Brenen ThompsonLos Angeles Chargers
WR/Los Angeles Chargers

Brenen Thompson

Age 23.2 · Rookie · 5'9", 164 lb · Mississippi St. · 2026 R4 #105
QuestionableW6 @ KC · Sun 4:25 PMBye W7
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Slides down
Slides down 1 to WR114 · 11.5% target share · model WR100 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
WR100
Market
—
2026 production
—

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR106
WR114 now
WR117
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR105
WR114 now
WR117
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR103
WR112 now
WR117

Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR105 to WR117. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#254Sep 21#257Sep 26#257Sep 28#257Sep 30#257Oct 5#256Oct 12#253Sep 21#255Sep 26#251Sep 28#251Sep 30#250Oct 5#252Oct 12#252Sep 21#255Sep 26#251Sep 28#250Sep 30#249Oct 5#250Oct 12

2026 so far1 game

Points a game
1.8
1 games
Target share
11.5%
3 targets
Targets a game
3.0
1 catches, 13 yds
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
4.0
PPR/g
4.9
Games left
10.7

80% range 1.8–5.7 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college production -0.3, sportsbook-implied points Wks 1-4 -0.3, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.3, catches per game -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LAC
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5LAC implied17.1Rest7 days (KC 14)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
-0.2pts
WR243
Bench
0.0tgt0.0rec-1yds0.00TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LAC team total of 17. Rank is among every WR we project this week.

Kansas City Chiefs defense vs WRs
#1of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
21.5
targets
17.8
rec yds
109
TD
0.0

Allowed to WRs per game across 4 games. Best games against them: Josh Downs (W2, 14.2 PPR, 7/9 72 yds); Malik Washington (W3, 11.1 PPR, 5/10 56 yds); Chris Bell (W3, 10.7 PPR, 4/7 67 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #9 against the pass, #14 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where KC gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.8#12
2.0#19
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
1.0#3
2.4#17
1.3#6
Short 0–9
2.7#8
1.0#6
3.4#9
Behind line
0.9#25
0.2#24
0.0#2
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points KC allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 4 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
-0.1
WR222
Actual
0.0
Difference
+0.1

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.8
05101—22.33OUT4OUT5OUT05101—21.83OUT4OUT5OUT05101—21.33OUT4OUT5OUT

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
vs ARI L 14-26
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W3
@ BUF L 16-24
Did not play (Quadricep, out)
OUT
W4
@ SEA L 23-30
Did not play (Quadricep, out)
OUT
W5
vs DEN L 17-23
Did not play (Quadricep, out)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

04

Usage

LAC target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Season to date, games each player played.

05

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets31-13-04.38.2-0.280.27
Third down67% of targets21-13-06.57.1-0.160.14
Score within 7100% of targets31-13-04.38.1-0.280.26
Vs. the blitz33% of targets10-0-00.07.9-2.610.23
No blitz67% of targets21-13-06.58.40.880.29
Play action33% of targets10-0-00.010.4-0.530.41
With motion100% of targets31-13-04.38.3-0.280.32

Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 2 of his 3 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 0 of 0 contested caught.

06

Team

LAC
Points a game
16.8
30th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
15th of 32
EPA per play
-0.207
32nd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−16.8%
31st of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.8
27th of 32
Motion rate
59%
3rd of 32
Play-action rate
12%
13th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
19th of 32

Los Angeles Chargers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs ARI14-2628.059%−11.9Herbert27 att
W2vs LV14-2625.048%−20.1Herbert27 att
W3vs BUF16-2421.856%−6.9Herbert34 att
W4vs SEA23-3017.853%−21.7Herbert31 att
W5vs DEN17-2319.545%−22.6Herbert24 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR3
Tre' Harris
WR4
Brenen Thompson
WR6
Theo Wease Jr.

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

W6
@KC
#1
W7
BYE
W8
@LA
#7
W9
HOU
#31
W10
@BAL
#24
W11
NYJ
#10
W12
NE
#17
W13
@TB
#14
W14
@LV
#20
W15
SF
#8
W16
@MIA
#2
W17
KC
#1
W18
@DEN
#3
Next 4
#16
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#4
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Jim Harbaugh. QB: Justin Herbert (most pass attempts, Week 5).

07

Career

Points a game by season
’262.3
’261.8
’261.3

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026LAC11-13-03 tgt, 11.5% share1.8—

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

08

Health

Questionable · concern low · through Week 6. Quad; missed Week 5. Listed questionable for Week 6 at Kansas City.

Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · CBS Sports Chargers injury page (Mon 10/12)

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
FP
W2
✓
W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W5
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
doubtful
IR (Hamstring)
Doubtful (Groin)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

09

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
1,899
#305 overall · WR126 · tier 13
Superflex
1,615
#290 overall · WR122
30 days
−219
90 days −32
Peak
2,139
Aug 28, 2026 · 11% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
2KJul ’261,8992,134

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
911
1,716
3,138

Teal dot = today (1,899). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 23 valued near #305 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 123 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, WR111. ESPN 170.0 · Underdog 215.9

10

Profile

Draft
R4 #105
2026 · 18th WR · LAC
Age
23.2
23 at the draft
Size
5'9"
164 lb
College
Mississippi St.

Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'9"
7
Weight
164 lb
1
40-yard dash
4.26s
100
speed
55

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Mississippi State1253-948-633.3%32.5
2024Oklahoma919-230-214.8%16.5
2023Oklahoma45-158-112.3%13.3
2022Texas11-32-010.0%5.0

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.