Charts· RB expected points

Expected vs. actual PPR points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 72 carries

30 RBs with 72+ carries through Week 9 of 2026: expected PPR per game across, actual PPR per game up, split at the averages. Volume & production (top right): Jahmyr Gibbs, Kenneth Walker III and Christian McCaffrey. Low volume (bottom left): J.K. Dobbins, Blake Corum and Omarion Hampton.

Expected = every carry and target priced by field position and depth

Open in the Charts gallery

30RBs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

72min. carries

+0.93correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing; on the diagonal the two are equal. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

30 RBs · 1557 characters

RB EXPECTED POINTS

Expected vs. actual PPR points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 72 carries

↗️ VOLUME & PRODUCTION
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 23.4 xPPR/g, 26.5 PPR/g
Kenneth Walker III (KC) 21.2 xPPR/g, 24.6 PPR/g
Christian McCaffrey (SF) 19.2 xPPR/g, 21.1 PPR/g
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 17.5 xPPR/g, 19.8 PPR/g
Javonte Williams (DAL) 18.2 xPPR/g, 17.7 PPR/g
Jonathan Taylor (IND) 17.8 xPPR/g, 18.0 PPR/g
D'Andre Swift (CHI) 17.9 xPPR/g, 17.5 PPR/g
James Cook (BUF) 16.6 xPPR/g, 19.1 PPR/g
Kyren Williams (LAR) 17.2 xPPR/g, 18.1 PPR/g
Chuba Hubbard (CAR) 16.2 xPPR/g, 18.3 PPR/g
Bucky Irving (TB) 15.8 xPPR/g, 18.1 PPR/g
Ashton Jeanty (LV) 17.6 xPPR/g, 15.5 PPR/g
Derrick Henry (BAL) 15.9 xPPR/g, 15.8 PPR/g

↖️ OUTSCORING THEIR VOLUME
Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) 12.3 xPPR/g, 15.9 PPR/g
Jaylen Warren (PIT) 14.6 xPPR/g, 17.9 PPR/g

↘️ VOLUME, NOT PRODUCING
Chase Brown (CIN) 15.5 xPPR/g, 13.2 PPR/g
Tony Pollard (TEN) 15.1 xPPR/g, 14.6 PPR/g

↙️ LOW VOLUME
J.K. Dobbins (DEN) 9.0 xPPR/g, 6.9 PPR/g
Blake Corum (LAR) 8.3 xPPR/g, 10.5 PPR/g
Omarion Hampton (LAC) 10.0 xPPR/g, 9.0 PPR/g
Woody Marks (HOU) 10.8 xPPR/g, 8.9 PPR/g
Jeremiyah Love (ARI) 11.1 xPPR/g, 8.9 PPR/g
Tyler Allgeier (ARI) 10.2 xPPR/g, 10.1 PPR/g
Aaron Jones (MIN) 11.5 xPPR/g, 10.6 PPR/g
Braelon Allen (NYJ) 11.5 xPPR/g, 11.9 PPR/g
Emanuel Wilson (SEA) 12.5 xPPR/g, 11.0 PPR/g
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) 11.4 xPPR/g, 12.8 PPR/g
Ollie Gordon II (MIA) 12.7 xPPR/g, 11.4 PPR/g
Cam Skattebo (NYG) 12.2 xPPR/g, 12.1 PPR/g
Quinshon Judkins (CLE) 13.8 xPPR/g, 11.5 PPR/g

More charts like this ➡️ GWTTKB.com (link in bio)

Every RB on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Expected PPR per game	Actual PPR per game
Volume & production · top right
Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	23.4	26.5
Kenneth Walker III	KC	21.2	24.6
Christian McCaffrey	SF	19.2	21.1
Bijan Robinson	ATL	17.5	19.8
Javonte Williams	DAL	18.2	17.7
Jonathan Taylor	IND	17.8	18.0
D'Andre Swift	CHI	17.9	17.5
James Cook	BUF	16.6	19.1
Kyren Williams	LAR	17.2	18.1
Chuba Hubbard	CAR	16.2	18.3
Bucky Irving	TB	15.8	18.1
Ashton Jeanty	LV	17.6	15.5
Derrick Henry	BAL	15.9	15.8
Outscoring their volume · top left
Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	12.3	15.9
Jaylen Warren	PIT	14.6	17.9
Volume, not producing · bottom right
Chase Brown	CIN	15.5	13.2
Tony Pollard	TEN	15.1	14.6
Low volume · bottom left
J.K. Dobbins	DEN	9.0	6.9
Blake Corum	LAR	8.3	10.5
Omarion Hampton	LAC	10.0	9.0
Woody Marks	HOU	10.8	8.9
Jeremiyah Love	ARI	11.1	8.9
Tyler Allgeier	ARI	10.2	10.1
Aaron Jones	MIN	11.5	10.6
Braelon Allen	NYJ	11.5	11.9
Emanuel Wilson	SEA	12.5	11.0
Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	11.4	12.8
Ollie Gordon II	MIA	12.7	11.4
Cam Skattebo	NYG	12.2	12.1
Quinshon Judkins	CLE	13.8	11.5

Related charts

All charts →

RB efficiencySuccess rate vs. 10+ yard run rate RB styleTime to line of scrimmage vs. RYOE RB box countStacked boxes vs. yards per carry RB touchdown roleRed-zone vs. goal-line carry share RB boom or bustStuff rate vs. 10+ yard run rate RB elusivenessBroken tackles vs. yards after contact

Go deeper

Player pages Advanced stats Field Explorer Research All charts

Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.