Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 14.19 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 174.3, usage worth 15.7.
42 years old · 21 seasons of experience · 2005 draft class
| SLEEPER | 236.4 |
| ESPN | 169 |
| YAHOO | 117.5 |
| UNDERDOG | 178.4 |
| FFA | 238 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 6 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | QB67 |
| Bye week | 9 |
| ADP standard deviation | 59.6 picks |
Our board has him at 250.1 points, 14.9 per game — 3,752 passing yards, 25 passing TDs, 47 rushing yards. That is QB5, 227 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 11.9 points per game to a ceiling of 20.7, with the median at 14.9. Boom rate 39%, bust rate 20%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 174.3 on consensus and our board has him 227. We rank him 52.7 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
essentially zero remaining rushing equity at this stage, zero 300-yard passing games last season. New weapons (a proven possession receiver, a rookie TE) are real additions, but the realistic outlook is still a low-ceiling streaming-caliber option at best, not a real roster spot in most formats.
hold · medium conviction · 2026-08Pittsburgh Steelers returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing hc, oc. Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Mike McCarthy as head coach, Brian Angelichio calling it. The offense projects to 33 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 25.3 rushes.
In: Drew Allar (qb2), Michael Pittman Jr. (wr2), Germie Bernard (wr3), Kaden Wejen (wr6), A.T. Perry (wr7), Rico Dowdle (rb2), Eli Heidenreich (rb4). Out: Calvin Austin III (wr2), Adam Thielen (wr4), Kenneth Gainwell (rb2), Jonnu Smith (te2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| DK Metcalf | 21% |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 13.9% |
| Germie Bernard | 13.6% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 13.1% |
| Jaylen Warren | 10.4% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.1% |
Key additions: Traded for and Signed Michael Pittman Jr to 3 year $59M deal. Signed RB Rico Dowdle to 2/$12M deal in free agency. Drafted WR Germie Bernard in 2nd round, Drafted OT Max Iheanachor in 1st roud to beef up line. Drafted QB Drew Allar in the 3rd round. Drafted G Gennings Dunker 3rd roud (depth). Bringin in HC Mike McCarthy & Brian Angelichio as OC.
Key departures: RB Kenneth Gainwell left in free agency to Bucs. LG Isaac Seumalo left for Cardinals. WR Calvin Austin III left in free agency for Giants. HC Mike Tomlin & OC Arthur Smith (Ass) are both gone.
Notes: Drafted Bernard round 2 Steelers traded up. Steelers traded for Michael Pittman Jr. who is aging but will elevate the passing game. DK Metcalf looks to get back on track in 2026 & establish himself as WR1. Crowded WR room. Steelers drafted WR Riley Nowakowski in the 4th round & he will likely operate as WR5 or return specialist. Signed Rico Dowdle to 2 year deal in free agency. Warren is slotted to be 1A and Dowdle 1B, but any injury to either back makes the other a home run hit in fantasy for 2026. Aaron Rodgers SHOULD return to Steelers, but also drafted Drew Allar (bad QB but good prospect who should be rostered because he can progress. Zero floor on Allar but the ceiling is very high if he gets better.)
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Aaron Rodgers returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (32.4 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33 att/g; New OC Brian Angelichio — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Mike McCarthy.
Base case 179.3 PPR points, with a bear case of 69.1 and a bull case of 260, and a comp mean of 167.8. The model puts 25% probability on him beating this and 75% on falling short. Drawn from 20 comparable quarterback seasons.
| Comparable season | What he actually scored | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick 2012 | 167.7 | 0.3 |
| Andy Dalton 2011 | 255.3 | 0.4 |
| Philip Rivers 2012 | 315.5 | 0.4 |
| Mike Glennon 2013 | 89.6 | 0.4 |
| Matt Hasselbeck 2010 | 190 | 0.5 |
Cross-check against the dynasty market: his production ranks in the 24th percentile and his value in the 10th, which the engine reads as below production. Players with a similar production-against-value gap saw dynasty value move -3.6% over the following year, across 36 cases — a dynasty signal, not a 2026 scoring one.
Offensive environment: PIT rates 21.3 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -1.9 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | +2.2 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -1.8 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +3.7 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +1.4% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.8 elite seasons and 3.1 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 2022 | 16.7 | 61% | +33.2% |
| Derek Carr | 2024 | 15.1 | 61% | -53.1% |
| Matthew Stafford | 2024 | 13.4 | 61% | +40.2% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2024 | 16.5 | 59% | -27.8% |
| Kirk Cousins | 2024 | 12.6 | 57% | -14.2% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Career PPR per game | 17.7 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.4 |
| Boom rate | 9% |
| Bust rate | 9% |
| Games missed per season | 0 |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.34 |
His best game was Week 1 against NYJ — 25.66 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 34-32. His worst was Week 13 against BUF at 2.68, on 0 targets, final score 7-26. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.3; in the 7 decided by more, 11.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 15.7 points per game. He scored 14.19, 14.2% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 34-32 | 25.66 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | SEA | 17-31 | 10.42 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 95% |
| 3 | NE | 21-14 | 11.66 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | MIN | 24-21 | 12.8 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | CLE | 23-9 | 17.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 95% |
| 7 | CIN | 31-33 | 22.56 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | GB | 25-35 | 16.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | IND | 27-20 | 12.12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | LAC | 10-25 | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | CIN | 34-12 | 9.44 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 57% |
| 13 | BUF | 7-26 | 2.68 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 84% |
| 14 | BAL | 27-22 | 21.46 | -9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 100% |
| 15 | MIA | 28-15 | 16.96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | DET | 29-24 | 15.54 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | CLE | 6-13 | 7.32 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | BAL | 26-24 | 17.76 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | -9 |
| Carries | 21 |
| Rushing yards | 61 |
| Touchdowns | 25 |
| Points per game | 14.19 |
| Yards per target | -9 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 2.9 |
| Snap share | 95.69% |
| Target share | 0.19% |
| Air-yards share | -0.26% |
| WOPR | 0.001 |
| Average depth of target | -9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 0 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -9 |
| Total YAC | 0 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.1 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.18 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 3.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 6.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.83 |
The offense threw it 550 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| DK Metcalf | 19.04% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 16.35% |
| Calvin Austin III | 10.58% |
| Jonnu Smith | 10.38% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 10.38% |
| Jaylen Warren | 8.65% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 15 | 1 | 14.51 | -9 | 0.2% |
| Mason Rudolph | 1 | 0 | 9.44 | — | 0% |
2 of his 16 games were blowouts, 5.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.06 in those and 16.32 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 15 against JAX — 30.06 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 32-25. His worst was Week 17 against BUF at 0.48, on 0 targets, final score 14-40. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 17.2; in the 7 decided by more, 12.1. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.4 points per game. He scored 15.09, 8% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 19-32 | 8.58 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 75% |
| 2 | TEN | 24-17 | 15.14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | NE | 24-3 | 21.04 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | DEN | 9-10 | 11.6 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | MIN | 17-23 | 11.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | BUF | 20-23 | 17.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | PIT | 15-37 | 13.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | NE | 22-25 | 17.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | HOU | 21-13 | 20.34 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | ARI | 6-31 | 4.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | IND | 27-28 | 16.06 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | SEA | 21-26 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | MIA | 26-32 | 17.56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | JAX | 32-25 | 30.06 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | LA | 9-19 | 12.84 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | BUF | 14-40 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 63% |
| 18 | MIA | 32-20 | 24.96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 22 |
| Rushing yards | 107 |
| Touchdowns | 28 |
| Points per game | 15.09 |
| Yards per carry | 4.86 |
| Snap share | 96.35% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.25 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 4.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.08 |
The offense threw it 607 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Garrett Wilson | 25.98% |
| Davante Adams | 19.35% |
| Breece Hall | 12.9% |
| Tyler Conklin | 12.22% |
| Allen Lazard | 10.36% |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 4.75% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 15% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.65 in those and 17.16 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His usage that season was worth 0.4 points per game. He scored 0, 100% below it. The engine classified the season as low_volume.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 22-16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7% |
| Carries | 0 |
| Rushing yards | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 0 |
| Snap share | 7% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0 |
The offense threw it 600 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Garrett Wilson | 30.05% |
| Breece Hall | 16.99% |
| Tyler Conklin | 15.56% |
| Allen Lazard | 8.77% |
| Xavier Gipson | 6.8% |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 3.94% |
His best game was Week 10 against DAL — 19.36 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 31-28. His worst was Week 1 against MIN at 3.7, on 0 targets, final score 7-23. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 14.7; in the 8 decided by more, 13.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 15.2 points per game. He scored 14.07, 7.4% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 7-23 | 3.7 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0% | 92% |
| 2 | CHI | 27-10 | 16.36 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | TB | 14-12 | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | NE | 27-24 | 16.14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | NYG | 22-27 | 16.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | NYJ | 10-27 | 11.84 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 95% |
| 7 | WAS | 21-23 | 15.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | BUF | 17-27 | 15.22 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | DET | 9-15 | 13.64 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | DAL | 31-28 | 19.36 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | TEN | 17-27 | 19.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | PHI | 33-40 | 9.5 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 80% |
| 13 | CHI | 28-19 | 13.68 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | LA | 24-12 | 10.86 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | MIA | 26-20 | 13.32 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | MIN | 41-17 | 16.56 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 89% |
| 18 | DET | 16-20 | 11.2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 34 |
| Rushing yards | 94 |
| Touchdowns | 27 |
| Points per game | 14.07 |
| Yards per carry | 2.76 |
| Snap share | 97.41% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.46 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 4.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 7.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.54 |
The offense threw it 563 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Allen Lazard | 18.55% |
| Aaron Jones | 13.36% |
| Robert Tonyan | 12.43% |
| Romeo Doubs | 12.43% |
| Christian Watson | 12.24% |
| Randall Cobb | 9.28% |
3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 18.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.92 in those and 14.66 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 11 against MIN — 33.5 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 31-34. His worst was Week 1 against NO at 1.32, on 0 targets, final score 3-38. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 9 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 21.5; in the 8 decided by more, 20.1. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.1 points per game. He scored 20.83, 24.9% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 3-38 | 1.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 74% |
| 2 | DET | 35-17 | 26.8 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 95% |
| 3 | SF | 30-28 | 19.04 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.2% | 100% |
| 4 | PIT | 27-17 | 24.12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | CIN | 25-22 | 19.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | CHI | 24-14 | 23.7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | WAS | 24-10 | 24.66 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | ARI | 24-21 | 15.66 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | SEA | 17-0 | 10.48 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | MIN | 31-34 | 33.5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 98% |
| 12 | LA | 36-28 | 26.28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | CHI | 45-30 | 29.64 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 97% |
| 15 | BAL | 31-30 | 23.82 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | CLE | 24-22 | 19.98 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | MIN | 37-10 | 20.32 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 84% |
| 18 | DET | 30-37 | 14.22 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 46% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | -4 |
| Carries | 33 |
| Rushing yards | 101 |
| Touchdowns | 40 |
| Points per game | 20.83 |
| Yards per target | -4 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 3.06 |
| Snap share | 93.38% |
| Target share | 0.2% |
| Air-yards share | -0.07% |
| WOPR | 0.003 |
| Average depth of target | -4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 0 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -4 |
| Total YAC | 0 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.08 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.36 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 0.8% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 7.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 12.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.14 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.14 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.59 |
The offense threw it 593 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.7% |
| Aaron Jones | 11.42% |
| Allen Lazard | 10.54% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 9.67% |
| Randall Cobb | 6.85% |
| A.J. Dillon | 6.5% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 17.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.73 in those and 21.53 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 14 against DET — 30.9 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 31-24. His worst was Week 6 against TB at 3.8, on 0 targets, final score 10-38. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 13 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 23.9; in the 10 decided by more, 24. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 17.7 points per game. He scored 23.95, 36.1% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 43-34 | 30.76 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0% | 97% |
| 2 | DET | 42-21 | 19.2 | -6 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 3.3% | 93% |
| 3 | NO | 37-30 | 24.52 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | ATL | 30-16 | 29.58 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0% | 98% |
| 6 | TB | 10-38 | 3.8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 95% |
| 7 | HOU | 35-20 | 27.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 97% |
| 8 | MIN | 22-28 | 22.54 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | SF | 34-17 | 28.9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 94% |
| 10 | JAX | 24-20 | 25.4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | IND | 31-34 | 21.74 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | CHI | 41-25 | 25.64 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 97% |
| 13 | PHI | 30-16 | 23.5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | DET | 31-24 | 30.9 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | CAR | 24-16 | 18.32 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | TEN | 40-14 | 25.14 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 95% |
| 17 | CHI | 35-16 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Receptions | 1 |
| Targets | 1 |
| Receiving yards | -6 |
| Carries | 38 |
| Rushing yards | 149 |
| Touchdowns | 51 |
| Points per game | 23.95 |
| Yards per target | -6 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 3.92 |
| Snap share | 97.88% |
| Target share | 0.21% |
| Air-yards share | -0.09% |
| WOPR | 0.003 |
| Average depth of target | -4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | -2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -4 |
| Total YAC | -2 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.09 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.18 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 5.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 8.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.25 |
The offense threw it 526 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.8% |
| Aaron Jones | 12.6% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 12.6% |
| Robert Tonyan | 11.8% |
| Allen Lazard | 9.2% |
| Jamaal Williams | 7% |
5 of his 16 games were blowouts, 26.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 20.61 in those and 23.9 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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