Pittsburgh Steelers
Team/HC Mike McCarthy

Pittsburgh Steelers

3-2 · 22.2 points for, 21.8 against a game · bye Week 9
01

Week 6

PIT
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
TB
LinePIT -2.5Total39.5PIT21TB18.5Rest7 days (TB 10)Forecast81°F, wind 21 mph
Matchup by position
TB D vs PITPIT D vs TB
QBs#9#2
RBs#5#22
WRs#14#6
TEs#22#16
Pass (EPA)#11#18
Run (EPA)#2#19

Each defense's rank in fantasy points allowed to that position (EPA for pass and run), entering Week 6. 1 = stingiest, 32 = softest: green is the softer matchup.

Our Week 6 projectionsPIT players

RB5
18.3
QB19
14.6
WR25
9.7
WR29
9.0
TE10
8.8
RB73
1.0
QB47
0.1

Our projections and position ranks this week, the same numbers as the weekly rankings.

02

Offense

Through W5
Points/game
22.2
18th of 32
EPA/play
-0.046
21st of 32
Success rate
41.7%
21st of 32
Explosive rate
9.3%
18th of 32
Third-down rate
35.0%
24th of 32
Red-zone trips/g
2.2
30th of 32
Red-zone TD rate
54.5%
20th of 32
Turnovers/game
1.2
18th of 32
Sacks allowed/g
2.8
25th of 32
Plays/game
60.4
19th of 32 (1 = most)

Play stylerank 1 = most

Sec/play neutral
32.3
17th of 32 (1 = fastest)
Pass rate vs exp
+2.4%
2nd most of 32
Neutral pass %
67.4%
1st most of 32
Pass % trailing
77.9%
6th most of 32
Pass % leading
20.0%
27th most of 32
Motion rate
48.2%
30th most of 32
Play-action rate
18.7%
28th most of 32
Screen rate
7.2%
3rd most of 32
RPO rate
8.1%
4th most of 32

2026 through Week 5. Rank among the 32 offenses (1 = best unless noted). Tap a tile for the full name.

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers16.6pts/g
5 g · 1,234 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT · 184 att
−0.09 EPA/dropback · CPOE −2.6 · 8-18 rushing
03

Who gets the ball

Target treeshare of team targets

DK Metcalf WR20.8%37 tgt
Pat Freiermuth TE15.2%26 tgt
Jaylen Warren RB15.1%26 tgt
Germie Bernard WR15.0%20 tgt
Roman Wilson WR14.1%25 tgt
Michael Pittman WR11.5%12 tgt
Rico Dowdle RB9.5%7 tgt
Darnell Washington TE9.3%16 tgt
WRTERB
DK MetcalfPat FreiermuthJaylen WarrenGermie Bernard
0%10%20%30%40%W1W2W3W4W530%23%20%13%

Backfieldshare of team carries

Jaylen Warren RB64.8%70 car
Rico Dowdle RB34.1%15 car
Aaron Rodgers QB7.4%8 car

Jaylen WarrenRico Dowdle
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W568%30%
04

Game log

W5
vs IND
Pass 62% PROE +3.2 52 plays implied 22.3
Rodgers 235 yds, 3 TD Warren 15-101 Bernard 6-80 Freiermuth 44 yds
W
34-22
W4
@ CLE
Pass 70% PROE +0.8 66 plays implied 20.5
Rodgers 299 yds, 3 TD Warren 17-93 Metcalf 5-115 Freiermuth 17 yds
L
24-27
W3
vs CIN
Pass 63% PROE +2.3 56 plays implied 19.5
Rodgers 292 yds, 3 TD Warren 17-127 Wilson 3-60 Freiermuth 30 yds
W
30-27
W2
@ NE
Pass 66% PROE −4.7 67 plays implied 18.5
Rodgers 187 yds, 0 TD Warren 11-43 Bernard 4-35 Freiermuth 32 yds
L
3-20
W1
vs ATL
Pass 71% PROE +10.6 61 plays implied 23.5
Rodgers 221 yds, 1 TD Warren 10-46 Pittman 3-58 Freiermuth 46 yds
W
20-13

Newest first. Pass rate with pass rate over expected (PROE), plays and the implied team total before the game. Leaders: passing, top rusher, top WR and TE by targets.

05

Defense

Fantasy points allowedPPR, by position and week

AvgW1W2W3W4W5
QB12.1#25.78.022.612.911.1
RB22.5#2234.418.611.334.014.1
WR27.7#69.921.152.932.122.6
TE13.2#160.011.017.011.726.2

Rank = the 32 defenses on PPR points allowed to that position a game (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Colors compare each week to every defense that week.

Where they give it upby depth and side

#6
22.2 receiving fantasy points a game allowed to WRs overall (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
1.8#18
0.0#1
4.8#26
Middle 10–19
2.3#17
1.5#6
1.4#7
Short 0–9
2.8#10
3.2#26
3.2#7
Behind line
1.1#28
0.0#1
0.0#2
StingySoft

Big number: points a game this defense allows to that position in the zone; # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point. 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Defense numbersrank 1 = best

Points allowed/g
21.8
10th of 32
EPA/play allowed
-0.002
18th of 32
Success allowed
44.5%
24th of 32
Big plays allowed
10.9%
24th of 32
RZ TD% allowed
50.0%
4th of 32
Sacks/game
2.2
12th of 32
Sack or hit rate
14.3%
19th of 32
Blitz rate
26.9%
22nd most of 32
Coverage and pressure
Blitz rate
13%
20th most · 2026
Pass rushers
4.31
per dropback, 2026
Men in the box
6.5
5th most · 2026
Man coverage
37%
10th most · 2025
Pressure rate
30%
18th most · 2025

2025 shells: Cover 3 28%, Cover 1 25%, Cover 2 21%, Cover 4 9%. Man/zone and shells are charted after the season, so 2025 is the latest. 2026 front from FTN charting through Week 5.

06

Schedule

P / R = the opponent's rank against the pass and the run (EPA, 1 = best defense, 32 = worst). Color = the average of the two: green is the softer schedule. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs.

07

Depth & injuries

Team note · Oct 13

WR Michael Pittman Jr. (foot) is on short-term IR; WRs Roman Wilson (finger, multiple weeks) and Ben Skowronek (calf) are ruled out for Week 6 at Tampa Bay. Germie Bernard, Pat Freiermuth and Jaylen Warren see more work. RB Rico Dowdle (toe) has no Week 6 status yet.

QB
RB
WR
WR5
Kaden Wetjen
TE
TE3
Robert Tonyan

Depth chart as of Oct 14, 2026. Changes since Oct 8: Roman Wilson WR3 -> WR2; Germie Bernard WR4 -> WR3; Ben Skowronek new at WR4; Michael Pittman Jr. off the top of the WR chart.

Injury reportWeek 6, official

No QB, RB, WR or TE on the Week 6 report.

Sleeper designations (Oct 10)
Out (Foot)
Questionable (Toe)
08

Players

16 pages
All teams · All players · Research · Charts · PIT lines and records
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB projections and data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files. Nothing here is betting advice.