Charlie KolarLos Angeles Chargers
TE/Los Angeles Chargers

Charlie Kolar

Age 27.7 · 5th season · 6'7", 252 lb · Iowa St. · 2022 R4 #128
QuestionableW6 @ KC · Sun 4:25 PMBye W7
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold TE37 · 9.5% target share · model TE45 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list.
Model
TE45
Market
—
2026 production
TE40

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at TE; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE34
TE37 now
TE41
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE34
TE37 now
TE41
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
TE34
TE37 now
TE43

Where his stats say he could finish from here: TE34 to TE41. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#272Sep 21#272Sep 26#273Sep 28#273Sep 30#275Oct 5#274Oct 12#272Sep 21#272Sep 26#273Sep 28#273Sep 30#275Oct 5#274Oct 12#272Sep 21#270Sep 26#269Sep 28#268Sep 30#268Oct 5#268Oct 12

2026 so far3 games

Points a game
2.3
TE59 of 102
Target share
9.5%
7 targets
Targets a game
2.3
6 catches, 58 yds
Expected PPR a game
3.5
+0.4 a game vs usage
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
3.4
PPR/g
4.2
Games left
10.6

80% range 1.7–4.9 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: new team -0.3, game script (spreads) +0.3, team play volume -0.2, 2025 PPG -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LAC
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5LAC implied17.1Rest7 days (KC 14)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
5.4pts
TE26
Bench
3.7tgt2.9rec32yds0.13TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LAC team total of 17. Rank is among every TE we project this week.

Kansas City Chiefs defense vs TEs
#31of 32 in fantasy points allowed to TEs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
22.6
targets
11.5
rec yds
82
TD
1.0

Allowed to TEs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Brock Bowers (W4, 20.6 PPR, 6/11 86 yds); Michael Mayer (W4, 16.2 PPR, 8/10 82 yds); Tyler Warren (W2, 14.4 PPR, 6/7 21 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #9 against the pass, #14 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where KC gives up receiving fantasy points to TEs
#10
KC's average rank in the zones where Kolar gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
2.3#32
1.2#30
2.1#31
Middle 10–19
2.1#31
14%1.1#20
0.7#15
Short 0–9
1.4#10
14%4.8#32
71%1.1#4
Behind line
1.0#30
0.0#1
0.7#27
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points KC allows a game to TEs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Charlie Kolar's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.3
TE90
Actual
3.2
Difference
+2.9

3-37 rec on 4 tgt, 1 fum lost

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 2.3
051010.025.13OUT4OUT54.7051010.023.63OUT4OUT53.2051010.022.13OUT4OUT51.7

Every gametap a game for the detail

W3
@ BUF L 16-24
Did not play (Forearm, out)
OUT
W4
@ SEA L 23-30
Did not play (Forearm, out)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against TEs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at TE that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W576%22%19%

LAC target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Charlie Kolar
10.2%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
0%
0 red-zone targets
First-read share
—
of targets as the QB’s first read
Air yards a game
15
aDOT 6.4
Snap share
64.3%
Play-action targets
—
of his targets
Targets with motion
—
of his targets
Screen targets
—
of his targets
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
2.3
20
16
16
Target share2+ games
10.2%
42
Air-yard share2+ games
8.7%
55
WOPR2+ games
0.21
44
Red-zone target share2+ games
0.0%
6
Yards per targetneeds 15+ targets
8.3
EPA per targetneeds 15+ targets
-0.01
Drop rateneeds 15+ targets
0.0%
Average depth of targetneeds 15+ targets
6.4
Expected points a game2+ games
3.5
23

Percentile against the TEs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
3.5
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
3.9
Over expected
+0.4
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.0
−0.04

0 TDs on 0.04 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets76-58-08.37.1-0.010.25
Third down43% of targets33-32-010.76.6-0.370.21
Score within 7100% of targets76-58-08.37.0-0.010.22
Two-minute drill43% of targets32-13-04.36.40.100.23
Vs. the blitz14% of targets11-10-010.06.80.570.20
No blitz86% of targets65-48-08.07.2-0.100.27
Play action14% of targets11-8-08.07.30.720.25
With motion71% of targets55-50-010.07.40.030.29

Small grey number = every TE in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 6 of his 7 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Zone349.974%+0.49
Cover 32410.171%+0.43

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

07

Team

LAC
Points a game
16.8
30th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
15th of 32
EPA per play
-0.207
32nd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−16.8%
31st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.8
27th of 32
Motion rate
59%
3rd of 32
Play-action rate
12%
13th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
19th of 32

Los Angeles Chargers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs ARI14-2628.059%−11.9Herbert27 att
W2vs LV14-2625.048%−20.1Herbert27 att
W3vs BUF16-2421.856%−6.9Herbert34 att
W4vs SEA23-3017.853%−21.7Herbert31 att
W5vs DEN17-2319.545%−22.6Herbert24 att

Depth chartTE, Oct 14

TE1
Charlie Kolar
TE2
Oronde Gadsden
TE3
Hayden Rucci

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs TEs

W6
@KC
#31
W7
BYE
W8
@LA
#1
W9
HOU
#6
W10
@BAL
#14
W11
NYJ
#5
W12
NE
#11
W13
@TB
#22
W14
@LV
#27
W15
SF
#4
W16
@MIA
#29
W17
KC
#31
W18
@DEN
#21
Next 4
#13
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#21
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to TEs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jim Harbaugh. QB: Justin Herbert (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Charlie Kolar is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’228.9’232.4’242.8’252.8’263.3
’226.9’232.0’242.4’252.4’262.3
’224.9’231.6’241.9’252.0’261.3

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026LAC36-58-07 tgt, 10.2% share2.3TE593.5+1.2
2025BAL1310-142-215 tgt, 5.4% share, routes 24%2.4TE612.1+9.0
2024BAL109-131-111 tgt, 5.4% share, routes 14%2.4TE582.8+8.8
2023BAL97-87-19 tgt, 5.9% share, routes 14%2.0TE652.5+5.8
2022BAL14-49-06 tgt, 14.3% share, routes 28%6.910.5−1.6

Under points a game: his rank at TE in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20253 RZ tgt (6%), 1 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 1.0 exp
20241 RZ tgt (2%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.5 exp
20232 RZ tgt (3%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.3 exp
20221 RZ tgt (1%), 1 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
9%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
39%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
1.20
CV over 23 games
Middle half of games
0.0–2.9
PPR, 32 games 2023–25

0 of his last 32 games reached 20 PPR; 30 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2022

2025 game log 13 games · BAL · 2.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W3vs DET · D12-22 on 3 tgt51%3.2
W5vs HOU · D71-10 on 1 tgt47%1.5
W6vs LA · D190-0 on 1 tgt36%0.0
W8vs CHI · D231-10-1 on 1 tgt40%7.5
W9@ MIA · D222-23-1 on 2 tgt46%9.3
W10@ MIN · D211-23 on 2 tgt43%2.8
W11@ CLE · D80-0 on 1 tgt31%0.0
W12vs NYJ · D15no stats32%0.0
W13vs CIN · D321-17 on 1 tgt17%2.2
W14vs PIT · D271-19 on 1 tgt24%2.4
W15@ CIN · D32no stats51%0.0
W16vs NE · D241-18 on 1 tgt49%2.3
W17@ GB · D130-0 on 1 tgt49%0.0
2024 game log 10 games · BAL · 2.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W2vs LV · D121-4 on 1 tgt22%0.9
W3@ DAL · D51-30 on 1 tgt41%3.5
W4vs BUF · D25no stats33%0.0
W5@ CIN · D83-64-1 on 4 tgt · 1-2 rush27%14.1
W6vs WAS · D5no stats32%0.0
W7@ TB · D171-14 on 1 tgt36%1.9
W8@ CLE · D41-9 on 2 tgt15%1.4
W10vs CIN · D271-4 on 1 tgt43%0.9
W11@ PIT · D17no stats15%0.0
W12@ LAC · D121-6 on 1 tgt49%1.1
2023 game log 9 games · BAL · 2.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs HOU · D140-0 on 1 tgt20%0.0
W7vs DET · D28no stats18%0.0
W9vs SEA · D13no stats22%0.0
W11vs CIN · D301-13 on 1 tgt18%1.8
W14vs LA · D26no stats22%0.0
W15@ JAX · D221-15 on 1 tgt36%2.0
W16@ SF · D121-17 on 1 tgt29%2.2
W17vs MIA · D141-19-1 on 1 tgt49%8.4
W18vs PIT · D183-23 on 4 tgt70%3.8
2022 game log 1 games · BAL · 8.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W18@ CIN · D164-49 on 6 tgt44%6.9
10

Health

Questionable (Forearm) on Sleeper, Oct 10.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W5
Q
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202510Nose
202431Forearm (2), Toe
202310Illness

1 games missed 2023–25 (0.33 a season), Forearm.

5 report weeks over 3 seasons; recurring: Illness, Toe, Forearm, Nose. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
questionable
doubtful
IR (Hamstring)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
1,899
#306 overall · TE57 · tier 13
Superflex
1,673
#283 overall · TE40
30 days
−209
90 days +368 · 1 year +1,347
Peak
2,108
Sep 17, 2026 · 10% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
1K2KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’261,8992,108

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
708
1,770
3,293

Teal dot = today (1,899). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. TEs about 28 valued near #306 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 41 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2023 Brock Wright (66% match). He went from 3.6 to 3.5 PPR a game the next year (TE5+→TE5+). His dynasty value moved +72.8% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, TE62. ESPN 170.0 · Underdog 214.4

12

Profile

Draft
R4 #128
2022 · 7th TE · BAL
Age
27.7
23 at the draft
Size
6'7"
252 lb
College
Iowa St.

Athletic profilepercentile vs TEs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'7"
97
Weight
252 lb
60

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2021Iowa State1158-723-523.9%23.9
2020Iowa State1039-538-620.7%26.2
2019Iowa State1248-675-717.7%20.9
2018Iowa State711-137-38.3%16.7

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.