Case KeenumChicago Bears
QB/Chicago Bears

Case Keenum

Age 38.6 · 7th season · 6'1", 208 lb · Houston · undrafted or pre-2015
01

Overview

2026 so far2 games

Points a game
12.6
QB30 of 43
Pass yds a game
178
2 TD · 1 INT
Rush yds a game
5
1 rush TD
02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
CHI
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
ATL
LineCHI -3Total49.5CHI implied26.3Rest7 days (ATL 7)Forecast64°F, wind 12 mph
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Atlanta Falcons defense vs QBs
#24of 32 in fantasy points allowed to QBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
18.9
pass yds
261
pass TD
1.80
rush yds
5

Allowed to QBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Bryce Young (W2, 24.08 PPR, 287 py, 3 TD); Tyler Huntley (W5, 24.04 PPR, 201 py, 2 TD); Jordan Love (W3, 18.48 PPR, 312 py, 2 TD).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #17 against the pass, #10 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where ATL gives up QB passing points to QBs
#21
ATL's average rank in the zones where Keenum gets his throws, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
1.0#21
0.4#14
8%0.8#13
Middle 10–19
9%1.1#19
8%0.5#4
4%3.1#32
Short 0–9
11%4.2#30
28%2.0#24
21%2.3#14
Behind line
8%1.6#32
4%0.1#25
0.2#6
StingySoft

Big number: QB passing points ATL allows a game to QBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Case Keenum's share of his attempts in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.7
QB31
Actual
0.7
Difference
0.0

108py 0ptd 1int, 1-4 rush, 1 fum lost

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 12.6
01020301—2—324.54—50.701020301—2—324.54—50.701020301—2—324.54—50.7

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
@ CAR W 59-37
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W2
vs MIN L 3-9
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W4
vs NYJ W 23-12
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.

04

Usage

Pass attempts by week
W334W519
Carries by week
W34W51

CHI target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone carry share
—
Goal-line share
—
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
12.6
28
28
28
EPA per dropback50+ attempts
-0.09
24
Completion % over expected50+ attempts
0.0
29
Pass aDOTcontext
7.4
38
Pressure ratelower is better
9.0%
96
Sack ratelower is better
3.6%
87
Bad-throw ratelower is better
9.0%
97
Turnover-worthy ratelower is better
1.9%
76
Time to throw (s)context
2.72
21
EPA on play action50+ attempts
0.22
76

Percentile against the QBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

06

Splits

As a passer2026 charted dropbacks, through Week 5

SituationDBCmp%Y/ATD-INTEPA/db
All dropbacks5566%6.72-1-0.090.05
Clean pocket78% of dropbacks4365%5.82-0-0.050.23
Under duress22% of dropbacks1270%10.70-1-0.20-0.42
No blitz82% of dropbacks4558%5.00-1-0.360.08
Vs. the blitz18% of dropbacks10100%13.82-01.16-0.03
Play action20% of dropbacks1191%8.60-00.220.10
Red zone20% of dropbacks1155%4.01-1-0.410.12
Third down20% of dropbacks1145%4.31-0-0.06-0.08
Leading by 8+9% of dropbacks540%1.00-0-0.580.21
Trailing by 8+38% of dropbacks2158%5.70-1-0.570.04

Duress = sacked, hit or out of the pocket. Small grey number = every QB in that situation. 1 interception-worthy throws and 0 throwaways on 53 charted attempts.

Pressure and play action, 2022-2023
Pressured
27%
of dropbacks
EPA clean
−0.22
vs −0.89 pressured
Play action
20%
of dropbacks
EPA on play action
−0.22
vs −0.44 without
07

Team

CHI
Points a game
23.8
14th of 32
Plays a game
72.0
1st of 32
EPA per play
0.023
12th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−6.9%
21st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
16.8
1st of 32
Motion rate
43%
22nd of 32
Play-action rate
14%
5th of 32
No-huddle rate
5%
12th of 32

Chicago Bears offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs CAR59-3725.344%−11.5Williams29 att
W2vs MIN3-925.555%−14.5Williams26 att
W3vs PHI27-719.551%+4.2Keenum34 att
W4vs NYJ23-1223.541%−9.2Bagent34 att
W5vs GB7-3124.065%−2.4Bagent21 att

Depth chartQB, Oct 14

QB3
Case Keenum

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs

W6
@ATL
#24
W7
NE
#10
W8
@SEA
#5
W9
TB
#9
W10
BYE
W11
NO
#18
W12
@DET
#32
W13
JAX
#8
W14
@MIA
#23
W15
@BUF
#29
W16
GB
#3
W17
DET
#32
W18
@MIN
#1
Next 4
#12
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#21
average rank
Bye
W10

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Ben Johnson. QB: Tyson Bagent (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Case Keenum is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’201.8’215.7’220.2’234.9’2612.6
’201.8’215.7’220.2’234.9’2612.6
’201.8’215.7’220.2’234.9’2612.6

Season by season

YearGPassing / rushingPts/gxFP/g
2026CHI2355 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT10 rush yds, 1 TD12.6QB30—
2023HOU2291 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT1 rush yds, 0 TD4.912.1−14.4
2022BUF28 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT0 rush yds, 0 TD0.23.4−6.4
2021CLE5462 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT22 rush yds, 0 TD5.78.2−12.3
2020CLE146 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT0 rush yds, 0 TD1.84.7−2.9

Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.

Red zone and touchdowns

20235 RZ att, 1 pass TD vs 1.3 exp · 1 RZ car (1%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.4 exp
202113 RZ att, 2 pass TD vs 2.8 exp · 3 RZ car (3%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.2 exp

Every game since 2020

2023 game log 2 games · HOU · 4.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W15@ TEN · D1823/36 229 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 2-1 rush99%11.3
W16vs CLE · D311/17 62 yds 0 TD 2 INT49%-1.5
2022 game log 2 games · BUF · 0.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W2vs TEN0/2 0 yds 0 TD · 3-2 rush24%0.2
W5vs PIT · D182/5 8 yds 0 TD · 2--2 rush14%0.1
2021 game log 5 games · CLE · 5.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W3vs CHI3-0 rush6%0.0
W6vs ARI1/3 6 yds 0 TD7%0.2
W7vs DEN21/33 199 yds 1 TD · 4-7 rush100%12.7
W10@ NE8/12 81 yds 0 TD39%3.2
W18vs CIN17/24 176 yds 2 TD · 5-15 rush100%12.5
2020 game log 1 games · CLE · 1.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W6@ PIT5/10 46 yds 0 TD26%1.8
10

Health

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W3
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202310Calf

2 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Calf. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
238
#471 overall · QB74 · tier 13
Superflex
721
#423 overall · QB67
30 days
—
Peak
238
Oct 3, 2026 · 0% off
Where his value could be in a year
100
201
376

Teal dot = today (238). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 39 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 4 players' worth).

12

Profile

Age
38.6
Size
6'1"
208 lb
College
Houston

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.