Charts· QB deep ball

Deep throw rate vs. EPA per dropback (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

31 QBs with 135+ attempts through Week 9 of 2026: deep throw rate (20+ air yds) across, EPA per dropback up, split at the averages. Pushes it & produces (top right): Jordan Love, Josh Allen and C.J. Stroud. Short & stuck (bottom left): Justin Herbert, Cam Ward and Daniel Jones.

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31QBs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

135min. attempts

−0.14correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

31 QBs · 1524 characters

QB DEEP BALL

Deep throw rate vs. EPA per dropback (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

↗️ PUSHES IT & PRODUCES
Jordan Love (GB) 18% deep, +0.18 EPA/db
Josh Allen (BUF) 15% deep, +0.19 EPA/db
C.J. Stroud (HOU) 15% deep, +0.17 EPA/db
Drake Maye (NE) 15% deep, +0.10 EPA/db

↖️ EFFICIENT UNDERNEATH
Brock Purdy (SF) 9% deep, +0.25 EPA/db
Jared Goff (DET) 8% deep, +0.21 EPA/db
Joe Burrow (CIN) 9% deep, +0.25 EPA/db
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 10% deep, +0.28 EPA/db
Dak Prescott (DAL) 10% deep, +0.15 EPA/db
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 10% deep, +0.15 EPA/db
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 10% deep, +0.11 EPA/db
Caleb Williams (CHI) 11% deep, +0.15 EPA/db
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 10% deep, +0.05 EPA/db
Geno Smith (NYJ) 11% deep, +0.08 EPA/db
Bryce Young (CAR) 11% deep, +0.06 EPA/db

↘️ DEEP, NOT HITTING
Malik Willis (MIA) 17% deep, -0.12 EPA/db
Baker Mayfield (TB) 13% deep, -0.29 EPA/db
Jameis Winston (NYG) 14% deep, -0.09 EPA/db
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) 13% deep, -0.11 EPA/db
Jayden Daniels (WAS) 15% deep, -0.02 EPA/db
Kyler Murray (MIN) 12% deep, -0.12 EPA/db
Tyler Shough (NO) 12% deep, -0.02 EPA/db

↙️ SHORT & STUCK
Justin Herbert (LAC) 11% deep, -0.28 EPA/db
Cam Ward (TEN) 9% deep, -0.12 EPA/db
Daniel Jones (IND) 11% deep, -0.20 EPA/db
Sam Darnold (SEA) 10% deep, -0.07 EPA/db
Jacoby Brissett (BAL) 10% deep, -0.08 EPA/db
Bo Nix (DEN) 9% deep, +0.01 EPA/db
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 11% deep, -0.08 EPA/db
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) 10% deep, +0.01 EPA/db
Deshaun Watson (CLE) 11% deep, -0.04 EPA/db

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Every QB on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Deep throw rate (20+ air yds)	EPA per dropback
Pushes it & produces · top right
Jordan Love	GB	18%	+0.18
Josh Allen	BUF	15%	+0.19
C.J. Stroud	HOU	15%	+0.17
Drake Maye	NE	15%	+0.10
Efficient underneath · top left
Brock Purdy	SF	9%	+0.25
Jared Goff	DET	8%	+0.21
Joe Burrow	CIN	9%	+0.25
Trevor Lawrence	JAX	10%	+0.28
Dak Prescott	DAL	10%	+0.15
Patrick Mahomes	KC	10%	+0.15
Kirk Cousins	MIN	10%	+0.11
Caleb Williams	CHI	11%	+0.15
Matthew Stafford	LAR	10%	+0.05
Geno Smith	NYJ	11%	+0.08
Bryce Young	CAR	11%	+0.06
Deep, not hitting · bottom right
Malik Willis	MIA	17%	-0.12
Baker Mayfield	TB	13%	-0.29
Jameis Winston	NYG	14%	-0.09
Aaron Rodgers	PIT	13%	-0.11
Jayden Daniels	WAS	15%	-0.02
Kyler Murray	MIN	12%	-0.12
Tyler Shough	NO	12%	-0.02
Short & stuck · bottom left
Justin Herbert	LAC	11%	-0.28
Cam Ward	TEN	9%	-0.12
Daniel Jones	IND	11%	-0.20
Sam Darnold	SEA	10%	-0.07
Jacoby Brissett	BAL	10%	-0.08
Bo Nix	DEN	9%	+0.01
Jalen Hurts	PHI	11%	-0.08
Michael Penix Jr.	ATL	10%	+0.01
Deshaun Watson	CLE	11%	-0.04

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.