
Jeremiyah Love
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB11 to RB25. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- 43% rush success rate (13th of 66 RBs)
- 1 of ARI's 5 carries inside the 5
- 3% of carries go for 10+ (57th of 66 RBs)
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 5.2–19.2 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: power-conference college +0.9, preseason ADP +0.8, draft capital +0.6, college seasons -0.5. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a ARI team total of 20. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: James Cook (W5, 22.8 PPR, 25 car 111 ry, 1/1 7 rec); Christian McCaffrey (W1, 13.8 PPR, 10 car 68 ry, 5/8 20 rec); Ty Johnson (W5, 11.2 PPR, 0 car 0 ry, 4/4 72 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #3 against the pass, #25 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points LA allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Jeremiyah Love's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
12-22 rush, 0-0 rec on 1 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
ARI +8.5 (closing) · total 47.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · Injury report: game status Q, practice LP
Projected 9.6 (RB29) · ARI +3.5 (closing) · total 40.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 11.0 (RB25) · ARI +7.5 (closing) · total 48.5 · 70°F, wind 4 mph · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 15.3 (RB12) · ARI -2.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 63°F, wind 9 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 13.8 (RB15) · ARI +5.5 (closing) · total 55.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 41.5% | 52.7% | +11.2 |
| Carry share | 42.7% | 66.1% | +23.4 |
| Target share | 11.2% | 5.0% | −6.2 |
| Carries a game | 10.0 | 15.7 | +5.7 |
| Targets a game | 3.5 | 2.3 | −1.2 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
ARI backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
2 TDs on 1.83 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 14 | 11-36-1 | 2.65.4 | -0.12-0.02 |
| Red zone21% of targets | 3 | 2-5-1 | 1.73.7 | -0.090.13 |
| Inside the 107% of targets | 1 | 1-1-1 | 1.03.7 | 0.950.57 |
| Third down14% of targets | 2 | 2--4-0 | -2.06.5 | -0.680.08 |
| Score within 750% of targets | 7 | 5-17-0 | 2.45.3 | -0.23-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+50% of targets | 7 | 6-19-1 | 2.75.6 | -0.020.11 |
| Two-minute drill21% of targets | 3 | 2-0-0 | 0.04.6 | -0.13-0.04 |
| Vs. the blitz29% of targets | 4 | 3-4-1 | 1.05.3 | -0.18-0.04 |
| No blitz71% of targets | 10 | 8-32-0 | 3.25.4 | -0.10-0.01 |
| Play action29% of targets | 4 | 4-17-1 | 4.35.9 | 0.340.08 |
| With motion43% of targets | 6 | 5-27-0 | 4.55.3 | -0.07-0.03 |
| Screens7% of targets | 1 | 1--8-0 | -8.05.2 | -0.93-0.09 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 13 of his 14 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 2 of 2 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 67 | 245-1 | 3.74.1 | 43%39% |
| Red zone16% of carries | 11 | 30-1 | 2.72.6 | 27%40% |
| Inside the 106% of carries | 4 | 11-1 | 2.81.7 | 25%47% |
| Third down4% of carries | 3 | 13-0 | 4.34.0 | 67%52% |
| Score within 769% of carries | 46 | 193-1 | 4.24.1 | 48%38% |
| Trailing by 8+28% of carries | 19 | 48-0 | 2.54.1 | 37%41% |
| Leading by 8+3% of carries | 2 | 4-0 | 2.04.5 | 0%40% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)43% of carries | 29 | 104-1 | 3.64.5 | 41%40% |
| RPO1% of carries | 1 | 3-0 | 3.04.2 | 0%42% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
Team
ARIArizona Cardinals offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LAC | 26-14 | 19.5 | 55%−2.9 | Brissett37 att |
| W2vs SEA | 7-31 | 18.5 | 64%+2.9 | Brissett28 att |
| W3vs SF | 30-36 | 20.5 | 66%−0.4 | Brissett52 att |
| W4vs NYG | 24-36 | 23.5 | 59%−6.8 | Brissett35 att |
| W5vs DET | 21-45 | 25.0 | 74%+5.6 | Brissett47 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Jonathan Gannon. QB: Jacoby Brissett (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Jeremiyah Love is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026ARI | 5 | 67-245-1 rush11-36-1 rec on 14 tgt | 9.1RB27 | 11.8−7.9 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (7,241). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 21 valued near #13 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 34 players' worth).
25.7 overall, RB13. ESPN 19.2 · Sleeper 25.7 · Underdog 26.9 · Yahoo 27.1 · CBS 30.9
Profile
Upside RB2 with a much higher ceiling. Before Detroit ran away with Week 5 he had 10 touches to Tyler Allgeier's 1. His manager sees 6.5 and 2.2 the last two weeks, but the books kept raising his weekly line, from 11.2 in Week 2 to 16.8 in Week 4. What to send: two bench pieces with better recent box scores, or fold him into a 3-for-2.
Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Notre Dame | 12 | 27-280-3 | 9.1% | 10.6 |
| 2024Notre Dame | 12 | 22-206-2 | 8.7% | 9.6 |
| 2023Notre Dame | 12 | 7-64-0 | 2.2% | 1.1 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.
GWTTKB takes
Deserves his round-2 price — one of the only must-know rookies in a weak class. Goes around the Barkley/Henry/Hampton range.
Analyst's top-projected RB in 10-team full PPR at the 2/3 turn. Bull case: 80-85% snap share if the offense is even okay. Bear case: likely the worst offense in the league once they tank to Carson Beck / QB3 - volume and efficiency both at risk. Upside dart over the safer Chase Brown only if you can stomach the offense.
Elite draft capital and receiving-back profile, but Arizona's own free-agent investment in Allgeier (paid like a real committee piece, not a token backup) is read as the team itself signaling this won't be a clean bellcow situation — the textbook rb-dead-zone case where the profile looks safe but the actual volume is only perceived, not locked.