Kimani VidalLos Angeles Chargers
RB/Los Angeles Chargers

Kimani Vidal

Age 25.1 · 3rd season · 5'8", 213 lb · Troy · 2024 R6 #181
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Slides down
Slides down 1 to RB47 · 5.5 opportunities a game (59th) · model RB54 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
RB54
Market
—
2026 production
RB41

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB39
RB47 now
RB53
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB44
RB50 now
RB56
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB45
RB49 now
RB56

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB44 to RB56. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#213Sep 21#211Sep 26#210Sep 28#211Sep 30#170Oct 5#127Oct 12#217Sep 21#217Sep 26#217Sep 28#216Sep 30#176Oct 5#126Oct 12#210Sep 21#206Sep 26#206Sep 28#206Sep 30#164Oct 5#121Oct 12

2026 so far4 games

Points a game
6.3
RB44 of 115
Carry share
11%
64th of 66 RBs
Touches a game
4.5
8 targets
Expected PPR a game
4.7
+2.1 a game vs usage
Role: change-of-pace back
  • share of LAC's carries up from 2% to 20% (last 2 games vs the two before)
  • carries + targets a game up from 2 to 9 (last 2 games vs the two before)
  • snap share up from 18% to 39% (last 2 games vs the two before)
  • 0 of LAC's 6 carries inside the 5
  • 11% of LAC's carries (64th of 66 RBs)

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
5.0
PPR/g
5.7
Games left
10.7

80% range 2.0–7.4 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: draft capital -0.7, preseason ADP -0.4, rushing yards -0.3, 2024 PPG -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LAC
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5LAC implied17.1Rest7 days (KC 14)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
4.9pts
RB42
Bench
4.7carries21rush yds2.0tgt1.4rec11rec yds0.19TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LAC team total of 17. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

Kansas City Chiefs defense vs RBs
#14of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
20.0
rush yds
69
rec
4.8
TD
0.8

Allowed to RBs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Jonathan Taylor (W2, 29.2 PPR, 24 car 92 ry, 4/4 40 rec); Ashton Jeanty (W4, 18.6 PPR, 15 car 58 ry, 6/8 68 rec); Ollie Gordon II (W3, 14.5 PPR, 17 car 41 ry, 3/3 14 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #9 against the pass, #14 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where KC gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#18
KC's average rank in the zones where Vidal gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
13%0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
1.3#19
0.3#7
13%2.0#28
Behind line
25%1.5#23
25%0.1#21
25%1.0#14

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
57%5.4#17
21%2.3#13
21%3.7#12
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points KC allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Kimani Vidal's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against KC beforelast 2

GameLinePts
2025 W15@ KC · W 16-1312-33 rush · 1-15 on 1 tgt5.3
2024 W14@ KC · L 17-198-34 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt3.4
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
4.2
RB52
Actual
12.1
Difference
+7.9

8-57-1 rush, 1--1 rec on 2 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 6.3
05101—20.033.0411.6512.605101—20.032.5410.6512.105101—20.032.049.6511.6

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
vs ARI L 14-26
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W2W3W4W542%24%10%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share10.0%34.0%+24.0
Carry share0.0%14.2%+14.2
Target share0.0%9.4%+9.4
Carries a game0.04.7+4.7
Targets a game0.02.7+2.7

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

LAC backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Kimani Vidal
11.1%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
9%
1 red-zone targets
Red-zone carry share
6%
1 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
0%
0 carries inside the 5
Snap share
23.8%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
6.3
42
45
48
Carry share2+ games
11.1%
6
Red-zone carry share2+ games
6.3%
15
Target share2+ games
7.1%
31
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
35.7%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.13
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
1.40
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
7.1%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
7.1%
Expected points a game2+ games
4.7
25

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
4.7
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
6.8
Over expected
+2.1
points a game
TDs vs. expected
2/ 0.3
+1.69

Scoring more TDs than his usage would expect: 2 TDs on 0.31 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets84-24-13.05.4-0.26-0.02
Red zone13% of targets11-9-19.03.72.310.13
Inside the 1013% of targets11-9-19.03.72.310.57
Score within 763% of targets51--1-0-0.25.3-1.01-0.08
Trailing by 8+38% of targets33-25-18.35.60.990.11
Two-minute drill38% of targets32-1-00.34.6-0.21-0.04
Vs. the blitz13% of targets10-0-00.05.3-0.89-0.04
No blitz88% of targets74-24-13.45.4-0.17-0.01
Play action13% of targets10-0-00.05.9-1.080.08
With motion63% of targets52-8-11.65.3-0.37-0.03
Screens25% of targets22-1-00.55.2-0.21-0.09

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 5 of his 8 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 1 of 1 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries1488-16.34.136%39%
Red zone7% of carries16-06.02.6100%40%
Third down7% of carries14-04.04.00%52%
Score within 793% of carries1381-16.24.131%38%
Trailing by 8+7% of carries17-07.04.1100%41%
Light box (6 or fewer)43% of carries628-04.74.533%40%
RPO14% of carries216-08.04.2100%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man1013.170%+0.69
Zone233.870%−0.18

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, LAC, 2025–2026

Omarion HamptonRB · 2025–2026
With
5.5
Without
11.3
With: 8 g, 5.5 car, 1.6 tgt a game, 34% snaps · Without: 8 g (25·W6, 25·W7, 25·W8, 25·W9, 25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W13, 25·W18), 15.0 car, 2.1 tgt a game, 65% snaps

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

07

Team

LAC
Points a game
16.8
30th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
15th of 32
EPA per play
-0.207
32nd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−16.8%
31st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.8
27th of 32
Motion rate
59%
3rd of 32
Play-action rate
12%
13th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
19th of 32

Los Angeles Chargers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs ARI14-2628.059%−11.9Herbert27 att
W2vs LV14-2625.048%−20.1Herbert27 att
W3vs BUF16-2421.856%−6.9Herbert34 att
W4vs SEA23-3017.853%−21.7Herbert31 att
W5vs DEN17-2319.545%−22.6Herbert24 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB3
Kimani Vidal

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@KC
#14
W7
BYE
W8
@LA
#15
W9
HOU
#4
W10
@BAL
#10
W11
NYJ
#23
W12
NE
#19
W13
@TB
#5
W14
@LV
#21
W15
SF
#24
W16
@MIA
#29
W17
KC
#14
W18
@DEN
#26
Next 4
#11
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#22
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jim Harbaugh. QB: Justin Herbert (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Kimani Vidal is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’243.6’259.1’266.8
’243.4’258.5’266.3
’243.1’257.8’265.8

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026LAC414-88-1 rush4-24-1 rec on 8 tgt6.3RB444.7+8.4
2025LAC13155-643-3 rush16-136-1 rec on 22 tgt8.5RB3410.3−19.2
2024LAC943-155-0 rush5-62-1 rec on 9 tgt3.4RB674.6−8.9

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

202528 RZ car (36%), 8 inside 5, 2 rush TD vs 4.4 exp · 6 RZ tgt (7%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.3 exp
20245 RZ car (6%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.3 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Middle half of games
2.4–11.4
PPR, 21 games 2023–25

2 of his last 21 games reached 20 PPR; 15 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2024

2025 game log 13 games · LAC · 9.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W4@ NYG · D29no stats3%0.0
W5vs WAS · D124-18 rush · 1-1 on 1 tgt21%2.4
W6@ MIA · D2818-124 rush · 3-14-1 on 4 tgt67%21.3
W7vs IND · D89-20 rush · 4-15 on 5 tgt64%5.5
W8vs MIN · D1123-117-1 rush · 1-10 on 2 tgt74%19.2
W9@ TEN · D3012-30 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt72%3.0
W10vs PIT · D1125-95-1 rush · 1-13 on 1 tgt93%17.3
W11@ JAX · D105-13 rush · 2--1 on 2 tgt52%2.2
W13vs LV · D1825-126-1 rush · 1-11 on 1 tgt76%20.2
W14vs PHI · D2314-44 rush · 1-60 on 3 tgt69%10.9
W15@ KC · D612-33 rush · 1-15 on 1 tgt64%5.3
W16@ DAL · D265-11 rush (left hurt)33%1.1
W18@ DEN · D13-12 rush · 1--2 on 1 tgt20%1.5
2024 game log 9 games · LAC · 3.6 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W6@ DEN · D104-11 rush · 2-40-1 on 2 tgt24%12.1
W7@ ARI · D233-10 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt27%2.4
W8vs NO · D286-16 rush17%1.6
W9@ CLE · D55-7 rush19%0.7
W13@ ATL · D144-20 rush26%2.0
W14@ KC · D18-34 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt53%3.4
W15vs TB · D163-9 rush · 2-13 on 3 tgt67%3.2
W16vs DEN · D135-24 rush32%2.4
W17@ NE · D235-24 rush · 0-0 on 2 tgt11%2.4
10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202520Neck (2)

2 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: Neck. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
questionable
doubtful
Doubtful (Groin)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
2,590
#234 overall · RB67 · tier 13
Superflex
2,041
#233 overall · RB64
30 days
−27
90 days −175
Peak
2,793
May 31, 2026 · 7% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
2.5KJul ’262,5902,790

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
757
2,182
4,337

Teal dot = today (2,590). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 25 valued near #234 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 92 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2020 Tony Pollard (61% match). He went from 7.6 to 10.5 PPR a game the next year (RB4→RB3). His dynasty value moved +4.1% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

195.7 overall, RB115. ESPN 170.4 · Underdog 205.7 · Sleeper 220.9

12

Profile

On this week's waiver list

Picked up Hampton's lost work: 35% and then 42% of the snaps, with 11.6 and 12.6 points the last two weeks. He may suit this offense better than Hampton does.

Suggested FAAB by league size: 8-team 1% · 10-team 2% · 12-team 3% · 14-team 4% · 16-team 14%. All waiver adds ›

Draft
R6 #181
2024 · 16th RB · LAC
Age
25.1
23 at the draft
Size
5'8"
213 lb
College
Troy

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'8"
11
Weight
213 lb
52
40-yard dash
4.46s
78
Vertical
37.5"
82
Broad jump
120"
55
3-cone
7.01s
56
Shuttle
4.15s
84
speed
81

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2023Troy1317-198-15.7%4.6
2022Troy1324-134-04.1%2.1
2021Troy1122-134-05.0%2.5
2020Troy926-225-08.1%4.1

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.