Buffalo Bills
Team/HC Sean McDermott

Buffalo Bills

4-1 · 32.8 points for, 28.2 against a game · bye Week 7
01

Week 6

BUF
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
LV
LineBUF -5Total53.5BUF29.3LV24.3Rest6 days (LV 7)Roofindoors
Matchup by position
LV D vs BUFBUF D vs LV
QBs#27#29
RBs#21#31
WRs#20#32
TEs#27#15
Pass (EPA)#25#26
Run (EPA)#15#29

Each defense's rank in fantasy points allowed to that position (EPA for pass and run), entering Week 6. 1 = stingiest, 32 = softest: green is the softer matchup.

Our Week 6 projectionsBUF players

QB1
23.8
RB8
17.5
WR24
9.8
WR39
7.9
RB38
5.2
TE27
5.0
WR62
4.9
RB72
1.0
WR124
0.2

Our projections and position ranks this week, the same numbers as the weekly rankings.

02

Offense

Through W5
Points/game
32.8
1st of 32
EPA/play
0.210
1st of 32
Success rate
49.2%
3rd of 32
Explosive rate
16.7%
1st of 32
Third-down rate
51.6%
3rd of 32
Red-zone trips/g
4.0
4th of 32
Red-zone TD rate
75.0%
5th of 32
Turnovers/game
1.8
25th of 32
Sacks allowed/g
2.0
9th of 32
Plays/game
58.6
23rd of 32 (1 = most)

Play stylerank 1 = most

Sec/play neutral
31.4
11th of 32 (1 = fastest)
Pass rate vs exp
−8.5%
22nd most of 32
Neutral pass %
57.7%
18th most of 32
Pass % trailing
54.5%
29th most of 32
Pass % leading
52.9%
8th most of 32
Motion rate
61.7%
8th most of 32
Play-action rate
28.1%
7th most of 32
Screen rate
5.1%
15th most of 32
RPO rate
6.4%
8th most of 32

2026 through Week 5. Rank among the 32 offenses (1 = best unless noted). Tap a tile for the full name.

Quarterback

Josh Allen28.5pts/g
5 g · 1,249 yds · 7 TD · 4 INT · 138 att
+0.23 EPA/dropback · CPOE +5.0 · 43-239 rushing, 8 TD
03

Who gets the ball

Target treeshare of team targets

Khalil Shakir WR19.6%26 tgt
DJ Moore WR18.4%20 tgt
Dalton Kincaid TE15.9%21 tgt
Ty Johnson RB14.8%10 tgt
Keon Coleman WR13.4%18 tgt
Josh Palmer WR10.4%9 tgt
James Cook RB8.2%11 tgt
Dawson Knox TE7.6%9 tgt
WRTERB
Khalil ShakirDJ MooreDalton KincaidTy Johnson
0%10%20%30%40%W1W2W3W4W522%17%11%7%

Backfieldshare of team carries

James Cook RB64.6%95 car
Josh Allen QB29.3%43 car

James Cook: 50% of carries inside the 5 · Josh Allen: 50% of carries inside the 5

James Cook
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W568%
04

Game log

W5
@ LA
Pass 36% PROE −22.9 58 plays implied 26.0
Allen 210 yds, 1 TD Cook 25-111 Shakir 3-80 Knox 6 yds
W
37-34
W4
vs NE
Pass 64% PROE −4.7 55 plays implied 28.3
Allen 253 yds, 1 TD Cook 12-75 Coleman 6-116 Knox 13 yds
L
26-29
W3
vs LAC
Pass 48% PROE −13.6 62 plays implied 28.8
Allen 204 yds, 0 TD Cook 24-154 Moore 6-67 Kincaid 38 yds
W
24-16
W2
vs DET
Pass 50% PROE −0.3 66 plays implied 30.0
Allen 248 yds, 3 TD Cook 21-135 Coleman 6-63 Kincaid 95 yds
W
41-31
W1
@ HOU
Pass 62% PROE −0.9 52 plays implied 23.0
Allen 334 yds, 2 TD Cook 13-57 Moore 5-100 Kincaid 130 yds
W
36-31

Newest first. Pass rate with pass rate over expected (PROE), plays and the implied team total before the game. Leaders: passing, top rusher, top WR and TE by targets.

05

Defense

Fantasy points allowedPPR, by position and week

AvgW1W2W3W4W5
QB22.5#2916.529.812.726.227.3
RB28.2#3033.926.322.322.635.8
WR45.1#3240.045.131.247.861.2
TE12.8#1514.417.20.013.419.0

Rank = the 32 defenses on PPR points allowed to that position a game (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Colors compare each week to every defense that week.

Where they give it upby depth and side

#32
37.1 receiving fantasy points a game allowed to WRs overall (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.5#2
1.8#18
3.7#22
Middle 10–19
3.6#27
6.0#32
4.5#30
Short 0–9
6.4#31
3.2#26
6.1#29
Behind line
0.6#18
0.0#1
0.7#19
StingySoft

Big number: points a game this defense allows to that position in the zone; # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point. 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Defense numbersrank 1 = best

Points allowed/g
28.2
28th of 32
EPA/play allowed
0.130
29th of 32
Success allowed
48.3%
29th of 32
Big plays allowed
11.0%
26th of 32
RZ TD% allowed
80.0%
30th of 32
Sacks/game
2.2
12th of 32
Sack or hit rate
16.7%
13th of 32
Blitz rate
34.4%
11th most of 32
Coverage and pressure
Blitz rate
18%
7th most · 2026
Pass rushers
4.38
per dropback, 2026
Men in the box
6.5
4th most · 2026
Man coverage
31%
17th most · 2025
Pressure rate
35%
2nd most · 2025

2025 shells: Cover 2 26%, Cover 3 22%, Cover 1 17%, 2-man 11%. Man/zone and shells are charted after the season, so 2025 is the latest. 2026 front from FTN charting through Week 5.

06

Schedule

P / R = the opponent's rank against the pass and the run (EPA, 1 = best defense, 32 = worst). Color = the average of the two: green is the softer schedule. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs.

07

Depth & injuries

Team note · Oct 13

WR DJ Moore (shoulder) did not play Monday night at the Rams; no Week 6 update yet (at Las Vegas).

QB
QB2
Kyle Allen
RB
RB1
James Cook III
WR
WR4
Joshua Palmer
TE
TE3
Jackson Hawes

Depth chart as of Oct 14, 2026.

Injury reportWeek 6, official

No QB, RB, WR or TE on the Week 6 report.

Sleeper designations (Oct 10)
PUP (Knee - ACL)
Questionable (Undisclosed)
08

Players

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB projections and data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files. Nothing here is betting advice.