
Brandon Aiyuk
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Week 6
FA are on bye in Week 6.
Game log
2026 · through W5No catch, carry or pass recorded in 2026 yet.
FA have played 0 games. His past seasons are under Career.
Splits
Against coverage2022-2024 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 120 | 9.2 | 57% | +0.47 |
| Zone | 176 | 10.7 | 71% | +0.54 |
| Cover 1 | 102 | 9.8 | 56% | +0.45 |
| Cover 3 | 92 | 11.4 | 75% | +0.60 |
| Cover 2 | 44 | 9.0 | 68% | +0.48 |
| Cover 6 | 18 | 13.3 | 67% | +0.78 |
| Cover 4 | 15 | 6.0 | 53% | +0.12 |
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024SF | 7 | 25-374-047 tgt, 22.2% share, routes 84% | 7.1 | 11.9−20.9 |
| 2023SF | 16 | 75-1,342-7105 tgt, 23.8% share, routes 89% | 13.2WR14 | 11.3+64.3 |
| 2022SF | 17 | 78-1,015-8114 tgt, 21.1% share, routes 96% | 11.1WR23 | 10.6+32.8 |
| 2021SF | 17 | 65-961-599 tgt, 18.3% share, routes 87% | 8.4WR46 | 9.0+21.3 |
| 2020SF | 12 | 60-748-596 tgt, 21.9% share, routes 92% | 12.9WR17 | 14.4+11.4 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2024 | 6 RZ tgt (7%), 3 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.4 exp |
| 2023 | 12 RZ tgt (15%), 9 end-zone, 6 rec TD vs 2.9 exp |
| 2022 | 17 RZ tgt (23%), 4 end-zone, 6 rec TD vs 3.2 exp |
| 2021 | 10 RZ tgt (16%), 9 end-zone, 5 rec TD vs 3.0 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
5 of his last 22 games reached 20 PPR; 9 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2020
2024 game log 7 games · SF · 8.9 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs NYJ · D1 | 2-28 on 5 tgt | 60% | 3.8 |
| W2@ MIN · D29 | 4-43 on 5 tgt | 87% | 6.3 |
| W3@ LA · D25 | 5-48 on 10 tgt | 80% | 7.3 |
| W4vs NE · D27 | 2-48 on 5 tgt | 79% | 5.8 |
| W5vs ARI · D19 | 8-147 on 12 tgt | 92% | 18.7 |
| W6@ SEA · D11 | 2-37 on 4 tgt | 95% | 4.7 |
| W7vs KC · D7 | 2-23 on 6 tgt (left hurt) | 40% | 3.3 |
2023 game log 16 games · SF · 15.6 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ PIT · D15 | 8-129-2 on 8 tgt | 85% | 28.9 |
| W2@ LA · D23 | 3-43 on 6 tgt | 53% | 5.8 |
| W4vs ARI · D14 | 6-148 on 6 tgt | 76% | 17.8 |
| W5vs DAL · D2 | 4-58 on 7 tgt | 79% | 7.8 |
| W6@ CLE · D1 | 4-76 on 10 tgt | 98% | 9.6 |
| W7@ MIN · D30 | 5-57 on 6 tgt | 98% | 8.2 |
| W8vs CIN · D15 | 5-109 on 9 tgt | 92% | 13.4 |
| W10@ JAX · D21 | 3-55-1 on 3 tgt | 68% | 13.0 |
| W11vs TB · D29 | 5-156-1 on 6 tgt | 88% | 24.1 |
| W12@ SEA · D19 | 2-50-1 on 4 tgt | 89% | 12.0 |
| W13@ PHI · D32 | 5-46-1 on 7 tgt | 86% | 13.1 |
| W14vs SEA · D24 | 6-126 on 9 tgt | 91% | 13.6 |
| W15@ ARI · D20 | 3-37 on 5 tgt | 82% | 5.2 |
| W16vs BAL · D13 | 6-113 on 7 tgt | 94% | 14.3 |
| W17@ WAS · D31 | 7-114-1 on 8 tgt | 87% | 20.9 |
| W18vs LA · D24 | 3-25 on 4 tgt | 38% | 4.0 |
2022 game log 17 games · SF · 13.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ CHI | 2-40 on 3 tgt · 1-7 rush | 99% | 5.7 |
| W2vs SEA | 5-63 on 8 tgt | 88% | 8.8 |
| W3@ DEN | 3-39-1 on 8 tgt | 89% | 11.4 |
| W4vs LA · D31 | 4-37 on 4 tgt | 92% | 5.7 |
| W5@ CAR · D19 | 3-58 on 4 tgt | 87% | 7.3 |
| W6@ ATL · D27 | 8-83-2 on 11 tgt | 92% | 24.3 |
| W7vs KC · D28 | 7-82 on 11 tgt | 94% | 11.7 |
| W8@ LA · D23 | 6-81-1 on 6 tgt | 98% | 17.1 |
| W10vs LAC · D14 | 6-84 on 7 tgt | 97% | 9.4 |
| W11@ ARI · D13 | 2-20-2 on 4 tgt | 79% | 15.0 |
| W12vs NO · D18 | 5-65 on 8 tgt | 97% | 9.0 |
| W13vs MIA · D17 | 5-46 on 9 tgt | 95% | 7.1 |
| W14vs TB · D15 | 2-57-1 on 3 tgt | 78% | 12.7 |
| W15@ SEA · D6 | 2-19 on 4 tgt | 97% | 2.9 |
| W16vs WAS · D16 | 5-81 on 7 tgt | 96% | 10.6 |
| W17@ LV · D14 | 9-101-1 on 12 tgt · 1-16 rush | 96% | 22.2 |
| W18vs ARI · D10 | 4-59 on 5 tgt | 73% | 7.9 |
2021 game log 17 games · SF · 10.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ DET | no stats | 47% | 0.0 |
| W2@ PHI | 1-6 on 2 tgt | 54% | 1.1 |
| W3vs GB | 4-37-1 on 6 tgt · 1-8 rush | 86% | 12.5 |
| W4vs SEA | 1-15 on 3 tgt | 67% | 2.0 |
| W5@ ARI | 2-32 on 4 tgt | 71% | 4.2 |
| W7vs IND | 1-6 on 1 tgt · 1-3 rush | 71% | 1.4 |
| W8@ CHI | 4-45 on 7 tgt | 88% | 8.5 |
| W9vs ARI | 6-89-1 on 8 tgt · 1--2 rush | 93% | 15.7 |
| W10vs LA | 3-26 on 4 tgt | 90% | 4.1 |
| W11@ JAX | 7-85-1 on 7 tgt | 93% | 18.0 |
| W12vs MIN | 3-91 on 6 tgt · 1-4 rush | 90% | 11.0 |
| W13@ SEA | 3-55 on 6 tgt | 93% | 7.0 |
| W14@ CIN | 6-62-1 on 10 tgt · 1-4 rush | 94% | 15.6 |
| W15vs ATL | 1-36 on 2 tgt | 98% | 4.1 |
| W16@ TEN | 4-40-1 on 5 tgt | 93% | 12.0 |
| W17vs HOU | 4-94 on 6 tgt | 90% | 11.4 |
| W18@ LA | 6-107 on 7 tgt | 93% | 13.7 |
2020 game log 12 games · SF · 15.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2@ NYJ | 2-21 on 3 tgt | 72% | 3.1 |
| W3@ NYG | 5-70 on 8 tgt · 3-31-1 rush | 71% | 18.6 |
| W4vs PHI | 2-18 on 5 tgt · 1-38-1 rush | 88% | 12.6 |
| W5vs MIA | 3-44 on 6 tgt | 97% | 5.9 |
| W6vs LA | 2-12-1 on 3 tgt | 85% | 8.2 |
| W7@ NE | 6-115 on 7 tgt | 76% | 14.5 |
| W8@ SEA | 8-91-1 on 10 tgt | 90% | 19.1 |
| W10@ NO | 7-75-1 on 14 tgt · 1--8 rush | 96% | 16.2 |
| W13vs BUF | 5-95-1 on 9 tgt | 87% | 18.0 |
| W14vs WAS | 10-119 on 16 tgt | 91% | 16.9 |
| W15@ DAL | 9-73-1 on 13 tgt | 95% | 17.8 |
| W16@ ARI | 1-15 on 2 tgt · 1-16 rush | 93% | 3.6 |
Health
DNR (Knee - ACL + MCL) on Sleeper, Oct 10.
Carrying a DNR designation with Knee ACL + MCL on file. DNR is not an injury status, so how far along he is cannot be read from this row — treat the injury type as history, not as a current timeline.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | Shoulder (2) |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | Hamstring |
| 2020 | 5 | 2 | Hamstring (2), Ankle |
2 games missed 2023–25 (0.40 a season), Ankle.
8 report weeks over 3 seasons; recurring: Hamstring, Ankle, Shoulder. Risk label: moderate.
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (540). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 29 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 68 players' worth).
210.0 overall, WR171. ESPN 170.8 · Underdog 215.8 · Sleeper 249.2