Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
RB/Arizona Cardinals

Jeremiyah Love

Age 21.4 · Rookie · 6'0", 212 lb · Notre Dame · 2026 R1 #3
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Move down
Down 3 to RB17 · 16.2 opportunities a game (23rd) · model RB14 · market RB23
The books rank him RB23 over the rest of the season (11.6 PPR a game), 9 spots below his RB14 on the 10/12 list; that is a big disagreement, so he moves three spots down.
Model
RB14
Market
RB23
2026 production
RB26

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB11
RB17 now
RB25
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB11
RB17 now
RB25
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB10
RB16 now
RB23

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB11 to RB25. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#25Sep 21#26Sep 26#23Sep 28#23Sep 30#26Oct 5#33Oct 12#24Sep 21#24Sep 26#18Sep 28#18Sep 30#23Oct 5#30Oct 12#19Sep 21#19Sep 26#17Sep 28#16Sep 30#19Oct 5#21Oct 12

2026 so far5 games

Points a game
9.1
RB27 of 115
Carry share
55%
19th of 66 RBs
Touches a game
15.6
14 targets
Expected PPR a game
11.8
−1.6 a game vs usage
Role: lead back
  • 43% rush success rate (13th of 66 RBs)
  • 1 of ARI's 5 carries inside the 5
  • 3% of carries go for 10+ (57th of 66 RBs)

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
13.0
PPR/g
14.4
Games left
10.7

80% range 5.2–19.2 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: power-conference college +0.9, preseason ADP +0.8, draft capital +0.6, college seasons -0.5. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
ARI
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
LA
LineLA -12.5Total51.5ARI implied19.5Rest7 days (LA 6)Roofindoors
Our Week 6 projection
10.5pts
RB20
Strong Start
13.6carries53rush yds2.7tgt2.1rec16rec yds0.46TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a ARI team total of 20. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

Los Angeles Rams defense vs RBs
#15of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
20.1
rush yds
88
rec
5.0
TD
0.4

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: James Cook (W5, 22.8 PPR, 25 car 111 ry, 1/1 7 rec); Christian McCaffrey (W1, 13.8 PPR, 10 car 68 ry, 5/8 20 rec); Ty Johnson (W5, 11.2 PPR, 0 car 0 ry, 4/4 72 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #3 against the pass, #25 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where LA gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#15
LA's average rank in the zones where Love gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
14%1.7#25
21%0.0#1
43%0.7#13
Behind line
14%1.6#25
0.2#26
7%2.6#31

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
36%2.7#3
31%4.6#23
33%3.9#16
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points LA allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Jeremiyah Love's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
13.8
RB15
Actual
2.2
Difference
−11.6

12-22 rush, 0-0 rec on 1 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 9.1
05101520113.027.5321.946.552.205101520112.026.0319.446.052.2051015111.024.5316.945.552.2

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W567%49%2%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1, W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share41.5%52.7%+11.2
Carry share42.7%66.1%+23.4
Target share11.2%5.0%−6.2
Carries a game10.015.7+5.7
Targets a game3.52.3−1.2

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

ARI backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Jeremiyah Love
54.9%
Share of team targets
Jeremiyah Love
7.5%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
8%
3 red-zone targets
Red-zone carry share
50%
11 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
20%
1 carries inside the 5
Snap share
48.2%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
9.1
68
66
67
Carry share2+ games
54.9%
76
Red-zone carry share2+ games
50.0%
72
Target share2+ games
7.5%
36
Rush yards over expected25+ carries
−0.31
33
Rush success rate25+ carries
43.3%
78
EPA per carry25+ carries
-0.08
50
Yards after contact25+ carries
2.02
71
Broken tackles per carry25+ carries
3.0%
33
10+ yard run rate25+ carries
3.0%
7
Stuff ratelower is better
8.9%
48
Stacked-box ratecontext
26.2%
80
Expected points a game2+ games
11.8
66

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
11.8
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
10.2
Over expected
−1.6
points a game
TDs vs. expected
2/ 1.8
+0.17

2 TDs on 1.83 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets1411-36-12.65.4-0.12-0.02
Red zone21% of targets32-5-11.73.7-0.090.13
Inside the 107% of targets11-1-11.03.70.950.57
Third down14% of targets22--4-0-2.06.5-0.680.08
Score within 750% of targets75-17-02.45.3-0.23-0.08
Trailing by 8+50% of targets76-19-12.75.6-0.020.11
Two-minute drill21% of targets32-0-00.04.6-0.13-0.04
Vs. the blitz29% of targets43-4-11.05.3-0.18-0.04
No blitz71% of targets108-32-03.25.4-0.10-0.01
Play action29% of targets44-17-14.35.90.340.08
With motion43% of targets65-27-04.55.3-0.07-0.03
Screens7% of targets11--8-0-8.05.2-0.93-0.09

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 13 of his 14 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 2 of 2 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries67245-13.74.143%39%
Red zone16% of carries1130-12.72.627%40%
Inside the 106% of carries411-12.81.725%47%
Third down4% of carries313-04.34.067%52%
Score within 769% of carries46193-14.24.148%38%
Trailing by 8+28% of carries1948-02.54.137%41%
Leading by 8+3% of carries24-02.04.50%40%
Light box (6 or fewer)43% of carries29104-13.64.541%40%
RPO1% of carries13-03.04.20%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

ARI
Points a game
21.6
23rd of 32
Plays a game
65.8
6th of 32
EPA per play
-0.018
16th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−0.4%
7th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
12.4
4th of 32
Motion rate
47%
13th of 32
Play-action rate
10%
27th of 32
No-huddle rate
10%
3rd of 32

Arizona Cardinals offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs LAC26-1419.555%−2.9Brissett37 att
W2vs SEA7-3118.564%+2.9Brissett28 att
W3vs SF30-3620.566%−0.4Brissett52 att
W4vs NYG24-3623.559%−6.8Brissett35 att
W5vs DET21-4525.074%+5.6Brissett47 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB1
Jeremiyah Love
RB3
Bam Knight

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@LA
#15
W7
DEN
#26
W8
@DAL
#25
W9
@SEA
#17
W10
LA
#15
W11
@KC
#14
W12
WAS
#2
W13
PHI
#16
W14
BYE
W15
NYJ
#23
W16
@NO
#32
W17
LV
#21
W18
SF
#24
Next 4
#21
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#25
average rank
Bye
W14

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jonathan Gannon. QB: Jacoby Brissett (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Jeremiyah Love is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2610.2
’269.1
’268.0

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026ARI567-245-1 rush11-36-1 rec on 14 tgt9.1RB2711.8−7.9

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
Q
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
FP
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

IR (Knee)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
7,241
#13 overall · RB5 · tier 5
Superflex
7,064
#15 overall · RB5
30 days
−176
90 days −473
Peak
7,781
May 31, 2026 · 7% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
7.5KJul ’267,2417,774

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
4,291
7,099
9,522

Teal dot = today (7,241). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 21 valued near #13 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 34 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

25.7 overall, RB13. ESPN 19.2 · Sleeper 25.7 · Underdog 26.9 · Yahoo 27.1 · CBS 30.9

12

Profile

On this week's trade-target list · buy low

Upside RB2 with a much higher ceiling. Before Detroit ran away with Week 5 he had 10 touches to Tyler Allgeier's 1. His manager sees 6.5 and 2.2 the last two weeks, but the books kept raising his weekly line, from 11.2 in Week 2 to 16.8 in Week 4. What to send: two bench pieces with better recent box scores, or fold him into a 3-for-2.

All trade targets ›

Draft
R1 #3
2026 · 1st RB · ARI
Age
21.4
21 at the draft
Size
6'0"
212 lb
College
Notre Dame

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'0"
82
Weight
212 lb
49
40-yard dash
4.36s
97
speed
97

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Notre Dame1227-280-39.1%10.6
2024Notre Dame1222-206-28.7%9.6
2023Notre Dame127-64-02.2%1.1

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

GWTTKB takes

buy · medium conviction · Jun 5

Deserves his round-2 price — one of the only must-know rookies in a weak class. Goes around the Barkley/Henry/Hampton range.

buy · medium conviction · Jun 14

Analyst's top-projected RB in 10-team full PPR at the 2/3 turn. Bull case: 80-85% snap share if the offense is even okay. Bear case: likely the worst offense in the league once they tank to Carson Beck / QB3 - volume and efficiency both at risk. Upside dart over the safer Chase Brown only if you can stomach the offense.

buy · medium conviction · Aug 2026

Elite draft capital and receiving-back profile, but Arizona's own free-agent investment in Allgeier (paid like a real committee piece, not a token backup) is read as the team itself signaling this won't be a clean bellcow situation — the textbook rb-dead-zone case where the profile looks safe but the actual volume is only perceived, not locked.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.