Jeremy McNicholsWashington Commanders
RB/Washington Commanders

Jeremy McNichols

10th season · 5'9", 214 lb · Boise St. · 2017 R5 #162
HealthyW8 vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PMBye W7
Week 8RB504.8 proj · Bench
ROS rank—Not on our board
Dynasty—No market value
Ask the Coach Trade value Charts
01

Overview

2026 so far1 game

Points a game
1.3
1 games
Carry share
29%
5 carries
Touches a game
5.0
0 targets
02

Week 8

Lines Oct 28
WAS
VS
Sun · Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET
Northwest Stadium
PHI
LineWAS -5.5Total40.5WAS implied23Rest13 days (PHI 6)Forecast56°F, wind 5 mph
Our Week 8 projection
4.8pts
RB50
Bench
7.0carries29rush yds0.3tgt0.2rec2rec yds0.26TD

Updated Oct 28, 2026, built on a WAS team total of 22.5. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

Philadelphia Eagles defense vs RBs
#16of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
21.2
rush yds
117
rec
3.3
TD
0.7

Allowed to RBs per game across 7 games. Best games against them: Kyren Williams (W4, 36.7 PPR, 16 car 80 ry, 10/13 67 rec); Javonte Williams (W7, 21.5 PPR, 25 car 155 ry, 0/0 0 rec); Chuba Hubbard (W6, 19.1 PPR, 28 car 120 ry, 1/2 1 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 8: #26 against the pass, #28 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where PHI gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
0.4#3
1.1#24
0.6#9
Behind line
0.7#8
0.0#1
0.7#4

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
40%10.6#32
40%2.6#11
20%2.8#3
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points PHI allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 7 games, through Week 7. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against PHI beforelast 4

GameLinePts
2025 W18@ PHI · W 24-171-3 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt1.6
2025 W16vs PHI · L 18-291-3 rush · 2-9 on 3 tgt4.2
2024 W16vs PHI · W 36-332-3 rush · 4-15 on 4 tgt5.8
2024 W11@ PHI · L 18-263-5 rush · 1-1 on 1 tgt1.1

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Field

2026 · through W7

Every carry Jeremy McNichols has, on the field: where it went, what came of it, and the situation, with filters for down, distance, field position, score and clock.

  • 2026: 5 carries at 2.6 a carry, most through the middle (2); −0.31 EPA a carry.
  • 2025: 31 targets (25 caught): 0 at 20+ air yards, 31 under 10; 12 to the left, 3 over the middle, 16 to the right; −0.01 EPA a target. 44 carries at 5.0 a carry, most through the middle (14); +0.01 EPA a carry.

Spots are the play-by-play’s side and depth, not tracking. Open the full-screen Field Explorer.

04

Game log

2026 · through W7
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.3
05101—2—3—4—5OUT61.37BYE05101—2—3—4—5OUT61.37BYE05101—2—3—4—5OUT61.37BYE

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
@ PHI L 22-24
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W2
@ DAL L 20-37
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W3
vs SEA W 33-31
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W4
vs IND L 13-30
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W5
vs NYG L 27-27
Did not play (Quadricep, questionable)
OUT
W7
Bye week
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

05

Usage

WAS backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Jacory Croskey-Merritt
45.3%
Rachaad White
25.2%
Kaytron Allen
14.0%
Austin Ekeler
11.6%
Share of team targets
Stefon Diggs
23.4%
Terry McLaurin
18.1%
Chig Okonkwo
16.9%
Antonio Williams
13.8%
Treylon Burks
11.4%
Rachaad White
9.3%
Dyami Brown
8.4%

Season to date, games each player played.

06

Splits

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 7

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries513-02.64.140%39%
Red zone60% of carries36-02.02.667%42%
Inside the 1020% of carries12-02.01.8100%49%
Third down20% of carries10-00.04.00%54%
Score within 760% of carries37-02.34.10%39%
Trailing by 8+40% of carries26-03.04.0100%41%
Light box (6 or fewer)60% of carries310-03.34.433%41%
RPO20% of carries16-06.04.40%43%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man184.378%+0.12
Zone265.677%−0.18

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, WAS, 2025–2026

Jayden DanielsQB · 2025–2026
With
2.5
Without
4.4
With: 7 g, 2.1 car, 1.4 tgt a game, 27% snaps · Without: 10 g (25·W3, 25·W4, 25·W8, 25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W13, 25·W15, 25·W16, 25·W17, 25·W18), 3.4 car, 2.1 tgt a game, 35% snaps
Marcus MariotaQB · 2025
With
5.1
Without
2.1
With: 9 g, 3.8 car, 2.2 tgt a game, 36% snaps · Without: 7 g (25·W1, 25·W5, 25·W6, 25·W9, 25·W14, 25·W17, 25·W18), 1.4 car, 1.6 tgt a game, 29% snaps
Josh JohnsonQB · 2025
With
2.1
Without
4.0
With: 2 g, 1.0 car, 2.0 tgt a game, 32% snaps · Without: 14 g (25·W1, 25·W3, 25·W4, 25·W5, 25·W6, 25·W7, 25·W8, 25·W9, 25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W13, 25·W14, 25·W15, 25·W16), 3.0 car, 1.9 tgt a game, 33% snaps

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

07

Team

WAS
Points a game
22.0
21st of 32
Plays a game
62.8
12th of 32
EPA per play
-0.014
18th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.3%
26th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
9.2
21st of 32
Motion rate
40%
27th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
17th of 32
No-huddle rate
7%
10th of 32

Washington Commanders offense, 2026 through Week 7. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 6.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs PHI22-2418.853%−10.4Daniels34 att
W2vs DAL20-3724.052%−15.4Daniels17 att
W3vs SEA33-3116.052%−2.4Mariota31 att
W4vs IND13-3021.064%−6.1Kaliakmanis33 att
W5vs NYG27-2722.552%−14.8Daniels25 att
W6vs SF17-2322.072%+0.6Daniels40 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 28

RB1
Rachaad White
RB2
Austin Ekeler
RB3
Jeremy McNichols
RB4
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W8
PHI
#16
W9
LA
#14
W10
@NYG
#11
W11
CIN
#3
W12
@ARI
#20
W13
@TEN
#18
W14
HOU
#21
W15
ATL
#28
W16
@MIN
#1
W17
@JAX
#2
W18
DAL
#25
Next 4
#11
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#10
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Dan Quinn. QB: Jayden Daniels (most pass attempts, Week 6).

08

Career

Points a game by season
’202.9’215.7’23’244.6’254.5’261.3
’202.5’214.6’23’244.2’253.8’261.3
’202.1’213.5’23’243.9’253.0’261.3

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026WAS15-13-0 rush0-0-0 rec on 0 tgt1.3—
2025WAS1644-221-1 rush25-196-0 rec on 31 tgt3.8RB664.8−4.2
2024WAS1455-261-4 rush9-27-0 rec on 12 tgt4.2RB613.6+13.5
2023SF20-0-0 rush0-0-0 rec on 0 tgt——
2021TEN1341-156-0 rush28-240-1 rec on 38 tgt4.6RB676.5−10.6
2020TEN1548-208-1 rush12-55-0 rec on 17 tgt2.5RB853.5−12.1

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20255 RZ car (6%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.8 exp · 2 RZ tgt (4%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp
202414 RZ car (10%), 3 inside 5, 4 rush TD vs 2.2 exp · 2 RZ tgt (2%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp
20215 RZ car (6%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.8 exp · 7 RZ tgt (8%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.4 exp
20208 RZ car (9%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.9 exp · 6 RZ tgt (9%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.0 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
9%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
38%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.83
CV over 47 games
Middle half of games
1.2–5.2
PPR, 33 games 2023–25

1 of his last 33 games reached 20 PPR; 29 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2020

2025 game log 16 games · WAS · 4.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs NYG · D274-25 rush19%2.5
W3vs LV · D164-78-1 rush26%13.8
W4@ ATL · D62-3 rush · 1-0 on 2 tgt33%0.8
W5@ LAC · D31-6 rush · 1-12 on 2 tgt25%2.3
W6vs CHI · D292-5 rush · 3-30 on 4 tgt32%5.0
W7@ DAL · D302-22 rush · 2-23 on 3 tgt36%5.5
W8@ KC · D71-4 rush · 5-64 on 6 tgt43%9.3
W9vs SEA · D131-0 rush26%0.0
W10vs DET · D35-25 rush · 1-4 on 1 tgt31%3.4
W11@ MIA · D254-13 rush · 2-16 on 2 tgt25%3.9
W13vs DEN · D46-30 rush · 2-0 on 2 tgt49%4.0
W14@ MIN · D131-2 on 1 tgt35%0.7
W15@ NYG · D319-6 rush · 1-16 on 1 tgt49%0.7
W16vs PHI · D211-3 rush · 2-9 on 3 tgt28%4.2
W17vs DAL · D261--2 rush · 3-12 on 3 tgt41%2.5
W18@ PHI · D211-3 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt22%1.6
2024 game log 15 games · WAS · 4.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ TB · D3no stats0%0.0
W3@ CIN · D181-1 rush14%0.1
W4@ ARI · D238-68-2 rush · 1-6 on 1 tgt38%19.9
W5vs CLE · D77-44-1 rush22%10.4
W6@ BAL · D52-9 rush37%0.9
W7vs CAR · D327-42 rush25%4.2
W8vs CHI · D131--1 rush7%-0.1
W9@ NYG · D188-20 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt39%2.0
W10vs PIT · D114-7-1 rush30%6.7
W11@ PHI · D23-5 rush · 1-1 on 1 tgt17%1.1
W12vs DAL · D303-22 rush24%2.2
W13vs TEN · D116-32 rush25%3.2
W15@ NO · D252-4 rush · 1-0 on 2 tgt28%0.9
W16vs PHI · D22-3 rush · 4-15 on 4 tgt28%5.8
W17vs ATL · D81-5 rush · 2-5 on 3 tgt27%2.0
2023 game log 2 games · SF · 0.0 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W16vs BAL · D5no stats0%0.0
W18vs LA · D2no stats0%0.0
2021 game log 13 games · TEN · 5.7 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs ARI2-9 rush · 3-24 on 4 tgt36%4.8
W2@ SEA1-3 rush · 3-26 on 3 tgt24%4.4
W3vs IND2-6 rush · 1-10-1 on 2 tgt26%8.1
W4@ NYJ1-11 rush · 8-74 on 12 tgt40%12.5
W5@ JAX1-9 rush · 2-26 on 2 tgt23%4.5
W7vs KC1-10 on 1 tgt15%1.5
W8@ IND3-33 on 3 tgt23%4.8
W9@ LA7-24 rush · 3-11 on 3 tgt45%5.0
W10vs NO4-7 rush · 1-1 on 3 tgt27%1.3
W14vs JAX8-16 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt38%1.6
W15@ PIT6-26 rush · 3-25 on 3 tgt29%6.6
W16vs SF7-31 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt42%3.1
W17vs MIA2-14 rush10%1.4
2020 game log 15 games · TEN · 2.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ DEN0-0 on 1 tgt16%0.0
W2vs JAX2-7 rush18%0.7
W3@ MIN1-5 on 1 tgt12%1.0
W5vs BUF9-28 rush · 1-3 on 1 tgt39%3.6
W6vs HOU5-51 rush · 2-11 on 3 tgt39%7.2
W7vs PIT1-2 rush26%0.2
W8@ CIN4-49 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt35%4.9
W9vs CHI2-10 rush29%1.0
W10vs IND3-26 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt26%3.9
W11@ BAL1-2 on 1 tgt17%0.7
W12@ IND8-20 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt25%2.0
W13vs CLE2-2-1 rush · 3-15 on 4 tgt45%9.2
W14@ JAX11-9 rush · 1-0 on 1 tgt33%1.4
W15vs DET1-5 on 1 tgt12%1.0
W16@ GB1-6 on 1 tgt16%1.1
09

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 28 and not on the Week 8 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W5
OUT
W6
Q
W7
BYE
W8
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202510Hamstring
202172Concussion (3), Hamstring (2), Ankle (2)
202010Ribs

2 games missed 2023–25 (0.50 a season), Concussion.

10 report weeks over 4 seasons; recurring: Ribs, Hamstring, Ankle, Concussion, Hand. Risk label: high.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

Terry McLaurin
out
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
out
Marcus Mariota QB
Questionable (Knee - MCL)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

10

Value

Market Oct 20

Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players

Keeps an alpha role for 3 years
9%
Falls off a cliff next year
60%
Closest comparable season

2020 Cordarrelle Patterson (62% match). He went from 4.4 to 14.7 PPR a game the next year (RB5+→RB1). His dynasty value moved +552.7% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, RB70. ESPN 170.0

Dynasty trade calculatorPrice Jeremy McNichols in any deal
Redraft trade calculatorRest-of-season value for this year
11

Profile

Size
5'9"
214 lb
College
Boise St.

Keep digging

His record against the closing linesMarket research in Research → Player lines
Research findingsWhat the data says about TDs, matchups, injuries and breakouts
Every player pageSearch any player, updated every week
All players · Week 8 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-28. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.