Charts· QB draft value

Preseason ADP vs. fantasy points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

29 QBs with 135+ attempts through Week 9 of 2026: preseason ADP across, PPR points per game up, split at the averages. Paid off (top right): Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Drake Maye. Late & quiet (bottom left): Daniel Jones, Jameis Winston and Jacoby Brissett.

ADP = final preseason consensus

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29QBs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

135min. attempts

−0.53correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

29 QBs · 1314 characters

QB DRAFT VALUE

Preseason ADP vs. fantasy points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 135 attempts

↗️ PAID OFF
Josh Allen (BUF) 21.9 ADP, 25.1 PPG
Joe Burrow (CIN) 53.7 ADP, 24.9 PPG
Drake Maye (NE) 48.6 ADP, 19.9 PPG
Jayden Daniels (WAS) 56.6 ADP, 19.2 PPG
Brock Purdy (SF) 104.0 ADP, 21.4 PPG
Dak Prescott (DAL) 78.5 ADP, 18.6 PPG
Caleb Williams (CHI) 81.3 ADP, 18.4 PPG
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 94.0 ADP, 18.4 PPG
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 104.0 ADP, 17.7 PPG
Jared Goff (DET) 123.5 ADP, 18.4 PPG

↖️ DRAFT-DAY STEALS
C.J. Stroud (HOU) 161.0 ADP, 20.5 PPG
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 169.9 ADP, 19.1 PPG
Jordan Love (GB) 143.9 ADP, 20.6 PPG
Bryce Young (CAR) 166.0 ADP, 18.3 PPG
Tyler Shough (NO) 148.0 ADP, 18.2 PPG

↘️ BUSTS SO FAR
Justin Herbert (LAC) 86.7 ADP, 10.1 PPG
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 60.9 ADP, 16.0 PPG
Bo Nix (DEN) 110.0 ADP, 14.5 PPG

↙️ LATE & QUIET
Daniel Jones (IND) 161.9 ADP, 9.1 PPG
Jameis Winston (NYG) 169.9 ADP, 10.5 PPG
Jacoby Brissett (BAL) 207.5 ADP, 13.9 PPG
Baker Mayfield (TB) 138.8 ADP, 8.5 PPG
Cam Ward (TEN) 162.3 ADP, 12.6 PPG
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) 174.3 ADP, 14.6 PPG
Geno Smith (NYJ) 170.3 ADP, 14.5 PPG
Malik Willis (MIA) 153.3 ADP, 13.1 PPG
Deshaun Watson (CLE) 169.9 ADP, 14.7 PPG
Sam Darnold (SEA) 152.4 ADP, 13.2 PPG
Kyler Murray (MIN) 139.0 ADP, 12.3 PPG

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Every QB on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Preseason ADP	PPR points per game
Paid off · top right
Josh Allen	BUF	21.9	25.1
Joe Burrow	CIN	53.7	24.9
Drake Maye	NE	48.6	19.9
Jayden Daniels	WAS	56.6	19.2
Brock Purdy	SF	104.0	21.4
Dak Prescott	DAL	78.5	18.6
Caleb Williams	CHI	81.3	18.4
Trevor Lawrence	JAX	94.0	18.4
Patrick Mahomes	KC	104.0	17.7
Jared Goff	DET	123.5	18.4
Draft-day steals · top left
C.J. Stroud	HOU	161.0	20.5
Kirk Cousins	MIN	169.9	19.1
Jordan Love	GB	143.9	20.6
Bryce Young	CAR	166.0	18.3
Tyler Shough	NO	148.0	18.2
Busts so far · bottom right
Justin Herbert	LAC	86.7	10.1
Jalen Hurts	PHI	60.9	16.0
Bo Nix	DEN	110.0	14.5
Late & quiet · bottom left
Daniel Jones	IND	161.9	9.1
Jameis Winston	NYG	169.9	10.5
Jacoby Brissett	BAL	207.5	13.9
Baker Mayfield	TB	138.8	8.5
Cam Ward	TEN	162.3	12.6
Aaron Rodgers	PIT	174.3	14.6
Geno Smith	NYJ	170.3	14.5
Malik Willis	MIA	153.3	13.1
Deshaun Watson	CLE	169.9	14.7
Sam Darnold	SEA	152.4	13.2
Kyler Murray	MIN	139.0	12.3

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.