Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 4.52 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170.2, usage worth 5.7.
26 years old · 5 seasons of experience · 2021 draft class
| ESPN | 170.2 |
| UNDERDOG | 216 |
| FFA | 673 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | WR127 |
| Bye week | 7 |
Our board has him at 4.2 points, 0.3 per game — 1.6 catches, 20 yards, 0.1 TDs. That is WR6, 386 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 0.1 points per game to a ceiling of 0.7, with the median at 0.3. Boom rate 99%, bust rate 67%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 170.2 on consensus and our board has him 386. We rank him 215.8 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
Washington Commanders returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing te1, oc. Jayden Daniels at quarterback, Dan Quinn as head coach, David Blough calling it. The offense projects to 30.1 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 27.7 rushes.
In: Antonio Williams (wr2), Brandon Aiyuk (wr3), Dyami Brown (wr5), Rachaad White (rb2), Kaytron Allen (rb4), Chig Okonkwo (te1). Out: Deebo Samuel (wr2), Austin Ekeler (rb2), Chris Rodriguez Jr (rb3), Zach Ertz (te1).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 5.1%, with a bear case of 2.6% and a bull case of 6.9% and a full range of 2.6% to 8.1%. That comes from 29 historical comparables, not from a depth chart.
The projected target split across the offense:
| Brandon Aiyuk | 21.8% |
| Terry McLaurin | 18.6% |
| Chig Okonkwo | 10.2% |
| Antonio Williams | 9% |
| Jaylin Lane | 7.7% |
| Rachaad White | 6.2% |
What the offense looks like: Terry McLaurin has been struggling with injuries & is aging. The Commanders have young WR talent that can step up, but they are going to need it quickly. Chig Okonkwo could provide immediate help to Jayden Daniels. But Jayden has to play at a high level. I believe Jayden can be a top 5 QB in the NFL & he has not historically struggled with injuries throughout his career. There is a risk in this offense if Jayden gets hurt again, but when healthy, this is an offense that the top RB will be highly relevant, should have a productive TE, and can support fantasy relevance out of multiple WR.
Key additions: Signed RB Rachaad White from Tampa in free agency (Jayden Daniels college teammate). Signed WR Ryami Brown in free agency from Jacksonville. Signed TE Chig Okonkwo from Tennessee in free agency to 3 year deal (starter). Drafted RB Kaytron Allen in the 6th roud. Expected to sign WR Brandon Aiyuk in free agency.
Key departures: OC Kluff Kingsbury is gone afer disaster 2025 season (promoted David Blough to OC). Lost WR Deebo Samuel in free agency. Lost TE Zach Ertz due to ACL injury because Marcus Mariota got his knee exploded on a hospital ball across the middle of the field.
Notes: Williams round 3 WR could connect early with Daniels. Terry McLaurin is aging, but if he can stay healthy, he will produce over next few years. Signed TE Chig Okonkwo who could 100% produce well with Jayden Daniels but hadn't provded it with Titans yet. Jacory Croskey-Merritt is set to be 1A RB while they sign Bucs RB Rachaad White in free agency. Could function as 1B and recieving back. Very curious to see how this dynamic turns out. Brandon Aiyuk WILL SIGN with Commanders or be traded to them. Unsure if he will be good following knee surgery, but he will be in Washington next Season. Daniels top 5 SF dynasty QB. Buy him. Rookie WR Williams, WR Dyami Brown, & Treylon Burks all have a chance to operate as WR2 or 3. Only 1 can win the full time job though.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Jayden Daniels returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (27.6 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 30.1 att/g; New OC David Blough — pass rate and tempo may shift.
29 historical comps for WRs age ~26, prior share 10.7%, team change, OC change. Distribution: median 4.5%, p25-p75 [0.0%, 7.9%], tails [0.0%, 10.3%]. Closest comps: Scott Miller 2022→2023 (TB→ATL: 8.9%→5.8%); DaeSean Hamilton 2020→2021 (DEN: 12.7%→0.0%); Terrace Marshall 2023→2024 (CAR→LV: 12.2%→3.4%).
arrival self-anchored 32% to own 10.7% role (2yr)
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: WAS rates 23 against a league average of 23, exactly at it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -0.2 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | +3.6 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -3 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -7.5 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | DeAndre Carter | +10.5 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -20.6% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Powell | 2023 | 4.1 | 59% | -22.1% |
| Kalif Raymond | 2023 | 5.7 | 58% | +38.3% |
| Kalif Raymond | 2022 | 6.8 | 58% | +1.9% |
| Devin Duvernay | 2021 | 4.8 | 56% | +71.9% |
| Tutu Atwell | 2024 | 6.6 | 56% | +2% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 1 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2021, round 3, pick 82 by WAS |
| College | North Carolina |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| Height | 6′0″ |
| Weight | 189 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.46s |
| Vertical | 35″ |
| Broad jump | 128″ |
| 3-cone | 6.87s |
| Shuttle | 4.35s |
| Career PPR per game | 3 |
| Week-to-week variation | 1.1 |
| Boom rate | 4.3% |
| Bust rate | 54.3% |
| Games missed per season | 0.8 |
| Injury history | Knee, Groin, Hamstring |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.16 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 2 against CIN — 17.6 PPR on 7 targets and a 17.1% target share, in a game that finished 27-31. His worst was Week 15 against NYJ at -1.6, on 0 targets, final score 48-20. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.6; in the 5 decided by more, 3.2. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 5.7 points per game. He scored 4.52, 21.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 26-10 | 8.8 | 3 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 13.8% | 71% |
| 2 | CIN | 27-31 | 17.6 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 1 | 17.1% | 80% |
| 3 | HOU | 17-10 | 2.7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7.9% | 33% |
| 5 | KC | 31-28 | 3.5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 16% | 66% |
| 6 | SEA | 12-20 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 11.9% | 64% |
| 7 | LA | 7-35 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 8.5% | 30% |
| 9 | LV | 30-29 | 5.9 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 21.2% | 60% |
| 10 | HOU | 29-36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 37% |
| 11 | LAC | 35-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 27% |
| 15 | NYJ | 48-20 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8% |
| 18 | TEN | 41-7 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3.2% | 13% |
| Receptions | 20 |
| Targets | 37 |
| Receiving yards | 227 |
| Carries | 6 |
| Rushing yards | 30 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 4.52 |
| Yards per target | 6.14 |
| Catch rate | 54.05% |
| Yards per carry | 5 |
| Snap share | 44.45% |
| Target share | 9.85% |
| Air-yards share | 17.4% |
| WOPR | 0.27 |
| RACR | 0.427 |
| Average depth of target | 14 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 1.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 9.8 |
| Total YAC | 31 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 70.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.19 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.06 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 9.8% |
| End-zone target share | 10.8% |
| Red-zone carry share | 0.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.98 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.98 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.14 |
The offense threw it 563 times. He took 7.37% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Parker Washington | 18.92% |
| Brian Thomas | 18.13% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 12.15% |
| Brenton Strange | 11.95% |
| Travis Etienne | 10.36% |
| Dyami Brown ← | 7.37% |
4 of his 11 games were blowouts, 14.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 1.8 in those and 5.62 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 5 against CLE — 13.7 PPR on 2 targets and a 7.4% target share, in a game that finished 34-13. His worst was Week 10 against PIT at 0.7, on 3 targets, final score 27-28. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 14 times. In the 11 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.7; in the 4 decided by more, 6.6. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 5.7 points per game. He scored 4.49, 5.4% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NYG | 21-18 | 3.7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 13.8% | 69% |
| 3 | CIN | 38-33 | 3.6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 8.7% | 22% |
| 4 | ARI | 42-14 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3.3% | 25% |
| 5 | CLE | 34-13 | 13.7 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 1 | 7.4% | 55% |
| 6 | BAL | 23-30 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 32% |
| 7 | CAR | 40-7 | 3.3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 12% | 30% |
| 8 | CHI | 18-15 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2.9% | 32% |
| 9 | NYG | 27-22 | 3.4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 5.3% | 42% |
| 10 | PIT | 27-28 | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | -13 | 0 | 9.4% | 16% |
| 11 | PHI | 18-26 | 1.4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.3% | 38% |
| 12 | DAL | 26-34 | 5.6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 5.9% | 34% |
| 13 | TEN | 42-19 | 7.9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 16.7% | 52% |
| 15 | NO | 20-19 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 12.9% | 78% |
| 16 | PHI | 36-33 | 7.6 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 13.9% | 66% |
| 18 | DAL | 23-19 | 5.4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 13.3% | 43% |
| Receptions | 30 |
| Targets | 40 |
| Receiving yards | 308 |
| Carries | 3 |
| Rushing yards | 26 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 4.49 |
| Yards per target | 7.7 |
| Catch rate | 75% |
| Yards per carry | 8.67 |
| Snap share | 42.27% |
| Target share | 8.99% |
| Air-yards share | 8.55% |
| WOPR | 0.194 |
| RACR | 1.017 |
| Average depth of target | 7.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 3 |
| Total YAC | 218 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 105 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.12 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.09 |
| Red-zone targets | 7 |
| Red-zone target share | 7.8% |
| End-zone target share | 10.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.68 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.68 |
The offense threw it 525 times. He took 7.95% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Terry McLaurin | 23.26% |
| Zach Ertz | 18.09% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 12.72% |
| Noah Brown | 11.13% |
| Austin Ekeler | 8.15% |
| Dyami Brown ← | 7.95% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 13 | 33 | 4.52 | 8.15 | 8.42% |
| Marcus Mariota | 2 | 7 | 4.35 | 5.57 | 12.65% |
4 of his 15 games were blowouts, 39% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.57 in those and 3.74 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 10 against SEA — 12.1 PPR on 2 targets and a 4.8% target share, in a game that finished 26-29. His worst was Week 16 against NYJ at 0, on 0 targets, final score 28-30. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 15 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3; in the 6 decided by more, 0.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 3 points per game. He scored 2.19, 11.5% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 20-16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 27% |
| 2 | DEN | 35-33 | 5.5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 8.8% | 32% |
| 3 | BUF | 3-37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.4% | 22% |
| 4 | PHI | 31-34 | 7.1 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 7.7% | 32% |
| 5 | CHI | 20-40 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 6.3% | 24% |
| 6 | ATL | 24-16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.8% | 22% |
| 7 | NYG | 7-14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 16% |
| 8 | PHI | 31-38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 31% |
| 9 | NE | 20-17 | 5.3 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 9.1% | 29% |
| 10 | SEA | 26-29 | 12.1 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 4.8% | 18% |
| 11 | NYG | 19-31 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7.1% | 26% |
| 12 | DAL | 10-45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.3% | 24% |
| 13 | MIA | 15-45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 20% |
| 15 | LA | 20-28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 10% |
| 16 | NYJ | 28-30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 21% |
| 18 | DAL | 10-38 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 14% |
| Receptions | 12 |
| Targets | 23 |
| Receiving yards | 168 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 2.19 |
| Yards per target | 7.3 |
| Catch rate | 52.17% |
| Snap share | 23% |
| Target share | 3.86% |
| Air-yards share | 7.75% |
| WOPR | 0.113 |
| RACR | 0.279 |
| Average depth of target | 16.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.7 |
| Total YAC | 76 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 54.3 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.53 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 2.9% |
| End-zone target share | 3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.93 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.93 |
The offense threw it 636 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Terry McLaurin | 22% |
| Curtis Samuel | 15.17% |
| Jahan Dotson | 13.83% |
| Logan Thomas | 13% |
| Antonio Gibson | 9.83% |
| Brian Robinson | 7.17% |
5 of his 16 games were blowouts, 9.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 0.65 in those and 3 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 5 against TEN — 24.5 PPR on 4 targets and a 10.8% target share, in a game that finished 17-21. His worst was Week 18 against DAL at 0, on 0 targets, final score 26-6. Across 9 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.7; in the 4 decided by more, 1. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 3.4 points per game. He scored 3.64, 37.2% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PHI | 8-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 16% |
| 4 | DAL | 10-25 | 1.6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10% | 28% |
| 5 | TEN | 17-21 | 24.5 | 2 | 4 | 105 | 2 | 10.8% | 32% |
| 6 | CHI | 12-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% | 5% |
| 9 | MIN | 17-20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.8% | 31% |
| 10 | PHI | 32-21 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 4% | 19% |
| 12 | ATL | 19-13 | 2.7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 4.5% | 23% |
| 15 | NYG | 12-20 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.4% | 16% |
| 18 | DAL | 26-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 12% |
| Receptions | 5 |
| Targets | 14 |
| Receiving yards | 143 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | 15 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 3.64 |
| Yards per target | 10.21 |
| Catch rate | 35.71% |
| Yards per carry | 15 |
| Snap share | 20.22% |
| Target share | 5% |
| Air-yards share | 14.34% |
| WOPR | 0.177 |
| RACR | 0.32 |
| Average depth of target | 25.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 22.4 |
| Total YAC | 31 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 114 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.55 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.1 |
The offense threw it 554 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Terry McLaurin | 22.6% |
| Curtis Samuel | 17.33% |
| Logan Thomas | 11.49% |
| Jahan Dotson | 11.49% |
| Antonio Gibson | 10.92% |
| J.D. McKissic | 7.53% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 4 | 9 | 6.53 | 12.33 | 6.33% |
| Taylor Heinicke | 4 | 5 | 1.68 | 6.4 | 4.93% |
| Sam Howell | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0% |
1 of his 9 games were blowouts, 0% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 0 in those and 5.74 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 16 against DAL — 7.3 PPR on 2 targets and a 6.7% target share, in a game that finished 14-56. His worst was Week 3 against BUF at -0.4, on 2 targets, final score 21-43. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.5; in the 4 decided by more, 3.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 4.8 points per game. He scored 2.81, 35.1% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 16-20 | 0.8 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 20% | 93% |
| 2 | NYG | 30-29 | 6.4 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 13.6% | 87% |
| 3 | BUF | 21-43 | -0.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.3% | 65% |
| 4 | ATL | 34-30 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 6.1% | 42% |
| 6 | KC | 13-31 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 15.4% | 80% |
| 13 | LV | 17-15 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3.3% | 9% |
| 14 | DAL | 20-27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 34% |
| 15 | PHI | 17-27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 16% |
| 16 | DAL | 14-56 | 7.3 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 6.7% | 22% |
| 17 | PHI | 16-20 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 2.9% | 11% |
| Receptions | 12 |
| Targets | 25 |
| Receiving yards | 165 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | -4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 2.81 |
| Yards per target | 6.6 |
| Catch rate | 48% |
| Yards per carry | -4 |
| Snap share | 45.9% |
| Target share | 7.93% |
| Air-yards share | 16.35% |
| WOPR | 0.233 |
| RACR | 0.371 |
| Average depth of target | 15.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 10.9 |
| Total YAC | 34 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 69.6 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.16 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.12 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 5.1% |
| End-zone target share | 3.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.43 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.43 |
The offense threw it 550 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Terry McLaurin | 24.39% |
| Adam Humphries | 11.63% |
| J.D. McKissic | 9.94% |
| Antonio Gibson | 9.76% |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 9.19% |
| DeAndre Carter | 8.26% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke | 9 | 25 | 3.12 | 6.6 | 8.81% |
| Garrett Gilbert | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0% |
3 of his 10 games were blowouts, 45.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.3 in those and 2.53 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
Ask the Coach about Dyami Brown →