Charts· TE regression watch

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 27 targets

33 TEs with 27+ targets, ranked by PPR over expected per game through Week 9 of 2026. Top: Brock Bowers (+3.4), George Kittle (+2.7) and Dalton Kincaid (+2.7). Bottom: Cade Otton (-2.4), Colston Loveland (-1.5) and Mark Andrews (-1.3).

Expected = every carry and target priced by field position and depth

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33TEs ranked

1–9weeks of 2026

27min. targets

+3.4#1 Brock Bowers

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33 TEs · 1718 characters

TE REGRESSION WATCH

PPR points over expected (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 27 targets

1. Brock Bowers (LV) +3.4 (18.0 exp, 21.4 act)
2. George Kittle (SF) +2.7 (11.9 exp, 14.5 act)
3. Dalton Kincaid (BUF) +2.7 (8.0 exp, 10.6 act)
4. Travis Kelce (KC) +2.5 (9.9 exp, 12.4 act)
5. Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) +2.2 (9.6 exp, 11.8 act)
6. Darren Waller (CAR) +2.1 (7.5 exp, 9.6 act)
7. Hunter Henry (NE) +2.0 (6.9 exp, 8.9 act)
8. Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1.6 (8.2 exp, 9.9 act)
9. Juwan Johnson (NO) +1.6 (8.6 exp, 10.1 act)
10. Darnell Washington (PIT) +1.6 (6.2 exp, 7.8 act)
11. Brenton Strange (JAX) +1.5 (7.5 exp, 8.9 act)
12. Dallas Goedert (PHI) +1.5 (9.1 exp, 10.6 act)
13. Isaiah Likely (NYG) +1.5 (14.4 exp, 15.8 act)
14. T.J. Hockenson (MIN) +1.3 (9.4 exp, 10.7 act)
15. Michael Mayer (LV) +1.3 (8.1 exp, 9.3 act)
16. Jake Ferguson (DAL) +1.2 (5.9 exp, 7.1 act)
17. Tommy Tremble (CAR) +1.1 (6.0 exp, 7.1 act)
18. Kyle Pitts (ATL) +0.9 (7.0 exp, 7.9 act)
19. Sam LaPorta (DET) +0.7 (10.9 exp, 11.6 act)
20. Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) +0.6 (5.7 exp, 6.3 act)
21. Greg Dulcich (MIA) +0.1 (7.2 exp, 7.3 act)
22. Trey McBride (ARI) +0.1 (18.0 exp, 18.1 act)
23. Tucker Kraft (GB) +0.0 (10.0 exp, 10.0 act)
24. Tyler Higbee (LAR) -0.1 (7.9 exp, 7.8 act)
25. Tyler Warren (IND) -0.3 (12.3 exp, 12.0 act)
26. Chig Okonkwo (WAS) -0.4 (8.3 exp, 7.8 act)
27. Dalton Schultz (HOU) -0.5 (9.4 exp, 8.9 act)
28. Evan Engram (DEN) -0.8 (5.3 exp, 4.4 act)
29. Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) -0.9 (6.2 exp, 5.3 act)
30. AJ Barner (SEA) -1.2 (8.1 exp, 7.0 act)
31. Mark Andrews (BAL) -1.3 (8.1 exp, 6.7 act)
32. Colston Loveland (CHI) -1.5 (10.9 exp, 9.5 act)
33. Cade Otton (TB) -2.4 (7.9 exp, 5.5 act)

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Every TE on the chart

The whole ranking, 33 players: the chart shows the top and the bottom of it.

#	Player	Team	PPR over expected per game
1	Brock Bowers18.0 exp, 21.4 act	LV	+3.4
2	George Kittle11.9 exp, 14.5 act	SF	+2.7
3	Dalton Kincaid8.0 exp, 10.6 act	BUF	+2.7
4	Travis Kelce9.9 exp, 12.4 act	KC	+2.5
5	Harold Fannin Jr.9.6 exp, 11.8 act	CLE	+2.2
6	Darren Waller7.5 exp, 9.6 act	CAR	+2.1
7	Hunter Henry6.9 exp, 8.9 act	NE	+2.0
8	Pat Freiermuth8.2 exp, 9.9 act	PIT	+1.6
9	Juwan Johnson8.6 exp, 10.1 act	NO	+1.6
10	Darnell Washington6.2 exp, 7.8 act	PIT	+1.6
11	Brenton Strange7.5 exp, 8.9 act	JAX	+1.5
12	Dallas Goedert9.1 exp, 10.6 act	PHI	+1.5
13	Isaiah Likely14.4 exp, 15.8 act	NYG	+1.5
14	T.J. Hockenson9.4 exp, 10.7 act	MIN	+1.3
15	Michael Mayer8.1 exp, 9.3 act	LV	+1.3
16	Jake Ferguson5.9 exp, 7.1 act	DAL	+1.2
17	Tommy Tremble6.0 exp, 7.1 act	CAR	+1.1
18	Kyle Pitts7.0 exp, 7.9 act	ATL	+0.9
19	Sam LaPorta10.9 exp, 11.6 act	DET	+0.7
20	Kenyon Sadiq5.7 exp, 6.3 act	NYJ	+0.6
21	Greg Dulcich7.2 exp, 7.3 act	MIA	+0.1
22	Trey McBride18.0 exp, 18.1 act	ARI	+0.1
23	Tucker Kraft10.0 exp, 10.0 act	GB	+0.0
24	Tyler Higbee7.9 exp, 7.8 act	LAR	-0.1
25	Tyler Warren12.3 exp, 12.0 act	IND	-0.3
26	Chig Okonkwo8.3 exp, 7.8 act	WAS	-0.4
27	Dalton Schultz9.4 exp, 8.9 act	HOU	-0.5
28	Evan Engram5.3 exp, 4.4 act	DEN	-0.8
29	Oronde Gadsden II6.2 exp, 5.3 act	LAC	-0.9
30	AJ Barner8.1 exp, 7.0 act	SEA	-1.2
31	Mark Andrews8.1 exp, 6.7 act	BAL	-1.3
32	Colston Loveland10.9 exp, 9.5 act	CHI	-1.5
33	Cade Otton7.9 exp, 5.5 act	TB	-2.4

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.