Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 18.46 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 78.5, usage worth 19.
33 years old · 10 seasons of experience · 2016 draft class
| SLEEPER | 85.9 |
| ESPN | 88 |
| YAHOO | 75.7 |
| UNDERDOG | 80.5 |
| CBS | 64.2 |
| FFA | 79 |
| Goes around | Round 7, pick 7 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | QB7 |
| Bye week | 14 |
| ADP standard deviation | 10.9 picks |
Our board has him at 336.9 points, 20.1 per game — 4,714 passing yards, 31.9 passing TDs, 203 rushing yards. That is QB3, 79 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 16.1 points per game to a ceiling of 27.1, with the median at 20.1. Boom rate 35%, bust rate 20%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 78.5 on consensus and our board has him 79. Those agree, so there is no market disagreement to exploit. The question is whether you want the profile, not whether it is mispriced.
a career-high in pass attempts last year is directly tied to the same mid-season addition (George Pickens) that helped Lawrence — Pickens both raises the offense's ceiling AND insures against collapse if Lamb misses time again, since last year's worst stretches specifically correlated with Lamb being out with no real second option. A rookie WR is also a real, buzzed-about camp factor as a shallow-area complement, making the whole offense harder to defend.
buy · medium conviction · 2026-08Dallas Cowboys returns 6 of 6 continuity slots — the whole offense is intact. Dak Prescott at quarterback, Brian Schottenheimer as head coach, Klayton Adams calling it. The offense projects to 35.8 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 27.1 rushes.
In: Sam Howell (qb2), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (wr5), Anthony Smith (wr7).
The projected target split across the offense:
| CeeDee Lamb | 22.7% |
| George Pickens | 21.4% |
| Jake Ferguson | 12.9% |
| Ryan Flournoy | 8.8% |
| Javonte Williams | 8.2% |
| Luke Schoonmaker | 6.5% |
What the offense looks like: Cowboys offense remains essentially the same in 2026 but will be paired with a significantly more competitive defense. This is very important because there were multiple games last year where Cowboys had to pull starters in the 4th quarter because they were getting blown out. This is a high powered offense that can sustain 2 WR1s in fantasy. The real question remains if George Pickens is going to land an extension in Dallas. There is no TRUE line of sight into this yet. Jerry Jones says he wants him to be a Cowboy for the long term, but we can't trust Jerry. If someone paid enough George is gone. Ceedee is not expected to be a top 5 WR with Pickens playing at his 2025 levels, but can absolutely be a top 10 PPR fantasy WR. Ceedee is an elite WR. Cowboys also lock down Javonte Williams on 3 year exention.
Key additions: George Pickens was franchised tagged & will play 2026 season in Dallas (barring trade or hold out).
Key departures: WR Jalen Tolbert signed with Miami Dolphins (minor)
Notes: Dallas has added significantly on defense this offseason and should be VERY competitive. Multiple games last year caused starters to be benched due to blow outs. Dak remains a highly productive aging QB with a well balanced pass and rush offense. Javonte Williams landed massive 3 year extension with Cowboys & George Pickens has been franchised tagged with no current plans to land long term extension. Ceedee Lamb looks to get back on track as a top 5 WR following a rough 2025. Pickens and Ceedee should both be viewed as Dynasty WR1s. Jake Ferguson is expected to also have a great 2026 season. We want to own as many pieces of this offense as we can FOR THE RIGHT PRICE.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Dak Prescott returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (36.7 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 35.7 att/g.
Base case 294.9 PPR points, with a bear case of 203.8 and a bull case of 396.2, and a comp mean of 289.7. The model puts 40% probability on him beating this and 60% on falling short. Drawn from 20 comparable quarterback seasons.
| Comparable season | What he actually scored | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins 2015 | 300.3 | 0.2 |
| Andy Dalton 2013 | 233.2 | 0.3 |
| Philip Rivers 2017 | 320.2 | 0.3 |
| Aaron Rodgers 2018 | 312.5 | 0.3 |
| Matthew Stafford 2017 | 212.2 | 0.3 |
Cross-check against the dynasty market: his production ranks in the 86th percentile and his value in the 52th, which the engine reads as well below production. Players with a similar production-against-value gap saw dynasty value move 1.2% over the following year, across 15 cases — a dynasty signal, not a 2026 scoring one.
Offensive environment: DAL rates 25.7 against a league average of 23, 2.7 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +1.4 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | +3.5 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -4 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +2.3 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | Cooper Rush | +10.6 |
| 2024 | 2 | Cooper Rush | +4.4 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +7.7% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.8 elite seasons and 3.1 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 2024 | 21.5 | 54% | 0% |
| Jared Goff | 2023 | 17 | 52% | +22.3% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2023 | 17.5 | 46% | -12.8% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2024 | 17.7 | 45% | +5.8% |
| Baker Mayfield | 2023 | 16.1 | 43% | +58.5% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 1 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2016, round 4, pick 135 by DAL |
| College | Mississippi St. |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| Height | 6′2″ |
| Weight | 226 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.79s |
| Vertical | 32.5″ |
| Broad jump | 116″ |
| 3-cone | 7.11s |
| Shuttle | 4.32s |
| Career PPR per game | 19.5 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.4 |
| Boom rate | 15.8% |
| Bust rate | 14% |
| Games missed per season | 1 |
| Injury history | right Thumb, Hamstring |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.3 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 4 against GB — 30.96 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 40-40. His worst was Week 18 against NYG at 0.7, on 0 targets, final score 17-34. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 9 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 20.7; in the 9 decided by more, 16.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 19 points per game. He scored 18.46, 3% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 20-24 | 7.82 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | NYG | 40-37 | 22.14 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | CHI | 14-31 | 12.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 86% |
| 4 | GB | 40-40 | 30.96 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | NYJ | 37-22 | 28.28 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | CAR | 27-30 | 22.34 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | WAS | 44-22 | 23.26 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | DEN | 24-44 | 6.62 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0% | 88% |
| 9 | ARI | 17-27 | 15.4 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | LV | 33-16 | 24.32 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | PHI | 24-21 | 27.06 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | KC | 31-28 | 20.6 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | DET | 30-44 | 18.44 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | MIN | 26-34 | 11.96 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | LAC | 17-34 | 19.16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 91% |
| 17 | WAS | 30-23 | 22.68 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | NYG | 17-34 | 0.7 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0% | 51% |
| Carries | 53 |
| Rushing yards | 177 |
| Touchdowns | 32 |
| Points per game | 18.46 |
| Yards per carry | 3.34 |
| Snap share | 95.06% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.55 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 8.2% |
| Goal-line carry share | 13.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.8 |
The offense threw it 624 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| George Pickens | 22.57% |
| CeeDee Lamb | 19.28% |
| Jake Ferguson | 16.8% |
| Ryan Flournoy | 9.23% |
| Javonte Williams | 8.4% |
| Kavontae Turpin | 6.26% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 16 | 0 | 19.57 | — | 0% |
| Joe Milton | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | — | 0% |
6 of his 17 games were blowouts, 27.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.35 in those and 20.7 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 3 against BAL — 29.86 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 25-28. His worst was Week 6 against DET at 3.22, on 0 targets, final score 9-47. Across 8 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 17.8; in the 3 decided by more, 9.2. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.3 points per game. He scored 14.57, 15.7% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 33-17 | 11.46 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 98% |
| 2 | NO | 19-44 | 12.92 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 96% |
| 3 | BAL | 25-28 | 29.86 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | NYG | 20-15 | 16.74 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | PIT | 20-17 | 16.38 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | DET | 9-47 | 3.22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 74% |
| 8 | SF | 24-30 | 13.62 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | ATL | 21-27 | 12.32 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 61% |
| Carries | 13 |
| Rushing yards | 54 |
| Touchdowns | 12 |
| Points per game | 14.57 |
| Yards per carry | 4.15 |
| Snap share | 91.13% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.56 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 3.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 13.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.85 |
The offense threw it 635 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 24.56% |
| Jake Ferguson | 13.89% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 12.76% |
| Brandin Cooks | 8.72% |
| Kavontae Turpin | 8.4% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.92% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 7 | 0 | 14.89 | — | 0% |
| Cooper Rush | 1 | 0 | 12.32 | — | 0% |
2 of his 8 games were blowouts, 13.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.07 in those and 17.78 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 10 against NYG — 37.86 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 49-17. His worst was Week 5 against SF at 4.32, on 0 targets, final score 10-42. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 8 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 24.1; in the 12 decided by more, 18.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.9 points per game. He scored 20.17, 15.9% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 40-0 | 6.32 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 88% |
| 2 | NYJ | 30-10 | 19.6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | ARI | 16-28 | 14.36 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | NE | 38-3 | 14.34 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 90% |
| 5 | SF | 10-42 | 4.32 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 80% |
| 6 | LAC | 20-17 | 24.88 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | LA | 43-20 | 28.06 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 86% |
| 9 | PHI | 23-28 | 28.36 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | NYG | 49-17 | 37.86 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 77% |
| 11 | CAR | 33-10 | 16.16 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 85% |
| 12 | WAS | 45-10 | 32.24 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | SEA | 41-35 | 28.26 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | PHI | 33-13 | 17.94 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | BUF | 10-31 | 6.06 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | MIA | 20-22 | 18.62 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | DET | 20-19 | 20.3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | WAS | 38-10 | 25.16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 90% |
| Carries | 55 |
| Rushing yards | 242 |
| Touchdowns | 38 |
| Points per game | 20.17 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 |
| Snap share | 93.88% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.77 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 14.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 6.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.95 |
The offense threw it 614 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 29.92% |
| Jake Ferguson | 16.86% |
| Brandin Cooks | 13.39% |
| Tony Pollard | 11.07% |
| Michael Gallup | 9.42% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 5.95% |
11 of his 17 games were blowouts, 60.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 18.91 in those and 24.08 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 16 against PHI — 27.98 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 40-34. His worst was Week 1 against TB at 4.46, on 0 targets, final score 3-19. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 19.2; in the 7 decided by more, 14.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.2 points per game. He scored 16.55, 2% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | 3-19 | 4.46 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 77% |
| 7 | DET | 24-6 | 12.28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | CHI | 49-29 | 25.4 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | GB | 28-31 | 19.2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | MIN | 40-3 | 20.64 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 89% |
| 12 | NYG | 28-20 | 14.84 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | IND | 54-19 | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 96% |
| 14 | HOU | 27-23 | 13.66 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | JAX | 34-40 | 20.24 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | PHI | 40-34 | 27.98 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | TEN | 27-13 | 14.38 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | WAS | 6-26 | 8.72 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 91% |
| Carries | 45 |
| Rushing yards | 182 |
| Touchdowns | 24 |
| Points per game | 16.55 |
| Yards per carry | 4.04 |
| Snap share | 96.08% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.46 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 11.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 3.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.14 |
The offense threw it 556 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 28.62% |
| Dalton Schultz | 16.33% |
| Noah Brown | 13.58% |
| Michael Gallup | 13.58% |
| Tony Pollard | 10.09% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 4.22% |
5 of his 12 games were blowouts, 42.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 16.77 in those and 19.18 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 18 against PHI — 31.8 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 51-26. His worst was Week 11 against KC at 2.64, on 0 targets, final score 9-19. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 10 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 21; in the 9 decided by more, 19.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 19 points per game. He scored 20.04, 5.6% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | 29-31 | 27.42 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 99% |
| 2 | LAC | 20-17 | 7.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | PHI | 41-21 | 20.12 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 96% |
| 4 | CAR | 36-28 | 27.02 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | NYG | 44-20 | 20.68 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | NE | 35-29 | 26.8 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | DEN | 16-30 | 18.88 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | ATL | 43-3 | 26.34 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 81% |
| 11 | KC | 9-19 | 2.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | LV | 33-36 | 25.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | NO | 27-17 | 11.22 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | WAS | 27-20 | 9.94 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | NYG | 21-6 | 10.58 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | WAS | 56-14 | 31.3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 84% |
| 17 | ARI | 22-25 | 23.04 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | PHI | 51-26 | 31.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 82% |
| Carries | 48 |
| Rushing yards | 146 |
| Touchdowns | 38 |
| Points per game | 20.04 |
| Yards per carry | 3.04 |
| Snap share | 96.38% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.46 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 13.3% |
| Goal-line carry share | 21.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.78 |
The offense threw it 647 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 18.87% |
| Amari Cooper | 16.35% |
| Dalton Schultz | 16.35% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 10.22% |
| Michael Gallup | 9.75% |
| Cedrick Wilson | 9.59% |
5 of his 16 games were blowouts, 40.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 26.05 in those and 21 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 2 against ATL — 39.8 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 40-39. His worst was Week 5 against NYG at 13.44, on 1 targets, final score 37-34. Across 5 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 0 times.
His usage that season was worth 23.6 points per game. He scored 27.13, 15% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 17-20 | 17.64 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | ATL | 40-39 | 39.8 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 98% |
| 3 | SEA | 31-38 | 27.48 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | CLE | 38-49 | 37.28 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | NYG | 37-34 | 13.44 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3% | 67% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | 11 |
| Carries | 18 |
| Rushing yards | 93 |
| Touchdowns | 13 |
| Points per game | 27.13 |
| Yards per target | 11 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 5.17 |
| Snap share | 93% |
| Target share | 0.6% |
| Air-yards share | 0.84% |
| WOPR | 0.014 |
| RACR | 0.22 |
| Average depth of target | 10 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 10 |
| Total YAC | 1 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 152.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.53 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.98 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.2% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 8.6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 11.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.14 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.86 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.84 |
The offense threw it 638 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amari Cooper | 21.17% |
| CeeDee Lamb | 18.08% |
| Michael Gallup | 17.1% |
| Dalton Schultz | 14.5% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 11.56% |
| Tony Pollard | 6.51% |