Denzel BostonCleveland Browns
WR/Cleveland Browns

Denzel Boston

Age 22.8 · Rookie · 6'4", 212 lb · Washington · 2026 R2 #39
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold WR35 · 19.7% target share (39th) · model WR32 · market WR39
The books rank him WR39, close enough to his WR35 on the 10/12 list, so he holds.
Model
WR32
Market
WR39
2026 production
WR21

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR27
WR35 now
WR46
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR28
WR36 now
WR46
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR30
WR35 now
WR47

Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR28 to WR46. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#92Sep 21#89Sep 26#90Sep 28#89Sep 30#86Oct 5#77Oct 12#96Sep 21#95Sep 26#92Sep 28#92Sep 30#92Oct 5#84Oct 12#107Sep 21#105Sep 26#102Sep 28#101Sep 30#101Oct 5#89Oct 12

2026 so far5 games

Points a game
12.2
WR21 of 175
Target share
19.7%
39th of 103 WRs
Targets a game
5.8
16 catches, 330 yds
Expected PPR a game
10.7
+2.7 a game vs usage
Role: secondary target
  • 43% of CLE's air yards (7th of 103 WRs)
  • 92% of snaps (5th of 103 WRs)
  • 31% of CLE's red-zone targets (9th of 103 WRs)
  • 2.05 yards of separation (NGS) (89th of 99 WRs)

Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
9.2
PPR/g
10.9
Games left
10.7

80% range 4.2–13.0 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: air-yard share +0.5, receiving EPA +0.3, points so far +0.3, WOPR +0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
CLE
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
BAL
LineBAL -4.5Total41.5CLE implied18.5Rest7 days (BAL 7)Forecast59°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
11.2pts
WR18
Strong Start
6.7tgt4.1rec72yds0.32TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a CLE team total of 18.5. Rank is among every WR we project this week.

Baltimore Ravens defense vs WRs
#24of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
36.2
targets
20.8
rec yds
184
TD
0.6

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Chris Olave (W2, 22.6 PPR, 8/10 86 yds); Carnell Tate (W4, 21.5 PPR, 9/12 145 yds); CeeDee Lamb (W3, 20.2 PPR, 7/8 112 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #23 against the pass, #13 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where BAL gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs
#20
BAL's average rank in the zones where Boston gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
14%1.6#17
7%2.9#25
7%2.2#14
Middle 10–19
10%4.2#31
3%2.8#19
10%2.5#15
Short 0–9
21%5.3#27
7%1.7#13
17%3.6#11
Behind line
0.1#2
0.0#1
3%1.0#26
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points BAL allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Denzel Boston's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
9.3
WR30
Actual
12.1
Difference
+2.8

3-46-1 rec on 7 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 12.2
05101520113.9220.538.1412.9513.605101520112.9218.037.1410.9512.1051015111.9215.536.148.9510.6

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W591%32%22%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1, W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share92.5%91.7%−0.8
Target share20.8%18.8%−2.0
Air-yard share52.8%41.5%−11.3
Targets a game5.56.0+0.5

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

CLE target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Denzel Boston
19.6%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
31%
5 red-zone targets
First-read share
32%
of targets as the QB’s first read
Air yards a game
95
aDOT 16.5
Snap share
92.0%
Play-action targets
14%
of his targets
Targets with motion
28%
of his targets
Screen targets
0%
of his targets
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
12.2
83
84
87
Target share2+ games
19.6%
69
Air-yard share2+ games
46.0%
97
WOPR2+ games
0.62
84
First-read target share15+ targets
31.6%
86
Red-zone target share2+ games
31.3%
95
Yards per target15+ targets
11.4
91
EPA per target15+ targets
0.63
81
Separation (yds)15+ targets
2.05
10
YAC over expected15+ targets
+2.79
96
Catchable-target rate15+ targets
65.5%
27
Drop ratelower is better
4.0%
41
Average depth of targetcontext
16.4
92
Expected points a game2+ games
10.7
73

Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
10.7
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
13.4
Over expected
+2.7
points a game
TDs vs. expected
3/ 1.7
+1.31

3 TDs on 1.69 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Leaderboardstop 10 among WRs, 2026

4thYAC over expected per catch (Next Gen)4thAir-yards share4thSnap share8thAverage depth of target8thYards per target
06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets2916-330-311.48.20.590.27
Red zone14% of targets40-0-00.04.4-1.020.18
Inside the 107% of targets20-0-00.02.4-1.24-0.01
Third down38% of targets114-56-15.17.10.120.14
Score within 772% of targets2112-241-211.58.10.620.26
Trailing by 8+21% of targets63-74-112.38.20.900.28
Leading by 8+7% of targets21-15-07.59.3-0.650.37
Two-minute drill14% of targets41-46-111.57.50.900.17
Vs. the blitz31% of targets94-92-010.27.90.120.23
No blitz69% of targets2012-238-311.98.40.800.29
Play action14% of targets42-41-010.310.40.120.41
With motion28% of targets85-101-112.68.30.760.32

Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 19 of his 29 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 4 of 11 contested caught.

07

Team

CLE
Points a game
18.6
27th of 32
Plays a game
57.8
26th of 32
EPA per play
-0.081
26th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−5.5%
16th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
6.8
31st of 32
Motion rate
38%
31st of 32
Play-action rate
9%
29th of 32
No-huddle rate
3%
25th of 32

Cleveland Browns offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs JAX10-3416.055%−16.4Watson22 att
W2vs TB23-1916.560%−0.2Watson30 att
W3vs CAR21-1819.555%−5.9Watson30 att
W4vs PIT27-2418.058%+1.5Watson33 att
W5vs NYJ12-1718.063%−7.6Watson33 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR1
Denzel Boston
WR5
Tylan Wallace

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

W6
BAL
#24
W7
@TEN
#22
W8
@PIT
#6
W9
@NO
#12
W10
HOU
#31
W11
BYE
W12
LV
#20
W13
CIN
#11
W14
ATL
#27
W15
@NYG
#15
W16
@BAL
#24
W17
IND
#18
W18
@CIN
#11
Next 4
#16
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#19
average rank
Bye
W11

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Todd Monken. QB: Deshaun Watson (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Denzel Boston is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2613.8
’2612.2
’2610.6

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026CLE516-330-329 tgt, 19.6% share12.2WR2110.7+13.5

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
IR (Back)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
5,665
#53 overall · WR24 · tier 8
Superflex
4,933
#65 overall · WR24
30 days
+1,197
90 days +1,393
Peak
5,665
Oct 10, 2026 · 0% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
5KJul ’265,665

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
3,411
5,393
8,599

Teal dot = today (5,665). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 23 valued near #53 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 118 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

152.4 overall, WR59. Yahoo 131.2 · Underdog 142.3 · CBS 152.6 · Sleeper 159.3 · ESPN 166.5

12

Profile

Draft
R2 #39
2026 · 7th WR · CLE
Age
22.8
22 at the draft
Size
6'4"
212 lb
College
Washington

Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'4"
92
Weight
212 lb
76
Vertical
35"
43
Shuttle
4.28s
43

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Washington1056-755-1030.9%43.3
2024Washington1260-807-926.7%38.4
2023Washington65-51-02.5%1.3
2022Washington22-15-02.2%1.1

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.