Ask anything about this week's games. True odds with the books' cut taken out, 15,000 simulated games for parlays and what-ifs, and how it has actually gone in real games. Want the why? Ask the Research Agent.
A single bet is the market's true odds. Every sportsbook builds its cut into its prices. We take the cut out of each book's two-sided prices and average DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars and ESPN Bet. The final margin comes from every alternate spread, so 3 and 7 carry the weight the books give them.
Parlays and what-ifs come from 15,000 simulated games. Legs in the same game move together: a QB's yards and his WR1's, a running back's yards and his team winning. We measured how much on every graded prop since 2023 and play each game 15,000 times with those links. A single leg still lands on the market's true odds; the simulations only add how legs move together. On 2025 and 2026 games the model never saw, a QB and his WR1 both going over their lines hit 31.6% of the time. The simulations said 32.4%. Multiplying the legs says 25%.
How it's gone counts real games since 2023 at your exact line: the last 10, this season, against this week's opponent, in this week's spot, and for a what-if, the games where your condition happened. It is history, not a forecast.
The gold marker is the venue you picked: its price for a single bet, or for a parlay of legs from different games, each leg's price multiplied (how a book prices that parlay). A same-game parlay gets no marker: books price those themselves, with how the legs move together built in and their own margin added, so their single-leg prices multiplied isn't a price they offer.
The market's real chance of each team winning, with the cut taken out of DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars and ESPN Bet and averaged, next to the consensus spread and total. Ask about any player or parlay in these games above.
| Game | Kickoff | Win chance | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers at Saints | Sun 10/25 9:30 AM ET | Steelers 61% | NO +3 | 44.5 |
| 49ers at Falcons | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | 49ers 57% | ATL +2.5 | 49.5 |
| Bengals at Ravens | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Ravens 53% | BAL -1.5 | 48.5 |
| Buccaneers at Panthers | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Panthers 60% | CAR -3 | 44.5 |
| Browns at Titans | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Browns 53% | TEN +1.5 | 37.5 |
| Giants at Texans | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Texans 81% | HOU -10.5 | 42.5 |
| Colts at Vikings | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Vikings 71% | MIN -6.5 | 41.5 |
| Dolphins at Jets | Sun 10/25 1:00 PM ET | Jets 67% | NYJ -4.5 | 39.5 |
| Broncos at Cardinals | Sun 10/25 4:05 PM ET | Broncos 65% | ARI +4.5 | 43.5 |
| Packers at Lions | Sun 10/25 4:25 PM ET | Lions 61% | DET -3 | 53.5 |
| Rams at Raiders | Sun 10/25 4:25 PM ET | Rams 63% | LV +3.5 | 48.5 |
| Chiefs at Seahawks | Sun 10/25 8:20 PM ET | Seahawks 57% | SEA -2.5 | 42.5 |
| Cowboys at Eagles | Mon 10/26 8:15 PM ET | Cowboys 64% | PHI +4 | 44.5 |
Research only, not betting advice. 21+.
Market research, not betting advice. Sportsbook prices were read when this week's odds were built; Kalshi and Polymarket are read live.