Najee HarrisNew York Giants
RB/New York Giants

Najee Harris

Age 28.6 · 6th season · Alabama · 2021 R1 #24
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Slides down
Slides down 1 to RB67 · 7 opportunities a game (53rd) · model RB60 · market RB64
The books rank him RB64, close enough to his RB66 on the 10/12 list, so he holds; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
RB60
Market
RB64
2026 production
RB58

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB58
RB67 now
RB75
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB56
RB64 now
RB74
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB56
RB62 now
RB73

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB56 to RB74. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#166Sep 21#171Sep 26#163Sep 28#166Sep 30#166Oct 5#176Oct 12#157Sep 21#160Sep 26#151Sep 28#151Sep 30#158Oct 5#169Oct 12#145Sep 21#146Sep 26#140Sep 28#139Sep 30#136Oct 5#150Oct 12

2026 so far4 games

Points a game
2.7
RB72 of 115
Carry share
25%
48th of 66 RBs
Touches a game
7.0
1 targets
Expected PPR a game
5.0
−2.2 a game vs usage
Role: change-of-pace back
  • 3 of NYG's 4 carries inside the 5
  • 18% of snaps (63rd of 66 RBs)
  • 2.8 PPR points a game (63rd of 66 RBs)

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
5.7
PPR/g
6.1
Games left
10.7

80% range 2.3–8.4 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: draft capital +0.6, preseason ADP -0.4, last-game snap share -0.4, 2025 snap share -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
NYG
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
NO
LineNO -1.5Total45.5NYG implied22Rest7 days (NO 7)Forecast61°F, wind 9 mph
Our Week 6 projection
4.5pts
RB44
Bench
7.3carries26rush yds0.6tgt0.5rec3rec yds0.25TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NYG team total of 22. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

New Orleans Saints defense vs RBs
#32of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
31.5
rush yds
133
rec
4.2
TD
2.0

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jahmyr Gibbs (W1, 33.6 PPR, 29 car 156 ry, 5/5 30 rec); Bijan Robinson (W4, 27.7 PPR, 19 car 145 ry, 1/2 2 rec); Brian Robinson (W4, 25.7 PPR, 14 car 62 ry, 1/1 5 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #29 against the pass, #27 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where NO gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#18
NO's average rank in the zones where Harris gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
1.7#23
100%0.8#18
0.3#8
Behind line
0.4#2
0.2#25
1.5#25

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
63%9.5#30
22%5.4#28
15%10.4#32
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points NO allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Najee Harris's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against NO beforelast 1

GameLinePts
2022 W10vs NO · W 20-1020-99 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt9.9
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
5.0
RB45
Actual
1.9
Difference
−3.1

5-9 rush, 1-5 rec on 1 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 2.7
05101—20.635.243.052.405101—20.635.243.051.905101—20.635.243.051.4

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
vs DAL W 28-20
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W2W3W4W518%18%2%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share14.0%19.3%+5.3
Carry share19.1%25.8%+6.7
Target share0.0%0.6%+0.6
Carries a game4.07.7+3.7
Targets a game0.00.3+0.3

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

NYG backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Najee Harris
24.6%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
47%
8 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
75%
3 carries inside the 5
Snap share
18.0%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
2.7
12
14
19
Carry share2+ games
24.6%
38
Red-zone carry share2+ games
47.1%
66
Rush yards over expected25+ carries
−0.21
43
Rush success rate25+ carries
28.9%
7
EPA per carry25+ carries
-0.29
10
Yards after contact25+ carries
2.10
73
Broken tackles per carry25+ carries
7.4%
76
10+ yard run rate25+ carries
3.7%
14
Stuff ratelower is better
7.4%
65
Stacked-box ratecontext
25.9%
75
Expected points a game2+ games
5.0
28

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
5.0
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
2.8
Over expected
−2.2
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 1.2
−1.19

0 TDs on 1.19 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets11-5-05.05.40.10-0.02
Score within 7100% of targets11-5-05.05.30.10-0.08
Vs. the blitz100% of targets11-5-05.05.30.10-0.04
Play action100% of targets11-5-05.05.90.100.08

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 1 of his 1 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries2797-03.64.126%39%
Red zone26% of carries714-02.02.614%40%
Inside the 1011% of carries3-2-0-0.71.70%47%
Third down4% of carries1-3-0-3.04.00%52%
Score within 756% of carries1559-03.94.127%38%
Trailing by 8+30% of carries822-02.84.125%41%
Leading by 8+15% of carries416-04.04.525%40%
Light box (6 or fewer)41% of carries1150-04.54.536%40%
Stacked box (8+)11% of carries3-2-0-0.73.00%39%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man335.073%+0.09
Zone1145.379%+0.07
Cover 2425.976%+0.17
Cover 3385.482%+0.09
Cover 1195.063%+0.09
Cover 6174.788%−0.07

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

07

Team

NYG
Points a game
21.8
21st of 32
Plays a game
64.6
7th of 32
EPA per play
-0.019
17th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.2%
22nd of 32
Red-zone plays a game
8.4
24th of 32
Motion rate
40%
28th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
22nd of 32
No-huddle rate
5%
15th of 32

New York Giants offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs DAL28-2022.348%−7.2Dart29 att
W2vs LA6-2820.562%−6.0Winston27 att
W3vs TEN12-720.044%−19.1Winston22 att
W4vs ARI36-2421.054%−10.2Winston29 att
W5vs WAS27-2719.068%−1.6Winston54 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
NO
#32
W7
@HOU
#4
W8
BYE
W9
@PHI
#16
W10
WAS
#2
W11
JAX
#3
W12
@IND
#27
W13
SF
#24
W14
@SEA
#17
W15
CLE
#6
W16
@DET
#9
W17
@DAL
#25
W18
PHI
#16
Next 4
#14
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#13
average rank
Bye
W8

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: John Harbaugh. QB: Jameis Winston (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open

Najee Harris is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2117.7’2213.3’2311.5’2412.0’253.9’262.8
’2115.5’2212.1’2310.6’2411.0’253.4’262.7
’2113.3’2210.9’239.8’249.9’252.9’262.6

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026NYG427-97-0 rush1-5-0 rec on 1 tgt2.7RB725.0−8.8
2025LAC315-61-0 rush3-25-0 rec on 3 tgt3.44.7−2.6
2024PIT17263-1,043-6 rush36-283-0 rec on 48 tgt11.0RB2614.0−38.8
2023PIT17255-1,035-8 rush29-170-0 rec on 38 tgt10.6RB2812.2−17.3
2022PIT17272-1,034-7 rush41-229-3 rec on 53 tgt12.1RB1714.7−25.9
2021PIT17319-1,229-7 rush76-466-3 rec on 96 tgt15.5RB819.2−42.0

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20251 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp
202451 RZ car (56%), 12 inside 5, 5 rush TD vs 8.0 exp · 4 RZ tgt (7%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.6 exp
202347 RZ car (61%), 12 inside 5, 8 rush TD vs 7.7 exp · 3 RZ tgt (6%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.9 exp
20221 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.3 exp · 42 RZ car (54%), 12 inside 5, 7 rush TD vs 7.5 exp · 7 RZ tgt (11%), 1 end-zone, 3 rec TD vs 1.9 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
23%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
13%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.46
CV over 56 games
Middle half of games
6.5–15.6
PPR, 37 games 2023–25

4 of his last 37 games reached 20 PPR; 17 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2021

2025 game log 3 games · LAC · 3.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs KC · D11-5 rush · 1-5 on 1 tgt18%1.5
W2@ LV · D168-28 rush · 2-20 on 2 tgt34%5.8
W3vs DEN · D126-28 rush13%2.8
2024 game log 17 games · PIT · 12.0 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ ATL · D420-70 rush · 1-9 on 2 tgt56%8.4
W2@ DEN · D3117-69 rush · 1-5 on 2 tgt45%7.9
W3vs LAC · D2218-70 rush · 5-16 on 5 tgt59%11.1
W4@ IND · D1513-19 rush · 3-54 on 6 tgt69%8.8
W5vs DAL · D3014-42 rush · 2-35 on 2 tgt74%8.7
W6@ LV · D2714-106-1 rush · 2-16 on 2 tgt46%19.2
W7vs NYJ · D1021-102-1 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt49%16.2
W8vs NYG · D1719-114 rush · 3-17 on 4 tgt59%14.6
W10@ WAS · D1221-53-1 rush47%11.3
W11vs BAL · D918-63 rush · 4-30 on 5 tgt58%11.3
W12@ CLE · D716-41 rush · 2-13 on 2 tgt39%6.4
W13@ CIN · D816-75-1 rush · 6-54 on 6 tgt52%21.9
W14vs CLE · D716-53-1 rush42%11.3
W15@ PHI · D56-14 rush · 1-7 on 1 tgt33%2.6
W16@ BAL · D89-42 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt28%4.2
W17vs KC · D113-74 rush · 2-7 on 4 tgt45%9.1
W18vs CIN · D1812-36-1 rush · 4-20 on 5 tgt49%13.6
2023 game log 17 games · PIT · 11.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs SF · D16-31 rush · 2-2 on 2 tgt52%4.3
W2vs CLE · D2710-43 rush · 1-0 on 3 tgt57%4.8
W3@ LV · D2919-65 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt50%6.5
W4@ HOU · D2814-71 rush · 1-32 on 2 tgt49%10.8
W5vs BAL · D1114-37 rush · 1-3 on 1 tgt56%4.5
W7@ LA · D814-53-1 rush · 3-15 on 3 tgt58%14.3
W8vs JAX · D177-13 rush · 5-42 on 5 tgt52%8.0
W9vs TEN · D716-69-1 rush · 2-7 on 4 tgt58%14.6
W10vs GB · D2316-82-1 rush · 3-14 on 4 tgt51%17.1
W11@ CLE · D612-35 rush · 1-1 on 2 tgt57%4.1
W12@ CIN · D1715-99-1 rush54%15.9
W13vs ARI · D3116-63 rush · 2-14 on 3 tgt59%8.7
W14vs NE · D1512-29 rush · 3-19 on 3 tgt57%6.3
W15@ IND · D3012-33 rush34%1.3
W16vs CIN · D1719-78-1 rush44%13.8
W17@ SEA · D2727-122-2 rush53%24.2
W18@ BAL · D1026-112-1 rush · 5-21 on 5 tgt60%21.8
2022 game log 17 games · PIT · 13.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ CIN10-23 rush · 2-3-1 on 2 tgt59%9.6
W2vs NE15-49 rush · 5-40 on 6 tgt71%11.4
W3@ CLE15-56-1 rush · 3-5 on 3 tgt80%13.6
W4vs NYJ · D2318-74 rush75%7.4
W5@ BUF · D911-20 rush · 3-16 on 4 tgt49%5.1
W6vs TB · D214-42 rush · 2-7-1 on 3 tgt69%11.9
W7@ MIA · D1917-65 rush · 3-15 on 4 tgt77%9.5
W8@ PHI · D151/1 4 yds 0 TD · 8-32 rush · 6-26 on 6 tgt71%9.0
W10vs NO · D1320-99 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt60%9.9
W11vs CIN · D920-90-2 rush · 4-26 on 6 tgt92%25.6
W12@ IND · D1610-35-1 rush · 1-4 on 1 tgt29%10.4
W13@ ATL · D2217-86 rush · 1-6 on 1 tgt66%9.7
W14vs BAL · D612-33-1 rush · 2-17 on 3 tgt56%12.0
W15@ CAR · D1724-86-1 rush66%14.6
W16vs LV · D2916-53 rush · 6-42 on 9 tgt72%12.5
W17@ BAL · D822-111 rush · 2-12-1 on 3 tgt64%19.3
W18vs CLE · D2723-80-1 rush · 1-10 on 1 tgt63%13.5
2021 game log 17 games · PIT · 17.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ BUF16-45 rush · 1-4 on 3 tgt100%5.4
W2vs LV10-38 rush · 5-43-1 on 5 tgt95%16.6
W3vs CIN14-40 rush · 14-102 on 19 tgt95%21.2
W4@ GB15-62-1 rush · 6-29 on 7 tgt80%18.1
W5vs DEN23-122-1 rush · 2-20 on 5 tgt65%21.2
W6vs SEA24-81 rush · 6-46-1 on 7 tgt84%21.7
W8@ CLE26-91-1 rush · 3-29 on 3 tgt84%19.5
W9vs CHI22-62-1 rush · 3-16 on 3 tgt82%15.3
W10vs DET26-105 rush · 4-28 on 4 tgt87%15.3
W11@ LAC12-39-1 rush · 5-20 on 6 tgt75%14.4
W12@ CIN8-23 rush · 3-14 on 5 tgt58%5.2
W13vs BAL21-71 rush · 5-36 on 5 tgt97%13.2
W14@ MIN20-94-1 rush · 3-10-1 on 3 tgt96%23.9
W15vs TEN12-18 rush · 2-8 on 5 tgt100%3.6
W16@ KC19-93 rush · 5-17 on 7 tgt78%13.5
W17vs CLE28-188-1 rush · 3-18 on 3 tgt96%28.1
W18@ BAL11-28 rush · 4-27 on 4 tgt53%7.5
10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
FP
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202510Eye
202490Ribs, Ankle
202360Knee (5), Hamstring
202280Oblique (2), Hip (2), Foot, Knee
202110Foot

0 games missed 2023–25 (0.00 a season).

27 report weeks over 5 seasons; recurring: Foot, Elbow, Knee, Oblique, Hip. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
1,947
#292 overall · RB82 · tier 13
Superflex
1,592
#293 overall · RB79
30 days
−174
90 days +306 · 1 year −115
Peak
9,537
Oct 24, 2021 · 80% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
2K3K4KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’261,9474,523

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
347
1,386
2,620

Teal dot = today (1,947). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 29 valued near #292 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 46 players' worth).

Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players

Keeps an alpha role for 3 years
15%
Falls off a cliff next year
45%
Value up 10%+ in a year
27%
Value down 25%+ in a year
47%
Value up over 2 years
0%
Value down over 2 years
47%
Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

191.2 overall, RB112. ESPN 170.0 · Sleeper 212.3 · Underdog 216.0

12

Profile

Age
28.6
College
Alabama

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.