Charts· Receptions props

Average line vs. average result (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 3 graded lines · biggest 45 lines

45 players with 3+ graded lines through Week 9 of 2026: average line across, average result up, split at the averages. Big lines, clearing them (top right): Puka Nacua, Trey McBride and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Small lines, short (bottom left): Bijan Robinson, Dalton Kincaid and Jaylen Waddle.

Graded closing lines, this season · market research only

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45players on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

3min. graded lines

+0.81correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing; on the diagonal the two are equal. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

45 players · 2134 characters

RECEPTIONS PROPS

Average line vs. average result (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 3 graded lines · biggest 45 lines

↗️ BIG LINES, CLEARING THEM
Puka Nacua (LAR) 7.5 line, 10.0 result
Trey McBride (ARI) 7.0 line, 8.1 result
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 6.9 line, 7.9 result
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 7.0 line, 7.6 result
Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) 7.1 line, 6.7 result
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 6.4 line, 7.8 result
Chris Olave (NO) 6.2 line, 7.0 result
Brock Bowers (LV) 6.1 line, 6.9 result
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 5.9 line, 5.4 result
Malik Nabers (NYG) 5.1 line, 6.6 result
Zay Flowers (BAL) 5.2 line, 5.4 result

↖️ BEATING MODEST LINES
Tee Higgins (CIN) 4.6 line, 6.6 result
Isaiah Likely (NYG) 4.4 line, 5.8 result
Luther Burden III (CHI) 4.3 line, 5.6 result
Matthew Golden (GB) 4.6 line, 5.9 result
Christian Watson (GB) 4.4 line, 5.4 result
DeVonta Smith (PHI) 5.0 line, 6.5 result
Michael Wilson (ARI) 4.7 line, 5.7 result
Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) 4.9 line, 5.8 result
Tyler Warren (IND) 4.9 line, 5.4 result

↘️ BIG LINES, FALLING SHORT
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 6.2 line, 4.8 result
Drake London (ATL) 5.6 line, 4.9 result
Nico Collins (HOU) 5.3 line, 4.7 result

↙️ SMALL LINES, SHORT
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 4.1 line, 3.4 result
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) 4.1 line, 3.8 result
Jaylen Waddle (DEN) 4.4 line, 3.3 result
Tucker Kraft (GB) 4.1 line, 4.0 result
Josh Downs (KC) 4.3 line, 3.7 result
Dalton Schultz (HOU) 4.1 line, 4.4 result
T.J. Hockenson (MIN) 4.1 line, 4.4 result
DK Metcalf (PIT) 4.3 line, 4.1 result
Travis Kelce (KC) 4.3 line, 4.1 result
Stefon Diggs (WAS) 4.2 line, 4.3 result
Parker Washington (JAX) 4.7 line, 3.6 result
Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) 4.3 line, 4.4 result
Keenan Allen (SF) 4.1 line, 4.9 result
Sam LaPorta (DET) 4.4 line, 4.4 result
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 4.5 line, 4.3 result
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 4.2 line, 5.0 result
Jalen Coker (CAR) 4.5 line, 4.8 result
George Kittle (SF) 4.6 line, 4.8 result
Christian McCaffrey (SF) 4.8 line, 4.5 result
Davante Adams (LAR) 4.8 line, 5.0 result
George Pickens (DAL) 4.9 line, 4.9 result
Rashee Rice (KC) 4.9 line, 5.0 result

Market research only.

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Every player on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Average line	Average result
Big lines, clearing them · top right
Puka Nacua	LAR	7.5	10.0
Trey McBride	ARI	7.0	8.1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	6.9	7.9
Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	7.0	7.6
Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	7.1	6.7
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	6.4	7.8
Chris Olave	NO	6.2	7.0
Brock Bowers	LV	6.1	6.9
Garrett Wilson	NYJ	5.9	5.4
Malik Nabers	NYG	5.1	6.6
Zay Flowers	BAL	5.2	5.4
Beating modest lines · top left
Tee Higgins	CIN	4.6	6.6
Isaiah Likely	NYG	4.4	5.8
Luther Burden III	CHI	4.3	5.6
Matthew Golden	GB	4.6	5.9
Christian Watson	GB	4.4	5.4
DeVonta Smith	PHI	5.0	6.5
Michael Wilson	ARI	4.7	5.7
Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	4.9	5.8
Tyler Warren	IND	4.9	5.4
Big lines, falling short · bottom right
Justin Jefferson	MIN	6.2	4.8
Drake London	ATL	5.6	4.9
Nico Collins	HOU	5.3	4.7
Small lines, short · bottom left
Bijan Robinson	ATL	4.1	3.4
Dalton Kincaid	BUF	4.1	3.8
Jaylen Waddle	DEN	4.4	3.3
Tucker Kraft	GB	4.1	4.0
Josh Downs	KC	4.3	3.7
Dalton Schultz	HOU	4.1	4.4
T.J. Hockenson	MIN	4.1	4.4
DK Metcalf	PIT	4.3	4.1
Travis Kelce	KC	4.3	4.1
Stefon Diggs	WAS	4.2	4.3
Parker Washington	JAX	4.7	3.6
Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	4.3	4.4
Keenan Allen	SF	4.1	4.9
Sam LaPorta	DET	4.4	4.4
Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	4.5	4.3
Dallas Goedert	PHI	4.2	5.0
Jalen Coker	CAR	4.5	4.8
George Kittle	SF	4.6	4.8
Christian McCaffrey	SF	4.8	4.5
Davante Adams	LAR	4.8	5.0
George Pickens	DAL	4.9	4.9
Rashee Rice	KC	4.9	5.0

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Prop charts are market research, not betting advice. Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.