Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 7.57 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 179.4, usage worth 6.5.
27 years old · 5 seasons of experience · 2021 draft class
| SLEEPER | 244 |
| ESPN | 168.8 |
| YAHOO | 125.3 |
| UNDERDOG | 194 |
| FFA | 180 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 11 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | TE70 |
| Bye week | 9 |
| ADP standard deviation | 60.1 picks |
Our board has him at 102.7 points, 6.8 per game — 41.1 catches, 454 yards, 2.7 TDs. That is TE5, 177 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 4.8 points per game to a ceiling of 10.4, with the median at 6.8. Boom rate 53%, bust rate 29%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 179.4 on consensus and our board has him 177. Those agree, so there is no market disagreement to exploit. The question is whether you want the profile, not whether it is mispriced.
Pittsburgh Steelers returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing hc, oc. Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Mike McCarthy as head coach, Brian Angelichio calling it. The offense projects to 33 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 25.3 rushes.
In: Drew Allar (qb2), Michael Pittman Jr. (wr2), Germie Bernard (wr3), Kaden Wejen (wr6), A.T. Perry (wr7), Rico Dowdle (rb2), Eli Heidenreich (rb4). Out: Calvin Austin III (wr2), Adam Thielen (wr4), Kenneth Gainwell (rb2), Jonnu Smith (te2).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 13.1%, with a bear case of 12.4% and a bull case of 14.2% and a full range of 10.5% to 15.5%. That comes from 25 historical comparables, not from a depth chart.
The projected target split across the offense:
| DK Metcalf | 21% |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 13.9% |
| Germie Bernard | 13.6% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 13.1% |
| Jaylen Warren | 10.4% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.1% |
Key additions: Traded for and Signed Michael Pittman Jr to 3 year $59M deal. Signed RB Rico Dowdle to 2/$12M deal in free agency. Drafted WR Germie Bernard in 2nd round, Drafted OT Max Iheanachor in 1st roud to beef up line. Drafted QB Drew Allar in the 3rd round. Drafted G Gennings Dunker 3rd roud (depth). Bringin in HC Mike McCarthy & Brian Angelichio as OC.
Key departures: RB Kenneth Gainwell left in free agency to Bucs. LG Isaac Seumalo left for Cardinals. WR Calvin Austin III left in free agency for Giants. HC Mike Tomlin & OC Arthur Smith (Ass) are both gone.
Notes: Drafted Bernard round 2 Steelers traded up. Steelers traded for Michael Pittman Jr. who is aging but will elevate the passing game. DK Metcalf looks to get back on track in 2026 & establish himself as WR1. Crowded WR room. Steelers drafted WR Riley Nowakowski in the 4th round & he will likely operate as WR5 or return specialist. Signed Rico Dowdle to 2 year deal in free agency. Warren is slotted to be 1A and Dowdle 1B, but any injury to either back makes the other a home run hit in fantasy for 2026. Aaron Rodgers SHOULD return to Steelers, but also drafted Drew Allar (bad QB but good prospect who should be rostered because he can progress. Zero floor on Allar but the ceiling is very high if he gets better.)
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Aaron Rodgers returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (32.4 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33 att/g; New OC Brian Angelichio — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Mike McCarthy.
25 historical comps for TEs age ~26, prior share 13.7%, same team, OC change. Distribution: median 14.7%, p25-p75 [13.1%, 17.7%], tails [8.3%, 21.2%]. Closest comps: Tyler Higbee 2020→2021 (LA: 14.5%→15.7%); David Njoku 2022→2023 (CLE: 15.2%→21.6%); Cole Kmet 2024→2025 (CHI: 15.9%→9.1%). Adjustment: +2% from environmental_decline (team context recovering)
self-anchored 58% to own 13.7% role (3yr), 42% to comp median 14.7%
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: PIT rates 21.3 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -1.9 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | +2.2 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -1.8 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +3.7 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | Connor Heyward | +3.4 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +19.3% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fant | 2024 | 7.4 | 70% | -10.7% |
| Mike Gesicki | 2023 | 4.4 | 70% | +118.3% |
| Dawson Knox | 2023 | 5.5 | 67% | -5.8% |
| Mike Gesicki | 2024 | 8.8 | 67% | -15.8% |
| Dawson Knox | 2024 | 4.2 | 65% | +13.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2021, round 2, pick 55 by PIT |
| College | Penn St. |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| Height | 6′5″ |
| Weight | 251 lb |
| Career PPR per game | 9.3 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.6 |
| Boom rate | 18.6% |
| Bust rate | 23.7% |
| Games missed per season | 0.8 |
| Injury history | Concussion, Hamstring |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.12 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 7 against CIN — 28.1 PPR on 6 targets and a 18.2% target share, in a game that finished 31-33. His worst was Week 3 against NE at 1.6, on 3 targets, final score 21-14. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.4; in the 6 decided by more, 4.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 6.5 points per game. He scored 7.57, 12.5% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 34-32 | 5.8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 10.3% | 50% |
| 2 | SEA | 17-31 | 6.1 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 12.9% | 50% |
| 3 | NE | 21-14 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13.6% | 70% |
| 6 | CLE | 23-9 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3.4% | 36% |
| 7 | CIN | 31-33 | 28.1 | 5 | 6 | 111 | 2 | 18.2% | 65% |
| 8 | GB | 25-35 | 4.3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 12.5% | 43% |
| 9 | IND | 27-20 | 11.7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 11.4% | 47% |
| 10 | LAC | 10-25 | 6.3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 10.7% | 50% |
| 11 | CIN | 34-12 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3.4% | 46% |
| 12 | CHI | 28-31 | 10.9 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 9.7% | 47% |
| 14 | BAL | 27-22 | 2.9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9.1% | 60% |
| 15 | MIA | 28-15 | 7.5 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 18.5% | 42% |
| 16 | DET | 29-24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 10.5% | 43% |
| 17 | CLE | 6-13 | 9.3 | 3 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 13.5% | 70% |
| 18 | BAL | 26-24 | 8.1 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 11.4% | 69% |
| Receptions | 41 |
| Targets | 54 |
| Receiving yards | 486 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 7.57 |
| Yards per target | 9 |
| Catch rate | 75.93% |
| Snap share | 52.53% |
| Target share | 11.27% |
| Air-yards share | 12.58% |
| WOPR | 0.258 |
| RACR | 4.855 |
| Average depth of target | 6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.6 |
| Total YAC | 255 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 119.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.56 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 11.7% |
| End-zone target share | 14.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.34 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.66 |
The offense threw it 550 times. He took 10.38% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| DK Metcalf | 19.04% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 16.35% |
| Calvin Austin III | 10.58% |
| Jonnu Smith | 10.38% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 10.38% |
| Jaylen Warren | 8.65% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 13 | 50 | 7.68 | 8.96 | 12% |
| Mason Rudolph | 2 | 4 | 6.9 | 9.5 | 6.55% |
1 of his 15 games were blowouts, 2.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.9 in those and 9.38 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 18 against CIN — 22.5 PPR on 11 targets and a 37.9% target share, in a game that finished 17-19. His worst was Week 11 against BAL at 3.4, on 2 targets, final score 18-16. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.2; in the 7 decided by more, 8.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 8.1 points per game. He scored 10.02, 19.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 6 against 2.84 expected, a gap of 3.2.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 18-10 | 6.7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 18.2% | 74% |
| 2 | DEN | 13-6 | 7.9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 22.2% | 58% |
| 3 | LAC | 20-10 | 7.3 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 16.1% | 81% |
| 4 | IND | 24-27 | 16.7 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 1 | 21.9% | 76% |
| 5 | DAL | 17-20 | 11.2 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 11.5% | 79% |
| 6 | LV | 32-13 | 3.6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 13% | 87% |
| 7 | NYJ | 37-15 | 7.1 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 11.1% | 71% |
| 8 | NYG | 26-18 | 3.9 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 7.4% | 65% |
| 10 | WAS | 28-27 | 10.7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 11.5% | 58% |
| 11 | BAL | 18-16 | 3.4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6.3% | 58% |
| 12 | CLE | 19-24 | 9.9 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 16% | 64% |
| 13 | CIN | 44-38 | 18.8 | 6 | 7 | 68 | 1 | 19.4% | 67% |
| 14 | CLE | 27-14 | 13.8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 12.5% | 62% |
| 15 | PHI | 13-27 | 11.2 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 28.6% | 70% |
| 16 | BAL | 17-34 | 4.6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 11.5% | 68% |
| 17 | KC | 10-29 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 22.9% | 60% |
| 18 | CIN | 17-19 | 22.5 | 8 | 11 | 85 | 1 | 37.9% | 80% |
| Receptions | 65 |
| Targets | 78 |
| Receiving yards | 653 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 10.02 |
| Yards per target | 8.37 |
| Catch rate | 83.33% |
| Snap share | 69.29% |
| Target share | 16.94% |
| Air-yards share | 13.25% |
| WOPR | 0.348 |
| RACR | 1.615 |
| Average depth of target | 6.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.8 |
| Total YAC | 279 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 126.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.11 |
| Red-zone targets | 14 |
| Red-zone target share | 23% |
| End-zone target share | 12% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.84 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 6 |
| Receiving TD luck | 3.16 |
The offense threw it 498 times. He took 16.99% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| George Pickens | 22.44% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 16.99% |
| Calvin Austin III | 12.64% |
| Najee Harris | 10.46% |
| Jaylen Warren | 10.24% |
| Van Jefferson | 8.71% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 11 | 52 | 10.63 | 8.83 | 16.83% |
| Justin Fields | 6 | 26 | 8.9 | 7.46 | 17.15% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 15.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.57 in those and 11.17 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 12 against CIN — 21 PPR on 11 targets and a 34.4% target share, in a game that finished 16-10. His worst was Week 2 against CLE at 1.2, on 1 targets, final score 26-22. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 7.9; in the 4 decided by more, 5.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 7.9 points per game. He scored 6.98, 6% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 7-30 | 7.3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8.9% | 51% |
| 2 | CLE | 26-22 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3.4% | 76% |
| 3 | LV | 23-18 | 13.1 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 14.8% | 79% |
| 4 | HOU | 6-30 | 3.7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 14.8% | 51% |
| 11 | CLE | 10-13 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 54% |
| 12 | CIN | 16-10 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 120 | 0 | 34.4% | 59% |
| 13 | ARI | 10-24 | 5.9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 18.5% | 59% |
| 14 | NE | 18-21 | 6.8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 20% | 69% |
| 15 | IND | 13-30 | 4.6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 15.4% | 76% |
| 17 | SEA | 30-23 | 7.4 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 19% | 64% |
| 18 | BAL | 17-10 | 4.1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10% | 61% |
| Receptions | 32 |
| Targets | 47 |
| Receiving yards | 308 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 6.98 |
| Yards per target | 6.55 |
| Catch rate | 68.09% |
| Snap share | 63.55% |
| Target share | 14.84% |
| Air-yards share | 12% |
| WOPR | 0.307 |
| RACR | 1.005 |
| Average depth of target | 6.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.1 |
| Total YAC | 145 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 91.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.87 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 12.2% |
| End-zone target share | 22.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.29 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.71 |
The offense threw it 506 times. He took 9.71% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| George Pickens | 21.9% |
| Diontae Johnson | 17.98% |
| Jaylen Warren | 15.29% |
| Allen Robinson | 10.12% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 9.71% |
| Najee Harris | 7.85% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pickett | 6 | 25 | 8 | 7.2 | 13.38% |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 3 | 16 | 5.77 | 3.94 | 17.97% |
| Mason Rudolph | 2 | 6 | 5.75 | 10.83 | 14.5% |
3 of his 11 games were blowouts, 20.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 5.2 in those and 7.9 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 11 against CIN — 15.9 PPR on 12 targets and a 31.6% target share, in a game that finished 30-37. His worst was Week 18 against CLE at 0, on 2 targets, final score 28-14. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.2; in the 5 decided by more, 5.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 11.4 points per game. He scored 9.88, 13.6% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 23-20 | 12.5 | 5 | 10 | 75 | 0 | 27% | 89% |
| 2 | NE | 14-17 | 12.2 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 21.9% | 81% |
| 3 | CLE | 17-29 | 6.1 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 12.5% | 76% |
| 4 | NYJ | 20-24 | 15.5 | 7 | 9 | 85 | 0 | 36% | 73% |
| 5 | BUF | 3-38 | 3.2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3.9% | 49% |
| 7 | MIA | 10-16 | 15.5 | 8 | 9 | 75 | 0 | 21.4% | 59% |
| 8 | PHI | 13-35 | 9.7 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 17.5% | 62% |
| 10 | NO | 20-10 | 7.6 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 26.9% | 69% |
| 11 | CIN | 30-37 | 15.9 | 8 | 12 | 79 | 0 | 31.6% | 71% |
| 12 | IND | 24-17 | 6.9 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 14.3% | 71% |
| 13 | ATL | 19-16 | 10.6 | 3 | 5 | 76 | 0 | 18.5% | 55% |
| 14 | BAL | 14-16 | 12.3 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 19.4% | 56% |
| 16 | LV | 13-10 | 13.6 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 22.2% | 81% |
| 17 | BAL | 16-13 | 6.6 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 22.2% | 77% |
| 18 | CLE | 28-14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1% | 63% |
| Receptions | 63 |
| Targets | 98 |
| Receiving yards | 732 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 9.88 |
| Yards per target | 7.47 |
| Catch rate | 64.29% |
| Snap share | 68.8% |
| Target share | 20.16% |
| Air-yards share | 19.26% |
| WOPR | 0.437 |
| RACR | 0.907 |
| Average depth of target | 8.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7 |
| Total YAC | 291 |
| Broken tackles | 6 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 76.6 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.59 |
| Red-zone targets | 13 |
| Red-zone target share | 20.6% |
| End-zone target share | 23.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.84 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.84 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 7 of 11 |
| Yards per target | 6 of 11 |
| Target share | 4 of 11 |
| Air-yards share | 3 of 11 |
The offense threw it 571 times. He took 18.05% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Diontae Johnson | 27.07% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 18.05% |
| George Pickens | 15.47% |
| Najee Harris | 9.76% |
| Chase Claypool | 9.21% |
| Jaylen Warren | 6.08% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pickett | 10 | 62 | 8.96 | 7.68 | 18.56% |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 5 | 36 | 11.72 | 7.11 | 23.36% |
2 of his 15 games were blowouts, 8.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.45 in those and 12.16 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 9 against CHI — 21.3 PPR on 6 targets and a 22.2% target share, in a game that finished 29-27. His worst was Week 4 against GB at 2.1, on 1 targets, final score 17-27. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 11 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10; in the 5 decided by more, 8.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 8.6 points per game. He scored 9.48, 7.9% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 7 against 5.26 expected, a gap of 1.7.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 23-16 | 3.4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 3.1% | 50% |
| 2 | LV | 17-26 | 7.6 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 10% | 59% |
| 3 | CIN | 10-24 | 11.2 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 8.6% | 36% |
| 4 | GB | 17-27 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.6% | 53% |
| 5 | DEN | 27-19 | 2.7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8% | 49% |
| 6 | SEA | 23-20 | 12.8 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 17.9% | 60% |
| 8 | CLE | 15-10 | 14.4 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 20% | 78% |
| 9 | CHI | 29-27 | 21.3 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 2 | 22.2% | 71% |
| 10 | DET | 16-16 | 6.1 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 18.4% | 62% |
| 11 | LAC | 37-41 | 11.1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15.9% | 57% |
| 12 | CIN | 10-41 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 10.3% | 76% |
| 13 | BAL | 20-19 | 7.6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 13.3% | 73% |
| 14 | MIN | 28-36 | 11.2 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 7.7% | 74% |
| 15 | TEN | 19-13 | 7.7 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 16% | 45% |
| 17 | CLE | 26-14 | 7.2 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 13% | 77% |
| 18 | BAL | 16-13 | 11.3 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 0 | 20.5% | 66% |
| Receptions | 60 |
| Targets | 79 |
| Receiving yards | 497 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 9.48 |
| Yards per target | 6.29 |
| Catch rate | 75.95% |
| Snap share | 61.63% |
| Target share | 12.97% |
| Air-yards share | 10.72% |
| WOPR | 0.269 |
| RACR | 1.265 |
| Average depth of target | 5.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.2 |
| Total YAC | 247 |
| Broken tackles | 8 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 121.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.61 |
| Red-zone targets | 20 |
| Red-zone target share | 19.8% |
| End-zone target share | 17.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 5.26 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 7 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.74 |
The offense threw it 663 times. He took 12.15% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Diontae Johnson | 26% |
| Chase Claypool | 16.15% |
| Najee Harris | 14.46% |
| Pat Freiermuth ← | 12.15% |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | 10.15% |
| James Washington | 6.77% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Roethlisberger | 15 | 70 | 9.71 | 6.66 | 12.61% |
| Mason Rudolph | 1 | 9 | 6.1 | 3.44 | 18.4% |
1 of his 16 games were blowouts, 9.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14 in those and 9.96 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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