Tyrone Tracy Jr.New York Giants
RB/New York Giants

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Age 26.9 · 3rd season · 5'11", 209 lb · Purdue · 2024 R5 #166
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold RB76 · 2 opportunities a game · model RB67 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list.
Model
RB67
Market
—
2026 production
RB64

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB70
RB76 now
RB84
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB69
RB75 now
RB83
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB67
RB75 now
RB82

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB69 to RB83. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#161Sep 21#176Sep 26#184Sep 28#184Sep 30#182Oct 5#208Oct 12#152Sep 21#169Sep 26#180Sep 28#180Sep 30#188Oct 5#198Oct 12#144Sep 21#153Sep 26#167Sep 28#166Sep 30#176Oct 5#186Oct 12

2026 so far5 games

Points a game
0.7
RB92 of 115
Carry share
5%
7 carries
Touches a game
1.8
3 targets
Role: change-of-pace back
  • snap share up from 2% to 19% (last 2 games vs the three before)
  • 0 of NYG's 6 carries inside the 5

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
4.2
PPR/g
4.8
Games left
10.7

80% range 1.7–6.2 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: rushing yards -0.5, points so far -0.4, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.4, draft capital -0.4. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
NYG
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
NO
LineNO -1.5Total45.5NYG implied22Rest7 days (NO 7)Forecast61°F, wind 9 mph
Our Week 6 projection
1.6pts
RB63
Bench
1.8carries7rush yds0.8tgt0.6rec4rec yds0.04TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NYG team total of 22. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

New Orleans Saints defense vs RBs
#32of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
31.5
rush yds
133
rec
4.2
TD
2.0

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jahmyr Gibbs (W1, 33.6 PPR, 29 car 156 ry, 5/5 30 rec); Bijan Robinson (W4, 27.7 PPR, 19 car 145 ry, 1/2 2 rec); Brian Robinson (W4, 25.7 PPR, 14 car 62 ry, 1/1 5 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #29 against the pass, #27 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where NO gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#16
NO's average rank in the zones where Jr. gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
33%1.7#23
33%0.8#18
33%0.3#8
Behind line
0.4#2
0.2#25
1.5#25

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
71%9.5#30
5.4#28
29%10.4#32
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points NO allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against NO beforelast 1

GameLinePts
2024 W14vs NO · L 11-1416-45-1 rush · 5-38 on 10 tgt16.8
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.3
RB87
Actual
4.1
Difference
+3.8

3-6 rush, 2-25 rec on 3 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 0.7
05101-0.620.030.34-0.155.105101-0.620.030.34-0.154.105101-0.620.030.34-0.153.1

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W519%6%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1, W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share2.5%13.0%+10.5
Target share0.0%1.9%+1.9
Carries a game1.01.7+0.7
Targets a game0.01.0+1.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

NYG backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

05

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets32-25-08.35.40.91-0.02
Third down33% of targets11-4-04.06.5-1.250.08
Trailing by 8+100% of targets32-25-08.35.60.910.11
Vs. the blitz67% of targets22-25-012.55.31.57-0.04
No blitz33% of targets10-0-00.05.4-0.41-0.01

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 2 of his 3 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries722-03.14.129%39%
Red zone14% of carries11-01.02.60%40%
Inside the 1014% of carries11-01.01.70%47%
Third down14% of carries13-03.04.0100%52%
Score within 786% of carries621-03.54.133%38%
Trailing by 8+14% of carries11-01.04.10%41%
Light box (6 or fewer)43% of carries39-03.04.50%40%
RPO14% of carries18-08.04.20%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man365.158%−0.15
Zone665.980%−0.01
Cover 1305.453%−0.23
Cover 2286.179%−0.17
Cover 3196.290%+0.21

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, NYG, 2025–2026

Russell WilsonQB · 2025
With
5.4
Without
10.5
With: 3 g, 7.3 car, 4.3 tgt a game, —% snaps · Without: 12 g (25·W6, 25·W7, 25·W8, 25·W9, 25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W12, 25·W13, 25·W15, 25·W16, 25·W17, 25·W18), 12.8 car, 2.9 tgt a game, —% snaps
Jaxson DartQB · 2025–2026
With
8.7
Without
5.7
With: 11 g, 10.6 car, 2.5 tgt a game, 3% snaps · Without: 9 g (25·W1, 25·W2, 25·W3, 25·W11, 25·W12, 26·W2, 26·W3, 26·W4, 26·W5), 7.3 car, 2.7 tgt a game, 10% snaps
Jameis WinstonQB · 2025–2026
With
5.8
Without
6.8
With: 6 g, 7.3 car, 1.8 tgt a game, 10% snaps · Without: 13 g (25·W1, 25·W2, 25·W3, 25·W6, 25·W7, 25·W8, 25·W9, 25·W10, 25·W13, 25·W16, 25·W17, 25·W18, 26·W1), 9.5 car, 2.8 tgt a game, 3% snaps
Cam SkatteboRB · 2025–2026
With
3.4
Without
12.1
With: 11 g, 4.7 car, 1.7 tgt a game, 9% snaps · Without: 9 g (25·W9, 25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W12, 25·W13, 25·W15, 25·W16, 25·W17, 25·W18), 14.6 car, 3.6 tgt a game, —% snaps

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

06

Team

NYG
Points a game
21.8
21st of 32
Plays a game
64.6
7th of 32
EPA per play
-0.019
17th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.2%
22nd of 32
Red-zone plays a game
8.4
24th of 32
Motion rate
40%
28th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
22nd of 32
No-huddle rate
5%
15th of 32

New York Giants offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs DAL28-2022.348%−7.2Dart29 att
W2vs LA6-2820.562%−6.0Winston27 att
W3vs TEN12-720.044%−19.1Winston22 att
W4vs ARI36-2421.054%−10.2Winston29 att
W5vs WAS27-2719.068%−1.6Winston54 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB3
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
NO
#32
W7
@HOU
#4
W8
BYE
W9
@PHI
#16
W10
WAS
#2
W11
JAX
#3
W12
@IND
#27
W13
SF
#24
W14
@SEA
#17
W15
CLE
#6
W16
@DET
#9
W17
@DAL
#25
W18
PHI
#16
Next 4
#14
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#13
average rank
Bye
W8

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: John Harbaugh. QB: Jameis Winston (most pass attempts, Week 5).

07

Career

Points a game by season
’2410.7’2510.7’260.9
’249.6’259.5’260.7
’248.5’258.3’260.5

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026NYG57-22-0 rush2-25-0 rec on 3 tgt0.7RB92—
2025NYG15176-740-2 rush36-288-2 rec on 48 tgt9.5RB3112.5−26.3
2024NYG17192-839-5 rush38-284-1 rec on 53 tgt9.6RB3012.1−23.8

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

202521 RZ car (22%), 2 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 2.0 exp · 5 RZ tgt (8%), 3 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 0.9 exp
202422 RZ car (39%), 5 inside 5, 3 rush TD vs 3.3 exp · 5 RZ tgt (10%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.2 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
31%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
15%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.58
CV over 26 games
Middle half of games
5.6–15.4
PPR, 32 games 2023–25

4 of his last 32 games reached 20 PPR; 20 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2024

2025 game log 15 games · NYG · 10.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ WAS · D1710-24 rush · 2-11 on 5 tgt—4.5
W2@ DAL · D215-15 rush · 4-36 on 5 tgt—7.1
W3vs KC · D17-29 rush · 2-7 on 3 tgt—4.6
W6vs PHI · D244-6 rush—0.6
W7@ DEN · D49-46-1 rush—10.6
W8@ PHI · D2510-39 rush · 2-14 on 3 tgt—6.3
W9vs SF · D195-18 rush · 3-19 on 4 tgt—5.2
W10@ CHI · D2014-71 rush · 1-0 on 2 tgt—7.6
W11vs GB · D619-88 rush · 4-51 on 4 tgt—15.9
W12@ DET · D120-62 rush · 3-68 on 4 tgt—14.5
W13@ NE · D210-36 rush · 1--3 on 1 tgt—3.8
W15vs WAS · D2715-70-1 rush · 3-27-1 on 4 tgt—23.2
W16vs MIN · D1416-71 rush · 2-7 on 2 tgt—8.8
W17@ LV · D2314-62 rush · 1--5 on 2 tgt—6.2
W18vs DAL · D2618-103 rush · 8-56-1 on 9 tgt—23.9
2024 game log 17 games · NYG · 10.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs MIN · D122-2 rush · 1-5 on 3 tgt—1.2
W2@ WAS · D291-2 rush—0.2
W3@ CLE · D155-23 rush · 2-17 on 2 tgt—5.0
W4vs DAL · D324-2 rush · 1-19 on 1 tgt—2.6
W5@ SEA · D1818-129 rush · 1-1 on 2 tgt—13.5
W6vs CIN · D2017-50-1 rush · 6-57 on 6 tgt—19.7
W7vs PHI · D136-23 rush · 3-9 on 3 tgt—4.7
W8@ PIT · D920-145-1 rush · 2-5 on 3 tgt—22.0
W9vs WAS · D1716-66 rush · 1-3 on 1 tgt—7.4
W10@ CAR · D3218-103-1 rush · 1-1 on 2 tgt—14.9
W12vs TB · D289-42 rush · 4-28 on 4 tgt—7.0
W13@ DAL · D299-32-1 rush · 2-33 on 3 tgt—13.5
W14vs NO · D2616-45-1 rush · 5-38 on 10 tgt—16.8
W15vs BAL · D910-31 rush · 1-4 on 4 tgt—4.0
W16@ ATL · D117-26 rush · 4-43-1 on 4 tgt—14.9
W17vs IND · D2420-59 rush · 2-14 on 3 tgt—8.3
W18@ PHI · D214-59 rush · 2-7 on 2 tgt—7.6
08

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
FP
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202551Shoulder (3), Calf, Hip
202430Ankle (2), Concussion

2 games missed 2023–25 (1.00 a season), Shoulder.

8 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Concussion, Ankle, Calf, Shoulder, Hip. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

09

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
2,109
#277 overall · RB78 · tier 13
Superflex
1,643
#289 overall · RB77
30 days
−472
90 days −1,131
Peak
3,240
Jun 30, 2026 · 35% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
2K2.5K3KJul ’262,1093,240

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
546
1,707
3,246

Teal dot = today (2,109). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 27 valued near #277 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 76 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2024 Jaylen Warren (58% match). He went from 8.2 to 13.1 PPR a game the next year (RB3→RB2). His dynasty value moved +20.6% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

144.6 overall, RB43. CBS 124.2 · Yahoo 130.8 · Underdog 136.5 · Sleeper 156.1 · ESPN 167.4

10

Profile

Draft
R5 #166
2024 · 13th RB · NYG
Age
26.9
24 at the draft
Size
5'11"
209 lb
College
Purdue

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'11"
63
Weight
209 lb
40
40-yard dash
4.48s
72
Vertical
40"
95
Broad jump
124"
81
3-cone
6.81s
92
Shuttle
4.06s
95
speed
68

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2023Purdue1119-132-05.5%2.8
2022Purdue1220-152-04.6%2.3
2021Iowa1015-106-15.7%7.4
2020Iowa714-154-111.2%12.8
2019Iowa1136-589-323.8%23.5
2018Iowa21-22-03.6%1.8

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.