Should I start Josh Palmer in Week 6?

Our Week 6 projection has Josh Palmer at 0.0 half-PPR points (0.0 PPR), WR159 at his position, tier Bench, on the road at Las Vegas Raiders.

How has Josh Palmer played in 2026?

3 games, 7.2 half-PPR points a game (7.7 PPR), WR55 in points per game among 175 WRs with 2+ games: 3-80-2 on 9 tgt.

What is Josh Palmer's dynasty value?

2,187 in 1QB PPR (#269 overall, WR113) as of Oct 10, 2026.

WR/Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer

Age 27.0 · 6th season · Tennessee · 2021 R3 #77

HealthyW6 @ LV · Sun 4:25 PMBye W7

Week 6—Projected 0: not expected to play

ROS rank—Not on our board

DynastyWR1132,187 · #269

Ask the Coach Trade value Charts

Overview

2026 so far3 games

Points a game

7.2

WR55 of 175

Target share

10.5%

9 targets

Targets a game

3.0

3 catches, 80 yds

Expected PPR a game

5.8

+1.9 a game vs usage

Week 6

Lines Oct 14

BUF

Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET

Allegiant Stadium

LineBUF -5Total53.5BUF implied29.3Rest6 days (LV 7)Roofindoors

Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Las Vegas Raiders defense vs WRs

#20of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)

StingiestSoftest

PPR a game

32.3

targets

18.2

rec yds

167

1.0

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Tyquan Thornton (W4, 28.1 PPR, 5/8 111 yds); DeMario Douglas (W5, 22.5 PPR, 4/5 65 yds); Chris Olave (W3, 19.7 PPR, 9/13 107 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #25 against the pass, #15 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where LV gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs

#22

LV's average rank in the zones where Palmer gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).

Left

Middle

Right

Deep 20+

33%5.3#32

33%1.5#16

3.7#23

Middle 10–19

3.0#21

2.1#12

2.2#13

Short 0–9

11%1.9#2

1.2#9

22%5.4#28

Behind line

0.2#5

0.2#30

0.9#23

StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points LV allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Josh Palmer's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against LV beforelast 4

Game	Line	Pts
2024 W1vs LV · W 22-10	2-15 on 4 tgt	2.5
2023 W15@ LV · L 21-63	4-113-1 on 4 tgt	19.3
2023 W4vs LV · W 24-17	3-77 on 8 tgt	9.2
2022 W13@ LV · L 20-27	7-60 on 11 tgt	9.5

Week 5: projected vs. actual

Projected

2.3

WR96

Actual

0.0

Difference

−2.3

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

Game log

2026 · through W5

Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 7.2

Every gametap a game for the detail

vs LAC W 24-16

No catch, carry or pass recorded

—

@ LA W 37-34

Did not play (Shoulder, out)

OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share

BUF target treeshare of team targets, 2026

19.6%

18.4%

15.9%

14.8%

13.4%

Josh Palmer

10.4%

James Cook

8.2%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share

1 red-zone targets

First-read share

of targets as the QB’s first read

Air yards a game

aDOT 23.4

Snap share

40.0%

Play-action targets

11%

of his targets

Targets with motion

56%

of his targets

Screen targets

of his targets

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat

Fantasy points a game2+ games

7.2

Target share2+ games

10.4%

Air-yard share2+ games

24.0%

WOPR2+ games

0.32

First-read target shareneeds 15+ targets

6.1%

Red-zone target share2+ games

6.7%

Yards per targetneeds 15+ targets

8.9

EPA per targetneeds 15+ targets

0.40

Catchable-target rateneeds 15+ targets

66.7%

Drop rateneeds 15+ targets

19.0%

Average depth of targetneeds 15+ targets

23.4

Expected points a game2+ games

5.8

Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game

5.8

what his targets and carries are usually worth

Actual PPR a game

7.7

Over expected

+1.9

points a game

TDs vs. expected

2/ 0.5

+1.46

2 TDs on 0.54 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

Situation	Tgt	Rec-Yds-TD	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
All targets	9	3-80-2	8.98.2	0.510.27
Third down33% of targets	3	2-77-2	25.77.1	2.850.14
Score within 778% of targets	7	3-80-2	11.48.1	0.740.26
Leading by 8+22% of targets	2	0-0-0	0.09.3	-0.320.37
Two-minute drill56% of targets	5	1-34-1	6.87.5	0.350.17
Vs. the blitz22% of targets	2	1-43-1	21.57.9	2.590.23
No blitz78% of targets	7	2-37-1	5.38.4	-0.090.29
Play action11% of targets	1	0-0-0	0.010.4	-0.470.41
With motion56% of targets	5	1-3-0	0.68.3	-0.660.32

Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 6 of his 9 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 0 of 1 contested caught.

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

Coverage	Tgt	Yds/tgt	Caught	EPA/tgt
Man	121	8.7	57%	+0.28
Zone	157	7.9	66%	+0.19
Cover 1	103	9.1	59%	+0.32
Cover 3	55	8.4	67%	+0.22
Cover 2	46	8.5	65%	+0.22
Cover 4	37	7.5	70%	+0.15

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, BUF, 2025–2026

Keon ColemanWR · 2025–2026

With

5.3

Without

2.1

With: 10 g, 3.2 tgt a game, 10.6% share · Without: 5 g (25·W11, 25·W12, 25·W15, 25·W16, 25·W17), 2.8 tgt a game, 9.7% share

Dalton KincaidTE · 2025–2026

With

4.4

Without

3.6

With: 11 g, 3.0 tgt a game, 10.1% share · Without: 4 g (25·W6, 25·W11, 25·W12, 25·W17), 3.3 tgt a game, 10.8% share

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

Team

BUF

Points a game

32.8

1st of 32

Plays a game

58.6

23rd of 32

EPA per play

0.210

1st of 32

Pass rate over exp.

−8.5%

23rd of 32

Red-zone plays a game

11.2

7th of 32

Motion rate

50%

8th of 32

Play-action rate

13%

10th of 32

No-huddle rate

21st of 32

Buffalo Bills offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

Week	Score	Implied	Pass rate	QB
W1vs HOU	36-31	23.0	62%−0.9	Allen29 att
W2vs DET	41-31	30.0	50%−0.3	Allen31 att
W3vs LAC	24-16	28.8	48%−13.6	Allen26 att
W4vs NE	26-29	28.3	64%−4.7	Allen33 att
W5vs LA	37-34	26.0	36%−22.9	Allen19 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR1

DJ Moore

WR2

Khalil Shakir

WR3

Keon Coleman

WR4

Joshua Palmer

WR5

Greg Dortch

WR6

Skyler Bell

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

@LV

#20

BYE

BAL

#24

@MIN

W10

@NYJ

#10

W11

MIA

W12

W13

@NE

#17

W14

@GB

#13

W15

CHI

#19

W16

@DEN

W17

@MIA

W18

NYJ

#10

Next 4

#15

average rank

Playoffs W15–17

average rank

Bye

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Sean McDermott. QB: Josh Allen (most pass attempts, Week 5).

Charts

Loading chart…

Loading chart…

Loading chart…

Loading chart…

Loading chart…

Josh Palmer is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

Career

Points a game by season

Season by season

Year	G	Rec-Yds-TD	Pts/g	xFP/g
2026BUF	3	3-80-29 tgt, 10.4% share	7.2WR55	5.8+5.7
2025BUF	12	22-303-037 tgt, 10.2% share, routes 55%	3.4WR103	5.3−10.9
2024LAC	15	39-584-165 tgt, 14.6% share, routes 76%	5.9WR78	7.7−7.8
2023LAC	10	38-581-261 tgt, 17.7% share, routes 82%	8.8WR47	10.5+1.9
2022LAC	16	72-769-3107 tgt, 16.5% share, routes 85%	8.3WR47	11.4−18.7
2021LAC	15	33-353-449 tgt, 8.6% share, routes 40%	5.1WR90	5.7+8.0

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

2025	6 RZ tgt (7%), 2 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.4 exp
2024	7 RZ tgt (13%), 4 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.5 exp
2023	9 RZ tgt (12%), 5 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 2.3 exp
2022	9 RZ tgt (8%), 3 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 1.8 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate

23%

1.5x his recent average and 10+

Bust rate

21%

half his recent average or less

Week-to-week swing

0.73

CV over 53 games

Middle half of games

3.9–10.0

PPR, 37 games 2023–25

1 of his last 37 games reached 20 PPR; 27 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2021

2025 game log 12 games · BUF · 4.4 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1vs BAL · D28	5-61 on 9 tgt	62%	8.6
W2@ NYJ · D3	2-47 on 3 tgt	51%	5.7
W3vs MIA · D4	1-5 on 1 tgt	43%	1.0
W4vs NO · D21	2-25 on 3 tgt	25%	3.5
W5vs NE · D21	2-36 on 2 tgt	51%	4.6
W6@ ATL · D7	2-60 on 2 tgt	11%	7.0
W11vs TB · D21	2-17 on 5 tgt	50%	2.7
W12@ HOU · D3	2-21 on 4 tgt	50%	3.1
W15@ NE · D18	1-16 on 2 tgt	33%	2.1
W16@ CLE · D6	1-2 on 1 tgt	70%	0.7
W17vs PHI · D5	1-12 on 2 tgt	50%	1.7
W18vs NYJ · D16	1-1 on 3 tgt	84%	0.6

2024 game log 15 games · LAC · 7.2 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1vs LV · D14	2-15 on 4 tgt	81%	2.5
W2@ CAR · D2	2-19 on 2 tgt	43%	2.9
W4vs KC · D12	3-36 on 4 tgt	79%	5.1
W6@ DEN · D2	2-38 on 3 tgt	55%	4.8
W7@ ARI · D25	4-63 on 5 tgt	59%	8.3
W8vs NO · D19	2-72 on 4 tgt	77%	8.2
W9@ CLE · D27	2-63-1 on 4 tgt	61%	13.3
W10vs TEN · D4	1-36 on 2 tgt	53%	4.1
W11vs CIN · D20	2-23 on 4 tgt	76%	3.3
W12vs BAL · D32	3-38 on 8 tgt	83%	5.3
W13@ ATL · D29	1-11 on 1 tgt	63%	3.6
W14@ KC · D15	6-78 on 9 tgt	87%	10.8
W15vs TB · D25	2-10 on 3 tgt	75%	2.0
W16vs DEN · D7	3-41 on 6 tgt	60%	7.6
W17@ NE · D16	4-41 on 6 tgt	38%	6.1

2023 game log 10 games · LAC · 10.7 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1vs MIA · D19	1-4 on 1 tgt	64%	0.9
W2@ TEN · D32	3-13 on 5 tgt	54%	2.8
W3@ MIN · D31	4-66-1 on 7 tgt	61%	12.6
W4vs LV · D19	3-77 on 8 tgt	86%	9.2
W6vs DAL · D2	4-60 on 7 tgt	97%	8.0
W7@ KC · D7	5-133 on 7 tgt	98%	15.8
W8vs CHI · D18	3-24 on 4 tgt	68%	3.9
W15@ LV · D10	4-113-1 on 4 tgt	72%	19.3
W16vs BUF · D10	5-47 on 8 tgt	93%	7.2
W18vs KC · D3	6-44 on 10 tgt · 1-6 rush	58%	8.0

2022 game log 16 games · LAC · 10.6 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1vs LV	3-5 on 4 tgt · 1-4 rush	75%	2.4
W2@ KC	4-30-1 on 8 tgt	91%	11.0
W3vs JAX	6-99 on 9 tgt	93%	12.9
W4@ HOU · D10	1-25 on 1 tgt	56%	3.0
W5@ CLE · D16	3-24 on 6 tgt	73%	3.9
W6vs DEN · D2	9-57 on 12 tgt	87%	10.2
W9@ ATL · D32	8-106 on 10 tgt	91%	14.6
W10@ SF · D20	3-44 on 8 tgt	95%	5.9
W11vs KC · D28	8-106-2 on 10 tgt	92%	26.6
W12@ ARI · D15	5-56 on 7 tgt	95%	8.1
W13@ LV · D21	7-60 on 11 tgt	93%	9.5
W14vs MIA · D16	4-53 on 6 tgt	79%	7.3
W15vs TEN · D31	5-49 on 5 tgt	65%	7.4
W16@ IND · D7	2-16 on 3 tgt	59%	2.6
W17vs LA · D22	0-0 on 1 tgt	58%	0.0
W18@ DEN · D1	4-39 on 6 tgt	79%	7.9

2021 game log 15 games · LAC · 6.2 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1@ WAS	1-17 on 1 tgt	17%	2.2
W2vs DAL	2-21 on 2 tgt	25%	3.1
W5vs CLE	2-12 on 3 tgt	21%	2.2
W6@ BAL	1-8 on 4 tgt	52%	1.3
W8vs NE	1-24-1 on 1 tgt	13%	8.9
W9@ PHI	2-22 on 2 tgt	30%	3.2
W10vs MIN	3-22 on 4 tgt	31%	3.7
W11vs PIT	1-17 on 1 tgt · 1-6 rush	30%	2.8
W12@ DEN	2-25 on 2 tgt	42%	3.5
W13@ CIN	0-0 on 1 tgt	34%	0.0
W14vs NYG	5-66-1 on 7 tgt	87%	15.1
W15vs KC	1-15 on 1 tgt	41%	2.0
W16@ HOU	5-43-1 on 6 tgt	97%	12.8
W17vs DEN	3-16 on 5 tgt	46%	3.1
W18@ LV	4-45-1 on 9 tgt	60%	12.5

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

✓

OUT

•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

Year	Weeks listed	Ruled out	Listed for
2025	8	2	Knee (6), Ankle (2)
2024	5	1	Knee (2), Elbow (2), Foot
2023	6	3	Knee (4), Concussion (2)
2022	4	1	Ankle (2), Concussion (2)

10 games missed 2023–25 (2.00 a season), Concussion, Knee, Foot, Ankle. First game back: +0.3 PPR vs his norm (4 returns).

25 report weeks over 4 seasons; recurring: Ankle, Concussion, Knee, Elbow, Foot. Risk label: high.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

DJ Moore

questionable

Tyrell Shavers WR

PUP (Knee - ACL)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

Value

Market Oct 10

1QB value

2,187

#269 overall · WR113 · tier 13

Superflex

1,759

#273 overall · WR115

30 days

+369

90 days +292

Peak

2,201

Oct 3, 2026 · 1% off

1QB dynasty value, last two years

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year

578

1,768

3,266

Teal dot = today (2,187). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 27 valued near #269 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 101 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

169.9 overall, WR80. ESPN 169.9 · Underdog 215.9

Dynasty trade calculatorPrice Josh Palmer in any deal

Redraft trade calculatorRest-of-season value for this year

Dynasty profileValue cone, comps and scenarios

Profile

Age

27.0

College

Tennessee

Keep digging

His record against the closing linesMarket research in Research → Player lines

Research findingsWhat the data says about TDs, matchups, injuries and breakouts

Every player pageSearch any player, updated every week

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology

Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.