Trey LanceLos Angeles Chargers
QB/Los Angeles Chargers

Trey Lance

Age 26.4 · 6th season · 6'3", 224 lb · North Dakota St. · 2021 R1 #3
01

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LAC
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5LAC implied17.1Rest7 days (KC 14)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
0.1pts
QB44
Bench
2pass yds0.0pass TD0.0INT0.0carries0rush yds0.00TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LAC team total of 17. Rank is among every QB we project this week.

Kansas City Chiefs defense vs QBs
#4of 32 in fantasy points allowed to QBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
12.4
pass yds
229
pass TD
1.00
rush yds
17

Allowed to QBs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Kirk Cousins (W4, 22.6 PPR, 365 py, 2 TD); Daniel Jones (W2, 11.4 PPR, 210 py, 1 TD); Malik Willis (W3, 10 PPR, 210 py, 0 TD).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #9 against the pass, #14 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where KC gives up QB passing points to QBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
1.5#24
1.1#22
1.2#19
Middle 10–19
1.0#17
0.6#8
0.6#8
Short 0–9
1.0#2
2.1#25
1.5#7
Behind line
0.8#28
0.0#3
-0.2#1
StingySoft

Big number: QB passing points KC allows a game to QBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.1
QB48
Actual
0.0
Difference
−0.1

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

02

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average —
05101—2—3OUT4OUT5OUT05101—2—3OUT4OUT5OUT05101—2—3OUT4OUT5OUT

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
vs ARI L 14-26
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W2
vs LV L 14-26
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W3
@ BUF L 16-24
Did not play (Groin, questionable)
OUT
W4
@ SEA L 23-30
Did not play (Groin, questionable)
OUT
W5
vs DEN L 17-23
Did not play (Groin, doubtful)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.

03

Splits

Pressure and play action, 2022-2025
Pressured
31%
of dropbacks
EPA clean
−0.25
vs −0.85 pressured
Play action
20%
of dropbacks
EPA on play action
−0.75
vs −0.38 without
04

Team

LAC
Points a game
16.8
30th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
15th of 32
EPA per play
-0.207
32nd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−16.8%
31st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.8
27th of 32
Motion rate
59%
3rd of 32
Play-action rate
12%
13th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
19th of 32

Los Angeles Chargers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs ARI14-2628.059%−11.9Herbert27 att
W2vs LV14-2625.048%−20.1Herbert27 att
W3vs BUF16-2421.856%−6.9Herbert34 att
W4vs SEA23-3017.853%−21.7Herbert31 att
W5vs DEN17-2319.545%−22.6Herbert24 att

Depth chartQB, Oct 14

QB2
DJ Uiagalelei
QB3
Trey Lance

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs

W6
@KC
#4
W7
BYE
W8
@LA
#20
W9
HOU
#15
W10
@BAL
#14
W11
NYJ
#7
W12
NE
#10
W13
@TB
#9
W14
@LV
#27
W15
SF
#6
W16
@MIA
#23
W17
KC
#4
W18
@DEN
#13
Next 4
#13
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#11
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jim Harbaugh. QB: Justin Herbert (most pass attempts, Week 5).

05

Career

Points a game by season
’2110.8’226.2’243.2’253.4
’2110.8’226.2’243.2’253.4
’2110.8’226.2’243.2’253.4

Season by season

YearGPassing / rushingPts/gxFP/g
2025LAC4226 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT85 rush yds, 0 TD3.410.0−26.3
2024DAL4266 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT41 rush yds, 0 TD3.26.7−14.2
2022SF2194 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT67 rush yds, 0 TD6.212.6−12.6
2021SF6603 yds, 5 TD, 2 INT168 rush yds, 1 TD10.810.0+4.9

Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.

Red zone and touchdowns

20253 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.4 exp
202410 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 2.7 exp · 3 RZ car (5%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.5 exp
20222 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.7 exp · 4 RZ car (3%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.3 exp
20218 RZ att, 3 pass TD vs 2.6 exp · 5 RZ car (8%), 2 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.0 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Middle half of games
0.1–2.9
PPR, 8 games 2023–25

0 of his last 8 games reached 20 PPR; 7 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2021

2025 game log 4 games · LAC · 3.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W5vs WAS · D263/4 44 yds 0 TD · 1-11 rush9%2.9
W11@ JAX · D283/8 37 yds 0 TD · 3-1 rush27%1.6
W13vs LV · D161/1 9 yds 0 TD · 4-4 rush15%0.8
W18@ DEN · D1020/44 136 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 9-69 rush100%8.3
2024 game log 4 games · DAL · 3.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W10vs PHI · D124/6 21 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 3-17 rush25%0.5
W12@ WAS · D181--3 rush3%-0.3
W17@ PHI · D81/1 1 yds 0 TD · 1-1 rush5%0.1
W18vs WAS · D1020/34 244 yds 0 TD · 6-26 rush100%12.4
2022 game log 2 games · SF · 6.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ CHI13/28 164 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 13-54 rush100%10.0
W2vs SEA2/3 30 yds 0 TD · 3-13 rush21%2.5
2021 game log 6 games · SF · 10.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ DET1/1 5 yds 1 TD · 3-2 rush7%4.4
W3vs GB1-1-1 rush4%6.1
W4vs SEA9/18 157 yds 2 TD · 7-41 rush51%20.4
W5@ ARI15/29 192 yds 0 TD · 16-89 rush100%14.6
W11@ JAX3-4 rush7%0.4
W17vs HOU16/23 249 yds 2 TD · 8-31 rush100%19.1
06

Health

Doubtful (Groin) on Sleeper, Oct 10.

Typical case for this injury (not him): groin: median 1 game missed; 10% run past 3 games; first game back averages -0.2 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=58 spells)

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W5
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202131Knee (2), right Finger

3 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: right Finger, Knee. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
questionable
doubtful
IR (Hamstring)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

07

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
548
#453 overall · QB60 · tier 13
Superflex
819
#405 overall · QB62
30 days
−6
90 days −121 · 1 year −174
Peak
5,243
Aug 26, 2021 · 90% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
5001KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26548837

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
196
502
1,384

Teal dot = today (548). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 26 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 38 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2023 Jameis Winston (49% match). He went from 2.0 to 11.9 PPR a game the next year (QB5+→QB3). His dynasty value moved +69.3% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, QB61. ESPN 170.0

08

Profile

Age
26.4
Size
6'3"
224 lb
College
North Dakota St.

Keep digging

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.