Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 1.06 points per game in 2025, usage worth 0.6.
29 years old · 5 seasons of experience · 2021 draft class
Our board has him at 45.7 points, 2.8 per game — 16.6 catches, 207 yards, 1.4 TDs. That is WR6, 406 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 2 points per game to a ceiling of 5.2, with the median at 2.8. Boom rate 85%, bust rate 30%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
Pittsburgh Steelers returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing hc, oc. Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Mike McCarthy as head coach, Brian Angelichio calling it. The offense projects to 33 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 25.3 rushes.
In: Drew Allar (qb2), Michael Pittman Jr. (wr2), Germie Bernard (wr3), Kaden Wejen (wr6), A.T. Perry (wr7), Rico Dowdle (rb2), Eli Heidenreich (rb4). Out: Calvin Austin III (wr2), Adam Thielen (wr4), Kenneth Gainwell (rb2), Jonnu Smith (te2).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 2.2%, with a bear case of 0.9% and a bull case of 3.3%.
The projected target split across the offense:
| DK Metcalf | 21% |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 13.9% |
| Germie Bernard | 13.6% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 13.1% |
| Jaylen Warren | 10.4% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.1% |
Key additions: Traded for and Signed Michael Pittman Jr to 3 year $59M deal. Signed RB Rico Dowdle to 2/$12M deal in free agency. Drafted WR Germie Bernard in 2nd round, Drafted OT Max Iheanachor in 1st roud to beef up line. Drafted QB Drew Allar in the 3rd round. Drafted G Gennings Dunker 3rd roud (depth). Bringin in HC Mike McCarthy & Brian Angelichio as OC.
Key departures: RB Kenneth Gainwell left in free agency to Bucs. LG Isaac Seumalo left for Cardinals. WR Calvin Austin III left in free agency for Giants. HC Mike Tomlin & OC Arthur Smith (Ass) are both gone.
Notes: Drafted Bernard round 2 Steelers traded up. Steelers traded for Michael Pittman Jr. who is aging but will elevate the passing game. DK Metcalf looks to get back on track in 2026 & establish himself as WR1. Crowded WR room. Steelers drafted WR Riley Nowakowski in the 4th round & he will likely operate as WR5 or return specialist. Signed Rico Dowdle to 2 year deal in free agency. Warren is slotted to be 1A and Dowdle 1B, but any injury to either back makes the other a home run hit in fantasy for 2026. Aaron Rodgers SHOULD return to Steelers, but also drafted Drew Allar (bad QB but good prospect who should be rostered because he can progress. Zero floor on Allar but the ceiling is very high if he gets better.)
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Aaron Rodgers returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (32.4 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33 att/g; New OC Brian Angelichio — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Mike McCarthy.
Depth/practice piece (arrival_no_qualifying_multi_year_sample) — slot prior 2.5% baseline.
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: PIT rates 21.3 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -1.9 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | +2.2 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -1.8 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +3.7 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3 | Tutu Atwell | +1.1 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +5.6% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Berrios | 2024 | 0 | 69% | +13.5% |
| Richie James | 2023 | 2.4 | 66% | -57.9% |
| Cedrick Wilson | 2024 | 4 | 65% | +4.4% |
| Braxton Berrios | 2023 | 3.6 | 62% | -45.5% |
| David Moore | 2023 | 3.4 | 58% | +182.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2021, round 7, pick 249 by LAR |
| College | Notre Dame |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| Height | 6′2″ |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Career PPR per game | 2.5 |
| Week-to-week variation | 1.5 |
| Boom rate | 6.1% |
| Bust rate | 59.2% |
| Games missed per season | 1 |
| Injury history | Forearm, Calf, Hip |
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 1 against NYJ — 9.2 PPR on 1 targets and a 3.4% target share, in a game that finished 34-32. His worst was Week 18 against BAL at 0, on 0 targets, final score 26-24. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 15 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 1.6; in the 7 decided by more, 0.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 0.6 points per game. He scored 1.06, 65.7% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 34-32 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 3.4% | 18% |
| 2 | SEA | 17-31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5% |
| 3 | NE | 21-14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7% |
| 4 | MIN | 24-21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 34% |
| 6 | CLE | 23-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 17% |
| 7 | CIN | 31-33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 11% |
| 8 | GB | 25-35 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3.1% | 17% |
| 9 | IND | 27-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 35% |
| 10 | LAC | 10-25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 15% |
| 11 | CIN | 34-12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 23% |
| 12 | CHI | 28-31 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3.2% | 36% |
| 13 | BUF | 7-26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 9% |
| 14 | BAL | 27-22 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 17% |
| 15 | MIA | 28-15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6% |
| 16 | DET | 29-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1% |
| 18 | BAL | 26-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 11% |
| Receptions | 4 |
| Targets | 6 |
| Receiving yards | 69 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 1.06 |
| Yards per target | 11.5 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Snap share | 16.38% |
| Target share | 1.36% |
| Air-yards share | 2.67% |
| WOPR | 0.039 |
| RACR | 0.424 |
| Average depth of target | 10 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 11.5 |
| Total YAC | 23 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 145.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.34 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.3% |
| End-zone target share | 3.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.15 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.15 |
The offense threw it 550 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| DK Metcalf | 19.04% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 16.35% |
| Calvin Austin III | 10.58% |
| Jonnu Smith | 10.38% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 10.38% |
| Jaylen Warren | 8.65% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 14 | 5 | 0.99 | 9.6 | 1.32% |
| Mason Rudolph | 2 | 1 | 1.55 | 21 | 1.6% |
2 of his 16 games were blowouts, 0% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 0 in those and 1.62 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 16 against BAL — 4.5 PPR on 2 targets and a 7.7% target share, in a game that finished 17-34. His worst was Week 18 against CIN at 0, on 0 targets, final score 17-19. Across 9 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 0.8; in the 3 decided by more, 2.4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 2.2 points per game. He scored 1.32, 33.7% above it. The engine classified the season as low_volume.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DEN | 13-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 9% |
| 10 | WAS | 28-27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6% |
| 11 | BAL | 18-16 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3.1% | 26% |
| 12 | CLE | 19-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3% |
| 13 | CIN | 44-38 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2.8% | 33% |
| 14 | CLE | 27-14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 31% |
| 15 | PHI | 13-27 | 2.7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 4.8% | 23% |
| 16 | BAL | 17-34 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 7.7% | 17% |
| 18 | CIN | 17-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8% |
| Receptions | 5 |
| Targets | 5 |
| Receiving yards | 69 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 1.32 |
| Yards per target | 13.8 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Snap share | 17.33% |
| Target share | 2.04% |
| Air-yards share | 2.04% |
| WOPR | 0.044 |
| RACR | 1.07 |
| Average depth of target | 8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8 |
| Total YAC | 29 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 118.7 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.7 |
The offense threw it 498 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| George Pickens | 22.44% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 16.99% |
| Calvin Austin III | 12.64% |
| Najee Harris | 10.46% |
| Jaylen Warren | 10.24% |
| Van Jefferson | 8.71% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 8 | 5 | 1.49 | 13.8 | 2.3% |
| Justin Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0% |
1 of his 9 games were blowouts, 37.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.5 in those and 0.78 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 8 against DAL — 9 PPR on 1 targets and a 3.1% target share, in a game that finished 20-43. His worst was Week 9 against GB at -0.2, on 0 targets, final score 3-20. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 1.2; in the 6 decided by more, 2.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 2.2 points per game. He scored 1.65, 3.1% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 30-13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.4% | 26% |
| 2 | SF | 23-30 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1.9% | 25% |
| 3 | CIN | 16-19 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.1% | 22% |
| 5 | PHI | 14-23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 11% |
| 8 | DAL | 20-43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 3.1% | 8% |
| 9 | GB | 3-20 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 26% |
| 11 | SEA | 17-16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 13% |
| 12 | ARI | 37-14 | 0.9 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3.2% | 21% |
| 13 | CLE | 36-19 | 3.2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 8.8% | 38% |
| 14 | BAL | 31-37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8% |
| 15 | WAS | 28-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4% |
| 17 | NYG | 26-25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2% |
| 18 | SF | 21-20 | 4.2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 8.7% | 61% |
| Receptions | 8 |
| Targets | 12 |
| Receiving yards | 66 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 1.65 |
| Yards per target | 5.5 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 4.5 |
| Snap share | 20.38% |
| Target share | 2.85% |
| Air-yards share | 2.55% |
| WOPR | 0.06 |
| RACR | 0.648 |
| Average depth of target | 7.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.5 |
| Total YAC | 30 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 108.3 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.11 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.13 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 3.7% |
| End-zone target share | 3.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.74 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.26 |
The offense threw it 583 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Puka Nacua | 28.83% |
| Cooper Kupp | 17.12% |
| Tyler Higbee | 12.61% |
| Tutu Atwell | 12.07% |
| Kyren Williams | 8.65% |
| Demarcus Robinson | 7.03% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 11 | 10 | 1.59 | 4.4 | 2.58% |
| Brett Rypien | 1 | 0 | -0.2 | — | 0% |
| Carson Wentz | 1 | 2 | 4.2 | 11 | 8.7% |
5 of his 13 games were blowouts, 60% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.58 in those and 1.23 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 6 against CAR — 16.7 PPR on 5 targets and a 16.1% target share, in a game that finished 24-10. His worst was Week 9 against TB at 0, on 2 targets, final score 13-16. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.1; in the 8 decided by more, 6. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 7.4 points per game. He scored 6.02, 19.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 10-31 | 6.5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 14.6% | 88% |
| 2 | ATL | 31-27 | 3.6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 8.6% | 86% |
| 3 | ARI | 20-12 | 10.6 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 16% | 85% |
| 4 | SF | 9-24 | 5.3 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 6.3% | 88% |
| 5 | DAL | 10-22 | 10.1 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 0 | 19% | 88% |
| 6 | CAR | 24-10 | 16.7 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 16.1% | 68% |
| 8 | SF | 14-31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.1% | 62% |
| 9 | TB | 13-16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.7% | 65% |
| 10 | ARI | 17-27 | 3.4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 18.9% | 98% |
| 11 | NO | 20-27 | 1.4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14.8% | 84% |
| 12 | KC | 10-26 | 2.5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16.7% | 63% |
| 13 | SEA | 23-27 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 12% | 97% |
| 14 | LV | 17-16 | 15.9 | 7 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 23.5% | 100% |
| 15 | GB | 12-24 | 1.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15% | 67% |
| Receptions | 39 |
| Targets | 61 |
| Receiving yards | 376 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | 17 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 6.02 |
| Yards per target | 6.16 |
| Catch rate | 63.93% |
| Yards per carry | 17 |
| Snap share | 81.36% |
| Target share | 13.74% |
| Air-yards share | 14.89% |
| WOPR | 0.311 |
| RACR | 0.874 |
| Average depth of target | 7.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 6.1 |
| Total YAC | 137 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 67.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.39 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.4% |
| End-zone target share | 3.4% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.56 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.56 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.06 |
The offense threw it 529 times. He took 11.82% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tyler Higbee | 20.93% |
| Cooper Kupp | 18.99% |
| Ben Skowronek ← | 11.82% |
| Allen Robinson | 10.08% |
| Van Jefferson | 8.53% |
| Tutu Atwell | 6.78% |
He caught passes from 4 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 9 | 36 | 6.24 | 6.53 | 11.8% |
| John Wolford | 2 | 10 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 15.45% |
| Baker Mayfield | 2 | 11 | 8.6 | 8.36 | 19.25% |
| Bryce Perkins | 1 | 4 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 16.7% |
2 of his 14 games were blowouts, 10.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.25 in those and 6.08 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 15 against SEA — 8.2 PPR on 5 targets and a 17.2% target share, in a game that finished 20-10. His worst was Week 18 against SF at 0, on 2 targets, final score 24-27. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 11 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 1; in the 8 decided by more, 2.6. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 5 points per game. He scored 2.02, 39% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TB | 34-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3% |
| 5 | SEA | 26-17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| 6 | NYG | 38-11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 17% |
| 7 | DET | 28-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2% |
| 8 | HOU | 38-22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 8.8% | 30% |
| 10 | SF | 10-31 | 1.8 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 11.9% | 76% |
| 13 | JAX | 37-7 | 4.5 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 5.4% | 24% |
| 14 | ARI | 30-23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 24% |
| 15 | SEA | 20-10 | 8.2 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 17.2% | 32% |
| 16 | MIN | 30-23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6% |
| 17 | BAL | 20-19 | 3.8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 5.7% | 47% |
| 18 | SF | 24-27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3% | 26% |
| Receptions | 11 |
| Targets | 20 |
| Receiving yards | 133 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 2.02 |
| Yards per target | 6.65 |
| Catch rate | 55% |
| Snap share | 23.92% |
| Target share | 4.88% |
| Air-yards share | 6.13% |
| WOPR | 0.117 |
| RACR | 0.532 |
| Average depth of target | 10.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.3 |
| Total YAC | 53 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.2% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 54.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.12 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.5% |
| End-zone target share | 1.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.57 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.57 |
The offense threw it 606 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Cooper Kupp | 31.73% |
| Van Jefferson | 14.78% |
| Tyler Higbee | 14.12% |
| Robert Woods | 11.46% |
| Odell Beckham | 7.97% |
| Darrell Henderson | 6.64% |
3 of his 12 games were blowouts, 25.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.1 in those and 0.95 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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