Kyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings
QB/Minnesota Vikings

Kyler Murray

Age 29.2 · 8th season · 5'10", 207 lb · Oklahoma · 2019 R1 #1
HealthyWeek 6: bye
Week 6BYENext: W7 vs IND
ROS rankQB25#190 overallDynastyQB253,479 · #152
Ask the Coach Trade value Charts
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Move up
Up 1 to QB25 · 9.9 PPR a game (31st) · model QB27 · market QB19
The books rank him QB19 over the rest of the season (14.9 PPR a game), 7 spots above his QB26 on the 10/12 list; that is a small disagreement, so he moves one spot up.
Model
QB27
Market
QB19
2026 production
QB30

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at QB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB23
QB25 now
QB27
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB23
QB25 now
QB27
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB22
QB25 now
QB27

Where his stats say he could finish from here: QB23 to QB27. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#147Sep 21#142Sep 26#146Sep 28#143Sep 30#162Oct 5#179Oct 12#166Sep 21#155Sep 26#165Sep 28#165Sep 30#196Oct 5#200Oct 12#180Sep 21#174Sep 26#183Sep 28#186Sep 30#253Oct 5#233Oct 12

2026 so far4 games

Points a game
9.9
QB37 of 43
Pass yds a game
166
2 TD · 2 INT
Rush yds a game
23
0 rush TD
  • +5.5 completion % over expected (6th of 32 QBs)
  • 0.96 INTs per 100 dropbacks (5th of 32 QBs)
  • 28 rushing yards a game (8th of 32 QBs)
  • -0.14 EPA a dropback (27th of 32 QBs)
  • 0.67 passing TDs a game (28th of 32 QBs)

Ranked among 32 qualified QBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
13.7
PPR/g
13.7
Games left
11.0

80% range 9.6–18.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: new team -0.6, passing EPA -0.4, start vs 2025 level -0.2, 2024 PPG +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Minnesota Vikings are on bye in Week 6. Next up: Week 7 vs Indianapolis Colts, Oct 25.

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 10.0
051015201-0.42OUT310.4411.5518.3051015201-0.42OUT310.4411.5518.3051015201-0.42OUT310.4411.5518.3

Every gametap a game for the detail

W2
@ CHI W 9-3
Did not play (Concussion, out)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.

04

Usage

Pass attempts by week
W15W329W437W530
Carries by week
W12W32W46W510

MIN target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Justin Jefferson
25.7%
Jordan Addison
22.3%
T.J. Hockenson
20.3%
Aaron Jones
12.6%
Gavin Bartholomew
11.9%
Tai Felton
7.1%
Myles Price
5.0%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone carry share
21%
4 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
50%
2 carries inside the 5
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
9.9
11
11
11
EPA per dropback50+ attempts
-0.17
13
Completion % over expected50+ attempts
+5.4
82
Pass aDOTcontext
6.4
7
Rush yards a game2+ games
23.3
64
Pressure ratelower is better
27.0%
18
Sack ratelower is better
8.3%
21
Bad-throw ratelower is better
10.0%
92
Turnover-worthy ratelower is better
1.0%
90
Time to throw (s)context
2.99
79
EPA vs the blitz50+ attempts
-0.68
1
EPA on play action50+ attempts
-0.15
21

Percentile against the QBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Leaderboardstop 10 among QBs, 2026

6thGoal-line carries (inside the 5)6thCompletion % over expected7thTime to throw9thDeep throw rate (20+ air yards)
06

Splits

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries14101-07.26.157%61%
Red zone7% of carries16-06.03.9100%54%
Third down57% of carries866-08.35.763%69%
Score within 793% of carries1399-07.66.354%60%
Trailing by 8+7% of carries12-02.06.3100%59%
Light box (6 or fewer)71% of carries1083-08.37.350%57%
Stacked box (8+)7% of carries15-05.02.70%75%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every QB in that situation.

As a passer2026 charted dropbacks, through Week 5

SituationDBCmp%Y/ATD-INTEPA/db
All dropbacks10969%6.62-2-0.170.05
Clean pocket74% of dropbacks8174%6.91-1-0.040.23
Under duress26% of dropbacks2847%5.61-1-0.55-0.42
No blitz67% of dropbacks7377%8.02-00.080.08
Vs. the blitz33% of dropbacks3653%3.90-2-0.68-0.03
Play action28% of dropbacks3061%8.10-0-0.150.10
Red zone11% of dropbacks1275%4.41-0-0.530.12
Third down37% of dropbacks4078%7.02-1-0.32-0.08
Leading by 8+3% of dropbacks3100%4.50-0-1.430.21
Trailing by 8+1% of dropbacks1100%2.00-0-0.560.04

Duress = sacked, hit or out of the pocket. Small grey number = every QB in that situation. 1 interception-worthy throws and 10 throwaways on 100 charted attempts.

Pressure and play action, 2022-2025
Pressured
22%
of dropbacks
EPA clean
+0.22
vs −0.60 pressured
Play action
21%
of dropbacks
EPA on play action
+0.16
vs −0.03 without
07

Team

MIN
Points a game
21.8
22nd of 32
Plays a game
59.6
21st of 32
EPA per play
-0.099
28th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.8%
25th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.0
30th of 32
Motion rate
42%
24th of 32
Play-action rate
14%
6th of 32
No-huddle rate
5%
14th of 32

Minnesota Vikings offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs GB39-2224.048%−13.7Wentz19 att
W2vs CHI9-321.045%−10.3Wentz20 att
W3vs TB23-1622.058%−4.7Murray29 att
W4vs MIA15-1024.359%−5.0Murray37 att
W5vs NO23-1322.048%−10.9Murray30 att

Depth chartQB, Oct 14

QB1
Kyler Murray
QB2
Carson Wentz
QB3
Max Brosmer

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs

W6
BYE
W7
IND
#26
W8
@DET
#32
W9
BUF
#29
W10
@GB
#3
W11
@SF
#6
W12
ATL
#24
W13
CAR
#25
W14
@NE
#10
W15
DET
#32
W16
WAS
#31
W17
@NYJ
#7
W18
CHI
#19
Next 4
#23
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#23
average rank
Bye
W6

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Kevin O'Connell. QB: Kyler Murray (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Kyler Murray is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2023.7’2121.5’2218.2’2318.3’2417.5’2515.6’269.9
’2023.7’2121.5’2218.2’2318.3’2417.5’2515.6’269.9
’2023.7’2121.5’2218.2’2318.3’2417.5’2515.6’269.9

Season by season

YearGPassing / rushingPts/gxFP/g
2026MIN4662 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT93 rush yds, 0 TD9.9QB37—
2025ARI5962 yds, 6 TD, 3 INT173 rush yds, 1 TD15.619.6−20.1
2024ARI173,851 yds, 21 TD, 11 INT572 rush yds, 5 TD17.5QB1217.8−5.5
2023ARI81,799 yds, 10 TD, 5 INT244 rush yds, 3 TD18.3QB918.3−0.2
2022ARI112,368 yds, 14 TD, 7 INT418 rush yds, 3 TD18.2QB719.7−16.6
2021ARI143,924 yds, 24 TD, 12 INT429 rush yds, 5 TD21.5QB419.8+7.3
2020ARI163,971 yds, 26 TD, 12 INT819 rush yds, 11 TD23.7QB422.9+11.6

Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.

Red zone and touchdowns

202521 RZ att, 6 pass TD vs 5.2 exp · 3 RZ car (6%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.6 exp
202475 RZ att, 16 pass TD vs 17.4 exp · 10 RZ car (13%), 1 inside 5, 3 rush TD vs 0.9 exp
202332 RZ att, 8 pass TD vs 7.4 exp · 11 RZ car (18%), 5 inside 5, 3 rush TD vs 2.6 exp
202248 RZ att, 9 pass TD vs 10.8 exp · 11 RZ car (16%), 5 inside 5, 3 rush TD vs 2.5 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
8%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
9%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.41
CV over 53 games
Middle half of games
14.0–20.4
PPR, 30 games 2023–25

11 of his last 30 games reached 20 PPR; 2 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2020

2025 game log 5 games · ARI · 15.6 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ NO · D1121/29 163 yds 2 TD · 7-38 rush100%18.3
W2vs CAR · D3117/25 220 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 7-32 rush98%14.0
W3@ SF · D1222/35 159 yds 1 TD · 6-37 rush100%14.1
W4vs SEA · D627/41 200 yds 2 TD 2 INT · 5-41 rush100%16.1
W5vs TEN · D1023/31 220 yds 0 TD · 4-25-1 rush96%15.3
2024 game log 17 games · ARI · 17.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ BUF · D521/31 162 yds 1 TD · 5-57 rush100%14.2
W2vs LA · D3017/21 266 yds 3 TD · 5-59 rush91%28.5
W3vs DET · D2821/34 207 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 5-45 rush100%14.8
W4vs WAS · D3216/22 142 yds 1 TD · 1-3 rush100%10.0
W5@ SF · D919/30 195 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 7-83-1 rush100%24.1
W6@ GB · D1222/32 214 yds 1 TD · 7-14 rush100%12.0
W7vs LAC · D614/26 145 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 6-64-1 rush95%20.2
W8@ MIA · D126/36 307 yds 2 TD · 5-19 rush100%22.2
W9vs CHI · D213/20 154 yds 0 TD · 2-6 rush95%4.8
W10vs NYJ · D422/24 266 yds 1 TD · 3-21-2 rush88%28.7
W12@ SEA · D1924/37 285 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 2-9 rush100%10.3
W13@ MIN · D1131/45 260 yds 1 TD 2 INT · 7-48 rush100%15.2
W14vs SEA · D1625/38 259 yds 2 TD 2 INT · 3-16 rush100%18.0
W15vs NE · D2223/30 224 yds 0 TD · 5-11 rush90%10.1
W16@ CAR · D2720/32 202 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 8-63-1 rush100%20.4
W17@ LA · D2333/48 321 yds 1 TD 2 INT · 4-32 rush100%16.0
W18vs SF · D725/35 242 yds 4 TD · 3-22 rush92%27.9
2023 game log 8 games · ARI · 18.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W10vs ATL · D2719/32 249 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 6-33-1 rush97%17.3
W11@ HOU · D1920/30 214 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 7-51-1 rush100%21.7
W12vs LA · D1927/45 256 yds 1 TD · 1-2-1 rush99%20.4
W13@ PIT · D613/23 145 yds 1 TD · 9-20 rush100%11.8
W15vs SF · D426/39 211 yds 1 TD 2 INT · 6-49 rush97%13.3
W16@ CHI · D1924/38 230 yds 2 TD · 5-32 rush100%20.4
W17@ PHI · D3125/31 232 yds 3 TD 1 INT · 5-24 rush99%23.7
W18vs SEA · D1922/30 262 yds 1 TD · 5-33 rush97%17.8
2022 game log 11 games · ARI · 18.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs KC22/34 193 yds 2 TD · 5-29 rush88%20.6
W2@ LV31/49 277 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 5-28-1 rush100%25.9
W3vs LA37/58 314 yds 0 TD · 2-8 rush100%13.4
W4@ CAR · D923/32 207 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 12-26-1 rush100%22.9
W5vs PHI · D328/42 250 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 4-42 rush100%16.2
W6@ SEA · D2323/37 222 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 10-100 rush100%14.9
W7vs NO · D2120/29 204 yds 1 TD · 7-30 rush100%17.2
W8@ MIN · D2031/44 326 yds 3 TD 2 INT · 6-36 rush100%24.6
W9vs SEA · D2125/35 175 yds 2 TD · 8-60 rush100%19.0
W12vs LAC · D1718/29 191 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 7-56-1 rush100%25.2
W14vs NE · D131/1 9 yds 0 TD · 1-3 rush4%0.7
2021 game log 14 games · ARI · 21.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ TEN21/32 289 yds 4 TD · 5-20-1 rush100%33.6
W2vs MIN29/36 400 yds 3 TD · 5-31-1 rush100%33.1
W3@ JAX28/34 316 yds 0 TD · 7-19-1 rush100%18.5
W4@ LA24/32 268 yds 2 TD · 6-39 rush97%22.6
W5vs SF22/31 239 yds 1 TD · 7-1 rush100%13.7
W6@ CLE20/30 229 yds 4 TD · 7-6 rush91%25.8
W7vs HOU20/28 261 yds 3 TD · 6-10 rush93%21.4
W8vs GB22/33 274 yds 0 TD · 6-21 rush100%9.1
W13@ CHI11/15 123 yds 2 TD · 10-59-2 rush100%30.8
W14vs LA32/49 383 yds 0 TD · 7-61 rush100%17.4
W15@ DET23/41 257 yds 1 TD · 4-3 rush85%12.6
W16vs IND27/43 245 yds 1 TD · 4-74 rush100%21.9
W17@ DAL26/38 263 yds 2 TD · 9-44 rush100%22.9
W18vs SEA28/39 240 yds 1 TD · 5-35 rush100%17.1
2020 game log 16 games · ARI · 23.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ SF26/40 230 yds 1 TD · 13-91-1 rush100%26.3
W2vs WAS26/38 286 yds 1 TD · 8-67-2 rush100%32.1
W3vs DET23/35 270 yds 2 TD · 5-29-1 rush100%21.7
W4@ CAR24/31 133 yds 3 TD · 6-78 rush100%23.1
W5@ NYJ27/37 380 yds 1 TD · 9-31-1 rush99%26.3
W6@ DAL9/24 188 yds 2 TD · 10-74-1 rush100%28.9
W7vs SEA34/48 360 yds 3 TD · 14-67-1 rush100%37.1
W9vs MIA21/26 283 yds 3 TD · 11-106-1 rush100%37.9
W10vs BUF22/32 245 yds 1 TD · 11-61-2 rush100%29.9
W11@ SEA29/42 269 yds 2 TD · 5-15 rush100%20.3
W12@ NE23/34 170 yds 0 TD · 5-31 rush99%7.9
W13vs LA21/39 173 yds 3 TD · 5-15 rush100%16.4
W14@ NYG24/35 244 yds 1 TD · 13-47 rush100%18.5
W15vs PHI27/36 406 yds 3 TD · 8-29-1 rush100%33.1
W16vs SF31/50 247 yds 0 TD · 8-75 rush100%15.4
W17@ LA8/11 87 yds 0 TD · 2-3 rush47%3.8
10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
OUT
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
✓
W6
BYE

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202530Foot (3)
202420Knee, Illness
202351Knee (3), right Thumb, Illness
202230Hamstring (3)
202160Ankle (4), right Shoulder, right Finger
202030right Shoulder (2), Lower Leg

2 games missed 2023–25 (0.33 a season), Knee.

23 report weeks over 6 seasons; recurring: right Shoulder, Lower Leg, right Finger, Ankle, Hamstring. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

Jordan Mason
out
Josh Oliver
out
Jordan Addison
questionable
T.J. Hockenson
questionable
Justin Jefferson WR
Questionable (Ankle)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
3,479
#152 overall · QB25 · tier 13
Superflex
3,338
#116 overall · QB28
30 days
−199
90 days −374 · 1 year −658
Peak
7,879
Oct 13, 2021 · 56% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
3K4K5KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’263,4795,419

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
708
3,024
6,972

Teal dot = today (3,479). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 29 valued near #152 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 24 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2022 Jimmy Garoppolo (38% match). He went from 15.0 to 9.2 PPR a game the next year (QB3→QB4). His dynasty value moved −58.9% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

139.0 overall, QB18. Yahoo 110.8 · Underdog 114.0 · CBS 137.6 · ESPN 150.1 · Sleeper 157.6

Dynasty trade calculatorPrice Kyler Murray in any deal
Redraft trade calculatorRest-of-season value for this year
Dynasty profileValue cone, comps and scenarios
12

Profile

Age
29.2
Size
5'10"
207 lb
College
Oklahoma

GWTTKB takes

buy · medium conviction · Aug 2026

Deliberately paired with a "safe" tier-mate as a two-QB build specifically because his own floor is considered genuinely low — real bust risk exists — but the ceiling, given a well- regarded OC and two proven, high-target-earning weapons, is argued to be as high as some names a full tier above him. The specific case: the downside of the pairing strategy is capped (drop him for free if it doesn't work) while the upside is real.

Keep digging

The long read on Kyler MurrayOur full preseason study
His record against the closing linesMarket research in Research → Player lines
Research findingsWhat the data says about TDs, matchups, injuries and breakouts
Every player pageSearch any player, updated every week
All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.