Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 5.15 points per game in 2025, usage worth 5.1.
26 years old · 6 seasons of experience · 2020 draft class
Buffalo Bills returns 3 of 6 continuity slots, replacing wr1, hc, oc. Josh Allen at quarterback, Joe Brady as head coach, Pete Carmichael Jr. calling it. The offense projects to 31.5 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 29.2 rushes.
In: Kyle Allen (qb2), DJ Moore (wr1), Skyler Bell (wr4), Trent Sherfield (wr7). Out: Curtis Samuel (wr4).
The projected target split across the offense:
| DJ Moore | 17.1% |
| Khalil Shakir | 16.8% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 14.4% |
| Keon Coleman | 11.7% |
| James Cook | 9.4% |
| Dawson Knox | 7.4% |
What the offense looks like: This is a high powered offense centered around Josh Allen & James Cook. Over the past few years, the Bills have struggled to surround Allen with the weapons he needs in the passsing game. Kincaid HAS NOT made the leap or returned his 1st round draft capital despite what people say. The move to get DJ Moore was very intentional & GM Brandon Beane believes Moore is a locked in WR1 for Buffalo. Shakir is going to be a strong contributor but the DJ Moore trade likely hurts his value.
Key additions: Bills traded a 2nd round pick for to Bears for WR DJ Moore & extended on 4 year deal. C Lloyd Cushenberry 1 year deal. G/C Austin Corbett from Panthers (starter). WR Trent Sherfield from Minnesota (depth).
Key departures: David Edwards (starting LG), WR Curtis Samuel was released. Back up QB Mitch Trubisky signed with the Titans.
Notes: The Bills fired Sean McDermott following their loss to Denver in the playoffs in 2025. Joe Brady (standout OC) was promoted to HCThe Keon Coleman breakout may not ever happen. Bills traded for DJ Moore from Bears & under contract for 4 years. Large opportunity to emerge as main pass catcher in offense. Shakir reliable but no true ceiling yet. Allen 30 but still elite. Bills draft Skyler Bell WR from UConn 6 foor 192 LB 4.40 second 40 yard dash. Large opportunity for Bell in long run. Kincaid health remains a question. Opted to not get PCL surgery AGAIN & new HC Joe Brady says they will manage pain throughout 2026. James Cook will continue to produce as a top 10 PPR fantasy back IF he stays healthy. Very underrated runner.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Josh Allen returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (29.1 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 31.5 att/g; New OC Pete Carmichael Jr. — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Joe Brady.
Offensive environment: BUF rates 26.9 against a league average of 23, 3.9 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -2.3 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | -4.4 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | -1.6 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +3.2 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2024 | 6.5 | 76% | -42.7% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 2024 | 5.4 | 74% | +36% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2023 | 3.5 | 73% | +32.9% |
| Hunter Renfrow | 2023 | 3.5 | 71% | -46.5% |
| K.J. Osborn | 2024 | 2.7 | 71% | -15.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2020, round 4, pick 128 by BUF |
| College | Central Florida |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| Career PPR per game | 9.1 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.9 |
| Boom rate | 26.7% |
| Bust rate | 35% |
| Games missed per season | 0.2 |
| Injury history | Knee |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.44 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 18 against NYJ — 15.1 PPR on 7 targets and a 25% target share, in a game that finished 35-8. His worst was Week 17 against PHI at 0, on 1 targets, final score 12-13. Across 6 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 3 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.4; in the 3 decided by more, 7.9. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 5.1 points per game. He scored 5.15, 4.5% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.18 expected, a gap of -1.2.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TB | 44-32 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 13.3% | — |
| 12 | HOU | 19-23 | 3.2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 6.3% | — |
| 13 | PIT | 26-7 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8.7% | — |
| 14 | CIN | 39-34 | 4.1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 7.4% | — |
| 17 | PHI | 12-13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | — |
| 18 | NYJ | 35-8 | 15.1 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 25% | — |
| Receptions | 12 |
| Targets | 18 |
| Receiving yards | 129 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 5.15 |
| Yards per target | 7.17 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Target share | 10.62% |
| Air-yards share | 17.35% |
| WOPR | 0.282 |
| RACR | 0.69 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.72 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 7.2% |
| End-zone target share | 8.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.18 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.18 |
The offense threw it 495 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Khalil Shakir | 19.83% |
| Keon Coleman | 12.32% |
| Dawson Knox | 10.23% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 10.23% |
| James Cook | 8.35% |
| Josh Palmer | 7.72% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 5 | 11 | 3.16 | 8 | 7.74% |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 1 | 7 | 15.1 | 5.86 | 25% |
2 of his 6 games were blowouts, 53.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.3 in those and 2.43 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 6 against CHI — 21.5 PPR on 8 targets and a 22.9% target share, in a game that finished 16-35. His worst was Week 8 against GB at 0, on 0 targets, final score 27-30. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 4.2; in the 4 decided by more, 7.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 8.3 points per game. He scored 5.39, 27.6% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.95 expected, a gap of -1.9.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | 17-20 | 9.2 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 0 | 15.8% | — |
| 2 | CLE | 13-18 | 7.3 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 25.9% | — |
| 3 | BUF | 10-47 | 3.8 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 13.6% | — |
| 4 | HOU | 20-24 | 0.8 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 0 | 15.6% | — |
| 5 | IND | 37-34 | 4.8 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 11.8% | — |
| 6 | CHI | 16-35 | 21.5 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 22.9% | — |
| 7 | NE | 32-16 | 2.3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 10% | — |
| 8 | GB | 27-30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| 10 | MIN | 7-12 | 2.9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 19% | — |
| 11 | DET | 6-52 | 1.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10.7% | — |
| Receptions | 20 |
| Targets | 42 |
| Receiving yards | 239 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 5.39 |
| Yards per target | 5.69 |
| Catch rate | 47.62% |
| Target share | 14.53% |
| Air-yards share | 21.15% |
| WOPR | 0.365 |
| RACR | 0.461 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.41 |
| Red-zone targets | 10 |
| Red-zone target share | 15.9% |
| End-zone target share | 20.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.95 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.95 |
The offense threw it 546 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brian Thomas | 25.48% |
| Evan Engram | 12.26% |
| Brenton Strange | 10.15% |
| Travis Etienne | 9.96% |
| Parker Washington | 9.77% |
| Christian Kirk | 9% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 8 | 35 | 6.21 | 6.2 | 14.45% |
| Mac Jones | 2 | 7 | 2.1 | 3.14 | 14.85% |
3 of his 10 games were blowouts, 49.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.87 in those and 4.17 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 8 against TB — 23.7 PPR on 12 targets and a 30.8% target share, in a game that finished 24-18. His worst was Week 18 against MIA at 0, on 2 targets, final score 21-14. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 5 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 12 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.6; in the 4 decided by more, 11.7. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 8.7 points per game. He scored 10.09, 15.9% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 5 against 2.91 expected, a gap of 2.1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 16-22 | 5.2 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 10.3% | — |
| 2 | LV | 38-10 | 21.2 | 6 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 19.4% | — |
| 3 | WAS | 37-3 | 10.3 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 12.5% | — |
| 4 | MIA | 48-20 | 15.1 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 1 | 12% | — |
| 5 | JAX | 20-25 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 100 | 1 | 22.2% | — |
| 6 | NYG | 14-9 | 3.1 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 13.8% | — |
| 7 | NE | 25-29 | 1.6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 12.8% | — |
| 8 | TB | 24-18 | 23.7 | 9 | 12 | 87 | 1 | 30.8% | — |
| 9 | CIN | 18-24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3% | — |
| 10 | DEN | 22-24 | 9.6 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 24% | — |
| 12 | PHI | 34-37 | 22.5 | 6 | 12 | 105 | 1 | 24.5% | — |
| 14 | KC | 20-17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | — |
| 15 | DAL | 31-10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7% | — |
| 16 | LAC | 24-22 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 130 | 1 | 28.6% | — |
| 17 | NE | 27-21 | 4.1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 10.7% | — |
| 18 | MIA | 21-14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.4% | — |
| Receptions | 45 |
| Targets | 81 |
| Receiving yards | 746 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | -2 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 10.09 |
| Yards per target | 9.21 |
| Catch rate | 55.56% |
| Yards per carry | -2 |
| Target share | 15.41% |
| Air-yards share | 27.16% |
| WOPR | 0.422 |
| RACR | 0.545 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.51 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.06 |
| Red-zone targets | 12 |
| Red-zone target share | 16.2% |
| End-zone target share | 33.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.91 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 5 |
| Receiving TD luck | 2.09 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 43 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 18 of 51 |
| Target share | 49 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 34 of 51 |
The offense threw it 579 times. He took 14.86% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 29.36% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 16.7% |
| Gabe Davis ← | 14.86% |
| James Cook | 9.91% |
| Khalil Shakir | 8.26% |
| Dawson Knox | 6.61% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 28.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 11.65 in those and 9.57 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 5 against PIT — 32.1 PPR on 6 targets and a 16.7% target share, in a game that finished 38-3. His worst was Week 4 against BAL at 2.3, on 3 targets, final score 23-20. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.7; in the 6 decided by more, 14.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 10.7 points per game. He scored 11.44, 10.6% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 31-10 | 18.8 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 1 | 16.1% | — |
| 3 | MIA | 19-21 | 6.7 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 10.5% | — |
| 4 | BAL | 23-20 | 2.3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 8.8% | — |
| 5 | PIT | 38-3 | 32.1 | 3 | 6 | 171 | 2 | 16.7% | — |
| 6 | KC | 24-20 | 16.4 | 3 | 6 | 74 | 1 | 15.8% | — |
| 8 | GB | 27-17 | 5.5 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 28% | — |
| 9 | NYJ | 17-20 | 5.3 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 15.2% | — |
| 10 | MIN | 30-33 | 21.3 | 6 | 10 | 93 | 1 | 24.4% | — |
| 11 | CLE | 31-23 | 11.8 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 29.2% | — |
| 12 | DET | 28-25 | 7.8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 12.8% | — |
| 13 | NE | 24-10 | 9.5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 21.2% | — |
| 14 | NYJ | 20-12 | 6.1 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 14.8% | — |
| 15 | MIA | 32-29 | 9.6 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 15.8% | — |
| 16 | CHI | 35-13 | 11.5 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 24% | — |
| 18 | NE | 35-23 | 6.9 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 0 | 32.3% | — |
| Receptions | 48 |
| Targets | 93 |
| Receiving yards | 836 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 11.44 |
| Yards per target | 8.99 |
| Catch rate | 51.61% |
| Target share | 19.04% |
| Air-yards share | 28.96% |
| WOPR | 0.487 |
| RACR | 0.61 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.98 |
| Red-zone targets | 17 |
| Red-zone target share | 17.3% |
| End-zone target share | 23.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.34 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.34 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 35 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 13 of 51 |
| Target share | 38 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 27 of 51 |
The offense threw it 574 times. He took 16.88% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 27.95% |
| Gabe Davis ← | 16.88% |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 11.8% |
| Dawson Knox | 11.8% |
| Devin Singletary | 9.44% |
| James Cook | 5.81% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 36.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 20.8 in those and 9.7 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 15 against CAR — 25.5 PPR on 7 targets and a 22.6% target share, in a game that finished 31-14. His worst was Week 9 against JAX at 0, on 2 targets, final score 6-9. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 8.6; in the 10 decided by more, 8.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 7.7 points per game. He scored 8.39, 44.3% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 9 against 5.07 expected, a gap of 3.9.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 16-23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 10.4% | — |
| 3 | WAS | 43-21 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2.3% | — |
| 4 | HOU | 40-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.2% | — |
| 5 | KC | 38-20 | 2.6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 4.2% | — |
| 6 | TEN | 31-34 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 4.4% | — |
| 8 | MIA | 26-11 | 12.9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 12.2% | — |
| 9 | JAX | 6-9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.4% | — |
| 10 | NYJ | 45-17 | 13.5 | 3 | 3 | 105 | 0 | 10.7% | — |
| 11 | IND | 15-41 | 4.7 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 10.3% | — |
| 12 | NO | 31-6 | 6.7 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 11.5% | — |
| 13 | NE | 10-14 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 13.3% | — |
| 14 | TB | 27-33 | 15.3 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 15.7% | — |
| 15 | CAR | 31-14 | 25.5 | 5 | 7 | 85 | 2 | 22.6% | — |
| 17 | ATL | 29-15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 12.5% | — |
| 18 | NYJ | 27-10 | 6.9 | 3 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 31.1% | — |
| Receptions | 35 |
| Targets | 63 |
| Receiving yards | 549 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 8.39 |
| Yards per target | 8.71 |
| Catch rate | 55.56% |
| Target share | 11.25% |
| Air-yards share | 17.29% |
| WOPR | 0.289 |
| RACR | 0.835 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.38 |
| Red-zone targets | 21 |
| Red-zone target share | 16.4% |
| End-zone target share | 19.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 5.07 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 9 |
| Receiving TD luck | 3.93 |
The offense threw it 655 times. He took 10.13% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 26.37% |
| Cole Beasley | 18.01% |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 11.58% |
| Dawson Knox | 11.41% |
| Gabe Davis ← | 10.13% |
| Devin Singletary | 8.04% |
8 of his 15 games were blowouts, 50.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.9 in those and 8.56 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 17 against MIA — 18.7 PPR on 5 targets and a 13.5% target share, in a game that finished 56-26. His worst was Week 10 against ARI at 0, on 3 targets, final score 30-32. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.2; in the 10 decided by more, 10.6. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 6.9 points per game. He scored 8.56, 13.5% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 27-17 | 3.6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 4.4% | — |
| 2 | MIA | 31-28 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.9% | — |
| 3 | LA | 35-32 | 12.1 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 12.5% | — |
| 4 | LV | 30-23 | 9.6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 3.1% | — |
| 5 | TEN | 16-42 | 10.8 | 5 | 9 | 58 | 0 | 20% | — |
| 6 | KC | 17-26 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | — |
| 7 | NYJ | 18-10 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7.3% | — |
| 8 | NE | 24-21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.1% | — |
| 9 | SEA | 44-34 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 1 | 13.2% | — |
| 10 | ARI | 30-32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.7% | — |
| 12 | LAC | 27-17 | 16.9 | 3 | 4 | 79 | 1 | 16.7% | — |
| 13 | SF | 34-24 | 15.8 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 1 | 10.8% | — |
| 14 | PIT | 26-15 | 10.9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 19% | — |
| 15 | DEN | 48-19 | 3.8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 13.2% | — |
| 16 | NE | 38-9 | 6.3 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 13.2% | — |
| 17 | MIA | 56-26 | 18.7 | 2 | 5 | 107 | 1 | 13.5% | — |
| Receptions | 35 |
| Targets | 62 |
| Receiving yards | 599 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 8.56 |
| Yards per target | 9.66 |
| Catch rate | 56.45% |
| Target share | 10.72% |
| Air-yards share | 19.94% |
| WOPR | 0.302 |
| RACR | 0.861 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.84 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 16 |
| Red-zone target share | 15.4% |
| End-zone target share | 28.9% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 4.42 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 4 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.42 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.13 |
The offense threw it 595 times. He took 10.88% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Stefon Diggs | 29.12% |
| Cole Beasley | 18.77% |
| Gabe Davis ← | 10.88% |
| John Brown | 9.12% |
| Devin Singletary | 8.77% |
| Dawson Knox | 7.72% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 28.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.9 in those and 5.23 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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