Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 12.34 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 103.6, usage worth 10.1.
31 years old · 8 seasons of experience · 2018 draft class
| SLEEPER | 119 |
| ESPN | 101.7 |
| YAHOO | 106.3 |
| UNDERDOG | 134.7 |
| CBS | 87.4 |
| FFA | 106 |
| Goes around | Round 9, pick 8 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | TE11 |
| Bye week | 10 |
| ADP standard deviation | 13 picks |
Our board has him at 142.7 points, 9.4 per game — 55.2 catches, 605 yards, 4.5 TDs. That is TE3, 106 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 6.8 points per game to a ceiling of 12.1, with the median at 9.4. Boom rate 29%, bust rate 27%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 103.6 on consensus and our board has him 106. Those agree, so there is no market disagreement to exploit. The question is whether you want the profile, not whether it is mispriced.
an 11-touchdown season last year looks like an outlier next to his career-best prior mark of 5, but it wasn't lucky/random deep scoring — he was targeted more inside the 5-yard line than every other receiver on the roster COMBINED, a genuinely elite, real, designed red-zone role that existed even with a clear #1 alpha WR (AJ Brown) also on the roster. Brown is now gone, and his likely replacements (a journeyman veteran, rookies being brought along slowly) are unlikely to threaten Goedert's specific red-zone role the way Brown's departure might threaten other target shares.
hold · medium conviction · 2026-08Philadelphia Eagles returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing wr1, oc. Jalen Hurts at quarterback, Nick Sirianni as head coach, Sean Mannion calling it. The offense projects to 31 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 27.4 rushes.
In: Makai Lemon (wr2), Marquise Brown (wr3), Dontayvion Wicks (wr4), Elijah Moore (wr6), Quez Watkins (wr7), Dameon Pierce (rb4), Eli Stowers (te2). Out: AJ Brown (wr1), Britain Covey (wr3), Johnny Wilson (wr4), Grant Calcaterra (te2).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 17.4%, with a bear case of 16.4% and a bull case of 18.4% and a full range of 15.2% to 18.7%. That comes from 25 historical comparables, not from a depth chart.
The projected target split across the offense:
| Devonta Smith | 17.8% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 17.4% |
| Makai Lemon | 17.1% |
| Elijah Moore | 10% |
| Eli Stowers | 8.9% |
| Saquon Barkley | 6.6% |
What the offense looks like: If the Eagles can get their offense humming again, this is an offense you want to own a lot of players in. They can produce at a very high level for you. Hurts in particular regardless of play will be a top QB because of the tush push.
Key additions: Drafted WR Makai Lemon 1st round. Traded for Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks, Signed Hollywood Brown. Drafted TE Eli Stowers (great passing catching TE)
Key departures: AJ Brown. He is going to be traded to the Patriots in June 2026.
Notes: AJ Brown is going to be traded to the Patriots. He will not be on the team. Devonta Smith is primed to BREAKOUT as a WR1 IF he can maintain target share. Drafted Makai Lemon Round 1, Eli Stowers (great receiving TE who was also scouted as WR). Eagles also traded for Dontayvion Wicks from Packers who is a talented WR but hasn't put it all together yet. Signed Marquiese Brown in free agency who is expected to operate as WR3/4. There are a lot of mouths to feed on this offense and not all of them can be fantasy relevant. Saquon had a rough 2025 season but should be great in 2026 IF Jalen Hurts can improve his level of play. There are a lot of targets available with AJ Brown leaving.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Jalen Hurts returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (29.2 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 31 att/g; New OC Sean Mannion — pass rate and tempo may shift.
25 historical comps for TEs age ~29, prior share 20.5%, same team, OC change. Distribution: median 17.8%, p25-p75 [15.2%, 20.5%], tails [12.0%, 21.2%]. Closest comps: Cole Kmet 2023→2024 (CHI: 19.9%→11.8%); Dalton Schultz 2023→2024 (HOU: 17.8%→15.2%); David Njoku 2024→2025 (CLE: 21.8%→12.5%). Adjustment: flat from opportunity_breakout (volume must hold)
self-anchored 58% to own 20.5% role (3yr), 42% to comp median 17.8%
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: PHI rates 23.5 against a league average of 23, 0.5 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +7.6 · easier |
| Weeks 1–6 | +5.6 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | +4.2 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -6.1 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | Grant Calcaterra | +4.6 |
| 2025 | 2 | Grant Calcaterra | +4.3 |
| 2023 | 3 | Jack Stoll | +0.6 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +23.6% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry | 2024 | 9.1 | 71% | +31.4% |
| David Njoku | 2024 | 13.5 | 66% | -21.9% |
| David Njoku | 2023 | 12.6 | 62% | -7.9% |
| George Kittle | 2024 | 15.8 | 56% | -5.4% |
| Mark Andrews | 2024 | 11.1 | 56% | -20.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 1 gained value, 4 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2018, round 2, pick 49 by PHI |
| College | South Dakota St. |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| Height | 6′5″ |
| Weight | 256 lb |
| Career PPR per game | 11.1 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.6 |
| Boom rate | 23.7% |
| Bust rate | 20.3% |
| Games missed per season | 1.7 |
| Injury history | Calf, Forearm, Hamstring, Knee |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.47 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 6 against NYG — 26 PPR on 11 targets and a 34.4% target share, in a game that finished 17-34. His worst was Week 12 against DAL at 4, on 2 targets, final score 21-24. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.9; in the 5 decided by more, 17.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 10.1 points per game. He scored 12.34, 26.5% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 11 against 5.67 expected, a gap of 5.3.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 24-20 | 11.4 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 35% | 83% |
| 3 | LA | 33-26 | 10.3 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 6.7% | 91% |
| 4 | TB | 31-25 | 19.7 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 16.7% | 75% |
| 5 | DEN | 17-21 | 10.9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 24.3% | 79% |
| 6 | NYG | 17-34 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 110 | 1 | 34.4% | 89% |
| 7 | MIN | 28-22 | 4.8 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 13% | 98% |
| 8 | NYG | 38-20 | 17.8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 2 | 15% | 63% |
| 10 | GB | 10-7 | 8.3 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 26.1% | 86% |
| 11 | DET | 16-9 | 4.4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 18.5% | 90% |
| 12 | DAL | 21-24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 5.6% | 92% |
| 13 | CHI | 15-24 | 4.7 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 13.3% | 89% |
| 14 | LAC | 19-22 | 15.8 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 0 | 26.3% | 93% |
| 15 | LV | 31-0 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 2 | 38.9% | 74% |
| 16 | WAS | 29-18 | 12.2 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 10.3% | 87% |
| 17 | BUF | 13-12 | 9.8 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 27.3% | 80% |
| Receptions | 60 |
| Targets | 82 |
| Receiving yards | 591 |
| Touchdowns | 11 |
| Points per game | 12.34 |
| Yards per target | 7.21 |
| Catch rate | 73.17% |
| Snap share | 84.6% |
| Target share | 20.76% |
| Air-yards share | 15.21% |
| WOPR | 0.419 |
| RACR | 1.267 |
| Average depth of target | 7.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 6 |
| Total YAC | 234 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 132.7 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.41 |
| Red-zone targets | 17 |
| Red-zone target share | 27.4% |
| End-zone target share | 29.4% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1% |
| Goal-line carry share | 2.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 5.67 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 11 |
| Receiving TD luck | 5.33 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.39 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 4 of 13 |
| Yards per target | 10 of 13 |
| Target share | 6 of 13 |
| Air-yards share | 9 of 13 |
The offense threw it 497 times. He took 17.67% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 26.08% |
| DeVonta Smith | 24.35% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 17.67% |
| Saquon Barkley | 10.78% |
| Jahan Dotson | 7.76% |
| Grant Calcaterra | 2.8% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 37.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 22.93 in those and 9.94 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 3 against NO — 27 PPR on 11 targets and a 30.6% target share, in a game that finished 15-12. His worst was Week 6 against CLE at 0, on 1 targets, final score 20-16. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.6; in the 3 decided by more, 9.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 9.1 points per game. He scored 10.36, 17.3% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 34-29 | 7.1 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 17.2% | 82% |
| 2 | ATL | 21-22 | 6.8 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 13.8% | 97% |
| 3 | NO | 15-12 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 170 | 0 | 30.6% | 86% |
| 4 | TB | 16-33 | 13.2 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 27.6% | 63% |
| 6 | CLE | 20-16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.2% | 5% |
| 10 | DAL | 34-6 | 10.5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 15% | 63% |
| 11 | WAS | 26-18 | 11.1 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 20% | 89% |
| 12 | LA | 37-20 | 5.9 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 26.3% | 75% |
| 13 | BAL | 24-19 | 12.5 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 23.5% | 71% |
| 18 | NYG | 20-13 | 9.5 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 0 | 14.6% | 19% |
| Receptions | 42 |
| Targets | 52 |
| Receiving yards | 496 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 10.36 |
| Yards per target | 9.54 |
| Catch rate | 80.77% |
| Snap share | 65% |
| Target share | 19.28% |
| Air-yards share | 15.69% |
| WOPR | 0.4 |
| RACR | 1.048 |
| Average depth of target | 6.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.7 |
| Total YAC | 257 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 111.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.94 |
| Red-zone targets | 10 |
| Red-zone target share | 14.9% |
| End-zone target share | 20% |
| Red-zone carry share | 0.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.1 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.1 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.14 |
The offense threw it 448 times. He took 12.47% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 23.26% |
| DeVonta Smith | 21.34% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 12.47% |
| Saquon Barkley | 10.31% |
| Jahan Dotson | 7.91% |
| Grant Calcaterra | 7.19% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 9 | 46 | 10.46 | 9.59 | 19.8% |
| Tanner McKee | 1 | 6 | 9.5 | 9.17 | 14.6% |
3 of his 10 games were blowouts, 28.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.87 in those and 10.57 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 5 against LA — 25.7 PPR on 9 targets and a 26.5% target share, in a game that finished 23-14. His worst was Week 1 against NE at 0, on 1 targets, final score 25-20. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 8.3; in the 5 decided by more, 12.4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 10.3 points per game. He scored 9.74, 3.6% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 4 against 2.45 expected, a gap of 1.6.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 25-20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 92% |
| 2 | MIN | 34-28 | 8.2 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 31.8% | 96% |
| 3 | TB | 25-11 | 9.1 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 20% | 93% |
| 4 | WAS | 34-31 | 4.5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 11.8% | 100% |
| 5 | LA | 23-14 | 25.7 | 8 | 9 | 117 | 1 | 26.5% | 95% |
| 6 | NYJ | 14-20 | 9.2 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 18.6% | 77% |
| 7 | MIA | 31-17 | 18.7 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 1 | 16.7% | 79% |
| 8 | WAS | 38-31 | 7.6 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 20% | 92% |
| 9 | DAL | 28-23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 19% | 77% |
| 14 | DAL | 13-33 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 14.3% | 84% |
| 15 | SEA | 17-20 | 7.1 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 30% | 84% |
| 16 | NYG | 33-25 | 14.1 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 0 | 25% | 85% |
| 17 | ARI | 31-35 | 15.7 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 26.1% | 94% |
| 18 | NYG | 10-27 | 1.4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9.1% | 35% |
| Receptions | 59 |
| Targets | 83 |
| Receiving yards | 592 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | 1 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 9.74 |
| Yards per target | 7.13 |
| Catch rate | 71.08% |
| Yards per carry | 1 |
| Snap share | 84.5% |
| Target share | 19.44% |
| Air-yards share | 11.51% |
| WOPR | 0.373 |
| RACR | 1.544 |
| Average depth of target | 5.4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.6 |
| Total YAC | 319 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 88 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.15 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.03 |
| Red-zone targets | 11 |
| Red-zone target share | 20% |
| End-zone target share | 16% |
| Red-zone carry share | 0.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.45 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 4 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.55 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.05 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 11 of 14 |
| Yards per target | 13 of 14 |
| Target share | 9 of 14 |
| Air-yards share | 13 of 14 |
The offense threw it 562 times. He took 15.81% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 30.1% |
| DeVonta Smith | 21.33% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 15.81% |
| D'Andre Swift | 9.33% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 7.05% |
| Quez Watkins | 4% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 13 | 80 | 10.38 | 7.35 | 20.24% |
| Marcus Mariota | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.33 | 9.1% |
2 of his 14 games were blowouts, 6.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.2 in those and 8.27 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 9 against HOU — 24 PPR on 9 targets and a 36% target share, in a game that finished 29-17. His worst was Week 6 against DAL at 4.2, on 6 targets, final score 26-17. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.8; in the 7 decided by more, 11.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 10.2 points per game. He scored 11.77, 16.4% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 38-35 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 13.8% | 92% |
| 2 | MIN | 24-7 | 13.2 | 5 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 19.4% | 84% |
| 3 | WAS | 24-8 | 11.6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 11.8% | 64% |
| 4 | JAX | 29-21 | 12.2 | 5 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 25% | 90% |
| 5 | ARI | 20-17 | 17.5 | 8 | 9 | 95 | 0 | 26.5% | 96% |
| 6 | DAL | 26-17 | 4.2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 27.3% | 99% |
| 8 | PIT | 35-13 | 12.4 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 20% | 74% |
| 9 | HOU | 29-17 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 100 | 1 | 36% | 91% |
| 10 | WAS | 21-32 | 9.3 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 12% | 100% |
| 16 | DAL | 34-40 | 9.7 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 0 | 8.8% | 94% |
| 17 | NO | 10-20 | 7.5 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 18.8% | 96% |
| 18 | NYG | 22-16 | 10.6 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 22.6% | 100% |
| Receptions | 55 |
| Targets | 69 |
| Receiving yards | 702 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 11.77 |
| Yards per target | 10.17 |
| Catch rate | 79.71% |
| Snap share | 90% |
| Target share | 20.17% |
| Air-yards share | 16.26% |
| WOPR | 0.417 |
| RACR | 2.373 |
| Average depth of target | 6.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.1 |
| Total YAC | 420 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 123.6 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.77 |
| Red-zone targets | 14 |
| Red-zone target share | 21.9% |
| End-zone target share | 10.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.79 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.21 |
The offense threw it 536 times. He took 13.66% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 28.71% |
| DeVonta Smith | 26.93% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 13.66% |
| Quez Watkins | 10.1% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 5.74% |
| Miles Sanders | 5.15% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 10 | 60 | 12.4 | 9.83 | 21.44% |
| Gardner Minshew | 2 | 9 | 8.6 | 12.44 | 13.8% |
2 of his 12 games were blowouts, 18.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.8 in those and 11.8 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 13 against NYJ — 28.5 PPR on 6 targets and a 27.3% target share, in a game that finished 33-18. His worst was Week 12 against NYG at 1, on 3 targets, final score 7-13. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.1; in the 10 decided by more, 13.4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 9.6 points per game. He scored 11, 17.3% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 32-6 | 14.2 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 1 | 15.6% | 73% |
| 2 | SF | 11-17 | 4.4 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 8.3% | 66% |
| 3 | DAL | 21-41 | 8.6 | 2 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 10.5% | 59% |
| 4 | KC | 30-42 | 16.6 | 5 | 5 | 56 | 1 | 11.4% | 74% |
| 5 | CAR | 21-18 | 4.8 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 8.8% | 67% |
| 7 | LV | 22-33 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 0 | 16.1% | 93% |
| 8 | DET | 44-6 | 13.2 | 6 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 43.8% | 68% |
| 9 | LAC | 24-27 | 7.3 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 37.5% | 93% |
| 10 | DEN | 30-13 | 4.8 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 9.1% | 20% |
| 11 | NO | 40-29 | 11.2 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 34.8% | 96% |
| 12 | NYG | 7-13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10.3% | 96% |
| 13 | NYJ | 33-18 | 28.5 | 6 | 6 | 105 | 2 | 27.3% | 96% |
| 15 | WAS | 27-17 | 20.5 | 7 | 9 | 135 | 0 | 34.6% | 93% |
| 16 | NYG | 34-10 | 4.8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 14.3% | 84% |
| 17 | WAS | 20-16 | 13.1 | 6 | 7 | 71 | 0 | 28% | 93% |
| Receptions | 56 |
| Targets | 76 |
| Receiving yards | 830 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 11 |
| Yards per target | 10.92 |
| Catch rate | 73.68% |
| Snap share | 78.07% |
| Target share | 20.69% |
| Air-yards share | 19.43% |
| WOPR | 0.447 |
| RACR | 1.594 |
| Average depth of target | 8.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.9 |
| Total YAC | 386 |
| Broken tackles | 9 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 121.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.56 |
| Red-zone targets | 7 |
| Red-zone target share | 10.9% |
| End-zone target share | 7.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.61 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.39 |
The offense threw it 494 times. He took 16.31% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| DeVonta Smith | 22.32% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 16.31% |
| Quez Watkins | 13.3% |
| Jalen Reagor | 12.23% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 10.73% |
| Miles Sanders | 7.3% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 14 | 70 | 9.75 | 10.36 | 20.22% |
| Gardner Minshew | 1 | 6 | 28.5 | 17.5 | 27.3% |
5 of his 15 games were blowouts, 27.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.12 in those and 6.12 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 1 against WAS — 24.1 PPR on 9 targets and a 21.4% target share, in a game that finished 17-27. His worst was Week 3 against CIN at 1.7, on 1 targets, final score 23-23. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.4; in the 6 decided by more, 9.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 10.4 points per game. He scored 10.58, 1.3% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 17-27 | 24.1 | 8 | 9 | 101 | 1 | 21.4% | 79% |
| 2 | LA | 19-37 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 19.5% | 89% |
| 3 | CIN | 23-23 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.3% | 7% |
| 8 | DAL | 23-9 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.8% | 84% |
| 10 | NYG | 17-27 | 7.3 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 16.7% | 93% |
| 11 | CLE | 17-22 | 18.7 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 1 | 17.6% | 100% |
| 12 | SEA | 17-23 | 20.5 | 7 | 10 | 75 | 1 | 23.8% | 100% |
| 13 | GB | 16-30 | 11.6 | 5 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 28% | 84% |
| 14 | NO | 24-21 | 8.3 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 23.1% | 86% |
| 15 | ARI | 26-33 | 7.9 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 20% | 88% |
| 16 | DAL | 17-37 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 8.8% | 56% |
| Receptions | 46 |
| Targets | 65 |
| Receiving yards | 524 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 10.58 |
| Yards per target | 8.06 |
| Catch rate | 70.77% |
| Snap share | 78.73% |
| Target share | 16.82% |
| Air-yards share | 15.95% |
| WOPR | 0.365 |
| RACR | 1.634 |
| Average depth of target | 8.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 6.9 |
| Total YAC | 206 |
| Broken tackles | 6 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 103.6 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.35 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 10.2% |
| End-zone target share | 10.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.76 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.24 |
The offense threw it 598 times. He took 11.61% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Greg Ward | 14.11% |
| Zach Ertz | 12.86% |
| Travis Fulgham | 11.96% |
| Dallas Goedert ← | 11.61% |
| Jalen Reagor | 9.64% |
| Miles Sanders | 9.29% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 8 | 48 | 11.67 | 8.42 | 16.64% |
| Jalen Hurts | 3 | 17 | 7.67 | 7.06 | 17.3% |
2 of his 11 games were blowouts, 11.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.9 in those and 11.42 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
Ask the Coach about Dallas Goedert →