.0#1

Middle 10–19

3.2#24

3.5#22

1.4#8

Short 0–9

5.5#28

0.2#1

3.8#14

Behind line

0.8#21

0.0#1

0.5#11

StingySoft

Big number: points a game this defense allows to that position in the zone; # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point. 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Defense numbersrank 1 = best

Points allowed/g

22.4

15th of 32

EPA/play allowed

-0.057

8th of 32

Success allowed

41.6%

9th of 32

Big plays allowed

8.3%

7th of 32

RZ TD% allowed

53.8%

10th of 32

Sacks/game

1.2

28th of 32

Sack or hit rate

11.2%

29th of 32

Blitz rate

41.6%

3rd most of 32

Coverage and pressure

Blitz rate

20%

3rd most · 2026

Pass rushers

4.56

per dropback, 2026

Men in the box

6.8

1st most · 2026

Man coverage

30%

18th most · 2025

Pressure rate

34%

5th most · 2025

2025 shells: Cover 3 31%, Cover 2 22%, Cover 1 18%, Cover 4 11%. Man/zone and shells are charted after the season, so 2025 is the latest. 2026 front from FTN charting through Week 5.

Schedule

W10

BYE

P / R = the opponent's rank against the pass and the run (EPA, 1 = best defense, 32 = worst). Color = the average of the two: green is the softer schedule. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs.

Depth & injuries

Team note · Oct 13

QB Baker Mayfield (thumb) is out for Week 6 vs Pittsburgh (projected Week 7); Jalon Daniels starts again.

QB1

QB2

RB1

RB2

RB3

WR1

WR2

WR3

WR4

WR5

TE1

TE2

Payne Durham

TE3

Ko Kieft

Depth chart as of Oct 14, 2026.

Injury reportWeek 6, official

No QB, RB, WR or TE on the Week 6 report.

Sleeper designations (Oct 10)

Jalen McMillan WR

IR (Knee - PCL)

David Sills WR

IR (Undisclosed)

Baker Mayfield QB

Out (Thumb)

Players

13 pages

Baker MayfieldQB · ROS QB27 · 11.7 half-PPR a game

Jalon DanielsQB · ROS QB35 · 8.1 half-PPR a game

Bucky IrvingRB · ROS RB14 · 14.2 half-PPR a game

Kenny GainwellRB · ROS RB57

Sean TuckerRB · ROS RB73 · 4.4 half-PPR a game

Kenneth GainwellRB · 4.3 half-PPR a game

Emeka EgbukaWR · ROS WR30 · 8.6 half-PPR a game

Chris Godwin Jr.WR · ROS WR43 · 5.8 half-PPR a game

Ted Hurst IIIWR · ROS WR72 · 5.7 half-PPR a game

Jalen McMillanWR · ROS WR85 · 0.0 half-PPR a game

Kameron JohnsonWR · 0.2 half-PPR a game

Tez JohnsonWR · 3.4 half-PPR a game

Cade OttonTE · ROS TE34 · 5.4 half-PPR a game

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB projections and data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files. Nothing here is betting advice.