Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 14.52 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 14.4, usage worth 16.6.
29 years old · 8 seasons of experience · 2018 draft class
| SLEEPER | 13.3 |
| ESPN | 16.9 |
| YAHOO | 12.8 |
| UNDERDOG | 13.6 |
| CBS | 14.5 |
| FFA | 13 |
| Goes around | Round 2, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | RB7 |
| Bye week | 10 |
| ADP standard deviation | 1.8 picks |
Our board has him at 239.6 points, 15 per game — 1,194 rushing yards, 8 rushing TDs, 32.9 catches. That is RB2, 13 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 12.8 points per game to a ceiling of 20.5, with the median at 15. Boom rate 37%, bust rate 14%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 14.4 on consensus and our board has him 13. Those agree, so there is no market disagreement to exploit. The question is whether you want the profile, not whether it is mispriced.
Still excellent, but the 2/02 price is steep vs ascending backs (Achane/Hampton/Jeanty), and Tank Bigsby is a quality enough backup to trim his workload. If you take him, handcuff Bigsby.
hesitant · medium conviction · 2026-06-05Philadelphia Eagles returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing wr1, oc. Jalen Hurts at quarterback, Nick Sirianni as head coach, Sean Mannion calling it. The offense projects to 31 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 27.4 rushes.
In: Makai Lemon (wr2), Marquise Brown (wr3), Dontayvion Wicks (wr4), Elijah Moore (wr6), Quez Watkins (wr7), Dameon Pierce (rb4), Eli Stowers (te2). Out: AJ Brown (wr1), Britain Covey (wr3), Johnny Wilson (wr4), Grant Calcaterra (te2).
The projected carry split across the offense:
| Saquon Barkley ← | 64.9% |
| Will Shipley | 15% |
| Tank Bigsby | 13.2% |
| Dameon Pierce | 7% |
What the offense looks like: If the Eagles can get their offense humming again, this is an offense you want to own a lot of players in. They can produce at a very high level for you. Hurts in particular regardless of play will be a top QB because of the tush push.
Key additions: Drafted WR Makai Lemon 1st round. Traded for Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks, Signed Hollywood Brown. Drafted TE Eli Stowers (great passing catching TE)
Key departures: AJ Brown. He is going to be traded to the Patriots in June 2026.
Notes: AJ Brown is going to be traded to the Patriots. He will not be on the team. Devonta Smith is primed to BREAKOUT as a WR1 IF he can maintain target share. Drafted Makai Lemon Round 1, Eli Stowers (great receiving TE who was also scouted as WR). Eagles also traded for Dontayvion Wicks from Packers who is a talented WR but hasn't put it all together yet. Signed Marquiese Brown in free agency who is expected to operate as WR3/4. There are a lot of mouths to feed on this offense and not all of them can be fantasy relevant. Saquon had a rough 2025 season but should be great in 2026 IF Jalen Hurts can improve his level of play. There are a lot of targets available with AJ Brown leaving.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Jalen Hurts returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (29.2 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 31 att/g; New OC Sean Mannion — pass rate and tempo may shift.
| Projected carry share | 64.9% |
| Projected carries per game | 14.6 |
| Projected carries, full season | 248 |
| Last season, carries per game | 18 |
That is a reduction of 3.4 carries a game against last season, inside a team projection of 27.4 rushing attempts a game.
Basis: prior usage blend. Carry share is the strongest forward predictor we have measured at the position, so this number carries more weight than any efficiency figure on this page.
Offensive environment: PHI rates 23.5 against a league average of 23, 0.5 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted run defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +2.2 · easier |
| Weeks 1–6 | -0.8 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | +1 · neutral |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -5.8 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | Matt Breida | +10.1 |
| 2021 | 4 | Devontae Booker | +7.4 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -20.4% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.7 elite seasons and 2.4 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 2024 | 17.2 | 62% | -47.6% |
| James Conner | 2023 | 15.5 | 58% | +27.8% |
| Tony Pollard | 2024 | 12.5 | 57% | -1.9% |
| James Conner | 2024 | 15.9 | 57% | -29% |
| Aaron Jones | 2023 | 12.3 | 57% | +5.2% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 2 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2018, round 1, pick 2 by NYG |
| College | Penn St. |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| Height | 6′0″ |
| Weight | 233 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.4s |
| Vertical | 41″ |
| Shuttle | 4.24s |
| Career PPR per game | 16 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.6 |
| Boom rate | 18.3% |
| Bust rate | 25% |
| Games missed per season | 1.4 |
| Injury history | Ankle |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.14 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 8 against NYG — 33.4 PPR on 19 touches and a 25% target share, in a game that finished 38-20. His worst was Week 7 against MIN at 5.2, on 19 touches, final score 28-22. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 11 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 13.3; in the 5 decided by more, 17.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 16.6 points per game. He scored 14.52, 11.8% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 24-20 | 18.4 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 60 | 1 | 25% | 79% |
| 2 | KC | 20-17 | 17.4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 88 | 1 | 9.5% | 83% |
| 3 | LA | 33-26 | 9.5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 0 | 16.7% | 94% |
| 4 | TB | 31-25 | 17.4 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 43 | 1 | 16.7% | 84% |
| 5 | DEN | 17-21 | 17.8 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 8.1% | 72% |
| 6 | NYG | 17-34 | 8.7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 9.4% | 81% |
| 7 | MIN | 28-22 | 5.2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 4.3% | 78% |
| 8 | NYG | 38-20 | 33.4 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 150 | 2 | 25% | 59% |
| 10 | GB | 10-7 | 13.1 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 22 | 60 | 0 | 13% | 70% |
| 11 | DET | 16-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 83 | 0 | 7.4% | 81% |
| 12 | DAL | 21-24 | 12.4 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 22.2% | 83% |
| 13 | CHI | 15-24 | 5.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 0 | 6.7% | 93% |
| 14 | LAC | 19-22 | 18.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 122 | 1 | 5.3% | 82% |
| 15 | LV | 31-0 | 17.2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 78 | 1 | 16.7% | 57% |
| 16 | WAS | 29-18 | 21.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 132 | 1 | 6.9% | 77% |
| 17 | BUF | 13-12 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 68 | 0 | 0% | 80% |
| Receptions | 37 |
| Targets | 50 |
| Receiving yards | 273 |
| Carries | 280 |
| Rushing yards | 1,140 |
| Touchdowns | 9 |
| Points per game | 14.52 |
| Yards per target | 5.46 |
| Catch rate | 74% |
| Yards per carry | 4.07 |
| Snap share | 78.31% |
| Target share | 12.06% |
| Air-yards share | -0.69% |
| WOPR | 0.176 |
| RACR | -1.616 |
| Average depth of target | 0.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.6 |
| Total YAC | 296 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 99.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.31 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.51 |
| Red-zone targets | 7 |
| Red-zone target share | 11.3% |
| End-zone target share | 5.9% |
| Red-zone carry share | 50% |
| Goal-line carry share | 44.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.69 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.69 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 8.58 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 15 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 34 of 49 |
| Target share | 10 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 27 of 49 |
The offense threw it 497 times. He took 10.78% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 26.08% |
| DeVonta Smith | 24.35% |
| Dallas Goedert | 17.67% |
| Saquon Barkley ← | 10.78% |
| Jahan Dotson | 7.76% |
| Grant Calcaterra | 2.8% |
3 of his 16 games were blowouts, 25.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 19.77 in those and 13.29 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 12 against LA — 46.2 PPR on 30 touches and a 21.1% target share, in a game that finished 37-20. His worst was Week 6 against CLE at 7.4, on 20 touches, final score 20-16. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 7 times and came in under 8 points 1 time. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 24.4; in the 7 decided by more, 19.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 18.5 points per game. He scored 22.21, 23.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 34-29 | 33.2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 24 | 109 | 3 | 6.9% | 80% |
| 2 | ATL | 21-22 | 17.6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 95 | 0 | 17.2% | 90% |
| 3 | NO | 15-12 | 33.6 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 147 | 2 | 11.1% | 80% |
| 4 | TB | 16-33 | 13.6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 10 | 84 | 0 | 13.8% | 56% |
| 6 | CLE | 20-16 | 7.4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 47 | 0 | 8.3% | 79% |
| 7 | NYG | 28-3 | 26.7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 176 | 1 | 21.4% | 53% |
| 8 | CIN | 37-17 | 12.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 108 | 0 | 5.3% | 82% |
| 9 | JAX | 28-23 | 32.9 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 27 | 159 | 2 | 17.4% | 72% |
| 10 | DAL | 34-6 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 66 | 0 | 5% | 51% |
| 11 | WAS | 26-18 | 33.8 | 2 | 3 | 52 | 26 | 146 | 2 | 12% | 82% |
| 12 | LA | 37-20 | 46.2 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 26 | 255 | 2 | 21.1% | 68% |
| 13 | BAL | 24-19 | 19.7 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 107 | 1 | 23.5% | 88% |
| 14 | CAR | 22-16 | 14.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 124 | 0 | 5.3% | 76% |
| 15 | PIT | 27-13 | 9.4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 6.5% | 61% |
| 16 | WAS | 33-36 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 150 | 2 | 4% | 82% |
| 17 | DAL | 41-7 | 18.9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 167 | 0 | 11.1% | 75% |
| Receptions | 33 |
| Targets | 43 |
| Receiving yards | 278 |
| Carries | 345 |
| Rushing yards | 2,005 |
| Touchdowns | 15 |
| Points per game | 22.21 |
| Yards per target | 6.47 |
| Catch rate | 76.74% |
| Yards per carry | 5.81 |
| Snap share | 73.44% |
| Target share | 11.87% |
| Air-yards share | 2.34% |
| WOPR | 0.194 |
| RACR | 3.948 |
| Average depth of target | 1.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 1 |
| Total YAC | 245 |
| Broken tackles | 6 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 108.5 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.76 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 2.33 |
| Red-zone targets | 11 |
| Red-zone target share | 16.4% |
| End-zone target share | 6.7% |
| Red-zone carry share | 47.8% |
| Goal-line carry share | 46% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.06 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.06 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 13.18 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 1 of 46 |
| Yards per target | 18 of 46 |
| Target share | 11 of 46 |
| Air-yards share | 1 of 46 |
The offense threw it 448 times. He took 10.31% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 23.26% |
| DeVonta Smith | 21.34% |
| Dallas Goedert | 12.47% |
| Saquon Barkley ← | 10.31% |
| Jahan Dotson | 7.91% |
| Grant Calcaterra | 7.19% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 14 | 40 | 22.1 | 6.9 | 12.49% |
| Kenny Pickett | 2 | 3 | 22.95 | 0.67 | 7.55% |
6 of his 16 games were blowouts, 35.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 21.05 in those and 24.4 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 11 against WAS — 30 PPR on 19 touches and a 19.2% target share, in a game that finished 31-19. His worst was Week 15 against NO at 5.7, on 11 touches, final score 6-24. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.6; in the 6 decided by more, 15. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 16.9 points per game. He scored 15.94, 5.7% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 0-40 | 9.3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 51 | 0 | 13.8% | 64% |
| 2 | ARI | 31-28 | 27.2 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 17 | 63 | 2 | 20% | 97% |
| 6 | BUF | 9-14 | 13.8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 93 | 0 | 16.1% | 78% |
| 7 | WAS | 14-7 | 18.8 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 77 | 1 | 14.8% | 84% |
| 8 | NYJ | 10-13 | 15.8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 36 | 128 | 0 | 41.7% | 89% |
| 9 | LV | 6-30 | 14.3 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 90 | 0 | 13.8% | 75% |
| 10 | DAL | 17-49 | 7.1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 13 | 66 | 0 | 11.5% | 61% |
| 11 | WAS | 31-19 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 14 | 83 | 2 | 19.2% | 91% |
| 12 | NE | 10-7 | 6.2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 12.5% | 81% |
| 14 | GB | 24-22 | 23.1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 86 | 2 | 20% | 86% |
| 15 | NO | 6-24 | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 5.9% | 50% |
| 16 | PHI | 25-33 | 19.4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 80 | 1 | 22.2% | 89% |
| 17 | LA | 25-26 | 8.8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 15.4% | 89% |
| 18 | PHI | 27-10 | 23.7 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 18 | 46 | 2 | 6.3% | 70% |
| Receptions | 41 |
| Targets | 60 |
| Receiving yards | 280 |
| Carries | 247 |
| Rushing yards | 962 |
| Touchdowns | 10 |
| Points per game | 15.94 |
| Yards per target | 4.67 |
| Catch rate | 68.33% |
| Yards per carry | 3.89 |
| Snap share | 78.86% |
| Target share | 16.66% |
| Air-yards share | -2.56% |
| WOPR | 0.231 |
| RACR | 2.4 |
| Average depth of target | 2.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 1.3 |
| Total YAC | 226 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.9 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.54 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -3.52 |
| Red-zone targets | 5 |
| Red-zone target share | 14.3% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 60.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 100% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.29 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.71 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.57 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 9 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 36 of 49 |
| Target share | 4 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 42 of 49 |
The offense threw it 518 times. He took 12.4% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Darius Slayton | 16.32% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 16.12% |
| Darren Waller | 15.29% |
| Saquon Barkley ← | 12.4% |
| Jalin Hyatt | 8.26% |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 6.82% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 6 | 28 | 16.72 | 4.29 | 19.42% |
| Tommy DeVito | 6 | 21 | 14.4 | 5.67 | 13.82% |
| Daniel Jones | 2 | 11 | 18.25 | 3.73 | 16.9% |
5 of his 14 games were blowouts, 26.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.02 in those and 16.64 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 1 against TEN — 33.4 PPR on 25 touches and a 33.3% target share, in a game that finished 21-20. His worst was Week 11 against DET at 5.5, on 20 touches, final score 18-31. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 5 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 12 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 20.8; in the 4 decided by more, 8.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.9 points per game. He scored 17.75, 0.2% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 21-20 | 33.4 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 18 | 164 | 1 | 33.3% | 83% |
| 2 | CAR | 19-16 | 11.8 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 72 | 0 | 12.5% | 84% |
| 3 | DAL | 16-23 | 22.6 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 14 | 81 | 1 | 12.5% | 92% |
| 4 | CHI | 20-12 | 18.2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 146 | 0 | 13.3% | 94% |
| 5 | GB | 27-22 | 19.6 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 70 | 1 | 23.1% | 69% |
| 6 | BAL | 24-20 | 18.5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 83 | 1 | 12% | 88% |
| 7 | JAX | 23-17 | 17.5 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 110 | 0 | 13.8% | 81% |
| 8 | SEA | 13-27 | 15.2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 16.1% | 80% |
| 10 | HOU | 24-16 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 152 | 1 | 5.9% | 80% |
| 11 | DET | 18-31 | 5.5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 12.5% | 76% |
| 12 | DAL | 20-28 | 15.2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 20.7% | 74% |
| 13 | WAS | 20-20 | 19.1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 63 | 1 | 17.9% | 88% |
| 14 | PHI | 22-48 | 6.8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 6.3% | 31% |
| 15 | WAS | 20-12 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 18 | 87 | 1 | 26.7% | 86% |
| 16 | MIN | 24-27 | 27.3 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 14 | 84 | 1 | 24.4% | 91% |
| 17 | IND | 38-10 | 7.3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 17.4% | 79% |
| Receptions | 57 |
| Targets | 76 |
| Receiving yards | 338 |
| Carries | 295 |
| Rushing yards | 1,312 |
| Touchdowns | 10 |
| Points per game | 17.75 |
| Yards per target | 4.45 |
| Catch rate | 75% |
| Yards per carry | 4.45 |
| Snap share | 79.75% |
| Target share | 16.77% |
| Air-yards share | -0.56% |
| WOPR | 0.247 |
| RACR | -3.524 |
| Average depth of target | -0.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.7 |
| Total YAC | 434 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 77.6 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.79 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.97 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.2% |
| End-zone target share | 8.3% |
| Red-zone carry share | 46.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 61.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.43 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.43 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 8.67 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 5 of 42 |
| Yards per target | 31 of 42 |
| Target share | 5 of 42 |
| Air-yards share | 32 of 42 |
The offense threw it 520 times. He took 15.54% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Saquon Barkley ← | 15.54% |
| Darius Slayton | 14.52% |
| Richie James | 14.31% |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 8.59% |
| Daniel Bellinger | 7.16% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 6.34% |
2 of his 16 games were blowouts, 5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.05 in those and 20.77 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 4 against NO — 29.6 PPR on 19 touches and a 16.7% target share, in a game that finished 27-21. His worst was Week 5 against DAL at 0.9, on 3 touches, final score 20-44. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 17.3; in the 9 decided by more, 8.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 14.5 points per game. He scored 11.43, 21.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 13-27 | 3.7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 8.3% | 48% |
| 2 | WAS | 29-30 | 8.9 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 57 | 0 | 9.4% | 84% |
| 3 | ATL | 14-17 | 21.4 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 16 | 51 | 1 | 20% | 86% |
| 4 | NO | 27-21 | 29.6 | 5 | 6 | 74 | 13 | 52 | 2 | 16.7% | 89% |
| 5 | DAL | 20-44 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2.7% | 9% |
| 11 | TB | 10-30 | 11.6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 16.2% | 62% |
| 12 | PHI | 13-7 | 9.3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 17.2% | 87% |
| 13 | MIA | 9-20 | 13.4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 55 | 0 | 23.7% | 75% |
| 14 | LAC | 21-37 | 18.5 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 64 | 1 | 8.8% | 55% |
| 15 | DAL | 6-21 | 9.4 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 15 | 50 | 0 | 22.2% | 59% |
| 16 | PHI | 10-34 | 3.8 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 15 | 32 | 0 | 2.4% | 34% |
| 17 | CHI | 3-29 | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 102 | 0 | 9.1% | 54% |
| 18 | WAS | 7-22 | 7.9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 30 | 0 | 13.3% | 60% |
| Receptions | 41 |
| Targets | 57 |
| Receiving yards | 263 |
| Carries | 162 |
| Rushing yards | 593 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 11.43 |
| Yards per target | 4.61 |
| Catch rate | 71.93% |
| Yards per carry | 3.66 |
| Snap share | 61.69% |
| Target share | 13.08% |
| Air-yards share | -0.12% |
| WOPR | 0.196 |
| RACR | -0.41 |
| Average depth of target | 0.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.9 |
| Total YAC | 298 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 92.9 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.29 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.57 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 5.4% |
| End-zone target share | 7.7% |
| Red-zone carry share | 26.1% |
| Goal-line carry share | 23.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.57 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.43 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.01 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 29 of 50 |
| Yards per target | 42 of 50 |
| Target share | 8 of 50 |
| Air-yards share | 29 of 50 |
The offense threw it 592 times. He took 10.16% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Kenny Golladay | 13.55% |
| Evan Engram | 13.01% |
| Darius Slayton | 10.34% |
| Saquon Barkley ← | 10.16% |
| Kadarius Toney | 10.16% |
| Sterling Shepard | 9.45% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | 6 | 30 | 14.08 | 5.8 | 14.63% |
| Mike Glennon | 6 | 23 | 9.37 | 3.04 | 11.48% |
| Jake Fromm | 1 | 4 | 7.9 | 4.75 | 13.3% |
4 of his 13 games were blowouts, 17.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.63 in those and 17.3 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His usage that season was worth 12.9 points per game. He scored 7.7, 40.1% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 16-26 | 12.6 | 6 | 9 | 60 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 23.1% | 87% |
| 2 | CHI | 13-17 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0% | 12% |
| Receptions | 6 |
| Targets | 9 |
| Receiving yards | 60 |
| Carries | 19 |
| Rushing yards | 34 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 7.7 |
| Yards per target | 6.67 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 1.79 |
| Snap share | 49.5% |
| Target share | 11.55% |
| Air-yards share | 7.35% |
| WOPR | 0.225 |
| RACR | 0.88 |
| Average depth of target | 3.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 9.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.8 |
| Total YAC | 55 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 85.4 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.82 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -4.09 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 2.9% |
| End-zone target share | 4.8% |
| Red-zone carry share | 6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 5.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.45 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.45 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.53 |
The offense threw it 516 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Evan Engram | 21.84% |
| Darius Slayton | 19.24% |
| Sterling Shepard | 18.04% |
| Golden Tate | 10.42% |
| Dion Lewis | 6.01% |
| Wayne Gallman | 5.41% |