Charts· QB risk

INT-worthy throw rate vs. depth of throw (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

31 QBs with 135+ attempts through Week 9 of 2026: interception-worthy throw rate across, avg depth of throw (yds) up, split at the averages. Gunslingers (top right): Drake Maye, Justin Herbert and Jordan Love. Safe & short (bottom left): Patrick Mahomes, Cam Ward and Aaron Rodgers.

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31QBs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

135min. attempts

+0.09correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

31 QBs · 1601 characters

QB RISK

INT-worthy throw rate vs. depth of throw (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

↗️ GUNSLINGERS
Drake Maye (NE) 5.2% INT-worthy, 9.2 aDOT
Justin Herbert (LAC) 6.4% INT-worthy, 7.9 aDOT
Jordan Love (GB) 3.8% INT-worthy, 9.5 aDOT
Jameis Winston (NYG) 3.6% INT-worthy, 9.1 aDOT
Josh Allen (BUF) 3.4% INT-worthy, 8.9 aDOT
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 3.6% INT-worthy, 8.2 aDOT
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 3.5% INT-worthy, 8.1 aDOT

↖️ DEEP & CAREFUL
C.J. Stroud (HOU) 1.4% INT-worthy, 9.7 aDOT
Malik Willis (MIA) 2.9% INT-worthy, 9.4 aDOT
Bryce Young (CAR) 1.6% INT-worthy, 8.0 aDOT
Jayden Daniels (WAS) 2.3% INT-worthy, 8.4 aDOT
Dak Prescott (DAL) 2.4% INT-worthy, 8.2 aDOT
Baker Mayfield (TB) 2.8% INT-worthy, 8.4 aDOT
Caleb Williams (CHI) 2.6% INT-worthy, 7.9 aDOT
Brock Purdy (SF) 3.0% INT-worthy, 8.1 aDOT

↘️ SHORT & RISKY
Daniel Jones (IND) 6.0% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Bo Nix (DEN) 3.1% INT-worthy, 5.5 aDOT
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) 4.5% INT-worthy, 7.3 aDOT
Sam Darnold (SEA) 3.8% INT-worthy, 6.9 aDOT
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 4.1% INT-worthy, 7.6 aDOT

↙️ SAFE & SHORT
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 2.3% INT-worthy, 5.6 aDOT
Cam Ward (TEN) 2.0% INT-worthy, 7.0 aDOT
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) 1.8% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Geno Smith (NYJ) 1.8% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Jared Goff (DET) 1.8% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Joe Burrow (CIN) 2.0% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Deshaun Watson (CLE) 2.4% INT-worthy, 7.2 aDOT
Jacoby Brissett (BAL) 2.6% INT-worthy, 7.3 aDOT
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 2.6% INT-worthy, 7.5 aDOT
Kyler Murray (MIN) 2.6% INT-worthy, 7.8 aDOT
Tyler Shough (NO) 2.9% INT-worthy, 7.8 aDOT

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Every QB on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Interception-worthy throw rate	Avg depth of throw (yds)
Gunslingers · top right
Drake Maye	NE	5.2%	9.2
Justin Herbert	LAC	6.4%	7.9
Jordan Love	GB	3.8%	9.5
Jameis Winston	NYG	3.6%	9.1
Josh Allen	BUF	3.4%	8.9
Trevor Lawrence	JAX	3.6%	8.2
Kirk Cousins	MIN	3.5%	8.1
Deep & careful · top left
C.J. Stroud	HOU	1.4%	9.7
Malik Willis	MIA	2.9%	9.4
Bryce Young	CAR	1.6%	8.0
Jayden Daniels	WAS	2.3%	8.4
Dak Prescott	DAL	2.4%	8.2
Baker Mayfield	TB	2.8%	8.4
Caleb Williams	CHI	2.6%	7.9
Brock Purdy	SF	3.0%	8.1
Short & risky · bottom right
Daniel Jones	IND	6.0%	7.5
Bo Nix	DEN	3.1%	5.5
Michael Penix Jr.	ATL	4.5%	7.3
Sam Darnold	SEA	3.8%	6.9
Matthew Stafford	LAR	4.1%	7.6
Safe & short · bottom left
Patrick Mahomes	KC	2.3%	5.6
Cam Ward	TEN	2.0%	7.0
Aaron Rodgers	PIT	1.8%	7.5
Geno Smith	NYJ	1.8%	7.5
Jared Goff	DET	1.8%	7.5
Joe Burrow	CIN	2.0%	7.5
Deshaun Watson	CLE	2.4%	7.2
Jacoby Brissett	BAL	2.6%	7.3
Jalen Hurts	PHI	2.6%	7.5
Kyler Murray	MIN	2.6%	7.8
Tyler Shough	NO	2.9%	7.8

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.