Malik Willis
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at QB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: QB20 to QB27. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- 37 rushing yards a game (4th of 32 QBs)
- -0.22 EPA a dropback (30th of 32 QBs)
- 170 passing yards a game (31st of 32 QBs)
Ranked among 32 qualified QBs this season.
80% range 9.6–18.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: 2024 PPG -0.6, new team -0.6, passing EPA -0.3, team implied total -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Miami Dolphins are on bye in Week 6. Next up: Week 7 at New York Jets, Oct 25.
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
MIA +3 (closing) · total 40.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 13.9 (QB26) · MIA +12.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
Projected 13.8 (QB27) · MIA +10 (closing) · total 45.5 · 86°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 11.0 (QB32) · MIA +10 (closing) · total 38.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 14.9 (QB24) · MIA +7 (closing) · total 44.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Attempts a game | 25.0 | 26.7 | +1.7 |
| Carries a game | 4.0 | 6.3 | +2.3 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
MIA target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the QBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Leaderboardstop 10 among QBs, 2026
Splits
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 26 | 186-2 | 7.26.1 | 58%61% |
| Red zone15% of carries | 4 | 15-2 | 3.83.9 | 50%54% |
| Inside the 108% of carries | 2 | 1-1 | 0.52.1 | 50%56% |
| Third down38% of carries | 10 | 103-0 | 10.35.7 | 60%69% |
| Score within 765% of carries | 17 | 78-0 | 4.66.3 | 47%60% |
| Trailing by 8+35% of carries | 9 | 108-2 | 12.06.3 | 78%59% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)58% of carries | 15 | 117-1 | 7.87.3 | 53%57% |
| Stacked box (8+)12% of carries | 3 | 13-0 | 4.32.7 | 67%75% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every QB in that situation.
As a passer2026 charted dropbacks, through Week 5
| Situation | DB | Cmp% | Y/A | TD-INT | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All dropbacks | 143 | 57% | 6.6 | 2-4 | -0.230.05 |
| Clean pocket66% of dropbacks | 94 | 61% | 7.2 | 1-3 | -0.020.23 |
| Under duress34% of dropbacks | 49 | 46% | 4.8 | 1-1 | -0.64-0.42 |
| No blitz67% of dropbacks | 96 | 58% | 7.2 | 1-4 | -0.140.08 |
| Vs. the blitz33% of dropbacks | 47 | 53% | 5.3 | 1-0 | -0.43-0.03 |
| Play action26% of dropbacks | 37 | 49% | 6.1 | 0-2 | -0.190.10 |
| Red zone10% of dropbacks | 14 | 50% | 1.5 | 1-0 | -0.500.12 |
| Third down29% of dropbacks | 41 | 63% | 8.3 | 2-1 | -0.07-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+52% of dropbacks | 75 | 61% | 7.6 | 2-2 | -0.150.04 |
Duress = sacked, hit or out of the pocket. Small grey number = every QB in that situation. 5 interception-worthy throws and 0 throwaways on 129 charted attempts.
With and withoutfantasy points a game, MIA, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
MIAMiami Dolphins offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LV | 13-27 | 18.8 | 64%−10.9 | Willis27 att |
| W2vs SF | 13-35 | 16.0 | 48%−19.5 | Willis23 att |
| W3vs KC | 10-24 | 17.8 | 54%−15.8 | Willis36 att |
| W4vs MIN | 10-15 | 14.3 | 51%−13.3 | Willis17 att |
| W5vs CIN | 24-31 | 18.8 | 47%−25.9 | Willis27 att |
Depth chartQB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Jeff Hafley. QB: Malik Willis (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Malik Willis is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Passing / rushing | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026MIA | 5 | 849 yds, 2 TD, 4 INT186 rush yds, 2 TD | 12.1QB33 | — |
| 2025GB | 4 | 422 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT123 rush yds, 2 TD | 12.8 | 8.3+18.1 |
| 2024GB | 6 | 550 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT138 rush yds, 1 TD | 8.6 | 6.6+12.2 |
| 2023TEN | 2 | 74 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT21 rush yds, 0 TD | 1.5 | 2.9−2.7 |
| 2022TEN | 7 | 276 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT123 rush yds, 1 TD | 2.8 | 6.6−26.8 |
Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 8 RZ att, 1 pass TD vs 2.2 exp · 5 RZ car (5%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.8 exp |
| 2024 | 6 RZ att, 2 pass TD vs 1.5 exp · 3 RZ car (3%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.5 exp |
| 2023 | 3 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.7 exp · 1 RZ car (2%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp |
| 2022 | 5 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.7 exp · 3 RZ car (6%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.5 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
2 of his last 12 games reached 20 PPR; 8 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2022
2025 game log 4 games · GB · 12.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W11@ NYG · D29 | 2/2 6 yds 1 TD · 1-16 rush | 13% | 5.8 |
| W12vs MIN · D13 | 1/1 7 yds 0 TD · 2-3 rush | 9% | 0.6 |
| W16@ CHI · D21 | 9/11 121 yds 1 TD · 10-44 rush | 64% | 13.2 |
| W17vs BAL · D19 | 18/21 288 yds 1 TD · 9-60-2 rush | 83% | 31.5 |
2024 game log 6 games · GB · 8.6 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ PHI · D31 | 0/1 0 yds 0 TD | 3% | 0.0 |
| W2vs IND · D16 | 12/14 122 yds 1 TD · 6-41 rush | 100% | 13.0 |
| W3@ TEN · D15 | 13/19 202 yds 1 TD · 6-73-1 rush | 100% | 25.4 |
| W8@ JAX · D32 | 4/5 56 yds 1 TD · 4-23 rush | 37% | 8.5 |
| W16vs NO · D11 | 1/2 34 yds 0 TD · 3--2 rush | 13% | 1.2 |
| W18vs CHI · D2 | 10/13 136 yds 0 TD · 1-3 rush | 66% | 3.7 |
2023 game log 2 games · TEN · 1.6 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W6vs BAL · D2 | 4/5 74 yds 0 TD · 3-17 rush | 33% | 4.7 |
| W8vs ATL · D18 | 2-4 rush | 3% | -1.6 |
2022 game log 7 games · TEN · 2.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2@ BUF | 1/4 6 yds 0 TD · 4-16 rush | 30% | -0.2 |
| W8@ HOU · D7 | 6/10 55 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 5-12 rush | 100% | 1.4 |
| W9@ KC · D30 | 5/16 80 yds 0 TD · 8-40 rush | 100% | 7.2 |
| W10vs DEN · D1 | 1--4 rush | 2% | -2.4 |
| W13@ PHI · D1 | 2/4 16 yds 0 TD · 1-8 rush | 18% | 1.4 |
| W15@ LAC · D20 | 3/4 20 yds 0 TD · 1-8 rush | 16% | 1.6 |
| W16vs HOU · D5 | 14/23 99 yds 0 TD 2 INT · 7-43-1 rush | 100% | 10.3 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | Shoulder (2), Ankle, Calf |
6 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Right Thumb, Ankle, Calf, Shoulder. Risk label: low.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,285). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 27 valued near #173 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 37 players' worth).
2024 Marcus Mariota (49% match). He went from 9.2 to 12.6 PPR a game the next year (QB4→QB3). His dynasty value moved +113.5% over the next 12 months.
153.3 overall, QB22. Yahoo 124.9 · Underdog 135.5 · CBS 153.2 · ESPN 167.2 · Sleeper 167.7
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs QBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021Liberty | 12 | 2,626 | 24 | 820 |
| 2020Liberty | 9 | 2,032 | 20 | 807 |
| 2018Auburn | 4 | 19 | 0 | 36 |
| 2017Auburn | 7 | 45 | 1 | 221 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.
GWTTKB takes
The entire bull case rests on rushing volume projected off a tiny six-career-start sample, treated skeptically on its own — but the bigger problem is the near-total lack of proven receiving talent around him (one of the worst WR rooms in the league discussed in this batch), threatening to cap even the passing floor enough that defenses selling out on the run alone could bottle up the whole offense.