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Research

Every player, every team, every stat that matters for fantasy, rebuilt every week from the play-by-play. Free, no account.

528 PLAYERSPlayersEvery game, usage, percentiles, matchup, value 32 TEAMSTeamsWho gets the ball, defense by zone, schedule 162 CHARTSChartsPostable charts with captions LEADERBOARDSStatsEvery stat, sortable, with versus 17 FINDINGSFindingsWhat the data actually says 172 LONG READSPlayer studiesOur full study on each player
01

This week in the data

Through Week 5
Target share
Share of team targets the last 2 games vs. the season, in points (WR, TE, RB)
1Brenton StrangeTE · JAX · 28% L2, 19% season+8.82Mike EvansWR · SF · 32% L2, 25% season+7.83Emanuel WilsonRB · SEA · 14% L2, 6% season+7.54Colston LovelandTE · CHI · 21% L2, 14% season+6.65Kyren WilliamsRB · LA · 20% L2, 15% season+5.86Kyle PittsTE · ATL · 16% L2, 11% season+5.1
Backfield share
Share of team carries the last 2 games vs. the season, in points (RB)
1Braelon AllenRB · NYJ · 88% L2, 48% season+39.52Emanuel WilsonRB · SEA · 70% L2, 50% season+19.93Chuba HubbardRB · CAR · 77% L2, 64% season+13.54Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT · 79% L2, 65% season+13.45Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX · 72% L2, 59% season+13.16Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL · 84% L2, 71% season+13.1
Form
PPR a game the last 3 games minus the season
1Drake MayeQB · NE · 23.1 L3, 17.4 season+5.72Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT · 24.3 L3, 18.6 season+5.73Aaron RodgersQB · PIT · 22.2 L3, 16.6 season+5.64Drake LondonWR · ATL · 20.6 L3, 15.2 season+5.45Malik NabersWR · NYG · 20.0 L3, 14.8 season+5.26Kyren WilliamsRB · LA · 26.0 L3, 21.9 season+4.1

How to tell a real breakout from a mirage ›

Touchdowns vs. expected
Touchdowns minus expected touchdowns (every carry and target priced by where it happened)
1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA · 7 TD, 3.5 exp+3.52Christian WatsonWR · GB · 6 TD, 2.6 exp+3.43Brian RobinsonRB · ATL · 4 TD, 1.1 exp+3.04George KittleTE · SF · 4 TD, 1.4 exp+2.65Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT · 4 TD, 1.7 exp+2.36Chuba HubbardRB · CAR · 5 TD, 2.8 exp+2.2

Do touchdowns regress? ›

Qualified players only (the Charts page minimums). Tap a name for his page.

02

Charts

All 162 ›
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Swipe for more. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

03

Teams

All teams ›
ARIATLBALBUFCARCHICINCLEDALDENDETGBHOUINDJAXKCLVLACLAMIAMINNENONYGNYJPHIPITSFSEATBTENWAS
04

Findings

All ›
Do fantasy football touchdowns regress?
What actually predicts fantasy football production — volume or efficiency?
How do you tell a real fantasy breakout from a mirage?
Do defensive matchups actually matter in fantasy football?
How much do fantasy players gain when a starter is ruled out?
Does rushing yards over expected predict fantasy football production?
Do Vegas betting lines predict fantasy football scoring?
Do some receivers really beat man coverage?
05

Lines and props

Ask the Research AgentAny player, game, split or line move. Research only, not betting advice
Player linesEvery player's record against the closing line, with splits
Team linesEvery team against the spread and total since 2020
Players · Teams · Charts · Stats · Findings · Methodology
Built 2026-10-14 from nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data). Nothing here is betting advice.