Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 17.47 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 123.5, usage worth 16.9.
31 years old · 10 seasons of experience · 2016 draft class
| SLEEPER | 125.3 |
| ESPN | 139.5 |
| YAHOO | 115.1 |
| UNDERDOG | 110 |
| CBS | 114.1 |
| FFA | 109 |
| Goes around | Round 11, pick 4 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | QB16 |
| Bye week | 6 |
| ADP standard deviation | 11.8 picks |
Our board has him at 318 points, 18.9 per game — 4,572 passing yards, 33.9 passing TDs, 51 rushing yards. That is QB3, 109 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 15.1 points per game to a ceiling of 25.5, with the median at 18.9. Boom rate 35%, bust rate 20%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 123.5 on consensus and our board has him 109. We rank him 14.5 picks better than the room drafts him, so the market is underpricing him — that is the disagreement worth acting on.
Not a target in 1QB, but great in superflex/2-QB builds and as a stream given the dome schedule. Mid-10th value.
like · low conviction · 2026-06-05Detroit Lions returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing oc. Jared Goff at quarterback, Dan Campbell as head coach, Drew Petzing calling it. The offense projects to 33.9 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 26.2 rushes.
In: Kendrick Law (wr4), Greg Dortch (wr5), Jackson Meeks (wr7), Isiah Pacheco (rb2). Out: Khalif Raymond (wr3), David Montgomery (rb2), Craig Reynolds (rb3).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Amon-Ra St Brown | 25.8% |
| Jameson Williams | 15.9% |
| Sam LaPorta | 15.2% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 13.2% |
| Kendrick Law | 7% |
| Greg Dortch | 5.7% |
Key additions: Lions have a new OC in Drew Petzing (coming over from Arizona after the entire coaching staff was let go). Petzing is an interesting hire & did not have success in Arizona. But no doubt this offense can succeed at a high rate under him. Drafted WR Kendrick Law in the 5th round. Signed RB Isiah Pacheco from Chiefs in free agency. Signed C Cade Mays from panthers to 3 year deal. Traded for additional O line man Juice Scruggs in David Montgomery trade. Added TE Tyler Conklin behind TE Sam LaPorta
Key departures: WR Kalif Raymond left to join Ben Johnson with the Bears. Lost T Taylor Decker & G Graham Glasgow. RB David Montgomery was also traded to the Texans.
Notes: Gibbs + Williams + ARSB all dynasty assets. David Montgomery was traded to the Houston Texans & opens the opportunity for Gibbs to be completely featured in this offense. If he can stay healthy, he may be the RB1 in fantasy for years to come. Lions brought in Isiah Pacheco as RB2 from the Chiefs on a 1 year deal. He is not expected to play very much, but could be relevant with Gibbs injury. Khalif Raymond heads to Chicago Bears & Kendrick Law COULD emerge as a solid WR4 or WR3 in the long run. Isaac TeSlaa holds significant value if St Brown or Williams were injured. Williams & St Brown are both excellent assets. Goff remains a interesting aging QB that is a low end QB1 in fantasy with a VERY high weekly ceiling but no mobility upside. A key potential bit to keep an eye on is the status of Sam LaPorta follwing his season ending back injury in 2025. He needs to get back to 100% and prove it before we completely trust him. Tough injury for a TE or any football player.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Jared Goff returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (34.1 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33.9 att/g; New OC Drew Petzing — pass rate and tempo may shift.
Base case 283.8 PPR points, with a bear case of 203.2 and a bull case of 351.9, and a comp mean of 281. The model puts 50% probability on him beating this and 50% on falling short. Drawn from 20 comparable quarterback seasons.
| Comparable season | What he actually scored | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Philip Rivers 2013 | 265.6 | 0.2 |
| Tony Romo 2011 | 279.9 | 0.3 |
| Kirk Cousins 2015 | 300.3 | 0.3 |
| Jared Goff 2024 | 297.1 | 0.4 |
| Philip Rivers 2014 | 284.5 | 0.4 |
Cross-check against the dynasty market: his production ranks in the 79th percentile and his value in the 31th, which the engine reads as well below production. Players with a similar production-against-value gap saw dynasty value move 1.2% over the following year, across 15 cases — a dynasty signal, not a 2026 scoring one.
Offensive environment: DET rates 26.2 against a league average of 23, 3.2 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -1.6 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | -5.6 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | +2.9 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -2.7 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Read the full Jared Goff study →Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +0.9% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.8 elite seasons and 3.1 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 2024 | 14.6 | 57% | +21.1% |
| Baker Mayfield | 2024 | 21.5 | 45% | 0% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2024 | 16.5 | 43% | -27.8% |
| Derek Carr | 2024 | 15.1 | 40% | -53.1% |
| Joe Burrow | 2024 | 21.9 | 40% | -0.3% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 1 gained value, 2 lost it and 2 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2016, round 1, pick 1 by LAR |
| College | California |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| Height | 6′4″ |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.82s |
| Vertical | 27″ |
| Broad jump | 110″ |
| 3-cone | 7.17s |
| Shuttle | 4.47s |
| Career PPR per game | 16.6 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.5 |
| Boom rate | 19% |
| Bust rate | 15.2% |
| Games missed per season | 0.5 |
| Injury history | Thumb, Oblique, Knee |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.22 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 2 against CHI — 33.96 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 52-21. His worst was Week 17 against MIN at 2.08, on 0 targets, final score 10-23. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 6 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 18.6; in the 9 decided by more, 16.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.9 points per game. He scored 17.47, 3.4% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 13-27 | 10.9 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | CHI | 52-21 | 33.96 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 95% |
| 3 | BAL | 38-30 | 12.68 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | CLE | 34-10 | 12.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 93% |
| 5 | CIN | 37-24 | 20.12 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | KC | 17-30 | 16.82 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | TB | 24-9 | 10.34 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | MIN | 24-27 | 19.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | WAS | 44-22 | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 87% |
| 11 | PHI | 9-16 | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | NYG | 34-27 | 17.16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | GB | 24-31 | 20.64 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | DAL | 44-30 | 16.16 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | LA | 34-41 | 25.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | PIT | 24-29 | 26.46 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | MIN | 10-23 | 2.08 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | CHI | 19-16 | 15.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 19 |
| Rushing yards | 45 |
| Touchdowns | 34 |
| Points per game | 17.47 |
| Yards per carry | 2.37 |
| Snap share | 98.53% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.85 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.14 |
The offense threw it 582 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 31.27% |
| Jameson Williams | 18.55% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 17.09% |
| Sam LaPorta | 8.91% |
| Kalif Raymond | 5.45% |
| David Montgomery | 5.27% |
3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 24.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 23.83 in those and 18.64 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 15 against BUF — 41.06 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 42-48. His worst was Week 10 against HOU at 7.8, on 0 targets, final score 26-23. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 7 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 18.6; in the 8 decided by more, 19.7. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 16 points per game. He scored 19.09, 16.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 26-20 | 11.38 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | TB | 16-20 | 8.78 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 99% |
| 3 | ARI | 20-13 | 14.56 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | SEA | 42-29 | 27.18 | 7 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 5.3% | 100% |
| 6 | DAL | 47-9 | 25.1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 84% |
| 7 | MIN | 31-29 | 18.8 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | TEN | 52-14 | 15.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 88% |
| 9 | GB | 24-14 | 9.6 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | HOU | 26-23 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | JAX | 52-6 | 34.58 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 80% |
| 12 | IND | 24-6 | 10.76 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | CHI | 23-20 | 16.94 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | GB | 34-31 | 22.02 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | BUF | 42-48 | 41.06 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | CHI | 34-17 | 25.34 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | SF | 40-34 | 25.82 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | MIN | 31-9 | 9.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | 7 |
| Carries | 35 |
| Rushing yards | 56 |
| Touchdowns | 38 |
| Points per game | 19.09 |
| Yards per target | 7 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 1.6 |
| Snap share | 97.12% |
| Target share | 0.31% |
| Air-yards share | 0.37% |
| WOPR | 0.007 |
| RACR | 0.082 |
| Average depth of target | 5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5 |
| Total YAC | 2 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 135.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.1 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.18 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 5.6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.32 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.68 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.04 |
The offense threw it 550 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 27.17% |
| Jameson Williams | 17.53% |
| Sam LaPorta | 15.99% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 12.14% |
| Tim Patrick | 8.48% |
| David Montgomery | 7.32% |
6 of his 17 games were blowouts, 37.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 20.09 in those and 18.57 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 15 against DEN — 31.12 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 42-17. His worst was Week 14 against CHI at 4.44, on 0 targets, final score 13-28. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 6 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.4; in the 9 decided by more, 17.5. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 16.8 points per game. He scored 17.01, 0.9% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 21-20 | 14.02 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | SEA | 31-37 | 22.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | ATL | 20-6 | 18.02 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | GB | 34-20 | 11.4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | CAR | 42-24 | 27.44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 95% |
| 6 | TB | 20-6 | 22.42 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | BAL | 6-38 | 9.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | LV | 26-14 | 12.68 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | LAC | 41-38 | 21.12 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | CHI | 31-26 | 13.74 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | GB | 22-29 | 18.18 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | NO | 33-28 | 16.32 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | CHI | 13-28 | 4.44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | DEN | 42-17 | 31.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | MIN | 30-24 | 14.28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | DAL | 19-20 | 10.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | MIN | 30-20 | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 32 |
| Rushing yards | 21 |
| Touchdowns | 32 |
| Points per game | 17.01 |
| Yards per carry | 0.66 |
| Snap share | 99.71% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.29 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 4.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.14 |
The offense threw it 605 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 28.72% |
| Sam LaPorta | 21.02% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 12.43% |
| Josh Reynolds | 11.21% |
| Kalif Raymond | 7.71% |
| Jameson Williams | 7.36% |
3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 23.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 22.64 in those and 16.43 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 4 against SEA — 33.22 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 45-48. His worst was Week 7 against DAL at 1.52, on 0 targets, final score 6-24. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 6 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.5; in the 8 decided by more, 17. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 16.1 points per game. He scored 16.72, 3.7% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 35-38 | 15.5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | WAS | 36-27 | 26.04 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | MIN | 24-28 | 13.88 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | SEA | 45-48 | 33.22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | NE | 0-29 | 5.86 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | DAL | 6-24 | 1.52 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | MIA | 27-31 | 18.64 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2.7% | 100% |
| 9 | GB | 15-9 | 11.38 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | CHI | 31-30 | 14.84 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | NYG | 31-18 | 6.5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | BUF | 25-28 | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | JAX | 40-14 | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 97% |
| 14 | MIN | 34-23 | 26.1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | NYJ | 20-17 | 14.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | CAR | 23-37 | 25.7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | CHI | 41-10 | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0% | 90% |
| 18 | GB | 20-16 | 9.46 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | 5 |
| Carries | 29 |
| Rushing yards | 73 |
| Touchdowns | 29 |
| Points per game | 16.72 |
| Yards per target | 5 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 2.52 |
| Snap share | 99.24% |
| Target share | 0.16% |
| Air-yards share | -0.09% |
| WOPR | 0.002 |
| Average depth of target | 0 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0 |
| Total YAC | 5 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 87.5 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.01 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.94 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.11 |
The offense threw it 587 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 26.21% |
| D'Andre Swift | 12.57% |
| Kalif Raymond | 11.49% |
| Josh Reynolds | 10.59% |
| D.J. Chark | 9.34% |
| T.J. Hockenson | 7.72% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 18.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.85 in those and 16.51 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 1 against SF — 28.92 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 33-41. His worst was Week 10 against PIT at 4.56, on 0 targets, final score 16-16. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 14.1; in the 7 decided by more, 13.6. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.6 points per game. He scored 13.89, 16.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 33-41 | 28.92 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | GB | 17-35 | 18.44 | 0 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | BAL | 17-19 | 9.08 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | CHI | 14-24 | 16.76 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | MIN | 17-19 | 6.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | CIN | 11-34 | 8.18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | LA | 19-28 | 11.02 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | PHI | 6-44 | 8.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 94% |
| 10 | PIT | 16-16 | 4.56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | CHI | 14-16 | 12.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | MIN | 29-27 | 19.94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | DEN | 10-38 | 11.6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | ARI | 30-12 | 20.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 98% |
| 18 | GB | 37-30 | 17.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 98% |
| Carries | 17 |
| Rushing yards | 87 |
| Touchdowns | 19 |
| Points per game | 13.89 |
| Yards per carry | 5.12 |
| Snap share | 99.29% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.99 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 3.6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 7.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.57 |
The offense threw it 590 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 21.48% |
| T.J. Hockenson | 15.16% |
| D'Andre Swift | 14.08% |
| Kalif Raymond | 12.82% |
| Josh Reynolds | 6.5% |
| Jamaal Williams | 5.05% |
5 of his 14 games were blowouts, 34.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 13.55 in those and 14.14 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 3 against BUF — 27.24 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 32-35. His worst was Week 12 against SF at 3.02, on 0 targets, final score 20-23. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 5 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 14.5; in the 7 decided by more, 17.7. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 19 points per game. He scored 16, 18.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 20-17 | 10.5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | PHI | 37-19 | 23.98 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | BUF | 32-35 | 27.24 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | NYG | 17-9 | 11.7 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | WAS | 30-10 | 24.36 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | SF | 16-24 | 14.92 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | CHI | 24-10 | 16.9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | MIA | 17-28 | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | SEA | 23-16 | 10.48 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | TB | 27-24 | 23.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | SF | 20-23 | 3.02 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | ARI | 38-28 | 24.14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | NE | 24-3 | 14.58 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | NYJ | 20-23 | 15.26 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | SEA | 9-20 | 9.66 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 51 |
| Rushing yards | 99 |
| Touchdowns | 24 |
| Points per game | 16 |
| Yards per carry | 1.94 |
| Snap share | 100% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.4 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 6.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 12.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.36 |
The offense threw it 590 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Robert Woods | 22.95% |
| Cooper Kupp | 22.06% |
| Josh Reynolds | 14.41% |
| Gerald Everett | 11.03% |
| Tyler Higbee | 10.68% |
| Malcolm Brown | 5.87% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 26.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 20.97 in those and 14.52 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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