Germie Bernard
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR75 to WR102. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far4 games
- snap share up from 53% to 66% (last 2 games vs the two before)
- 13% of PIT's air yards (85th of 103 WRs)
- 2.26 yards of separation (NGS) (83rd of 99 WRs)
Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.
80% range 2.3–7.0 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college production -0.4, preseason ADP -0.2, college carry share +0.2, experience +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14PIT
TBUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a PIT team total of 21.5. Rank is among every WR we project this week.
Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: George Pickens (W5, 28 PPR, 9/13 130 yds); Denzel Boston (W2, 20.5 PPR, 5/7 95 yds); Jordan Addison (W3, 20 PPR, 5/9 90 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #11 against the pass, #2 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points TB allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Germie Bernard's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
1-4 rush, 6-80 rec on 9 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
Projected 1.2 (WR123) · PIT +4.5 (closing) · total 41.5 · 63°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 1.9 (WR107) · PIT +3.5 (closing) · total 42.5 · 70°F, wind 12 mph · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 1.9 (WR112) · PIT -2.5 (closing) · total 38.5 · 77°F, wind 11 mph · 4 days rest · prime time · division game
Projected 3.2 (WR81) · PIT -3 (closing) · total 41.5 · 10 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 79.0% | 53.0% | −26.0 |
| Target share | 21.6% | 12.8% | −8.8 |
| Air-yard share | 32.6% | 14.6% | −18.0 |
| Targets a game | 8.0 | 4.0 | −4.0 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
PIT target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.38 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 20 | 13-140-0 | 7.08.2 | -0.030.27 |
| Red zone15% of targets | 3 | 1-5-0 | 1.74.4 | -1.770.18 |
| Third down25% of targets | 5 | 3-53-0 | 10.67.1 | 0.290.14 |
| Score within 750% of targets | 10 | 6-87-0 | 8.78.1 | 0.150.26 |
| Trailing by 8+45% of targets | 9 | 6-46-0 | 5.18.2 | -0.200.28 |
| Leading by 8+5% of targets | 1 | 1-7-0 | 7.09.3 | -0.230.37 |
| Two-minute drill10% of targets | 2 | 1-21-0 | 10.57.5 | 0.560.17 |
| Vs. the blitz40% of targets | 8 | 5-29-0 | 3.67.9 | -0.150.23 |
| No blitz60% of targets | 12 | 8-111-0 | 9.38.4 | 0.060.29 |
| Play action25% of targets | 5 | 4-34-0 | 6.810.4 | 0.210.41 |
| With motion85% of targets | 17 | 12-137-0 | 8.18.3 | 0.050.32 |
| Screens10% of targets | 2 | 0-0-0 | 0.04.7 | -3.08-0.20 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 16 of his 20 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 2 of 3 contested caught.
Team
PITPittsburgh Steelers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs ATL | 20-13 | 23.5 | 71%+10.6 | Rodgers40 att |
| W2vs NE | 3-20 | 18.5 | 66%−4.7 | Rodgers39 att |
| W3vs CIN | 30-27 | 19.5 | 63%+2.3 | Rodgers34 att |
| W4vs CLE | 24-27 | 20.5 | 70%+0.8 | Rodgers40 att |
| W5vs IND | 34-22 | 22.3 | 62%+3.2 | Rodgers31 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Mike McCarthy. QB: Aaron Rodgers (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Germie Bernard is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026PIT | 4 | 13-140-020 tgt, 15.0% share | 5.2WR79 | 8.1−4.9 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,346). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 23 valued near #166 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 124 players' worth).
205.3 overall, WR165. ESPN 170.4 · Underdog 202.2 · Sleeper 240.2
Profile
Roman Wilson is out a few weeks, and Bernard played 92% of the snaps in Week 5.
Suggested FAAB by league size: 8-team 0% · 10-team 1% · 12-team 2% · 14-team 4% · 16-team 11%. All waiver adds ›
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Alabama | 12 | 57-762-7 | 23.2% | 23.3 |
| 2024Alabama | 12 | 46-714-2 | 24.8% | 18.7 |
| 2023Washington | 12 | 31-371-2 | 8.8% | 7.3 |
| 2022Michigan State | 9 | 7-128-2 | 5.9% | 8.5 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.