Team/HC Raheem Morris

Atlanta Falcons

2-3 · 23.8 points for, 24.4 against a game · bye Week 11

W6 vs CHI · Sun 1:00 PMImplied 23.3

Offense19thEPA per play · 23.8 pts/g Defense11thEPA allowed Week 623.3implied points

Ask the Coach Team charts Team lines

Week 6

ATL

Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

CHI

LineCHI -3Total49.5ATL23.3CHI26.3Rest7 days (CHI 7)Forecast64°F, wind 12 mph

Matchup by position

	CHI D vs ATL	ATL D vs CHI
QBs	#19	#24
RBs	#7	#12
WRs	#19	#27
TEs	#3	#19
Pass (EPA)	#20	#17
Run (EPA)	#20	#10

Each defense's rank in fantasy points allowed to that position (EPA for pass and run), entering Week 6. 1 = stingiest, 32 = softest: green is the softer matchup.

Our Week 6 projectionsATL players

Bijan Robinson RB

RB1

22.6

Drake London WR

WR2

16.3

Michael Penix Jr. QB

QB13

16.3

Brian Robinson RB

RB33

6.7

Kyle Pitts TE

TE22

6.5

Jahan Dotson WR

WR65

4.8

Zachariah Branch WR

WR84

2.9

Olamide Zaccheaus WR

WR96

2.1

Austin Hooper TE

TE52

1.7

Our projections and position ranks this week, the same numbers as the weekly rankings.

Offense

Through W5

Points/game

23.8

13th of 32

EPA/play

-0.023

19th of 32

Success rate

46.3%

10th of 32

Explosive rate

10.4%

10th of 32

Third-down rate

42.1%

13th of 32

Red-zone trips/g

2.6

24th of 32

Red-zone TD rate

69.2%

7th of 32

Turnovers/game

1.8

25th of 32

Sacks allowed/g

2.2

14th of 32

Plays/game

61.4

15th of 32 (1 = most)

Play stylerank 1 = most

Sec/play neutral

34.2

31st of 32 (1 = fastest)

Pass rate vs exp

−11.0%

30th most of 32

Neutral pass %

47.4%

31st most of 32

Pass % trailing

56.3%

27th most of 32

Pass % leading

31.5%

23rd most of 32

Motion rate

61.6%

9th most of 32

Play-action rate

23.8%

17th most of 32

Screen rate

7.7%

2nd most of 32

RPO rate

2.3%

25th most of 32

2026 through Week 5. Rank among the 32 offenses (1 = best unless noted). Tap a tile for the full name.

Quarterback

Michael Penix Jr.13.7pts/g

3 g · 719 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT · 77 att

+0.34 EPA/dropback · CPOE +1.1

Cooper Rush2.6pts/g

2 g · 229 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT · 39 att

−0.63 EPA/dropback · CPOE −13.0

Who gets the ball

Target treeshare of team targets

Drake London WR28.6%36 tgt

Bijan Robinson RB21.0%25 tgt

Jahan Dotson WR13.7%17 tgt

Kyle Pitts TE11.3%15 tgt

Austin Hooper TE8.9%7 tgt

Zachariah Branch WR6.2%8 tgt

Olamide Zaccheaus WR5.7%7 tgt

WRTERB

Drake LondonBijan RobinsonJahan DotsonKyle Pitts

Backfieldshare of team carries

Bijan Robinson RB61.8%102 car

Brian Robinson RB30.9%51 car

Bijan Robinson: 88% of carries inside the 5 · Brian Robinson: 13% of carries inside the 5

Bijan RobinsonBrian Robinson

Game log

vs BAL

Pass 59% PROE −4.9 64 plays implied 24.0

Penix 240 yds, 1 TD Robinson 17-86 London 7-118 Pitts 42 yds

23-30

@ NO

Pass 39% PROE −8.0 54 plays implied 23.0

Penix 223 yds, 1 TD Robinson 19-145 London 5-96 Pitts 47 yds

45-24

@ GB

Pass 40% PROE −6.6 65 plays implied 19.5

Penix 256 yds, 1 TD Robinson 29-194 London 9-194 Pitts 5 yds

35-14

vs CAR

Pass 52% PROE −18.3 67 plays implied 20.5

Rush 86 yds, 0 TD Robinson 16-72 London 4-51 Hooper 20 yds

3-34

@ PIT

Pass 46% PROE −17.3 57 plays implied 17.0

Rush 143 yds, 1 TD Robinson 21-83 London 2-29

13-20

Newest first. Pass rate with pass rate over expected (PROE), plays and the implied team total before the game. Leaders: passing, top rusher, top WR and TE by targets.

Defense

Fantasy points allowedPPR, by position and week

	Avg	W1	W2	W3	W4	W5
QB	18.9#24	12.5	23.7	18.5	15.9	24.0
RB	19.6#12	14.4	16.2	7.8	29.0	30.8
WR	37.7#27	22.4	38.1	54.9	38.2	34.7
TE	14.6#19	19.4	22.0	10.2	11.9	9.4

Rank = the 32 defenses on PPR points allowed to that position a game (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Colors compare each week to every defense that week.

Where they give it upby depth and side

#26

30.2 receiving fantasy points a game allowed to WRs overall (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).

Left

Middle

Right

Deep 20+

2.8#24

1.2#13

2.2#15

Middle 10–19

3.0#23

1.4#5

4.9#32

Short 0–9

7.1#32

2.7#23

3.3#8

Behind line

1.2#31

0.0#1

0.3#6

StingySoft

Big number: points a game this defense allows to that position in the zone; # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point. 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Defense numbersrank 1 = best

Points allowed/g

24.4

21st of 32

EPA/play allowed

-0.036

11th of 32

Success allowed

40.0%

4th of 32

Big plays allowed

7.5%

4th of 32

RZ TD% allowed

60.0%

16th of 32

Sacks/game

2.2

12th of 32

Sack or hit rate

18.7%

6th of 32

Blitz rate

26.7%

23rd most of 32

Coverage and pressure

Blitz rate

15%

18th most · 2026

Pass rushers

4.32

per dropback, 2026

Men in the box

6.3

23rd most · 2026

Man coverage

33%

12th most · 2025

Pressure rate

31%

13th most · 2025

2025 shells: Cover 1 29%, Cover 3 25%, Cover 2 16%, Cover 4 16%. Man/zone and shells are charted after the season, so 2025 is the latest. 2026 front from FTN charting through Week 5.

Schedule

W11

BYE

P / R = the opponent's rank against the pass and the run (EPA, 1 = best defense, 32 = worst). Color = the average of the two: green is the softer schedule. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs.

Depth & injuries

Team note · Oct 13

QB Michael Penix Jr. (ribs) is reassessed Wednesday; injury not considered serious. Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 6 vs Chicago if Penix cannot.

QB1

Michael Penix Jr.

QB2

Tua Tagovailoa

RB1

Bijan Robinson

RB2

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB3

WR1

WR2

WR3

WR4

WR5

Chris Blair

TE1

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE2

Charlie Woerner

TE3

Austin Hooper

Depth chart as of Oct 14, 2026.

Players

13 pages

Michael Penix Jr.QB · ROS QB26 · 13.7 half-PPR a game

Jack StrandQB · 0.0 half-PPR a game

Tua TagovailoaQB · -0.6 half-PPR a game

Bijan RobinsonRB · ROS RB2 · 22.4 half-PPR a game

Brian RobinsonRB · ROS RB43 · 9.7 half-PPR a game

Khalil HerbertRB

Trey SermonRB

Drake LondonWR · ROS WR8 · 12.5 half-PPR a game

Zachariah BranchWR · ROS WR91 · 1.6 half-PPR a game

Jahan DotsonWR · ROS WR97 · 5.0 half-PPR a game

Olamide ZaccheausWR · 0.7 half-PPR a game

Kyle PittsTE · ROS TE16 · 4.4 half-PPR a game

Austin HooperTE · 4.2 half-PPR a game

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB projections and data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files. Nothing here is betting advice.