Charts· TE expected points

Expected vs. actual PPR points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 27 targets

33 TEs with 27+ targets through Week 9 of 2026: expected PPR per game across, actual PPR per game up, split at the averages. Volume & production (top right): Brock Bowers, Trey McBride and Isaiah Likely. Low volume (bottom left): Evan Engram, Oronde Gadsden II and Kenyon Sadiq.

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33TEs on the chart

1–9weeks of 2026

27min. targets

+0.93correlation (r)

Each logo is one player, placed by his two numbers. The dashed lines are the averages, and each corner is named for what a player in it is doing; on the diagonal the two are equal. Tap a logo or a name for the numbers, tap again to spotlight him.

The caption

33 TEs · 1626 characters

TE EXPECTED POINTS

Expected vs. actual PPR points (2026, Weeks 1–9), min. 27 targets

↗️ VOLUME & PRODUCTION
Brock Bowers (LV) 18.0 xPPR/g, 21.4 PPR/g
Trey McBride (ARI) 18.0 xPPR/g, 18.1 PPR/g
Isaiah Likely (NYG) 14.4 xPPR/g, 15.8 PPR/g
George Kittle (SF) 11.9 xPPR/g, 14.5 PPR/g
Tyler Warren (IND) 12.3 xPPR/g, 12.0 PPR/g
Sam LaPorta (DET) 10.9 xPPR/g, 11.6 PPR/g
Travis Kelce (KC) 9.9 xPPR/g, 12.4 PPR/g
Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) 9.6 xPPR/g, 11.8 PPR/g
Tucker Kraft (GB) 10.0 xPPR/g, 10.0 PPR/g
T.J. Hockenson (MIN) 9.4 xPPR/g, 10.7 PPR/g
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 9.1 xPPR/g, 10.6 PPR/g

↖️ OUTSCORING THEIR VOLUME
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) 8.0 xPPR/g, 10.6 PPR/g
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) 8.2 xPPR/g, 9.9 PPR/g
Juwan Johnson (NO) 8.6 xPPR/g, 10.1 PPR/g

↘️ VOLUME, NOT PRODUCING
Colston Loveland (CHI) 10.9 xPPR/g, 9.5 PPR/g
Dalton Schultz (HOU) 9.4 xPPR/g, 8.9 PPR/g

↙️ LOW VOLUME
Evan Engram (DEN) 5.3 xPPR/g, 4.4 PPR/g
Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) 6.2 xPPR/g, 5.3 PPR/g
Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) 5.7 xPPR/g, 6.3 PPR/g
Jake Ferguson (DAL) 5.9 xPPR/g, 7.1 PPR/g
Tommy Tremble (CAR) 6.0 xPPR/g, 7.1 PPR/g
Cade Otton (TB) 7.9 xPPR/g, 5.5 PPR/g
Darnell Washington (PIT) 6.2 xPPR/g, 7.8 PPR/g
Greg Dulcich (MIA) 7.2 xPPR/g, 7.3 PPR/g
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 7.0 xPPR/g, 7.9 PPR/g
Mark Andrews (BAL) 8.1 xPPR/g, 6.7 PPR/g
AJ Barner (SEA) 8.1 xPPR/g, 7.0 PPR/g
Hunter Henry (NE) 6.9 xPPR/g, 8.9 PPR/g
Tyler Higbee (LAR) 7.9 xPPR/g, 7.8 PPR/g
Chig Okonkwo (WAS) 8.3 xPPR/g, 7.8 PPR/g
Brenton Strange (JAX) 7.5 xPPR/g, 8.9 PPR/g
Darren Waller (CAR) 7.5 xPPR/g, 9.6 PPR/g
Michael Mayer (LV) 8.1 xPPR/g, 9.3 PPR/g

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Every TE on the chart

Every player on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.

Player	Team	Expected PPR per game	Actual PPR per game
Volume & production · top right
Brock Bowers	LV	18.0	21.4
Trey McBride	ARI	18.0	18.1
Isaiah Likely	NYG	14.4	15.8
George Kittle	SF	11.9	14.5
Tyler Warren	IND	12.3	12.0
Sam LaPorta	DET	10.9	11.6
Travis Kelce	KC	9.9	12.4
Harold Fannin Jr.	CLE	9.6	11.8
Tucker Kraft	GB	10.0	10.0
T.J. Hockenson	MIN	9.4	10.7
Dallas Goedert	PHI	9.1	10.6
Outscoring their volume · top left
Dalton Kincaid	BUF	8.0	10.6
Pat Freiermuth	PIT	8.2	9.9
Juwan Johnson	NO	8.6	10.1
Volume, not producing · bottom right
Colston Loveland	CHI	10.9	9.5
Dalton Schultz	HOU	9.4	8.9
Low volume · bottom left
Evan Engram	DEN	5.3	4.4
Oronde Gadsden II	LAC	6.2	5.3
Kenyon Sadiq	NYJ	5.7	6.3
Jake Ferguson	DAL	5.9	7.1
Tommy Tremble	CAR	6.0	7.1
Cade Otton	TB	7.9	5.5
Darnell Washington	PIT	6.2	7.8
Greg Dulcich	MIA	7.2	7.3
Kyle Pitts	ATL	7.0	7.9
Mark Andrews	BAL	8.1	6.7
AJ Barner	SEA	8.1	7.0
Hunter Henry	NE	6.9	8.9
Tyler Higbee	LAR	7.9	7.8
Chig Okonkwo	WAS	8.3	7.8
Brenton Strange	JAX	7.5	8.9
Darren Waller	CAR	7.5	9.6
Michael Mayer	LV	8.1	9.3

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.