Charts· WR contested catches

Contested-target rate vs. contested catch rate (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 45 targets

41 WRs with 45+ targets through Week 9 of 2026: contested-target rate across, contested catch rate up, split at the averages. Wins 50-50 balls (top right): Garrett Wilson, Denzel Boston and Davante Adams. Open, loses the rare one (bottom left): Makai Lemon, Wan'Dale Robinson and Tetairoa McMillan.

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41WRs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

45min. targets

−0.43correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

41 WRs · 2516 characters

WR CONTESTED CATCHES

Contested-target rate vs. contested catch rate (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 45 targets

↗️ WINS 50-50 BALLS
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 37% contested, 43% contested catch
Denzel Boston (CLE) 32% contested, 42% contested catch
Davante Adams (LAR) 20% contested, 60% contested catch
Tee Higgins (CIN) 24% contested, 50% contested catch
Devaughn Vele (NO) 25% contested, 46% contested catch
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 24% contested, 50% contested catch
George Pickens (DAL) 23% contested, 43% contested catch
Chris Olave (NO) 22% contested, 44% contested catch
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 20% contested, 45% contested catch

↖️ RARELY CONTESTED, WINS THEM
Zay Flowers (BAL) 8% contested, 100% contested catch
Jalen Coker (CAR) 8% contested, 75% contested catch
Drake London (ATL) 9% contested, 67% contested catch
Puka Nacua (LAR) 8% contested, 57% contested catch
Malik Washington (MIA) 8% contested, 50% contested catch
KC Concepcion (CLE) 11% contested, 50% contested catch
Ryan Flournoy (DAL) 19% contested, 67% contested catch
Emeka Egbuka (TB) 13% contested, 43% contested catch
Carnell Tate (TEN) 16% contested, 50% contested catch
Malik Nabers (NYG) 19% contested, 47% contested catch

↘️ CONTESTED & LOSING
Michael Wilson (ARI) 30% contested, 23% contested catch
DK Metcalf (PIT) 30% contested, 26% contested catch
Christian Watson (GB) 30% contested, 27% contested catch
Matthew Golden (GB) 24% contested, 18% contested catch
Josh Downs (KC) 26% contested, 27% contested catch
Keenan Allen (SF) 29% contested, 35% contested catch
Tre Tucker (LV) 21% contested, 17% contested catch
Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) 24% contested, 27% contested catch
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 22% contested, 20% contested catch
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 23% contested, 25% contested catch
Jaylen Waddle (DEN) 21% contested, 27% contested catch
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 22% contested, 36% contested catch
Jameson Williams (DET) 20% contested, 33% contested catch
Rome Odunze (CHI) 20% contested, 40% contested catch

↙️ OPEN, LOSES THE RARE ONE
Makai Lemon (PHI) 7% contested, 25% contested catch
Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) 14% contested, 29% contested catch
Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) 11% contested, 38% contested catch
Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) 15% contested, 27% contested catch
Xavier Worthy (KC) 11% contested, 40% contested catch
Luther Burden III (CHI) 17% contested, 27% contested catch
Parker Washington (JAX) 16% contested, 33% contested catch
Stefon Diggs (WAS) 16% contested, 38% contested catch

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Every WR on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Contested-target rate	Contested catch rate
Wins 50-50 balls · top right
Garrett Wilson	NYJ	37%	43%
Denzel Boston	CLE	32%	42%
Davante Adams	LAR	20%	60%
Tee Higgins	CIN	24%	50%
Devaughn Vele	NO	25%	46%
Justin Jefferson	MIN	24%	50%
George Pickens	DAL	23%	43%
Chris Olave	NO	22%	44%
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	20%	45%
Rarely contested, wins them · top left
Zay Flowers	BAL	8%	100%
Jalen Coker	CAR	8%	75%
Drake London	ATL	9%	67%
Puka Nacua	LAR	8%	57%
Malik Washington	MIA	8%	50%
KC Concepcion	CLE	11%	50%
Ryan Flournoy	DAL	19%	67%
Emeka Egbuka	TB	13%	43%
Carnell Tate	TEN	16%	50%
Malik Nabers	NYG	19%	47%
Contested & losing · bottom right
Michael Wilson	ARI	30%	23%
DK Metcalf	PIT	30%	26%
Christian Watson	GB	30%	27%
Matthew Golden	GB	24%	18%
Josh Downs	KC	26%	27%
Keenan Allen	SF	29%	35%
Tre Tucker	LV	21%	17%
Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	24%	27%
Courtland Sutton	DEN	22%	20%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	23%	25%
Jaylen Waddle	DEN	21%	27%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	22%	36%
Jameson Williams	DET	20%	33%
Rome Odunze	CHI	20%	40%
Open, loses the rare one · bottom left
Makai Lemon	PHI	7%	25%
Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	14%	29%
Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	11%	38%
Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	15%	27%
Xavier Worthy	KC	11%	40%
Luther Burden III	CHI	17%	27%
Parker Washington	JAX	16%	33%
Stefon Diggs	WAS	16%	38%

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.