Braelon Allen
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB32 to RB50. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- share of NYJ's carries up from 22% to 83% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- carries + targets a game up from 8 to 22 (last 2 games vs the three before)
- snap share up from 41% to 90% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 1 of NYJ's 6 carries inside the 5
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 3.0–11.2 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: last-game snap share +1.0, 2025 PPG -0.5, preseason ADP -0.3, 2025 snap share -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14NYJ
NEUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NYJ team total of 18. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Bhayshul Tuten (W3, 17 PPR, 15 car 73 ry, 2/2 17 rec); James Cook (W4, 16.3 PPR, 12 car 75 ry, 2/2 8 rec); Dylan Laube (W5, 11.5 PPR, 4 car 9 ry, 3/3 16 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #16 against the pass, #21 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points NE allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Braelon Allen's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against NE beforelast 2
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 W8@ NE · L 22-25 | 12-32-1 rush | 9.2 |
| 2024 W3vs NE · W 24-3 | 11-55 rush · 3-13 on 3 tgt | 8.3 |
24-116-1 rush, 1-0 rec on 4 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
NYJ +1.5 (closing) · total 39.5 · 90°F, wind 2 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 5.0 (RB53) · NYJ +3.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 5.0 (RB49) · NYJ +7 (closing) · total 49.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 12.2 (RB20) · NYJ +3.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · 72°F, wind 3 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 14.9 (RB12) · NYJ -2.5 (closing) · total 38.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 35.5% | 77.3% | +41.8 |
| Carry share | 22.1% | 65.4% | +43.3 |
| Target share | 3.6% | 11.8% | +8.2 |
| Carries a game | 7.5 | 14.0 | +6.5 |
| Targets a game | 1.0 | 3.0 | +2.0 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
NYJ backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
2 TDs on 1.05 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Leaderboardstop 10 among RBs, 2026
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 11 | 7-19-0 | 1.75.4 | -0.41-0.02 |
| Red zone36% of targets | 4 | 3-4-0 | 1.03.7 | -0.600.13 |
| Third down18% of targets | 2 | 1--4-0 | -2.06.5 | -1.340.08 |
| Score within 782% of targets | 9 | 5-20-0 | 2.25.3 | -0.26-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+18% of targets | 2 | 2--1-0 | -0.55.6 | -1.060.11 |
| Two-minute drill27% of targets | 3 | 2-7-0 | 2.34.6 | -0.22-0.04 |
| Vs. the blitz18% of targets | 2 | 0-0-0 | 0.05.3 | -0.96-0.04 |
| No blitz82% of targets | 9 | 7-19-0 | 2.15.4 | -0.28-0.01 |
| Play action18% of targets | 2 | 1-3-0 | 1.55.9 | -0.450.08 |
| With motion36% of targets | 4 | 2-8-0 | 2.05.3 | -0.34-0.03 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 10 of his 11 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 0 of 1 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 57 | 236-2 | 4.14.1 | 40%39% |
| Red zone9% of carries | 5 | 16-1 | 3.22.6 | 20%40% |
| Inside the 102% of carries | 1 | 5-1 | 5.01.7 | 100%47% |
| Third down9% of carries | 5 | 46-1 | 9.24.0 | 40%52% |
| Score within 772% of carries | 41 | 183-2 | 4.54.1 | 44%38% |
| Trailing by 8+21% of carries | 12 | 44-0 | 3.74.1 | 42%41% |
| Leading by 8+7% of carries | 4 | 9-0 | 2.34.5 | 0%40% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)26% of carries | 15 | 70-0 | 4.74.5 | 33%40% |
| Stacked box (8+)9% of carries | 5 | 25-0 | 5.03.0 | 60%39% |
| RPO9% of carries | 5 | 54-1 | 10.84.2 | 100%42% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 13 | 5.9 | 62% | +0.24 |
| Zone | 17 | 5.2 | 77% | +0.08 |
With and withoutfantasy points a game, NYJ, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
NYJNew York Jets offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs TEN | 23-10 | 19.0 | 40%−13.5 | Smith24 att |
| W2vs GB | 17-20 | 20.5 | 62%−1.0 | Smith41 att |
| W3vs DET | 24-31 | 21.3 | 70%−1.8 | Smith37 att |
| W4vs CHI | 12-23 | 20.0 | 56%−8.4 | Smith15 att |
| W5vs CLE | 17-12 | 20.5 | 53%−7.8 | Smith30 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Aaron Glenn. QB: Geno Smith (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Braelon Allen is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NYJ | 5 | 57-236-2 rush7-19-0 rec on 11 tgt | 8.2RB31 | 9.4−2.4 |
| 2025NYJ | 4 | 18-76-1 rush2-17-0 rec on 3 tgt | 3.6 | 4.0−0.8 |
| 2024NYJ | 17 | 92-334-2 rush19-148-1 rec on 27 tgt | 4.5RB60 | 6.0−16.1 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 6 RZ car (10%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.5 exp · 2 RZ tgt (4%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.8 exp |
| 2024 | 11 RZ car (26%), 2 inside 5, 2 rush TD vs 1.5 exp · 1 RZ tgt (1%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.1 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
0 of his last 21 games reached 20 PPR; 19 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2024
2025 game log 4 games · NYJ · 3.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs PIT · D10 | 6-9-1 rush | 31% | 6.9 |
| W2vs BUF · D28 | 2-11 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt | 19% | 1.1 |
| W3@ TB · D8 | 6-30 rush · 2-17 on 2 tgt | 33% | 5.7 |
| W4@ MIA · D28 | 4-26 rush | 10% | 0.6 |
2024 game log 17 games · NYJ · 5.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ SF · D5 | 1-8 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt | 18% | 2.2 |
| W2@ TEN · D6 | 7-33-1 rush · 2-23-1 on 4 tgt | 35% | 18.6 |
| W3vs NE · D17 | 11-55 rush · 3-13 on 3 tgt | 32% | 8.3 |
| W4vs DEN · D18 | 8-34 rush · 1-12 on 1 tgt | 36% | 5.1 |
| W5@ MIN · D4 | 5-13 rush · 1-15 on 2 tgt | 26% | 3.3 |
| W6vs BUF · D32 | 3-8 rush · 0-0 on 2 tgt | 19% | 0.8 |
| W7@ PIT · D7 | 2-4 rush · 1-2 on 1 tgt | 9% | 1.1 |
| W8@ NE · D29 | 12-32-1 rush | 31% | 9.2 |
| W9vs HOU · D3 | 4-9 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt | 29% | 0.9 |
| W10@ ARI · D25 | 7-27 rush · 1-7 on 1 tgt | 24% | 3.9 |
| W11vs IND · D18 | 2-6 rush | 18% | 0.6 |
| W13vs SEA · D17 | 5-11 rush · 2-16 on 2 tgt | 28% | 3.7 |
| W14@ MIA · D21 | 11-43 rush · 4-38 on 5 tgt | 54% | 10.1 |
| W15@ JAX · D31 | 2-5 rush | 17% | 0.5 |
| W16vs LA · D15 | 2-5 rush · 1-5 on 1 tgt | 14% | 1.5 |
| W17@ BUF · D30 | 6-26 rush | 30% | 2.6 |
| W18vs MIA · D13 | 4-15 rush · 2-8 on 3 tgt | 22% | 3.3 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | Knee |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | Back |
2 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Back, Knee. Risk label: low.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,808). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #128 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 94 players' worth).
Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players
2022 Damien Harris (44% match). He went from 8.3 to 3.2 PPR a game the next year (RB5+→RB5+). His dynasty value moved 0.0% over the next 12 months.
181.7 overall, RB108. CBS 160.1 · ESPN 170.6 · Underdog 212.8 · Sleeper 214.4
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023Wisconsin | 11 | 28-131-0 | 5.8% | 2.9 |
| 2022Wisconsin | 11 | 11-104-0 | 5.0% | 2.5 |
| 2021Wisconsin | 11 | 6-37-0 | 2.2% | 1.1 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.