Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 16.81 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 53.7, usage worth 16.6.
29 years old · 6 seasons of experience · 2020 draft class
| SLEEPER | 54.5 |
| ESPN | 60 |
| YAHOO | 47 |
| UNDERDOG | 68.7 |
| CBS | 53.4 |
| FFA | 63 |
| Goes around | Round 5, pick 6 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | QB4 |
| Bye week | 6 |
| ADP standard deviation | 5.3 picks |
Our board has him at 355 points, 21.1 per game — 4,697 passing yards, 38.9 passing TDs, 126 rushing yards. That is QB2, 63 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 16.9 points per game to a ceiling of 28.2, with the median at 21.1. Boom rate 34%, bust rate 20%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 53.7 on consensus and our board has him 63. We rank him 9.3 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
the mobility gap versus the rest of this tier is real and acknowledged, but the counterweight is a genuinely upgraded offensive line after years of poor protection being the single biggest recurring problem of his career, plus a real blocking-TE addition helping both the run game and pass protection. When he and his top receiver were both healthy for a stretch two years ago, he finished top-5 at the position purely through the air with zero real rushing equity — meaning even a repeat of that pure-passing ceiling is excellent value at his current, more discounted ADP.
buy · high conviction · 2026-08Cincinnati Bengals returns 6 of 6 continuity slots — the whole offense is intact. Joe Burrow at quarterback, Zac Taylor as head coach, Dan Pitcher calling it. The offense projects to 36.4 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 23.6 rushes.
In: Colbie Young (wr4), Mitch Tinsley (wr5), Kendric Pryor (wr7). Out: Mitchell Tinsley (wr4), Noah Fant (te2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Ja'Marr Chase | 26.9% |
| Tee Higgins | 19.4% |
| Chase Brown | 11.8% |
| Mike Gesicki | 9.6% |
| Andrei Iosivas | 9.1% |
| Colbie Young | 6% |
Key additions: Retain G Dalton Risner & OT Orlando Brown Jr. Added C Connor Lew in the 4th round from Auburn & WR Colbie Young from Georgia in the 4th round.
Key departures: No key departures
Notes: Burrow and the Bengals look to get back on track & healthy for the 2026 season. Chase & Higgins are set to have fantastic years if the team is healthy. Chase Brown should see his fantasy value stay high in 2026 with Burrow back but it remains to be seen if he is the long term RB solution for Cincinatti. TE play does not typically produce consistent fantasy relevance. Bengals have added heavily on defense this offseason & should be more competitive. Worth note, if the Bengals do not play well this season HC Zac Taylor is going to be fired.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Joe Burrow returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (37.7 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 36.4 att/g.
Base case 287 PPR points, with a bear case of 133 and a bull case of 440.5, and a comp mean of 288.2. The model puts 30% probability on him beating this and 70% on falling short. Drawn from 20 comparable quarterback seasons.
| Comparable season | What he actually scored | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow 2024 | 134.5 | 0 |
| Justin Herbert 2021 | 297.4 | 0.3 |
| Drew Brees 2012 | 385.3 | 0.4 |
| Dak Prescott 2023 | 116.5 | 0.4 |
| Justin Herbert 2020 | 382.8 | 0.4 |
Cross-check against the dynasty market: his production ranks in the 83th percentile and his value in the 86th, which the engine reads as in line. Players with a similar production-against-value gap saw dynasty value move -13.4% over the following year, across 81 cases — a dynasty signal, not a 2026 scoring one.
Offensive environment: CIN rates 25.8 against a league average of 23, 2.9 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +3.3 · easier |
| Weeks 1–6 | +4.3 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -3.9 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +3.5 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | Joe Flacco | +9.2 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -10.1% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.8 elite seasons and 3.1 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 2024 | 15.1 | 75% | -53.1% |
| Matthew Stafford | 2024 | 13.4 | 70% | +40.2% |
| Jared Goff | 2023 | 17 | 69% | +22.3% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2024 | 16.5 | 69% | -27.8% |
| Kirk Cousins | 2024 | 12.6 | 68% | -14.2% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2020, round 1, pick 1 by CIN |
| College | LSU |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| Height | 6′3″ |
| Weight | 221 lb |
| Career PPR per game | 20.6 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.4 |
| Boom rate | 22% |
| Bust rate | 8.5% |
| Games missed per season | 0.5 |
| Injury history | right Wrist, Toe |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.49 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 16 against MIA — 28.96 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 45-21. His worst was Week 15 against BAL at 5.5, on 0 targets, final score 0-24. Across 8 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 15.1; in the 4 decided by more, 18.5. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 16.6 points per game. He scored 16.81, 1.2% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 17-16 | 8.82 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | JAX | 31-27 | 7.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 30% |
| 13 | BAL | 32-14 | 19.24 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | BUF | 34-39 | 23.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | BAL | 0-24 | 5.5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | MIA | 45-21 | 28.96 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 90% |
| 17 | ARI | 37-14 | 20.4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 83% |
| 18 | CLE | 18-20 | 21.14 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 99% |
| Carries | 14 |
| Rushing yards | 41 |
| Touchdowns | 17 |
| Points per game | 16.81 |
| Yards per carry | 2.93 |
| Snap share | 87.75% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.45 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 3.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 5.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.44 |
The offense threw it 640 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Ja'Marr Chase | 30.48% |
| Tee Higgins | 16.14% |
| Chase Brown | 14.5% |
| Andrei Iosivas | 9.56% |
| Mike Gesicki | 6.92% |
| Noah Fant | 6.75% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 7 | 0 | 18.2 | — | 0% |
| Jake Browning | 1 | 0 | 7.04 | — | 0% |
4 of his 8 games were blowouts, 55.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 18.52 in those and 15.09 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 17 against DEN — 36.98 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 30-24. His worst was Week 1 against NE at 8.06, on 0 targets, final score 10-16. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 8 times and came in under 8 points 0 times. In the 11 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 23.3; in the 6 decided by more, 19.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 19.1 points per game. He scored 21.93, 14.8% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 10-16 | 8.06 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | KC | 25-26 | 17.22 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | WAS | 33-38 | 25.36 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | CAR | 34-24 | 16.28 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | BAL | 38-41 | 33.78 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | NYG | 17-7 | 19.82 | 0 | 4 | 55 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | CLE | 21-14 | 14.94 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | PHI | 17-37 | 12.86 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 95% |
| 9 | LV | 41-24 | 29.14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 99% |
| 10 | BAL | 34-35 | 33.72 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | LAC | 27-34 | 29.04 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | PIT | 38-44 | 19.26 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | DAL | 27-20 | 24.56 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | TEN | 37-27 | 16.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | CLE | 24-6 | 21.98 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 98% |
| 17 | DEN | 30-24 | 36.98 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | PIT | 19-17 | 12.98 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 42 |
| Rushing yards | 201 |
| Touchdowns | 45 |
| Points per game | 21.93 |
| Yards per carry | 4.79 |
| Snap share | 99.53% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.94 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 8.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 12% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.39 |
The offense threw it 652 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Ja'Marr Chase | 27.91% |
| Tee Higgins | 17.38% |
| Mike Gesicki | 13.24% |
| Chase Brown | 10.37% |
| Andrei Iosivas | 9.73% |
| Zack Moss | 4.31% |
3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 17.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 21.33 in those and 23.26 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 8 against SF — 27.62 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 31-17. His worst was Week 1 against CLE at 3.18, on 0 targets, final score 3-24. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 15.9; in the 5 decided by more, 13.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.9 points per game. He scored 14.72, 17.6% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 3-24 | 3.18 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0% | 93% |
| 2 | BAL | 24-27 | 15.38 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | LA | 19-16 | 8.16 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | TEN | 3-27 | 4.7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | ARI | 34-20 | 23.38 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | SEA | 17-13 | 13.8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | SF | 31-17 | 27.62 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | BUF | 24-18 | 22.32 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | HOU | 27-30 | 19.88 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | BAL | 20-34 | 8.74 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 44% |
| Carries | 31 |
| Rushing yards | 88 |
| Touchdowns | 15 |
| Points per game | 14.72 |
| Yards per carry | 2.84 |
| Snap share | 93.7% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.35 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.1 |
The offense threw it 615 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Ja'Marr Chase | 24.53% |
| Tyler Boyd | 16.58% |
| Tee Higgins | 12.86% |
| Joe Mixon | 10.83% |
| Tanner Hudson | 8.46% |
| Trenton Irwin | 5.41% |
2 of his 10 games were blowouts, 5.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 3.94 in those and 15.91 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 7 against ATL — 39.24 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 35-17. His worst was Week 18 against BAL at 11.6, on 0 targets, final score 27-16. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 8 times and came in under 8 points 0 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 22.8; in the 8 decided by more, 21. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 19.7 points per game. He scored 21.92, 8.7% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 20-23 | 18.22 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | DAL | 17-20 | 16.56 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | NYJ | 27-12 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | MIA | 27-15 | 20.08 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | BAL | 17-19 | 17.28 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | NO | 30-26 | 32.5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | ATL | 35-17 | 39.24 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | CLE | 13-32 | 13.48 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | CAR | 42-21 | 19.14 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 78% |
| 11 | PIT | 37-30 | 26.7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | TEN | 20-16 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 13 | KC | 27-24 | 30.04 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | CLE | 23-10 | 16.56 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | TB | 34-23 | 24.8 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | NE | 22-18 | 23.5 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | BAL | 27-16 | 11.6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| Carries | 75 |
| Rushing yards | 257 |
| Touchdowns | 40 |
| Points per game | 21.92 |
| Yards per carry | 3.43 |
| Snap share | 98.63% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.17 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 20.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 30.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 4.86 |
The offense threw it 610 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Ja'Marr Chase | 22.56% |
| Tee Higgins | 18.35% |
| Tyler Boyd | 13.8% |
| Joe Mixon | 12.63% |
| Hayden Hurst | 11.45% |
| Samaje Perine | 8.59% |
3 of his 16 games were blowouts, 20.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 23.95 in those and 22.85 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 16 against BAL — 38.1 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 41-21. His worst was Week 9 against CLE at 7.38, on 0 targets, final score 16-41. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 7 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 20; in the 8 decided by more, 19.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.6 points per game. He scored 19.64, 14% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 27-24 | 18.64 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | CHI | 17-20 | 10.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | PIT | 24-10 | 17.58 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | JAX | 24-21 | 22.32 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | GB | 22-25 | 18.34 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | DET | 34-11 | 22.84 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 82% |
| 7 | BAL | 41-17 | 26.64 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 89% |
| 8 | NYJ | 31-34 | 20.26 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 9 | CLE | 16-41 | 7.38 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 92% |
| 11 | LV | 32-13 | 9.02 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | PIT | 41-10 | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 85% |
| 13 | LAC | 22-41 | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | SF | 23-26 | 22.22 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | DEN | 15-10 | 12.78 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | BAL | 41-21 | 38.1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | KC | 34-31 | 34.84 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 97% |
| Carries | 40 |
| Rushing yards | 118 |
| Touchdowns | 36 |
| Points per game | 19.64 |
| Yards per carry | 2.95 |
| Snap share | 96.56% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.22 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 11% |
| Goal-line carry share | 15% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.82 |
The offense threw it 555 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Ja'Marr Chase | 23.7% |
| Tee Higgins | 20.37% |
| Tyler Boyd | 17.41% |
| C.J. Uzomah | 11.67% |
| Joe Mixon | 8.89% |
| Samaje Perine | 5.74% |
7 of his 16 games were blowouts, 43.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 19.57 in those and 19.96 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 7 against CLE — 33.64 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 34-37. His worst was Week 5 against BAL at 4.32, on 0 targets, final score 3-27. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 21.1; in the 4 decided by more, 11.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 21.8 points per game. He scored 17.37, 20.3% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 13-16 | 16.32 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 2 | CLE | 30-35 | 24.54 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | PHI | 23-23 | 20.38 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0% | 99% |
| 4 | JAX | 33-25 | 15.1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | BAL | 3-27 | 4.32 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 6 | IND | 27-31 | 16.72 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 7 | CLE | 34-37 | 33.64 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 8 | TEN | 31-20 | 18.86 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 10 | PIT | 10-36 | 12.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 11 | WAS | 9-20 | 11.32 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 74% |
| Carries | 37 |
| Rushing yards | 142 |
| Touchdowns | 16 |
| Points per game | 17.37 |
| Yards per carry | 3.84 |
| Snap share | 97.3% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.01 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 14.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 28.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.89 |
The offense threw it 581 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tyler Boyd | 19.47% |
| Tee Higgins | 19.12% |
| A.J. Green | 18.41% |
| Giovani Bernard | 10.44% |
| Drew Sample | 9.38% |
| Joe Mixon | 4.6% |
2 of his 10 games were blowouts, 9.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.42 in those and 21.12 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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