Chicago Bears
Team/HC Ben Johnson

Chicago Bears

3-2 · 23.8 points for, 19.2 against a game · bye Week 10
01

Week 6

CHI
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
ATL
LineCHI -3Total49.5CHI26.3ATL23.3Rest7 days (ATL 7)Forecast64°F, wind 12 mph
Matchup by position
ATL D vs CHICHI D vs ATL
QBs#24#19
RBs#12#7
WRs#27#19
TEs#19#3
Pass (EPA)#17#20
Run (EPA)#10#20

Each defense's rank in fantasy points allowed to that position (EPA for pass and run), entering Week 6. 1 = stingiest, 32 = softest: green is the softer matchup.

Our Week 6 projectionsCHI players

QB7
18.0
RB7
17.6
WR33
8.4
WR57
5.6
RB49
3.8
TE37
2.9
TE54
1.6
WR109
1.1

Our projections and position ranks this week, the same numbers as the weekly rankings.

02

Offense

Through W5
Points/game
23.8
13th of 32
EPA/play
0.023
12th of 32
Success rate
46.1%
11th of 32
Explosive rate
10.3%
11th of 32
Third-down rate
44.4%
8th of 32
Red-zone trips/g
4.2
2nd of 32
Red-zone TD rate
42.9%
32nd of 32
Turnovers/game
2.0
29th of 32
Sacks allowed/g
2.2
14th of 32
Plays/game
72.0
1st of 32 (1 = most)

Play stylerank 1 = most

Sec/play neutral
31.3
10th of 32 (1 = fastest)
Pass rate vs exp
−6.7%
21st most of 32
Neutral pass %
54.8%
27th most of 32
Pass % trailing
67.2%
16th most of 32
Pass % leading
30.3%
25th most of 32
Motion rate
51.0%
26th most of 32
Play-action rate
30.5%
4th most of 32
Screen rate
4.7%
16th most of 32
RPO rate
4.4%
16th most of 32

2026 through Week 5. Rank among the 32 offenses (1 = best unless noted). Tap a tile for the full name.

Quarterback

Tyson Bagent4.1pts/g
3 g · 409 yds · 0 TD · 3 INT · 64 att
−0.07 EPA/dropback · CPOE +1.5
2 g · 407 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · 55 att
+0.22 EPA/dropback · CPOE +5.9 · 15-107 rushing, 2 TD
03

Who gets the ball

Target treeshare of team targets

Luther Burden III WR21.9%35 tgt
Kalif Raymond WR17.7%27 tgt
Rome Odunze WR17.5%29 tgt
Colston Loveland TE14.2%23 tgt
D'Andre Swift RB9.7%16 tgt
Roschon Johnson RB6.9%8 tgt
Cole Kmet TE5.9%9 tgt
WRTERB
Luther Burden IIIKalif RaymondRome OdunzeColston Loveland
0%10%20%30%40%W1W2W3W4W523%15%13%10%

Backfieldshare of team carries

D'Andre Swift RB42.6%78 car
Kyle Monangai RB37.7%60 car
Caleb Williams QB21.4%15 car
Roschon Johnson RB7.7%9 car

D'Andre Swift: 50% of carries inside the 5 · Kyle Monangai: 35% of carries inside the 5 · Caleb Williams: 20% of carries inside the 5 · Roschon Johnson: 6% of carries inside the 5

D'Andre SwiftKyle MonangaiRoschon Johnson
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%W1W2W3W4W556%38%21%
04

Game log

W5
@ GB
Pass 65% PROE −2.4 68 plays implied 24.0
Bagent 87 yds, 0 TD Swift 9-43 Burden 4-47 Loveland 19 yds
L
7-31
W4
vs NYJ
Pass 41% PROE −9.2 86 plays implied 23.5
Bagent 268 yds, 0 TD Monangai 30-146 Odunze 6-94 Loveland 57 yds
W
23-12
W3
vs PHI
Pass 51% PROE +4.2 67 plays implied 19.5
Keenum 247 yds, 2 TD Swift 20-84 Raymond 6-90 Loveland 31 yds
W
27-7
W2
vs MIN
Pass 55% PROE −14.5 69 plays implied 25.5
Williams 138 yds, 0 TD Swift 16-45 Odunze 3-43 Loveland 3 yds
L
3-9
W1
@ CAR
Pass 44% PROE −11.5 70 plays implied 25.3
Williams 269 yds, 2 TD Swift 18-124 Raymond 8-84 Kmet 35 yds
W
59-37

Newest first. Pass rate with pass rate over expected (PROE), plays and the implied team total before the game. Leaders: passing, top rusher, top WR and TE by targets.

05

Defense

Fantasy points allowedPPR, by position and week

AvgW1W2W3W4W5
QB16.9#1833.86.310.68.825.1
RB18.4#733.714.710.68.724.1
WR32.0#1944.312.623.621.058.6
TE7.7#312.29.33.32.111.6

Rank = the 32 defenses on PPR points allowed to that position a game (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Colors compare each week to every defense that week.

Where they give it upby depth and side

#19
27.0 receiving fantasy points a game allowed to WRs overall (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
5.2#31
6.6#32
2.1#13
Middle 10–19
1.2#6
1.7#10
1.7#10
Short 0–9
3.9#17
1.4#11
2.2#3
Behind line
0.4#14
0.2#25
0.3#5
StingySoft

Big number: points a game this defense allows to that position in the zone; # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point. 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Defense numbersrank 1 = best

Points allowed/g
19.2
5th of 32
EPA/play allowed
-0.016
15th of 32
Success allowed
41.9%
12th of 32
Big plays allowed
10.9%
24th of 32
RZ TD% allowed
63.6%
18th of 32
Sacks/game
2.4
11th of 32
Sack or hit rate
17.3%
10th of 32
Blitz rate
38.0%
6th most of 32
Coverage and pressure
Blitz rate
18%
6th most · 2026
Pass rushers
4.57
per dropback, 2026
Men in the box
6.6
2nd most · 2026
Man coverage
43%
3rd most · 2025
Pressure rate
30%
19th most · 2025

2025 shells: Cover 1 32%, Cover 2 25%, Cover 3 22%, 2-man 6%. Man/zone and shells are charted after the season, so 2025 is the latest. 2026 front from FTN charting through Week 5.

06

Schedule

P / R = the opponent's rank against the pass and the run (EPA, 1 = best defense, 32 = worst). Color = the average of the two: green is the softer schedule. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs.

07

Depth & injuries

Team note · Oct 13

QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) appears on track to return at Atlanta after missing three games; Tyson Bagent starts if not. RB Kyle Monangai (toe) is questionable.

Injury reportWeek 6, official

No QB, RB, WR or TE on the Week 6 report.

Sleeper designations (Oct 10)
Out (Toe)
Questionable (Hamstring)
08

Players

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB projections and data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files. Nothing here is betting advice.