Makai Lemon
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR45 to WR59. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- target share up from 11.1% to 21% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- snap share up from 66% to 78% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 10% of PHI's air yards (92nd of 103 WRs)
- 0% of PHI's red-zone targets (95th of 103 WRs)
Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.
80% range 2.9–9.0 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: final college season -0.5, college seasons +0.3, experience +0.2, trade value now +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14PHI
CARUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a PHI team total of 21.5. Rank is among every WR we project this week.
Allowed to WRs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Kalif Raymond (W1, 16.4 PPR, 8/9 84 yds); Jameson Williams (W4, 16.2 PPR, 6/8 102 yds); Amon-Ra St. Brown (W4, 15.5 PPR, 8/11 75 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #19 against the pass, #31 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points CAR allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Makai Lemon's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
5-43 rec on 7 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
PHI -6 (closing) · total 43.5 · 82°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 7.8 (WR48) · PHI -7 (closing) · total 39.5 · 92°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 6.6 (WR60) · PHI -3.5 (closing) · total 42.5 · 64°F, wind 3 mph · 8 days rest · prime time
Projected 6.3 (WR59) · PHI +3.5 (closing) · total 42.5 · 62°F, wind 9 mph · 6 days rest
Projected 8.6 (WR35) · PHI +7.5 (closing) · total 41.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 63.5% | 75.0% | +11.5 |
| Target share | 10.5% | 19.6% | +9.1 |
| Air-yard share | 2.3% | 17.5% | +15.2 |
| Targets a game | 2.5 | 5.7 | +3.2 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
PHI target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.23 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 22 | 15-108-0 | 4.98.2 | -0.060.27 |
| Third down18% of targets | 4 | 2-32-0 | 8.07.1 | 0.640.14 |
| Score within 786% of targets | 19 | 14-95-0 | 5.08.1 | 0.050.26 |
| Trailing by 8+9% of targets | 2 | 1-13-0 | 6.58.2 | -0.750.28 |
| Leading by 8+5% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.09.3 | -0.880.37 |
| Two-minute drill9% of targets | 2 | 1-7-0 | 3.57.5 | -0.040.17 |
| Vs. the blitz41% of targets | 9 | 6-37-0 | 4.17.9 | 0.080.23 |
| No blitz59% of targets | 13 | 9-71-0 | 5.58.4 | -0.160.29 |
| Play action27% of targets | 6 | 4-3-0 | 0.510.4 | -0.650.41 |
| With motion73% of targets | 16 | 11-79-0 | 4.98.3 | 0.100.32 |
| Screens14% of targets | 3 | 2--6-0 | -2.04.7 | -1.32-0.20 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 15 of his 22 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 1 contested caught.
With and withoutfantasy points a game, PHI, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs WAS | 24-22 | 24.8 | 55%−15.7 | Hurts25 att |
| W2vs TEN | 24-20 | 23.3 | 56%−12.8 | Hurts37 att |
| W3vs CHI | 7-27 | 23.0 | 60%−9.0 | Hurts25 att |
| W4vs LA | 20-24 | 19.5 | 53%−7.7 | Hurts27 att |
| W5vs JAX | 17-16 | 17.0 | 70%+2.8 | Hurts40 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Nick Sirianni. QB: Jalen Hurts (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Makai Lemon is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026PHI | 5 | 15-108-022 tgt, 16.0% share | 3.6WR106 | 6.6−7.8 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (4,804). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 22 valued near #79 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 113 players' worth).
104.4 overall, WR39. Underdog 79.8 · Sleeper 82.4 · Yahoo 104.8 · CBS 111.2 · ESPN 119.2
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025USC | 12 | 79-1,156-11 | 32.4% | 38.2 |
| 2024USC | 10 | 46-665-3 | 22.9% | 19.4 |
| 2023USC | 4 | 4-13-0 | 0.9% | 0.5 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.
GWTTKB takes
Favorite WR talent in the class, but a poor fantasy landing spot (low-volume Philly, unclear 12-personnel role behind DeVonta Smith). Worth a 7/8-turn shot as a WR3/4, not more.