Charts· WR target quality

Catchable-target rate vs. catch rate on them (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 45 targets

42 WRs with 45+ targets through Week 9 of 2026: catchable-target rate across, catch rate on catchable targets up, split at the averages. Good balls, catches them (top right): Luther Burden III, Puka Nacua and Ja'Marr Chase. QB & WR both off (bottom left): DK Metcalf, Parker Washington and Xavier Hutchinson.

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42WRs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

45min. targets

−0.02correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

42 WRs · 2364 characters

WR TARGET QUALITY

Catchable-target rate vs. catch rate on them (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 45 targets

↗️ GOOD BALLS, CATCHES THEM
Luther Burden III (CHI) 75% catchable, 100% catch rate
Puka Nacua (LAR) 78% catchable, 93% catch rate
Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) 78% catchable, 93% catch rate
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 73% catchable, 97% catch rate
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 79% catchable, 91% catch rate
Tee Higgins (CIN) 79% catchable, 91% catch rate
Xavier Worthy (KC) 77% catchable, 92% catch rate
Malik Washington (MIA) 73% catchable, 94% catch rate
Malik Nabers (NYG) 74% catchable, 91% catch rate
DeMario Douglas (NE) 74% catchable, 91% catch rate
Chris Olave (NO) 75% catchable, 90% catch rate
Zay Flowers (BAL) 73% catchable, 91% catch rate
KC Concepcion (CLE) 75% catchable, 90% catch rate

↖️ BAD BALLS, CATCHES THEM
Josh Downs (KC) 61% catchable, 94% catch rate
Drake London (ATL) 67% catchable, 98% catch rate
Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) 66% catchable, 96% catch rate
Tre Tucker (LV) 63% catchable, 91% catch rate
Davante Adams (LAR) 65% catchable, 94% catch rate
Emeka Egbuka (TB) 63% catchable, 91% catch rate
Jalen Coker (CAR) 67% catchable, 94% catch rate
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 67% catchable, 91% catch rate
George Pickens (DAL) 69% catchable, 91% catch rate
Carnell Tate (TEN) 71% catchable, 92% catch rate

↘️ GOOD BALLS, LEAVES SOME
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 81% catchable, 82% catch rate
Ryan Flournoy (DAL) 81% catchable, 84% catch rate
Makai Lemon (PHI) 80% catchable, 86% catch rate
Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) 80% catchable, 88% catch rate
Keenan Allen (SF) 78% catchable, 89% catch rate
Christian Watson (GB) 74% catchable, 87% catch rate
Jameson Williams (DET) 72% catchable, 85% catch rate
Devaughn Vele (NO) 75% catchable, 90% catch rate
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 71% catchable, 90% catch rate

↙️ QB & WR BOTH OFF
DK Metcalf (PIT) 64% catchable, 78% catch rate
Parker Washington (JAX) 62% catchable, 85% catch rate
Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) 60% catchable, 89% catch rate
Denzel Boston (CLE) 60% catchable, 89% catch rate
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 61% catchable, 89% catch rate
Matthew Golden (GB) 68% catchable, 84% catch rate
Jaylen Waddle (DEN) 67% catchable, 86% catch rate
Michael Wilson (ARI) 66% catchable, 88% catch rate
Stefon Diggs (WAS) 69% catchable, 88% catch rate
Rome Odunze (CHI) 71% catchable, 89% catch rate

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Every WR on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Catchable-target rate	Catch rate on catchable targets
Good balls, catches them · top right
Luther Burden III	CHI	75%	100%
Puka Nacua	LAR	78%	93%
Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	78%	93%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	73%	97%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	79%	91%
Tee Higgins	CIN	79%	91%
Xavier Worthy	KC	77%	92%
Malik Washington	MIA	73%	94%
Malik Nabers	NYG	74%	91%
DeMario Douglas	NE	74%	91%
Chris Olave	NO	75%	90%
Zay Flowers	BAL	73%	91%
KC Concepcion	CLE	75%	90%
Bad balls, catches them · top left
Josh Downs	KC	61%	94%
Drake London	ATL	67%	98%
Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	66%	96%
Tre Tucker	LV	63%	91%
Davante Adams	LAR	65%	94%
Emeka Egbuka	TB	63%	91%
Jalen Coker	CAR	67%	94%
Justin Jefferson	MIN	67%	91%
George Pickens	DAL	69%	91%
Carnell Tate	TEN	71%	92%
Good balls, leaves some · bottom right
Garrett Wilson	NYJ	81%	82%
Ryan Flournoy	DAL	81%	84%
Makai Lemon	PHI	80%	86%
Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	80%	88%
Keenan Allen	SF	78%	89%
Christian Watson	GB	74%	87%
Jameson Williams	DET	72%	85%
Devaughn Vele	NO	75%	90%
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	71%	90%
QB & WR both off · bottom left
DK Metcalf	PIT	64%	78%
Parker Washington	JAX	62%	85%
Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	60%	89%
Denzel Boston	CLE	60%	89%
Courtland Sutton	DEN	61%	89%
Matthew Golden	GB	68%	84%
Jaylen Waddle	DEN	67%	86%
Michael Wilson	ARI	66%	88%
Stefon Diggs	WAS	69%	88%
Rome Odunze	CHI	71%	89%

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.