Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 6.4 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170.1, usage worth 6.2.
28 years old · 7 seasons of experience · 2019 draft class
| ESPN | 170.1 |
| UNDERDOG | 216 |
| FFA | 338 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | RB92 |
Our board has him at 45.6 points, 2.9 per game — 251 rushing yards, 1.9 rushing TDs, 4.9 catches. That is RB6, 289 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 1.2 points per game to a ceiling of 6.4, with the median at 2.9. Boom rate 99%, bust rate 60%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 170.1 on consensus and our board has him 289. We rank him 118.9 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
New York Giants returns 2 of 6 continuity slots, replacing qb1, te1, hc, oc. Jaxson Dart at quarterback, Jim Harbaugh as head coach, Matt Nagy calling it. The offense projects to 30.3 pass attempts a game at low confidence and 27.7 rushes.
In: Darnell Mooney (wr2), Malachi Fields (wr4), Calvin Austin III (wr5), Isaiah Likely (te1). Out: Jaxon Dart (qb), Russell Wilson (qb), Wan'Dale Robinson (wr2), Gunner Olszewski (wr4), Daniel Bellinger (te2).
The projected carry split across the offense:
| Cam Skattebo | 54% |
| Tyrone Tracey Jr. | 24.3% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 20.5% |
| Eric Gray | 1.2% |
What the offense looks like: NY still reamins a question mark but there is a lot of potential in this offense if Jaxson Dart turns into the franchise QB. He has a strong arm, is mobile, and plays with a certain type of swagger not all QBs play with. Despite what Ravens fans say, bringing Harbaugh & Nagy into NY is a very good thing. A future HOF coach that is putting his reputation on the line for this team to succeed. Harbaugh has mainly focused on the defense so far, which could imply he thinks the offense is in a good spot, but we will have to see.
Key additions: Darnell Mooney WR from ATL, Calvin Austin III WR from Steelers, Drafted WR Malachi Fields 3rd round, signed TE Isaiah Likely in free agency, New Coach Jim Harbaugh & new OC Matt Nagy.
Key departures: Russell Wilson left to free agency. Won'Dale Robinson left in free agency to the Tennessee Titans (opens up significant amount of targets)
Notes: Giants fired Daboll & brought in Harbaugh. Harbaugh should revamp offense. Brought it Isaiah Likely from Baltimore who seriously hurts Theo Johnson dynasty value (likely should be good). NY did not draft RB & Skattebo will be the starter week 1 of 2026 unless they add someone. He could have a monster season with his Jaxson Dart connection growing. Jaxson Dart gets to play with Malik Nabers for the first time & connection should be electric. Darnell Mooney is a great signing & is on a 1 year prove it deal in NY. If Dart play continues, Mooney will have value.
How the volume number was reached: New QB Jaxson Dart, avg 24.2 att/g over 2025; Regressed 65% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 30.2 att/g; New OC Matt Nagy — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Jim Harbaugh.
| Projected carry share | 20.5% |
| Projected carries per game | 4.7 |
| Projected carries, full season | 79 |
| Last season, carries per game | 7 |
That is a reduction of 2.3 carries a game against last season, inside a team projection of 27.7 rushing attempts a game.
Basis: prior usage blend. Carry share is the strongest forward predictor we have measured at the position, so this number carries more weight than any efficiency figure on this page.
Offensive environment: NYG rates 21.8 against a league average of 23, 1.1 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted run defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +0.6 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | +5.4 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -2.7 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +0.4 · neutral |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -3.9% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.7 elite seasons and 2.4 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | 2024 | 6.1 | 63% | -28.4% |
| Jamaal Williams | 2024 | 2.7 | 57% | +9.7% |
| Miles Sanders | 2024 | 7 | 55% | +3% |
| Jamaal Williams | 2023 | 4.7 | 55% | -26.9% |
| Samaje Perine | 2024 | 4.8 | 52% | +39.7% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2019, round 3, pick 74 by BUF |
| College | Florida Atlantic |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| Height | 5′7″ |
| Weight | 203 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.66s |
| Vertical | 35″ |
| Broad jump | 117″ |
| 3-cone | 7.32s |
| Shuttle | 4.4s |
| Career PPR per game | 9.1 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.7 |
| Boom rate | 26.3% |
| Bust rate | 26.3% |
| Games missed per season | 0.2 |
| Injury history | Groin |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.39 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 13 against NE — 19.2 PPR on 15 touches and a 12.5% target share, in a game that finished 15-33. His worst was Week 7 against DEN at 0.2, on 2 touches, final score 32-33. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.6; in the 9 decided by more, 7.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 6.2 points per game. He scored 6.4, 3.5% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 6-21 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 15% |
| 2 | DAL | 37-40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2.5% | 6% |
| 3 | KC | 9-22 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 24% |
| 4 | LAC | 21-18 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0% | 25% |
| 5 | NO | 14-26 | 3.4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 5.1% | 32% |
| 6 | PHI | 34-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 6% |
| 7 | DEN | 32-33 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 4% |
| 8 | PHI | 20-38 | 3.8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 15% |
| 9 | SF | 24-34 | 7.1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 6.3% | 56% |
| 10 | CHI | 20-24 | 10.3 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 9.4% | 33% |
| 11 | GB | 20-27 | 17.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 3.4% | 49% |
| 12 | DET | 27-34 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 0 | 0% | 30% |
| 13 | NE | 15-33 | 19.2 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 12 | 68 | 1 | 12.5% | 51% |
| 15 | WAS | 21-29 | 2.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2.8% | 24% |
| 16 | MIN | 13-16 | 5.6 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 47 | 0 | 7.7% | 38% |
| 17 | LV | 34-10 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 13.8% | 30% |
| 18 | DAL | 34-17 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 32% |
| Receptions | 18 |
| Targets | 19 |
| Receiving yards | 151 |
| Carries | 119 |
| Rushing yards | 437 |
| Touchdowns | 5 |
| Points per game | 6.4 |
| Yards per target | 7.95 |
| Catch rate | 94.74% |
| Yards per carry | 3.67 |
| Snap share | 27.65% |
| Target share | 4% |
| Air-yards share | -0.55% |
| WOPR | 0.056 |
| RACR | -3.051 |
| Average depth of target | -0.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.6 |
| Total YAC | 162 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 99.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.13 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.16 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 3.1% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 22.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 33.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.65 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.65 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.12 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 47 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 3 of 49 |
| Target share | 42 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 23 of 49 |
The offense threw it 526 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 27.89% |
| Theo Johnson | 14.74% |
| Darius Slayton | 12.55% |
| Tyrone Tracy | 9.56% |
| Malik Nabers | 6.97% |
| Cam Skattebo | 6.37% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart | 12 | 17 | 6.95 | 8.94 | 5.17% |
| Russell Wilson | 3 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 0.83% |
| Jameis Winston | 2 | 1 | 11.2 | 3 | 1.7% |
5 of his 17 games were blowouts, 47.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 10.32 in those and 5.59 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 3 against CLE — 18.8 PPR on 20 touches and a 12.1% target share, in a game that finished 21-15. His worst was Week 14 against NO at 0.8, on 2 touches, final score 11-14. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.3; in the 6 decided by more, 6.6. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 7.3 points per game. He scored 6.44, 12.2% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 6-28 | 9.2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 13.2% | 70% |
| 2 | WAS | 18-21 | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 95 | 1 | 3.7% | 79% |
| 3 | CLE | 21-15 | 18.8 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 16 | 65 | 1 | 12.1% | 68% |
| 4 | DAL | 15-20 | 4.8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 24 | 0 | 2.6% | 68% |
| 7 | PHI | 3-28 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 3.7% | 21% |
| 8 | PIT | 18-26 | 4.3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 8.1% | 39% |
| 9 | WAS | 22-27 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 0% | 28% |
| 10 | CAR | 17-20 | 5.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 3.1% | 23% |
| 12 | TB | 7-30 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6.7% | 36% |
| 13 | DAL | 20-27 | 2.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 3.1% | 21% |
| 14 | NO | 11-14 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 18% |
| 15 | BAL | 14-35 | 13.1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 8.8% | 34% |
| 16 | ATL | 7-34 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 22% |
| 17 | IND | 45-33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 4.5% | 27% |
| 18 | PHI | 13-20 | 2.7 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 3.6% | 30% |
| Receptions | 21 |
| Targets | 24 |
| Receiving yards | 119 |
| Carries | 113 |
| Rushing yards | 437 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 6.44 |
| Yards per target | 4.96 |
| Catch rate | 87.5% |
| Yards per carry | 3.87 |
| Snap share | 38.93% |
| Target share | 4.88% |
| Air-yards share | -2.31% |
| WOPR | 0.057 |
| RACR | 0.578 |
| Average depth of target | -2.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -2.8 |
| Total YAC | 178 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 52.6 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.75 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.74 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 19.6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 29.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.74 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 40 of 46 |
| Yards per target | 32 of 46 |
| Target share | 38 of 46 |
| Air-yards share | 40 of 46 |
The offense threw it 591 times. He took 4.33% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Malik Nabers | 30.69% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 25.27% |
| Darius Slayton | 12.82% |
| Tyrone Tracy | 9.57% |
| Theo Johnson | 7.76% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 4.33% |
He caught passes from 4 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | 8 | 16 | 7.94 | 5.75 | 5.81% |
| Drew Lock | 5 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.33 | 2.24% |
| Tommy DeVito | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3.5 | 6.7% |
| Tim Boyle | 1 | 3 | 13.1 | 5.33 | 8.8% |
5 of his 15 games were blowouts, 36.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.12 in those and 6.33 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 10 against CIN — 23.1 PPR on 32 touches and a 5.1% target share, in a game that finished 30-27. His worst was Week 5 against ATL at 0, on 1 touches, final score 19-21. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.4; in the 7 decided by more, 7.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 11.2 points per game. He scored 9.84, 7.8% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 9-25 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 21% |
| 2 | IND | 20-31 | 3.4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 2.3% | 36% |
| 3 | JAX | 37-17 | 6.5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 6.9% | 39% |
| 4 | PIT | 30-6 | 8.84 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3.7% | 35% |
| 5 | ATL | 19-21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1% | 29% |
| 6 | NO | 20-13 | 7.2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 8.3% | 54% |
| 8 | CAR | 13-15 | 6.3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 8.3% | 40% |
| 9 | TB | 39-37 | 4.6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 0 | 5.3% | 75% |
| 10 | CIN | 30-27 | 23.1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 150 | 1 | 5.1% | 81% |
| 11 | ARI | 21-16 | 19.8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 112 | 1 | 5.3% | 85% |
| 12 | JAX | 21-24 | 13.2 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 19.4% | 82% |
| 13 | DEN | 22-17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 3.7% | 46% |
| 14 | NYJ | 6-30 | 12.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 11.1% | 57% |
| 15 | TEN | 19-16 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 121 | 0 | 14.7% | 75% |
| 16 | CLE | 22-36 | 9.3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 6.3% | 44% |
| 17 | TEN | 26-3 | 11.6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 80 | 0 | 9.7% | 62% |
| 18 | IND | 23-19 | 13.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 1 | 3.8% | 88% |
| Receptions | 30 |
| Targets | 38 |
| Receiving yards | 193 |
| Carries | 216 |
| Rushing yards | 898 |
| Touchdowns | 5 |
| Points per game | 9.84 |
| Yards per target | 5.08 |
| Catch rate | 78.95% |
| Yards per carry | 4.16 |
| Snap share | 55.82% |
| Target share | 6.88% |
| Air-yards share | -0.01% |
| WOPR | 0.102 |
| RACR | -6.244 |
| Average depth of target | 0.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.8 |
| Total YAC | 217 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 87.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.31 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.97 |
| Red-zone targets | 4 |
| Red-zone target share | 5.3% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 42.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 32.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.83 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.83 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.67 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 36 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 28 of 49 |
| Target share | 38 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 14 of 49 |
The offense threw it 592 times. He took 6.88% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Nico Collins | 19.75% |
| Dalton Schultz | 15.94% |
| Robert Woods | 13.59% |
| Tank Dell | 13.59% |
| Noah Brown | 9.96% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 6.88% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 15 | 30 | 9.14 | 4.17 | 6.4% |
| Case Keenum | 1 | 5 | 21 | 9.8 | 14.7% |
| Davis Mills | 1 | 3 | 9.3 | 6.33 | 6.3% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 23.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.86 in those and 11.37 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 3 against MIA — 24.1 PPR on 20 touches and a 19.3% target share, in a game that finished 19-21. His worst was Week 18 against NE at 2.2, on 8 touches, final score 35-23. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 13; in the 7 decided by more, 8.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 11.7 points per game. He scored 11.12, 7.8% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 31-10 | 8.2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 6.5% | 59% |
| 2 | TEN | 41-7 | 4.1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 7.7% | 54% |
| 3 | MIA | 19-21 | 24.1 | 9 | 11 | 78 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19.3% | 73% |
| 4 | BAL | 23-20 | 11.6 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 14.7% | 88% |
| 5 | PIT | 38-3 | 5.6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 5.6% | 54% |
| 6 | KC | 24-20 | 14.7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 85 | 0 | 13.2% | 86% |
| 8 | GB | 27-17 | 9.3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 8% | 75% |
| 9 | NYJ | 17-20 | 8.8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 15.2% | 74% |
| 10 | MIN | 30-33 | 15.7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 4.9% | 72% |
| 11 | CLE | 31-23 | 17.7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 86 | 1 | 8.3% | 72% |
| 12 | DET | 28-25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 72 | 0 | 2.6% | 78% |
| 13 | NE | 24-10 | 11.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 6.1% | 44% |
| 14 | NYJ | 20-12 | 5.3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 7.4% | 49% |
| 15 | MIA | 32-29 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 10.5% | 60% |
| 16 | CHI | 35-13 | 20.5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 106 | 1 | 12% | 58% |
| 18 | NE | 35-23 | 2.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 3.2% | 41% |
| Receptions | 38 |
| Targets | 52 |
| Receiving yards | 280 |
| Carries | 177 |
| Rushing yards | 819 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 11.12 |
| Yards per target | 5.38 |
| Catch rate | 73.08% |
| Yards per carry | 4.63 |
| Snap share | 64.81% |
| Target share | 9.07% |
| Air-yards share | 0.15% |
| WOPR | 0.138 |
| RACR | 1.29 |
| Average depth of target | 0.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.6 |
| Total YAC | 257 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 91.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.43 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 9.2% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 46.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 50% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.97 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.97 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 6.76 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 25 of 42 |
| Yards per target | 17 of 42 |
| Target share | 20 of 42 |
| Air-yards share | 17 of 42 |
The offense threw it 574 times. He took 9.44% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 27.95% |
| Gabe Davis | 16.88% |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 11.8% |
| Dawson Knox | 11.8% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 9.44% |
| James Cook | 5.81% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 21.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.6 in those and 12.99 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 18 against NYJ — 25.2 PPR on 21 touches and a 4.4% target share, in a game that finished 27-10. His worst was Week 5 against KC at 3.3, on 8 touches, final score 38-20. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.3; in the 12 decided by more, 12.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 11.8 points per game. He scored 11.64, 6.2% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 16-23 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 72 | 0 | 10.4% | 75% |
| 2 | MIA | 35-0 | 17.1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 82 | 1 | 10.3% | 66% |
| 3 | WAS | 43-21 | 3.6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 4.7% | 43% |
| 4 | HOU | 40-0 | 9.6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 79 | 0 | 3.2% | 44% |
| 5 | KC | 38-20 | 3.3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 8.3% | 26% |
| 6 | TEN | 31-34 | 9.3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 11.1% | 45% |
| 8 | MIA | 26-11 | 3.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 2.4% | 34% |
| 9 | JAX | 6-9 | 12.9 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 17.8% | 72% |
| 10 | NYJ | 45-17 | 11.9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 1 | 3.6% | 38% |
| 11 | IND | 15-41 | 7.3 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10.3% | 38% |
| 12 | NO | 31-6 | 5.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 0 | 3.8% | 68% |
| 13 | NE | 10-14 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0% | 48% |
| 14 | TB | 27-33 | 14.9 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 13.7% | 82% |
| 15 | CAR | 31-14 | 16.6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 86 | 1 | 3.2% | 93% |
| 16 | NE | 33-21 | 18.8 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 12 | 39 | 1 | 14% | 68% |
| 17 | ATL | 29-15 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 110 | 2 | 4.2% | 80% |
| 18 | NYJ | 27-10 | 25.2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 88 | 2 | 4.4% | 76% |
| Receptions | 40 |
| Targets | 50 |
| Receiving yards | 228 |
| Carries | 188 |
| Rushing yards | 870 |
| Touchdowns | 8 |
| Points per game | 11.64 |
| Yards per target | 4.56 |
| Catch rate | 80% |
| Yards per carry | 4.63 |
| Snap share | 58.59% |
| Target share | 7.38% |
| Air-yards share | 0.11% |
| WOPR | 0.112 |
| RACR | 1.225 |
| Average depth of target | 0.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.3 |
| Total YAC | 241 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 84 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.14 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.22 |
| Red-zone targets | 7 |
| Red-zone target share | 5.5% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 40% |
| Goal-line carry share | 42.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.66 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.66 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 7.96 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 27 of 50 |
| Yards per target | 44 of 50 |
| Target share | 30 of 50 |
| Air-yards share | 20 of 50 |
The offense threw it 655 times. He took 8.04% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 26.37% |
| Cole Beasley | 18.01% |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 11.58% |
| Dawson Knox | 11.41% |
| Gabe Davis | 10.13% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 8.04% |
9 of his 17 games were blowouts, 50.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 11.16 in those and 10.34 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 4 against LV — 18.7 PPR on 24 touches and a 18.8% target share, in a game that finished 30-23. His worst was Week 10 against ARI at 2, on 7 touches, final score 30-32. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.6; in the 10 decided by more, 8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 10.5 points per game. He scored 8.98, 18.6% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 0 against 1.31 expected, a gap of -1.3.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 27-17 | 10.3 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 15.6% | 59% |
| 2 | MIA | 31-28 | 9.6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 8.6% | 56% |
| 3 | LA | 35-32 | 16.1 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 13 | 71 | 0 | 15.6% | 89% |
| 4 | LV | 30-23 | 18.7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 56 | 1 | 18.8% | 89% |
| 5 | TEN | 16-42 | 4.3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 2.2% | 63% |
| 6 | KC | 17-26 | 5.5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 8% | 75% |
| 7 | NYJ | 18-10 | 6.7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 12.2% | 54% |
| 8 | NE | 24-21 | 10.2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 86 | 0 | 5.6% | 48% |
| 9 | SEA | 44-34 | 6.4 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9% | 46% |
| 10 | ARI | 30-32 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 6.7% | 47% |
| 12 | LAC | 27-17 | 11.2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 82 | 0 | 12.5% | 40% |
| 13 | SF | 34-24 | 11.3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 61 | 0 | 10.8% | 85% |
| 14 | PIT | 26-15 | 4.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 2.4% | 40% |
| 15 | DEN | 48-19 | 17.4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 68 | 1 | 7.9% | 53% |
| 16 | NE | 38-9 | 7.2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 5.3% | 49% |
| 17 | MIA | 56-26 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2.7% | 28% |
| Receptions | 38 |
| Targets | 50 |
| Receiving yards | 269 |
| Carries | 156 |
| Rushing yards | 687 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 8.98 |
| Yards per target | 5.38 |
| Catch rate | 76% |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 |
| Snap share | 57.56% |
| Target share | 8.93% |
| Air-yards share | 0.57% |
| WOPR | 0.139 |
| RACR | 1.422 |
| Average depth of target | 1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0 |
| Total YAC | 269 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 87.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.03 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.88 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 8.7% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 27.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 18.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.31 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.31 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 3.72 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 36 of 47 |
| Yards per target | 27 of 47 |
| Target share | 20 of 47 |
| Air-yards share | 22 of 47 |
The offense threw it 595 times. He took 8.77% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 29.12% |
| Cole Beasley | 18.77% |
| Gabe Davis | 10.88% |
| John Brown | 9.12% |
| Devin Singletary ← | 8.77% |
| Dawson Knox | 7.72% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 21.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.8 in those and 10.55 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
Ask the Coach about Devin Singletary →