Ryan Flournoy
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR56 to WR74. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- 3.57 yards of separation (NGS) (15th of 99 WRs)
- target share down from 17.8% to 10.6% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 12% of DAL's air yards (89th of 103 WRs)
Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.
80% range 2.5–7.9 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: 2024 PPG -0.3, preseason ADP -0.2, TDs so far -0.1, 2025 snap share -0.1. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14DAL
GBUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a DAL team total of 25.5. Rank is among every WR we project this week.
Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Justin Jefferson (W1, 31.2 PPR, 8/9 92 yds); Drake London (W3, 28.4 PPR, 9/10 194 yds); Garrett Wilson (W2, 16.7 PPR, 5/7 57 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #7 against the pass, #23 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points GB allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Ryan Flournoy's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against GB beforelast 1
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W4vs GB · L 40-40 | 2-14 on 2 tgt · 1-12 rush | 3.6 |
3-90 rec on 4 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
DAL -3 (closing) · total 47.5 · 80°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest · prime time · division game
Projected 6.2 (WR70) · DAL -3.5 (closing) · total 51.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 7.1 (WR58) · DAL +3 (closing) · total 53.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 6.7 (WR55) · DAL +3 (closing) · total 48.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 6.0 (WR63) · DAL -9.5 (closing) · total 49.5 · indoors · 4 days rest · prime time
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 73.5% | 69.3% | −4.2 |
| Target share | 16.4% | 13.7% | −2.7 |
| Air-yard share | 5.4% | 16.0% | +10.6 |
| Targets a game | 5.0 | 5.7 | +0.7 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
DAL target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 1.36 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 27 | 16-194-0 | 7.28.2 | 0.150.27 |
| Red zone19% of targets | 5 | 0-0-0 | 0.04.4 | -0.540.18 |
| Inside the 104% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.02.4 | -0.38-0.01 |
| Third down22% of targets | 6 | 4-50-0 | 8.37.1 | 0.590.14 |
| Score within 778% of targets | 21 | 11-130-0 | 6.28.1 | -0.080.26 |
| Trailing by 8+15% of targets | 4 | 3-59-0 | 14.88.2 | 1.360.28 |
| Leading by 8+7% of targets | 2 | 2-5-0 | 2.59.3 | 0.170.37 |
| Two-minute drill30% of targets | 8 | 4-75-0 | 9.47.5 | 0.280.17 |
| Vs. the blitz37% of targets | 10 | 6-79-0 | 7.97.9 | 0.610.23 |
| No blitz63% of targets | 17 | 10-115-0 | 6.88.4 | -0.110.29 |
| Play action22% of targets | 6 | 4-14-0 | 2.310.4 | -0.310.41 |
| With motion52% of targets | 14 | 11-116-0 | 8.38.3 | 0.330.32 |
| Screens11% of targets | 3 | 2-7-0 | 2.34.7 | -0.54-0.20 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 20 of his 27 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 2 of 4 contested caught.
Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 32 | 8.2 | 63% | +0.38 |
| Zone | 38 | 8.3 | 79% | +0.36 |
| Cover 1 | 16 | 8.9 | 56% | +0.47 |
| Cover 2 | 16 | 9.3 | 88% | +0.46 |
With and withoutfantasy points a game, DAL, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
DALDallas Cowboys offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs NYG | 20-28 | 25.3 | 65%−4.0 | Prescott34 att |
| W2vs WAS | 37-20 | 27.5 | 61%+10.2 | Prescott31 att |
| W3vs BAL | 31-34 | 25.3 | 58%−6.1 | Prescott40 att |
| W4vs HOU | 34-30 | 22.8 | 66%−0.6 | Prescott45 att |
| W5vs TB | 16-24 | 29.5 | 77%+3.8 | Prescott42 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Brian Schottenheimer. QB: Dak Prescott (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Ryan Flournoy is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026DAL | 5 | 16-194-027 tgt, 14.8% share | 5.5WR77 | 9.0−9.6 |
| 2025DAL | 15 | 40-475-456 tgt, 12.8% share, routes 46% | 6.3WR60 | 6.4+18.4 |
| 2024DAL | 9 | 10-102-014 tgt, 5.3% share, routes 19% | 1.5WR133 | 3.5−6.6 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 7 RZ tgt (7%), 5 end-zone, 3 rec TD vs 2.6 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
1 of his last 24 games reached 20 PPR; 21 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2024
2025 game log 15 games · DAL · 7.6 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2vs NYG · D19 | no stats | 12% | 0.0 |
| W3@ CHI · D1 | 2-21 on 3 tgt | 32% | 3.1 |
| W4vs GB · D4 | 2-14 on 2 tgt · 1-12 rush | 23% | 3.6 |
| W5@ NYJ · D15 | 6-114 on 9 tgt · 2-10 rush | 57% | 15.4 |
| W6@ CAR · D2 | 3-30 on 6 tgt · 1-3 rush | 69% | 4.8 |
| W7vs WAS · D21 | no stats | 28% | 0.0 |
| W8@ DEN · D1 | 1-7 on 2 tgt | 46% | 1.2 |
| W9vs ARI · D12 | 2-12-1 on 2 tgt | 67% | 8.2 |
| W11@ LV · D27 | 1-2-1 on 1 tgt | 43% | 6.7 |
| W12vs PHI · D15 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 45% | 0.0 |
| W13vs KC · D6 | 3-34 on 3 tgt | 38% | 4.9 |
| W14@ DET · D29 | 9-115-1 on 13 tgt | 65% | 22.0 |
| W15vs MIN · D1 | 4-40 on 5 tgt | 64% | 6.0 |
| W16vs LAC · D2 | 2-18-1 on 2 tgt | 40% | 8.8 |
| W18@ NYG · D25 | 5-68 on 7 tgt | 87% | 9.3 |
2024 game log 9 games · DAL · 2.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W6vs DET · D31 | 1-12 on 1 tgt | 3% | -0.3 |
| W8@ SF · D12 | no stats | 3% | 0.0 |
| W9@ ATL · D25 | 1-13 on 2 tgt | 22% | 1.8 |
| W10vs PHI · D14 | no stats | 27% | 0.0 |
| W11vs HOU · D24 | 2-19 on 3 tgt | 65% | 2.9 |
| W14vs CIN · D22 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 2% | 0.0 |
| W16vs TB · D26 | 3-41 on 3 tgt | 40% | 5.6 |
| W17@ PHI · D8 | 1-3 on 2 tgt | 21% | 0.8 |
| W18vs WAS · D11 | 2-14 on 2 tgt | 9% | 2.4 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | Knee (2) |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | Cramps, Ankle |
4 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Cramps, Ankle, Knee. Risk label: low.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (2,660). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 27 valued near #228 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 104 players' worth).
Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players
2024 Parker Washington (64% match). He went from 7.5 to 12.3 PPR a game the next year (WR5+→WR2). His dynasty value moved +65.1% over the next 12 months.
202.2 overall, WR162. Underdog 163.1 · ESPN 170.2 · Sleeper 234.2
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023Southeast Missouri State | 9 | 57-839-6 | 42.7% | 48.6 |
| 2022Southeast Missouri State | 12 | 61-984-7 | 33.8% | 35.3 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.
GWTTKB takes
Staff-praised all off-season, locked into Dallas's heavy-11-personnel usage (Cowboys bucking the leaguewide heavy-personnel trend), contingent WR2 if Lamb/Pickens miss time