Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 3.99 points per game in 2025, usage worth 5.4.
32 years old · 12 seasons of experience · 2014 draft class
New Orleans Saints returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing rb1. Tyler Shough at quarterback, Kellen Moore as head coach, Doug Nussmeier calling it. The offense projects to 34.1 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 25.9 rushes.
In: Jordyn Tyson (wr2), Bryce Lance (wr5), Barion Brown (wr6), Bub Means (wr7), Travis Etienne Jr. (rb1), Oscar Delp (te2). Out: Kevin Austin Jr (wr3), Brandin Cooks (wr4), Taysom Hill (te2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Chris Olave | 22.1% |
| Jordyn Tyson | 18.6% |
| Juwan Johnson | 12.2% |
| Devaughn Vele | 8.3% |
| Oscar Delp | 7.1% |
| Barion Brown | 6.6% |
Key additions: signed RB Travis Etienne Jr in free agency on massive 4 year deal. Signed TE Noah Fant. Drafted TE oscar Delp. Drafted WR Jordyn Tyson 8th overall.
Key departures: No key departures
Notes: Saints draft Jordyn Tyson 8th overall. To start he will likely be the 1B in the offense behind Chris Olave. Hurts Olave potential, but Olave is highly talented WR. Shough surrounded with Weapons in New Orleans by signing Travis Etienne Jr. in free agency (lots of potential to be high producer). Alvin Kamara value is toast. Interested to see how Olave & Tyson split target share & if the rest of the offense other than Etienne holds fantasy value. Vele is a slept on and talented WR that could also break out in 2026. His breakout to slow down the Jordyn Tyson full breakout year 1.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Tyler Shough returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (34.4 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 34.1 att/g.
Offensive environment: NO rates 21.4 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +0.9 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | -0.3 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | +1.6 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +5.4 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3 | Chris Moore | +7.1 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -27.7% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, WRs recover only 15% of the time (keep falling 85%).
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Bourne | 2024 | 5.4 | 74% | +36% |
| Robert Woods | 2024 | 2.7 | 71% | +13.5% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2024 | 6.5 | 71% | -42.7% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2023 | 3.5 | 69% | +32.9% |
| K.J. Osborn | 2024 | 2.7 | 66% | -15.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Height | 5′10″ |
| Weight | 189 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.33s |
| Vertical | 36″ |
| Broad jump | 120″ |
| 3-cone | 6.76s |
| Shuttle | 3.81s |
| Career PPR per game | 11.4 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.7 |
| Boom rate | 24.6% |
| Bust rate | 24.6% |
| Games missed per season | 0.8 |
| Injury history | Calf, Knee |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.07 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 17 against PHI — 14.1 PPR on 6 targets and a 18.2% target share, in a game that finished 12-13. His worst was Week 16 against CLE at 0, on 1 targets, final score 23-20. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 4.6; in the 7 decided by more, 3.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 5.4 points per game. He scored 3.99, 19.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 13-20 | 5.6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 9.8% | 76% |
| 2 | SF | 21-26 | 4.6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 5.9% | 68% |
| 3 | SEA | 13-44 | 5.4 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 12.2% | 70% |
| 4 | BUF | 19-31 | 5.2 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 16% | 90% |
| 5 | NYG | 26-14 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3.2% | 45% |
| 6 | NE | 19-25 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3.8% | 64% |
| 7 | CHI | 14-26 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.2% | 70% |
| 8 | TB | 3-23 | 5.2 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 8% | 61% |
| 9 | LA | 10-34 | 3.6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 12.5% | 56% |
| 13 | PIT | 26-7 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 4.3% | 23% |
| 15 | NE | 35-31 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11.5% | 34% |
| 16 | CLE | 23-20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | 24% |
| 17 | PHI | 12-13 | 14.1 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 0 | 18.2% | 51% |
| Receptions | 24 |
| Targets | 36 |
| Receiving yards | 279 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 3.99 |
| Yards per target | 7.75 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Snap share | 56.31% |
| Target share | 8.78% |
| Air-yards share | 18.83% |
| WOPR | 0.262 |
| RACR | 0.795 |
| Average depth of target | 25.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 1.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 21.6 |
| Total YAC | 6 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.2% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 83.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.23 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 3.9% |
| End-zone target share | 4.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.3 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.3 |
The offense threw it 591 times. He took 4.44% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Chris Olave | 27.71% |
| Juwan Johnson | 18.12% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 11.72% |
| Alvin Kamara | 6.93% |
| Devaughn Vele | 6.93% |
| Brandin Cooks ← | 4.44% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Rattler | 7 | 18 | 3.81 | 7.06 | 7.73% |
| Tyler Shough | 6 | 18 | 4.2 | 8.44 | 10.02% |
4 of his 13 games were blowouts, 31.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.13 in those and 4.57 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 1 against CLE — 14.5 PPR on 7 targets and a 22.6% target share, in a game that finished 33-17. His worst was Week 4 against NYG at 2.6, on 4 targets, final score 20-15. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6; in the 4 decided by more, 8.4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 9.6 points per game. He scored 6.96, 27.3% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 2 against 3.01 expected, a gap of -1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 33-17 | 14.5 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 22.6% | 79% |
| 2 | NO | 19-44 | 3.6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 4.9% | 81% |
| 3 | BAL | 25-28 | 3.6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 12% | 80% |
| 4 | NYG | 20-15 | 2.6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 15.4% | 82% |
| 13 | NYG | 27-20 | 10.6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 19.4% | 39% |
| 14 | CIN | 20-27 | 7.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9.7% | 60% |
| 15 | CAR | 30-14 | 6.4 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 17.9% | 63% |
| 16 | TB | 26-24 | 7.8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 9.1% | 77% |
| 17 | PHI | 7-41 | 9.2 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 27.6% | 68% |
| 18 | WAS | 19-23 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 27.3% | 69% |
| Receptions | 26 |
| Targets | 54 |
| Receiving yards | 259 |
| Carries | 3 |
| Rushing yards | -3 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 6.96 |
| Yards per target | 4.8 |
| Catch rate | 48.15% |
| Yards per carry | -1 |
| Snap share | 69.8% |
| Target share | 16.59% |
| Air-yards share | 24.09% |
| WOPR | 0.418 |
| RACR | 0.576 |
| Average depth of target | 11.7 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.8 |
| Total YAC | 55 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 65.3 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -1.11 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.28 |
| Red-zone targets | 8 |
| Red-zone target share | 11.6% |
| End-zone target share | 17.9% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.01 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.01 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.04 |
The offense threw it 635 times. He took 8.72% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 24.56% |
| Jake Ferguson | 13.89% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 12.76% |
| Brandin Cooks ← | 8.72% |
| Kavontae Turpin | 8.4% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.92% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Rush | 5 | 26 | 8.26 | 5.88 | 16.74% |
| Dak Prescott | 4 | 19 | 6.08 | 4.79 | 13.72% |
| Trey Lance | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1.67 | 27.3% |
2 of his 10 games were blowouts, 18.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.4 in those and 5.98 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 10 against NYG — 32.3 PPR on 10 targets and a 22.7% target share, in a game that finished 49-17. His worst was Week 9 against PHI at 1.7, on 2 targets, final score 23-28. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.1; in the 11 decided by more, 10.2. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 9 points per game. He scored 10.82, 20.7% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 6 against 3.47 expected, a gap of 2.5.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 40-0 | 4.2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 16% | 59% |
| 3 | ARI | 16-28 | 3.7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 18.9% | 80% |
| 4 | NE | 38-3 | 6.7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 11.1% | 70% |
| 5 | SF | 10-42 | 2.3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15.4% | 65% |
| 6 | LAC | 20-17 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 13.3% | 78% |
| 8 | LA | 43-20 | 14.2 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 11.8% | 62% |
| 9 | PHI | 23-28 | 1.7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 4.5% | 77% |
| 10 | NYG | 49-17 | 32.3 | 9 | 10 | 173 | 1 | 22.7% | 53% |
| 11 | CAR | 33-10 | 7.2 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 10% | 72% |
| 12 | WAS | 45-10 | 17.2 | 4 | 5 | 72 | 1 | 15.6% | 80% |
| 13 | SEA | 41-35 | 16.5 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 10% | 90% |
| 14 | PHI | 33-13 | 5.7 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 12.8% | 77% |
| 15 | BUF | 10-31 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 18.8% | 74% |
| 16 | MIA | 20-22 | 10.3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 6.3% | 79% |
| 17 | DET | 20-19 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 21.6% | 78% |
| 18 | WAS | 38-10 | 16.2 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 20% | 79% |
| Receptions | 54 |
| Targets | 81 |
| Receiving yards | 657 |
| Carries | 5 |
| Rushing yards | 35 |
| Touchdowns | 8 |
| Points per game | 10.82 |
| Yards per target | 8.11 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 7 |
| Snap share | 73.31% |
| Target share | 14.3% |
| Air-yards share | 22.74% |
| WOPR | 0.373 |
| RACR | 0.716 |
| Average depth of target | 13.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 9.9 |
| Total YAC | 125 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 103.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.24 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.11 |
| Red-zone targets | 12 |
| Red-zone target share | 10% |
| End-zone target share | 19.3% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.47 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 6 |
| Receiving TD luck | 2.53 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.15 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 40 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 29 of 51 |
| Target share | 50 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 40 of 51 |
The offense threw it 614 times. He took 13.39% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| CeeDee Lamb | 29.92% |
| Jake Ferguson | 16.86% |
| Brandin Cooks ← | 13.39% |
| Tony Pollard | 11.07% |
| Michael Gallup | 9.42% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 5.95% |
10 of his 16 games were blowouts, 62.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 10.9 in those and 12.1 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 18 against IND — 21.6 PPR on 6 targets and a 15.8% target share, in a game that finished 32-31. His worst was Week 3 against CHI at 4.2, on 7 targets, final score 20-23. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.2; in the 5 decided by more, 11.3. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 12.2 points per game. He scored 11.2, 8.4% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.97 expected, a gap of 1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 20-20 | 15.2 | 7 | 12 | 82 | 0 | 33.3% | 91% |
| 2 | DEN | 9-16 | 9.4 | 4 | 10 | 54 | 0 | 27% | 87% |
| 3 | CHI | 20-23 | 4.2 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 22.6% | 86% |
| 4 | LAC | 24-34 | 18.7 | 7 | 7 | 57 | 1 | 20% | 81% |
| 5 | JAX | 13-6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 25% | 78% |
| 7 | LV | 20-38 | 8.6 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 12.5% | 89% |
| 8 | TEN | 10-17 | 11.3 | 4 | 6 | 73 | 0 | 20% | 81% |
| 10 | NYG | 16-24 | 8.2 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 18.9% | 64% |
| 11 | WAS | 10-23 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 70 | 0 | 18.8% | 80% |
| 12 | MIA | 15-30 | 11.1 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 13.2% | 74% |
| 16 | TEN | 19-14 | 13.4 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 31% | 76% |
| 17 | JAX | 3-31 | 7.9 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 16.7% | 77% |
| 18 | IND | 32-31 | 21.6 | 5 | 6 | 106 | 1 | 15.8% | 91% |
| Receptions | 57 |
| Targets | 93 |
| Receiving yards | 699 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 7 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 11.2 |
| Yards per target | 7.52 |
| Catch rate | 61.29% |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 |
| Snap share | 81.15% |
| Target share | 21.14% |
| Air-yards share | 29.22% |
| WOPR | 0.521 |
| RACR | 0.767 |
| Average depth of target | 10.7 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.7 |
| Total YAC | 205 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 77.3 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.39 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.04 |
| Red-zone targets | 10 |
| Red-zone target share | 15.2% |
| End-zone target share | 19.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.97 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.03 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 36 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 33 of 51 |
| Target share | 34 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 24 of 51 |
The offense threw it 579 times. He took 16.94% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brandin Cooks ← | 16.94% |
| Chris Moore | 13.48% |
| Nico Collins | 12.02% |
| Jordan Akins | 9.84% |
| Rex Burkhead | 9.29% |
| Phillip Dorsett | 7.29% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Mills | 12 | 88 | 11.21 | 7.27 | 21.8% |
| Kyle Allen | 1 | 5 | 11.1 | 11.8 | 13.2% |
2 of his 13 games were blowouts, 11.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.25 in those and 11.16 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 15 against JAX — 29.2 PPR on 10 targets and a 33.3% target share, in a game that finished 30-16. His worst was Week 11 against TEN at 3.8, on 3 targets, final score 22-13. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9; in the 12 decided by more, 16.3. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 14.5 points per game. He scored 14.49, 0.2% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 37-21 | 18.2 | 5 | 7 | 132 | 0 | 21.9% | 78% |
| 2 | CLE | 21-31 | 22.8 | 9 | 14 | 78 | 1 | 50% | 92% |
| 3 | CAR | 9-24 | 20.7 | 9 | 11 | 112 | 0 | 44% | 95% |
| 4 | BUF | 0-40 | 9.7 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 35% | 87% |
| 5 | NE | 22-25 | 5.3 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 18.5% | 85% |
| 6 | IND | 3-31 | 17.9 | 9 | 13 | 89 | 0 | 31% | 91% |
| 7 | ARI | 5-31 | 7.1 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 22.6% | 95% |
| 8 | LA | 22-38 | 20.3 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 1 | 16.7% | 89% |
| 9 | MIA | 9-17 | 11.6 | 6 | 14 | 56 | 0 | 35% | 97% |
| 11 | TEN | 22-13 | 3.8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 13% | 83% |
| 12 | NYJ | 14-21 | 13.5 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 19.2% | 82% |
| 13 | IND | 0-31 | 8.4 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 23.1% | 83% |
| 14 | SEA | 13-33 | 18.1 | 8 | 11 | 101 | 0 | 22.9% | 81% |
| 15 | JAX | 30-16 | 29.2 | 7 | 10 | 102 | 2 | 33.3% | 83% |
| 17 | SF | 7-23 | 19.6 | 7 | 11 | 66 | 1 | 36.7% | 79% |
| 18 | TEN | 25-28 | 5.6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 12.5% | 32% |
| Receptions | 90 |
| Targets | 134 |
| Receiving yards | 1,037 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 21 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 14.49 |
| Yards per target | 7.74 |
| Catch rate | 67.16% |
| Yards per carry | 10.5 |
| Snap share | 83.25% |
| Target share | 27.21% |
| Air-yards share | 38.01% |
| WOPR | 0.674 |
| RACR | 0.793 |
| Average depth of target | 10.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.6 |
| Total YAC | 357 |
| Broken tackles | 5 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 95.9 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.53 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 10 |
| Red-zone target share | 21.3% |
| End-zone target share | 17.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.04 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.04 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 19 of 48 |
| Yards per target | 31 of 48 |
| Target share | 9 of 48 |
| Air-yards share | 5 of 48 |
The offense threw it 546 times. He took 25.62% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brandin Cooks ← | 25.62% |
| Nico Collins | 11.47% |
| David Johnson | 8.03% |
| Danny Amendola | 7.27% |
| Chris Conley | 7.07% |
| Pharaoh Brown | 6.5% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Mills | 12 | 105 | 15.39 | 7.49 | 28.86% |
| Tyrod Taylor | 4 | 29 | 11.77 | 8.66 | 22.28% |
5 of his 16 games were blowouts, 26.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.24 in those and 9 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 17 against TEN — 39.6 PPR on 16 targets and a 40% target share, in a game that finished 38-41. His worst was Week 4 against MIN at 0, on 3 targets, final score 23-31. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 15.7; in the 5 decided by more, 15. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 14.3 points per game. He scored 15.47, 8.1% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 2 against 3.01 expected, a gap of -1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 20-34 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 16.1% | 53% |
| 2 | BAL | 16-33 | 14.5 | 5 | 8 | 95 | 0 | 23.5% | 90% |
| 3 | PIT | 21-28 | 5.3 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 18.5% | 87% |
| 4 | MIN | 23-31 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9.7% | 94% |
| 5 | JAX | 30-14 | 30.1 | 8 | 12 | 161 | 1 | 34.3% | 83% |
| 6 | TEN | 36-42 | 21.8 | 9 | 9 | 68 | 1 | 24.3% | 87% |
| 7 | GB | 20-35 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 0 | 23.7% | 81% |
| 9 | JAX | 27-25 | 17.3 | 3 | 9 | 83 | 1 | 31% | 91% |
| 10 | CLE | 7-10 | 9.9 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 28.6% | 96% |
| 11 | NE | 27-20 | 12.5 | 4 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 13.5% | 93% |
| 12 | DET | 41-25 | 13.5 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 21.7% | 86% |
| 13 | IND | 20-26 | 11.5 | 5 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 21.6% | 83% |
| 15 | IND | 20-27 | 11.9 | 6 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 18.4% | 99% |
| 16 | CIN | 31-37 | 27.1 | 7 | 10 | 141 | 1 | 30.3% | 96% |
| 17 | TEN | 38-41 | 39.6 | 11 | 16 | 166 | 2 | 40% | 95% |
| Receptions | 81 |
| Targets | 119 |
| Receiving yards | 1,150 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 15.47 |
| Yards per target | 9.66 |
| Catch rate | 68.07% |
| Snap share | 87.6% |
| Target share | 23.68% |
| Air-yards share | 29.19% |
| WOPR | 0.56 |
| RACR | 0.811 |
| Average depth of target | 11.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 9.9 |
| Total YAC | 350 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 101.9 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.22 |
| Red-zone targets | 11 |
| Red-zone target share | 13.3% |
| End-zone target share | 11.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.01 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.01 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 15 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 8 of 51 |
| Target share | 20 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 25 of 51 |
The offense threw it 546 times. He took 22.71% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brandin Cooks ← | 22.71% |
| Will Fuller | 14.31% |
| Jordan Akins | 9.35% |
| Randall Cobb | 9.16% |
| David Johnson | 8.78% |
| Keke Coutee | 7.63% |
1 of his 15 games were blowouts, 6.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.5 in those and 15.69 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
Ask the Coach about Brandin Cooks →