DJ MooreBuffalo Bills
WR/Buffalo Bills

DJ Moore

Age 29.5 · 9th season · 6'0", 210 lb · Maryland · 2018 R1 #24
QuestionableW6 @ LV · Sun 4:25 PMBye W7
Week 6—Projected 0: not expected to playROS rankWR26#57 overallDynastyWR364,441 · #89
Ask the Coach Trade value Charts
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Slides down
Slides down 1 to WR30 · 17.9% target share (49th) · model WR38 · market WR30
The books rank him WR30, close enough to his WR29 on the 10/12 list, so he holds; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
WR38
Market
WR30
2026 production
WR46

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR22
WR30 now
WR36
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR18
WR26 now
WR33
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR17
WR26 now
WR33

Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR18 to WR33. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#53Sep 21#54Sep 26#55Sep 28#52Sep 30#53Oct 5#60Oct 12#56Sep 21#56Sep 26#56Sep 28#52Sep 30#59Oct 5#60Oct 12#56Sep 21#56Sep 26#58Sep 28#54Sep 30#57Oct 5#64Oct 12

2026 so far4 games

Points a game
7.6
WR47 of 175
Target share
17.9%
49th of 103 WRs
Targets a game
5.0
12 catches, 178 yds
Expected PPR a game
9.3
−0.2 a game vs usage
Role: secondary target
  • target share up from 14.3% to 21.4% (last 2 games vs the two before)
  • +1.36 YAC over expected a catch (NGS) (15th of 91 WRs)
  • 53% of snaps (83rd of 103 WRs)

Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
8.4
PPR/g
10.2
Games left
10.7

80% range 3.8–11.9 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: preseason ADP +0.5, sportsbook-implied points Wks 1-4 +0.3, Week 5 sportsbook lines +0.3, experience -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
BUF
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
LV
LineBUF -5Total53.5BUF implied29.3Rest6 days (LV 7)Roofindoors
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Las Vegas Raiders defense vs WRs
#20of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
32.3
targets
18.2
rec yds
167
TD
1.0

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Tyquan Thornton (W4, 28.1 PPR, 5/8 111 yds); DeMario Douglas (W5, 22.5 PPR, 4/5 65 yds); Chris Olave (W3, 19.7 PPR, 9/13 107 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #25 against the pass, #15 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where LV gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs
#19
LV's average rank in the zones where Moore gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
10%5.3#32
5%1.5#16
5%3.7#23
Middle 10–19
20%3.0#21
10%2.1#12
15%2.2#13
Short 0–9
10%1.9#2
5%1.2#9
15%5.4#28
Behind line
0.2#5
0.2#30
5%0.9#23
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points LV allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = DJ Moore's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against LV beforelast 3

GameLinePts
2025 W4@ LV · W 25-244-38 on 5 tgt5.8
2023 W7vs LV · W 30-128-54 on 9 tgt9.4
2020 W1vs LV · L 30-344-54 on 9 tgt7.4
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
10.7
WR24
Actual
0.0
Difference
−10.7

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 7.6
05101520121.02-0.1312.742.75OUT05101520118.52-0.139.742.25OUT051015116.02-0.136.741.75OUT

Every gametap a game for the detail

W5
@ LA W 37-34
Did not play (Shoulder, questionable)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W439%7%6%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1W2, W3, W4Change
Snap share76.0%44.7%−31.3
Target share28.6%15.1%−13.5
Air-yard share41.3%18.0%−23.3
Targets a game8.04.0−4.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

BUF target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Khalil Shakir
19.6%
DJ Moore
18.4%
Dalton Kincaid
15.9%
Ty Johnson
14.8%
Keon Coleman
13.4%
Josh Palmer
10.4%
James Cook
8.2%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
17%
3 red-zone targets
First-read share
23%
of targets as the QB’s first read
Air yards a game
76
aDOT 15.2
Snap share
52.5%
Play-action targets
20%
of his targets
Targets with motion
55%
of his targets
Screen targets
0%
of his targets
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
7.6
61
62
63
Target share2+ games
18.4%
64
Air-yard share2+ games
23.9%
62
WOPR2+ games
0.44
66
First-read target share15+ targets
22.7%
54
Red-zone target share2+ games
16.7%
57
Yards per target15+ targets
8.9
60
EPA per target15+ targets
0.32
52
Separation (yds)15+ targets
2.83
54
YAC over expected15+ targets
+1.36
85
Catchable-target rate15+ targets
60.0%
14
Drop ratelower is better
0.0%
79
Average depth of targetcontext
15.2
85
Expected points a game2+ games
9.3
62

Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
9.3
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
9.1
Over expected
−0.2
points a game
TDs vs. expected
1/ 0.8
+0.20

1 TDs on 0.80 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Leaderboardstop 10 among WRs, 2026

6thBroken tackles (rushing + receiving)7thDrop rate10thRed-zone carries
06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets2012-178-18.98.20.320.27
Red zone15% of targets31-16-05.34.40.440.18
Inside the 105% of targets10-0-00.02.4-0.86-0.01
Third down45% of targets96-74-08.27.10.640.14
Score within 790% of targets1812-178-19.98.10.470.26
Trailing by 8+10% of targets20-0-00.08.2-1.040.28
Two-minute drill30% of targets64-76-112.77.50.970.17
Vs. the blitz20% of targets43-35-08.87.91.180.23
No blitz80% of targets169-143-18.98.40.100.29
Play action20% of targets43-38-09.510.40.320.41
With motion55% of targets117-85-07.78.30.120.32

Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 12 of his 20 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 1 contested caught.

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man2087.959%+0.39
Zone2908.268%+0.14
Cover 11568.260%+0.37
Cover 31219.170%+0.14
Cover 2887.568%+0.23
Cover 4505.362%−0.14
Cover 0348.050%+0.64
2-man185.061%+0.03
Cover 6169.256%+0.21

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

07

Team

BUF
Points a game
32.8
1st of 32
Plays a game
58.6
23rd of 32
EPA per play
0.210
1st of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.5%
23rd of 32
Red-zone plays a game
11.2
7th of 32
Motion rate
50%
8th of 32
Play-action rate
13%
10th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
21st of 32

Buffalo Bills offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs HOU36-3123.062%−0.9Allen29 att
W2vs DET41-3130.050%−0.3Allen31 att
W3vs LAC24-1628.848%−13.6Allen26 att
W4vs NE26-2928.364%−4.7Allen33 att
W5vs LA37-3426.036%−22.9Allen19 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR1
DJ Moore
WR2
Khalil Shakir
WR3
Keon Coleman
WR4
Joshua Palmer
WR5
Greg Dortch
WR6
Skyler Bell

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

W6
@LV
#20
W7
BYE
W8
BAL
#24
W9
@MIN
#5
W10
@NYJ
#10
W11
MIA
#2
W12
KC
#1
W13
@NE
#17
W14
@GB
#13
W15
CHI
#19
W16
@DEN
#3
W17
@MIA
#2
W18
NYJ
#10
Next 4
#15
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#8
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Sean McDermott. QB: Josh Allen (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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DJ Moore is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2014.1’2114.0’2211.7’2316.9’2414.0’2510.1’269.1
’2011.9’2111.2’229.9’2314.0’2411.1’258.7’267.6
’209.7’218.5’228.0’2311.2’248.2’257.2’266.1

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026BUF412-178-120 tgt, 18.4% share7.6WR479.3−0.7
2025CHI1750-682-685 tgt, 16.2% share, routes 87%8.7WR389.0+36.3
2024CHI1798-966-6140 tgt, 27.1% share, routes 97%11.1WR2814.6−10.0
2023CHI1796-1,364-8136 tgt, 29.5% share, routes 96%14.0WR1113.7+52.8
2022CAR1763-888-7118 tgt, 28.8% share, routes 98%9.9WR3311.9−2.5
2021CAR1793-1,157-4163 tgt, 28.5% share, routes 92%11.2WR2716.6−44.9
2020CAR1566-1,193-4118 tgt, 24.6% share, routes 93%11.9WR2314.2−1.3

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20251 RZ att, 1 pass TD vs 0.4 exp · 3 RZ car (3%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.2 exp · 13 RZ tgt (16%), 8 end-zone, 4 rec TD vs 4.2 exp
202421 RZ tgt (31%), 5 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 4.2 exp
20231 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 12 RZ tgt (20%), 7 end-zone, 4 rec TD vs 3.2 exp
20221 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 11 RZ tgt (26%), 7 end-zone, 5 rec TD vs 3.0 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
32%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
27%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.65
CV over 82 games
Middle half of games
7.3–21.9
PPR, 51 games 2023–25

14 of his last 51 games reached 20 PPR; 19 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2020

2025 game log 17 games · CHI · 10.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs MIN · D323-68 on 5 tgt · 3-8 rush84%9.1
W2@ DET · D305-46 on 6 tgt88%7.1
W3vs DAL · D264-21-1 on 5 tgt · 3-7 rush90%10.8
W4@ LV · D304-38 on 5 tgt76%5.8
W6@ WAS · D233-42 on 5 tgt · 2-10 rush94%6.7
W7vs NO · D233-43 on 5 tgt · 1-9 rush87%6.7
W8@ BAL · D274-73 on 7 tgt · 2-3 rush84%9.6
W9@ CIN · D101/1 2 yds 1 TD · 4-72 on 6 tgt · 1-17-1 rush85%21.0
W10vs NYG · D260-0 on 4 tgt62%0.0
W11@ MIN · D71-18 on 3 tgt · 1-3 rush81%2.6
W12vs PIT · D325-64-2 on 7 tgt77%20.9
W13@ PHI · D172-17 on 5 tgt · 1-10 rush91%3.7
W14@ GB · D151--4 on 3 tgt83%0.1
W15vs CLE · D74-69-2 on 5 tgt88%20.9
W16vs GB · D195-97-1 on 7 tgt · 1-12 rush95%19.4
W17@ SF · D191-7 on 4 tgt92%1.2
W18vs DET · D301-11 on 3 tgt85%1.6
2024 game log 17 games · CHI · 14.0 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs TEN · D265-36 on 8 tgt · 1-14 rush88%7.5
W2@ HOU · D116-53 on 10 tgt99%8.3
W3@ IND · D108-78 on 10 tgt · 1--6 rush96%11.2
W4vs LA · D303-22-1 on 6 tgt92%9.7
W5vs CAR · D215-105-2 on 8 tgt88%25.0
W6vs JAX · D324-20 on 5 tgt85%4.0
W8@ WAS · D242-27 on 4 tgt · 2-7 rush95%4.4
W9@ ARI · D234-33 on 9 tgt99%5.3
W10vs NE · D213-24 on 6 tgt · 1-3 rush97%4.2
W11vs GB · D117-62 on 7 tgt · 1-5 rush94%10.2
W12vs MIN · D300/1 0 yds 0 TD · 7-106-1 on 7 tgt · 1-13 rush99%23.4
W13@ DET · D288-97-1 on 16 tgt97%19.7
W14@ SF · D86-49 on 8 tgt91%7.9
W15@ MIN · D328-46 on 8 tgt · 3-24 rush87%11.0
W16vs DET · D277-68 on 10 tgt · 1-2 rush95%10.5
W17vs SEA · D226-54 on 8 tgt · 2-8 rush95%9.2
W18@ GB · D79-86-1 on 10 tgt · 1-5 rush98%17.6
2023 game log 17 games · CHI · 16.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs GB · D82-25 on 2 tgt92%3.5
W2@ TB · D246-104 on 7 tgt91%13.4
W3@ KC · D253-41-1 on 6 tgt100%11.6
W4vs DEN · D268-131-1 on 9 tgt93%23.1
W5@ WAS · D268-230-3 on 10 tgt88%45.0
W6vs MIN · D305-51 on 8 tgt95%7.6
W7vs LV · D98-54 on 9 tgt89%9.4
W8@ LAC · D324-55 on 6 tgt88%7.5
W9@ NO · D153-44 on 5 tgt97%3.9
W10vs CAR · D55-58 on 9 tgt · 1-1 rush93%8.4
W11@ DET · D227-96-1 on 9 tgt97%19.1
W12@ MIN · D2311-114 on 13 tgt93%16.9
W14vs DET · D226-68-1 on 10 tgt · 3-20-1 rush92%23.8
W15@ CLE · D24-52 on 8 tgt88%7.2
W16vs ARI · D203-18 on 6 tgt74%3.3
W17vs ATL · D39-159-1 on 13 tgt81%26.4
W18@ GB · D154-64 on 6 tgt90%8.4
2022 game log 17 games · CAR · 11.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs CLE3-43 on 6 tgt · 1-7 rush100%6.5
W2@ NYG3-43-1 on 6 tgt97%11.8
W3vs NO1-2 on 6 tgt · 2-13 rush98%2.0
W4vs ARI · D166-50 on 11 tgt · 1-11 rush96%9.1
W5vs SF · D64-59 on 8 tgt · 1-8 rush93%8.7
W6@ LA · D293-7 on 7 tgt100%2.2
W7vs TB · D157-69-1 on 10 tgt · 1--3 rush100%16.1
W8@ ATL · D326-152-1 on 11 tgt · 1-3 rush96%24.5
W9@ CIN · D92-24 on 6 tgt98%3.4
W10vs ATL · D314-29 on 6 tgt89%4.9
W11@ BAL · D273-24 on 5 tgt98%3.9
W12vs DEN · D34-103-1 on 6 tgt97%18.3
W14@ SEA · D80-0 on 3 tgt · 2-6 rush96%0.6
W15vs PIT · D275-73-1 on 6 tgt96%15.8
W16vs DET · D305-83-1 on 7 tgt · 1-8 rush96%17.6
W17@ TB · D206-117-1 on 10 tgt98%20.7
W18@ NO · D131-10 on 4 tgt92%1.5
2021 game log 17 games · CAR · 14.0 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs NYJ6-80 on 8 tgt · 1-14 rush81%12.4
W2vs NO8-79-1 on 11 tgt88%17.9
W3@ HOU8-126 on 12 tgt · 1--1 rush74%16.5
W4@ DAL8-113-2 on 12 tgt · 1-6 rush84%27.9
W5vs PHI5-42 on 7 tgt · 1--4 rush87%6.3
W6vs MIN5-73 on 13 tgt · 1-6 rush92%8.4
W7@ NYG6-73 on 10 tgt97%10.3
W8@ ATL4-59 on 8 tgt82%7.9
W9vs NE3-32 on 7 tgt · 2-14 rush85%6.1
W10@ ARI4-24 on 7 tgt79%4.4
W11vs WAS5-50-1 on 7 tgt94%13.5
W12@ MIA4-103 on 10 tgt96%12.3
W14vs ATL6-84 on 10 tgt89%11.4
W15@ BUF6-48 on 11 tgt91%9.8
W16vs TB5-55 on 12 tgt86%8.0
W17@ NO3-29 on 8 tgt92%4.4
W18@ TB7-87 on 10 tgt · 1-13 rush76%13.5
2020 game log 15 games · CAR · 14.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs LV4-54 on 9 tgt87%7.4
W2@ TB8-120 on 13 tgt89%16.0
W3@ LAC2-65 on 4 tgt88%7.5
W4vs ARI4-49 on 6 tgt72%6.9
W5@ ATL4-93-1 on 5 tgt79%17.3
W6vs CHI5-93 on 11 tgt94%11.8
W7@ NO4-93-2 on 5 tgt91%23.3
W8vs ATL2-55 on 6 tgt89%6.5
W9@ KC2-18 on 3 tgt98%2.8
W10vs TB4-96-1 on 7 tgt90%17.6
W11vs DET0/1 0 yds 0 TD · 7-127 on 11 tgt · 1-21 rush86%18.3
W12@ MIN4-61 on 9 tgt91%8.1
W15@ GB6-131 on 8 tgt · 1-1 rush81%16.2
W16@ WAS5-37 on 10 tgt82%6.2
W17vs NO5-101 on 11 tgt84%12.6
10

Health

Questionable · concern medium · through Week 6. Shoulder (AC joint); did not play Monday night at the Rams. No Week 6 update yet (at Las Vegas).

Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · game logs; CBS Sports injury page (Thu 10/8)

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
Q
W4
LP
W5
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202570Hip (4), Abdomen, Shoulder, Illness
202410Quadricep
202320Ankle (2)
202220Shoulder, Ankle
202120Hamstring (2)
202020Shoulder

0 games missed 2023–25 (0.00 a season).

18 report weeks over 6 seasons; recurring: Shoulder, Hamstring, Ankle, Quadricep. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

Tyrell Shavers WR
PUP (Knee - ACL)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
4,441
#89 overall · WR36 · tier 12
Superflex
3,586
#97 overall · WR37
30 days
−291
90 days −108 · 1 year +178
Peak
7,895
Oct 11, 2021 · 44% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
4K5K6KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’264,4416,085

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
1,339
3,614
5,849

Teal dot = today (4,441). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 29 valued near #89 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 57 players' worth).

Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players

Keeps an alpha role for 3 years
27%
Falls off a cliff next year
13%
Value up 10%+ in a year
13%
Value down 25%+ in a year
33%
Value up over 2 years
0%
Value down over 2 years
47%
Closest comparable season

2021 Amari Cooper (59% match). He went from 13.8 to 14.5 PPR a game the next year (WR2→WR2). His dynasty value moved −4.3% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

64.3 overall, WR26. Underdog 54.7 · Sleeper 57.3 · CBS 63.5 · Yahoo 65.2 · ESPN 71.2

Dynasty trade calculatorPrice DJ Moore in any deal
Redraft trade calculatorRest-of-season value for this year
Dynasty profileValue cone, comps and scenarios
12

Profile

Age
29.5
Size
6'0"
210 lb
College
Maryland

GWTTKB takes

hold · medium conviction · Aug 2026

Legitimately unusable at times last year despite being an every-down player in a system (Ben Johnson's) that made similar receivers productive everywhere else — read as a role/ scheme problem (miscast as a "sacrificial X" running routes to occupy coverage, not to get the ball), not talent decline. The move to a QB (Josh Allen) whose game is about finding whoever's open, rather than running him through one predetermined role, is read as a much better fit for his skill set.

Keep digging

The long read on DJ MooreOur full preseason study
His record against the closing linesMarket research in Research → Player lines
Research findingsWhat the data says about TDs, matchups, injuries and breakouts
Every player pageSearch any player, updated every week
All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.